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Trump’s Iran Deadline: Limited War by Summer 2026 as US Strikes Loom and Proxies Prepare Hellfire

As of February 22, 2026, the Middle East remains a hotspot of geopolitical tensions, with multiple overlapping conflicts and escalating military posturing. The region has seen a series of wars and skirmishes in recent years, including the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza, which has largely subsided into a fragile ceasefire but continues to simmer with Israeli consolidation of control in the West Bank. Additionally, the brief but intense Israel-Iran war in June 2025, which involved U.S. intervention through strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, has left lingering hostilities. Other flashpoints include India-Pakistan tensions, Armenia-Azerbaijan disputes over Nagorno-Karabakh, and Egypt-Ethiopia conflicts over the Nile, though these are somewhat peripheral to the core Middle East dynamics.

https://rumble.com/v76452e–trump-gives-iran-ultimatum-limited-war-summer-2026-incoming-carriers-masse.html

The most immediate concern is the U.S.-Iran standoff. The United States, under President Trump, has amassed its largest military presence in the region since the 2003 Iraq invasion, including two aircraft carrier strike groups (USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln), fighter jets, air defense systems like THAAD and Patriots, and intelligence assets. This buildup is aimed at pressuring Iran to abandon its nuclear enrichment, limit ballistic missiles, and cut support for proxies like Hezbollah and Yemen’s Houthis. Nuclear talks in Geneva have stalled, with Trump indicating a decision on potential strikes could come within days, possibly by the end of February. Iran has responded with threats of regional retaliation, including targeting U.S. bases, and has conducted joint exercises with Russia and China while canceling some naval drills after U.S. warnings.

Hezbollah’s potential involvement adds another layer, with reports of Iranian pressure on the group to join any conflict, prompting Israeli alerts along its northern border and preparations for multi-front scenarios. In Iran itself, protests have flared up again, marking mourning periods for earlier demonstrators, signaling internal unrest that could complicate Tehran’s response to external threats. Broader regional alliances are shifting, with discussions of a “Muslim NATO” involving Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and others potentially forming in response to Israeli actions and U.S. policies.

Prediction on Future Developments, Including War

Based on these trends, I predict a high likelihood of escalation into limited military conflict by mid-2026, potentially evolving into a broader regional war if diplomatic off-ramps fail. If Trump opts for strikesโ€”targeting Iranian nuclear or missile sites, as hintedโ€”this could trigger Iranian retaliation via proxies, drawing in Hezbollah for attacks on Israel and possibly disrupting key chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz, spiking global oil prices. Such a scenario might resemble the 2025 Israel-Iran exchanges but on a larger scale, with U.S. involvement pulling in Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and Qatar, who are already preparing for spillover.

However, a full-scale war akin to past invasions seems less probable due to U.S. reluctance for prolonged engagements, as evidenced by concerns over midterms and economic impacts. Instead, expect tit-for-tat strikes, cyber operations, and proxy skirmishes, with a 60-70% chance of de-escalation if backchannel talks (e.g., via Qatar or Egypt) yield concessions on Iran’s nuclear program. Longer-term, unresolved Palestinian issues could reignite Gaza violence, while emerging alliances might stabilize or further polarize the region against perceived Israeli expansionism. Overall, the next few months are critical; failure in Geneva could tip the balance toward war, but international pressure (e.g., from the UN) might enforce a uneasy status quo.

Bernd Pulch โ€” Bio Photo

Bernd Pulch (M.A.) is a forensic expert, investigative journalist, entrepreneur, political commentator, and satirist. He is the founder of Aristotle AI and specializes in uncovering the intersections of lawfare, media influence, investment, real estate, and geopolitics. His research focuses on how legal systems are weaponized, how capital flows shape policy, and how artificial intelligence centralizes power, highlighting the stakes for democracy when courts and markets become arenas of conflict. Pulch is active in both German and international media, with his analyses regularly featured on this platform.

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST FEBRUARY 21 2026 โœŒ INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 21. FEBRUAR 2026 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI โœŒ

Institutional Intelligence & Global Market Analysis

Date: February 21, 2026
Author: Joe Rogers โ€” Institutional Research Desk
Status: TOP SECRET / Institutional Grade


THE SILICON VACUUM

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: THE POLYCRISIS AND ASSET CLASS DIVERGENCE

The global financial ecosystem on February 21, 2026, is navigating a complex “Polycrisis” where traditional equity markets, sovereign debt, and digital assets are exhibiting significant divergence. The US-Iran standoff has introduced a high kinetic risk premium, while the cryptocurrency market is showing signs of consolidation after a volatile month. Our proprietary analysis suggests that the “Haven Trade” is no longer confined to gold and treasuries, but is increasingly encompassing decentralized digital assets like Monero (XMR) for privacy-conscious capital preservation.

The “Friday Fracture” observed yesterday has now evolved into a broader asset class divergence. While US equities experience a tactical pullback, the yield curve continues its aggressive steepening trajectory, and digital assets are carving out new roles in the geopolitical risk landscape. The convergence of maximum-intensity US-China trade tensions (Level 10) and escalating US-Iran kinetic risk (Level 9) is creating a multi-layered crisis that defies conventional portfolio modeling.


ULTRA-DEEP INTELLIGENCE: REAL-TIME DATA MATRIX

I. GLOBAL EQUITIES: PULLBACK AND INTERNAL ROTATION

Index Current Level Performance (%) Intelligence Note
S&P 500 6,861.89 -0.28% Testing key support levels post-Friday fracture.
NASDAQ 100 24,797.34 -0.41% Tech weakness on US-China trade escalation.
Nikkei 225 56,786.45 -1.19% Sharp reaction to regional instability.
Russell 2000 2,674.90 +0.22% Small-cap resilience amid broader pullback.
Dow Jones (DJIA) 49,320.15 -0.35% Industrial momentum tested by geopolitical risks.

II. DIGITAL ASSETS: THE DECENTRALIZED FRONTIER

Cryptocurrency Price (USD) 24H Change (%) 30D Change (%) Intelligence Note
Bitcoin (BTC) $67,858.12 +0.10% -24.17% Stabilization phase; high-beta risk asset.
Ethereum (ETH) $1,963.85 +0.42% -33.44% Underperforming BTC; DeFi exposure.
Solana (SOL) $84.48 +1.42% -34.21% Outperforming on technical factors.
Monero (XMR) $332.28 -0.50% -35.61% CRITICAL: Grey zone capital flow proxy.
Litecoin (LTC) $85.00 +0.20% -28.50% Stable consolidation.

III. SOVEREIGN DEBT: THE STEEPENING CURVE

Tenor Yield (%) Sentiment Intelligence Note
2 Year 3.48% Tactical Haven Short-term safety bid.
5 Year 3.72% Transition Pricing intermediate uncertainty.
10 Year 4.25% Macro Anchor Long-term inflation expectations rising.
30 Year 4.73% Fiscal Risk Debt sustainability concerns.

IV. GEOPOLITICAL RISK HEATMAP: KINETIC ESCALATION

Risk Factor Intensity (0-10) 24H Change Intelligence Note
US-China Trade Relations 10 0 MAXIMUM INTENSITY: Structural decoupling.
US-Iran Standoff 9 +1 Kinetic risk escalating; Strait of Hormuz threat.
Energy Disruption 9 +1 Supply chain vulnerability at Level 9.
Crypto Regulation 9 +1 Governments tightening controls on DeFi.
Middle East Conflict 10 0 Remains at maximum intensity.
South China Sea Maritime 9 0 Blockade risk persists.


CHART 1: MULTI-ASSET PERFORMANCE โ€” FEBRUARY 21, 2026
โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€
Asset Performance (%)
Russell +0.22% โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
SOL +1.42% โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
BTC +0.10% โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
S&P 500 -0.28% โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•
NASDAQ -0.41% โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•
Nikkei -1.19% โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•
-1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% +0.5% +1.0% +1.5%
โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€
Intelligence Note: The "Polycrisis" is evident in today's
divergent asset class performance. While US equities experience a
tactical pullback, digital assets like Solana show strength, and
small caps demonstrate resilience. The Nikkei's sharp decline
(-1.19%) reflects regional instability concerns.

CHART 2: US TREASURY YIELD CURVE โ€” FEBRUARY 21, 2026
โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€
Yield (%)
5.0% โ”ค
4.5% โ”ค 30Y 4.73%
4.0% โ”ค 10Y 4.25%
3.5% โ”ค 5Y 3.72% 2Y 3.48%
2Y 5Y 10Y 30Y
โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€
Intelligence Note: The US Treasury curve continues to steepen,
reflecting long-term inflationary fears despite short-term haven
demand. The 10Y-2Y spread has expanded to 0.77%โ€”a signal that the
market is bracing for a sustained high-interest-rate environment
driven by energy costs and fiscal expansion.

CHART 3: COMPREHENSIVE RISK HEATMAP โ€” FEBRUARY 21, 2026
โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€
Risk Intensity (0-10)
US-China Trade 10 โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
Middle East 10 โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
US-Iran Standoff 9 โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
Energy Disruption 9 โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
Crypto Regulation 9 โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
South China Sea 9 โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•โ•—
0 2 4 6 8 10
โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€
Intelligence Note: The US-Iran Standoff has escalated to Level 9,
joining Energy Disruption and Crypto Regulation at high intensity.
The Strait of Hormuz threat is now the primary short-term catalyst
for energy prices. As one intelligence source noted: "The risk of
a Trump presidency we feared have come faster and thicker than
envisioned. The Iran standoff is a 'Black Swan' in the making."

CORE 2026 INVESTMENT THESIS: THE POLYCRISIS AND ASSET CLASS DIVERGENCE

The “Silicon Vacuum” has now evolved into a full-spectrum “Polycrisis” where traditional correlations between asset classes have broken down. The “Haven Trade” is no longer confined to gold and treasuriesโ€”it is increasingly encompassing decentralized digital assets like Monero (XMR) for privacy-conscious capital preservation.

The convergence of maximum-intensity US-China trade tensions (Level 10) and escalating US-Iran kinetic risk (Level 9) is creating a multi-layered crisis that defies conventional portfolio modeling. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market is carving out new roles in this landscape, with privacy coins serving as proxies for capital flight from regions under heightened kinetic risk.

“The Polycrisis is not a temporary phenomenonโ€”it is the new structural reality. When US-China relations hit Level 10 and the Iran standoff escalates simultaneously, every correlation matrix breaks. Capital preservation now requires a multi-pronged approach that includes both traditional havens and privacy-focused digital assets. The Strait of Hormuz threat is a ‘Black Swan’ in the making.” โ€” Joe Rogers, Institutional Intelligence


GEOPOLITICAL RISK MATRIX: KINETIC ESCALATION

  1. US-IRAN STANDOFF โ€” LEVEL 9 ESCALATION

The US-Iran standoff has intensified dramatically, with our risk index rising to Level 9. The potential for disruption in the Strait of Hormuzโ€”through which approximately 20% of global oil passesโ€”is now the primary short-term catalyst for energy prices. Satellite imagery confirms increased naval positioning, and diplomatic channels have shown no signs of progress. Any kinetic event here would trigger immediate repricing across energy markets.

  1. ENERGY DISRUPTION โ€” LEVEL 9 THREAT

Directly correlated with the Iran standoff, Energy Disruption risk has also reached Level 9. Supply chain vulnerability in the Persian Gulf, combined with existing tensions in the Arctic corridor, creates a dual-threat scenario for global energy security. WTI crude is positioned for a potential breakout above $70 if the situation escalates further.

  1. CRYPTO REGULATION โ€” LEVEL 9 POLICY RISK

Governments are tightening controls on decentralized finance, with our Crypto Regulation risk index rising to Level 9. Multiple jurisdictions are preparing coordinated regulatory actions aimed at curbing capital flight through privacy coins. This creates a complex dynamic: while regulation threatens crypto markets, the very assets being targeted (Monero, privacy protocols) are becoming more valuable as geopolitical hedges.

  1. US-CHINA TRADE โ€” REMAINS AT LEVEL 10

US-China trade relations remain at maximum intensity, with no signs of de-escalation. The structural decoupling continues to reshape global supply chains, with semiconductors and industrial metals bearing the brunt of the impact.

  1. MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT โ€” LEVEL 10 PERSISTS

The broader Middle East conflict remains at Level 10, with multiple flashpoints converging. The situation has expanded beyond conventional parameters, threatening critical infrastructure and regional stability.


THE DAY AHEAD: INTELLIGENCE MARKERS

  1. STRAIT OF HORMUZ MONITORING

Any reports of naval incidents or military posturing in the Strait of Hormuz will serve as immediate catalysts for energy price volatility. Key levels to monitor:

Asset Current Resistance Support Intelligence Note
WTI Crude $66.20 $68.50 $65.00 Break above $68.50 signals escalation.
Brent Crude $69.80 $72.00 $68.50 Premium pricing geopolitical risk.
Gold $5,152.50 $5,200 $5,100 Haven demand correlated with Iran risk.

  1. MONERO (XMR) AS CAPITAL FLIGHT PROXY

Monero’s price action should be monitored as a proxy for capital flight from regions under heightened kinetic risk. Unusual volume spikes or decoupling from broader crypto trends would signal increased demand for privacy-preserving assets.

Level Significance Volume Profile
$350 Psychological resistance Heavy sell walls
$332 Current support Weekend accumulation
$315 Next support Thin liquidity

  1. YIELD CURVE STEEPENING WATCH

The 10Y-2Y spread at 0.77% is approaching critical levels. A move above 0.85% would confirm that markets are pricing in a sustained regime of fiscal deficits and energy-driven inflation.

  1. CRYPTO REGULATION ANNOUNCEMENTS

Any official announcements regarding coordinated crypto regulation will serve as immediate catalysts for volatility in digital assets. Privacy coins (XMR) and DeFi protocols are most vulnerable to policy shifts.


STRATEGIC INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS

Based on the Polycrisis framework, we recommend the following strategic positioning:

Strategy Allocation Target Assets Intelligence Note
Barbell Strategy 40% Energy/Defense + Digital Assets Balanced exposure to kinetic risk and decentralized havens.
Yield Capture 25% 10-Year Treasury Primary anchor for fixed income.
Privacy Premium 15% Monero (XMR) Proxy for capital flight; geopolitical hedge.
Energy Hedge 15% WTI, Energy equities Direct play on Strait of Hormuz risk.
Liquidity Reserve 5% Cash, Short-term Treasuries Dry powder for volatility events.


DIGITAL ASSET CONFIDENCE MATRIX

Asset Confidence Score Primary Role Intelligence Note
Bitcoin (BTC) 65/100 High-beta risk Stabilization phase; macro correlation.
Monero (XMR) 85/100 Privacy hedge CRITICAL: Grey zone capital flow proxy.
Solana (SOL) 55/100 Speculative Technical bounce; high volatility.
Ethereum (ETH) 45/100 DeFi exposure Underperforming; regulatory vulnerability.
Litecoin (LTC) 50/100 Stable consolidation Neutral positioning.


SECTOR CONFIDENCE MATRIX: THE POLYCRISIS FRAMEWORK

Sector Confidence Score 24H Flow Primary Catalyst
Energy 94/100 +$2.1B US-Iran standoff; Strait of Hormuz threat
Defense 93/100 +$1.9B Multi-theater escalation
Gold 92/100 +$1.6B Haven demand; geopolitical risk
Privacy Coins (XMR) 85/100 +$0.8B Capital flight proxy
Small Caps (Russell) 70/100 +$0.5B Domestic resilience
Semiconductors 30/100 -$2.8B US-China trade exposure
US Mega-cap Tech 35/100 -$2.4B Valuation compression
DeFi Protocols 25/100 -$1.2B Regulatory vulnerability


FINAL INTELLIGENCE NOTE: THE POLYCRISIS AND ASSET CLASS DIVERGENCE

The “Polycrisis” defines the macro condition of February 21, 2026. Traditional equity markets, sovereign debt, and digital assets are exhibiting significant divergence. The US-Iran standoff has introduced a high kinetic risk premium, while the cryptocurrency market is carving out new roles in the geopolitical landscape.

The “Haven Trade” is no longer confined to gold and treasuriesโ€”it now includes privacy-focused digital assets like Monero (XMR) for capital preservation in regions under heightened risk. The yield curve continues its aggressive steepening, and US equities are experiencing a tactical pullback as markets digest the convergence of maximum-intensity threats.

The Strait of Hormuz is the new epicenter. Monero is the new proxy. The Polycrisis is the new reality.

Asset Class Role Status
Gold Traditional Haven Testing $5,200
Monero (XMR) Privacy Hedge Capital flight proxy
Energy Kinetic Risk Play Strait of Hormuz premium
10Y Treasury Macro Anchor Steepening curve opportunity
US Equities Tactical Pullback Digesting geopolitical risks
Bitcoin (BTC) High-beta Risk Stabilization phase


DISCLAIMER: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The “Original Digest” is founded on institutional intelligence and historical tradecraft. All investments carry risk.

ยฉ 2026 Bernd Pulch Archive / Secure Mirror. Founded in 2000 Anno Domini.


Bernd Pulch (M.A.) is a forensic expert, founder of Aristotle AI, entrepreneur, political commentator, satirist, and investigative journalist covering lawfare, media control, investment, real estate, and geopolitics. His work examines how legal systems are weaponized, how capital flows shape policy, how artificial intelligence concentrates power, and what democracy loses when courts and markets become battlefields. Active in the German and international media landscape, his analyses appear regularly on this platform.

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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST FEBRUARY 8 2026โœŒINVESTMENT DAS ORIGINALย 8. FEBRUAR 2026 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINIโœŒ

The Silicon Vacuum
Date: February 8, 2026
Author: Joe Rogers
Source: Institutional Research Desk, Bernd Pulch Archive / Secure Mirror
Status: Confidential / Institutional Grade


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: THE SILICON VACUUM โ€“ DOW 50,000 AND THE TECH FRACTURE

The global financial architecture witnessed a symbolic yet profound realignment this week, captured by the phenomenon we define as The Silicon Vacuum. On February 6, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average shattered the psychological and structural ceiling of 50,000, closing at 50,115.67. This “Old Economy” resurgence stands in stark contrast to the capital erosion within the tech sectorโ€”the very core of The Silicon Vacuum. While blue chips celebrated, the tech-heavy Nasdaq struggled, haunted by aggressive spending narratives and the ongoing disruption of the SaaS model.

As we move into Sunday, February 8, the “Geopolitical Contagion” remains the primary tail risk. Tensions in the Greenland-Iran corridor continue to fuel the flight to “Hard Intelligence Assets,” with Gold nearing $5,000 and Bitcoin demonstrating institutional-grade resilience after a volatile week.


MARKET INTELLIGENCE: FRIDAY CLOSE (FEB 6, 2026)

Index Level Change (%) Intelligence Note
Dow Jones 50,115.67 +2.47% First-ever close above 50,000; Industrial surge.
S&P 500 6,124.80 +2.00% Approaching record highs; Broad-based participation.


THE SILICON VACUUM: 2026 INVESTMENT THESIS

The current market cycle is defined by The Silicon Vacuum. As capital flees the over-leveraged SaaS narrative, it is being pulled into two distinct poles:

  1. Industrial Sovereignty: Large-cap industrials and infrastructure plays (reflected in the Dow’s 50k run).
  2. Hard Assets & Intelligence: Gold and decentralized digital assets.

“The market is in a fragile equilibrium, held together by mega-cap concentration and algorithmic liquidity. The true alpha lies in identifying the point where capital flees the narrative for the reality of hard assets.” โ€” Institutional Intelligence Briefing


SECTOR HIGHLIGHTS & GEOPOLITICAL TAIL RISKS

Gold & Silver: Gold reached $4,968.56 on Friday, up nearly 4% in a single session. The “Flight to Safety” is no longer a temporary hedge but a structural shift. Conversely, Silver flash-crashed to $67.41, signaling massive liquidation in the industrial metals complexโ€”a precursor to shifting manufacturing forecasts.

Big Tech (The Amazon Fracture): Amazon’s 5.6% collapse on Friday serves as a warning shot. The “aggressive spending” narrative is being interpreted as a desperate attempt to maintain dominance in an AI-disrupted landscape.

Digital Assets: Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized around $69,300 as of this Sunday morning. Despite volatility, institutional accumulation remains steady in the $65kโ€“$70k range.


COMPLIANCE & LEGAL: THE LAWFARE WATCH

Our analysis continues to monitor the “State Capture” dynamics. The shielding of certain financial structures by institutional non-investigation remains a critical risk factor. Investors are advised to maintain a “Sovereign Position” in assets outside the reach of centralized “Lawfare” interventions.


THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY INTELLIGENCE MARKERS

  1. Inflation Data: Expect heightened volatility as “Tariff Relief” optimism meets supply chain friction.
  2. SaaS Disruption: Watch for further layoffs as AI automation hollows out mid-tier software providers.
  3. Geopolitical Flashpoints: Monitor the Greenland-Iran corridor; any escalation could push Gold past $5,000 permanently.

DISCLAIMER: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The “Original Digest” is founded on institutional intelligence and historical tradecraft. All investments carry risk.

ยฉ 2026 Bernd Pulch Archive / Secure Mirror. Founded in 2000 Anno Domini.

Das Silicon-Vakuum
Datum: 8. Februar 2026
Autor: Joe Rogers
Quelle: Institutional Research Desk, Bernd Pulch Archiv / Secure Mirror
Status: Vertraulich / Institutionelle Stufe


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: DAS SILICON-VAKUUM โ€“ DOW 50.000 UND DER TECH-BRUCH

Die globale Finanzarchitektur erlebte diese Woche eine symbolische und zugleich tiefgreifende Neuausrichtung, die durch das Phรคnomen definiert wird, das wir Das Silicon-Vakuum nennen. Am 6. Februar 2026 durchbrach der Dow Jones Industrial Average die psychologische und strukturelle Grenze von 50.000 Punkten und schloss bei 50.115,67. Dieser “Old Economy”-Aufschwung steht in krassem Gegensatz zu den Erschรผtterungen im Technologiesektor โ€“ dem Kern des Silicon-Vakuums. Wรคhrend der Blue-Chip-Index seinen historischen Meilenstein feierte, kรคmpfte der technologie-lastige Nasdaq damit, seinen Halt zu behalten, verfolgt von aggressiven Ausgaben-Narrativen und der fortschreitenden Disruption des SaaS-Modells.

An diesem Sonntag, dem 8. Februar, bleibt die “geopolitische Ansteckung” das primรคre Tail-Risk. Die Spannungen im Grรถnland-Iran-Korridor befeuern weiterhin die Flucht zu “Hard-Intelligence-Assets”, wobei Gold nahe der 5.000-Dollar-Marke schwebt und Bitcoin nach einer volatilen Woche institutionelle Resilienz zeigt.


MARKTINFORMATIONEN: FRIDAG-SCHLUSS (6. FEB. 2026)

Index Stand Verรคnderung (%) Hinweise
Dow Jones 50.115,67 +2,47% Erstmals รผber 50.000 geschlossen; Industrieschub.
S&P 500 6.124,80 +2,00% Nรคhert sich Rekordhochs; breite Beteiligung.


2026 INVESTITIONSTHESE: DAS SILICON-VAKUUM

Der aktuelle Marktzyklus wird durch das, was wir als Das Silicon-Vakuum bezeichnen, definiert. Wรคhrend Kapital die รผberhebliche SaaS-Narrative verlรคsst, wird es in zwei klar getrennte Pole gesogen:

  1. Industrielle Souverรคnitรคt: GroรŸkapitalisierte Industrie- und Infrastrukturwerte (gespiegelt im 50k-Lauf des Dow).
  2. Harte Vermรถgenswerte & Intelligence: Gold und dezentrale digitale Assets.

“Der Markt befindet sich in einem fragilen Gleichgewicht, zusammengehalten durch Mega-Cap-Konzentration und algorithmische Liquiditรคt. Das wahre Alpha liegt darin, den Punkt zu identifizieren, an dem Kapital die Narrative fรผr die Realitรคt harter Assets verlรคsst.” โ€” Institutional Intelligence Briefing


SEKTOREN-HIGHLIGHTS & GEOPOLITISCHE TAIL-RISKS

Gold & Silber: Gold erreichte am Freitag 4.968,56 $, ein Plus von fast 4 % in einer einzigen Sitzung. Die “Flucht in Sicherheit” ist kein temporรคrer Hedge mehr, sondern ein struktureller Wandel. Umgekehrt erlebte Silber einen dramatischen Flash-Crash auf 67,41 $, was auf eine massive Liquidierung im Industrie-Metallkomplex hindeutet โ€“ wahrscheinlich ein Vorlรคufer fรผr sich รคndernde Fertigungsprognosen.

Big Tech (Die Amazon-Bruchstelle): Der 5,6%ige Zusammenbruch von Amazon am Freitag dient als Warnschuss. Die “aggressive Ausgaben”-Narrative wird von institutioneller Intelligenz als verzweifelter Versuch interpretiert, die Dominanz in einer von KI gestรถrten Landschaft aufrechtzuerhalten.

Digitale Assets: Bitcoin (BTC) hat sich bis zu diesem Sonntagmorgen bei etwa 69.300 $ stabilisiert. Trotz der “Crypto Confidence”-Volatilitรคt bleibt die institutionelle Akkumulation im Bereich von 65.000โ€“70.000 $ stabil.


COMPLIANCE & RECHT: DER LAWFARE-WATCH

Unsere Analyse รผberwacht weiterhin die “State Capture”-Dynamiken. Die Abschirmung bestimmter Finanzstrukturen durch institutionelle Nicht-Ermittlungen bleibt ein kritischer Risikofaktor. Investoren wird geraten, eine “souverรคne Position” in Assets beizubehalten, die auรŸerhalb der unmittelbaren Reichweite zentralisierter “Lawfare”-Eingriffe liegen.


DIE VOR UNS LIEGENDE WOCHE: WICHTIGE INTELLIGENCE-MARKER

  1. Inflationsdaten: Erwarten Sie erhรถhte Volatilitรคt, wenn der “Tariff Relief”-Optimismus auf die Realitรคt der Lieferkettenreibung trifft.
  2. SaaS-Disruption: Achten Sie auf weitere Entlassungen im Technologiesektor, da KI-gesteuerte Automatisierung mittelstรคndische Softwareanbieter auszuhรถhlen beginnt.
  3. Geopolitische Brennpunkte: Beobachten Sie den Grรถnland-Iran-Korridor; jede Eskalation wird Gold wahrscheinlich dauerhaft รผber die 5.000-Dollar-Schwelle treiben.

HAFTUNGSAUSSCHLUSS: Dieser Bericht dient nur zu Informationszwecken und stellt keine Finanzberatung dar. Das “Original Digest” basiert auf institutioneller Intelligenz und historischem Tradecraft. Alle Investitionen bergen Risiken.

ยฉ 2026 Bernd Pulch Archiv / Secure Mirror. Gegrรผndet 2000 Anno Domini.

El Vacรญo de Silicio
Fecha: 8 de febrero de 2026
Autor: Joe Rogers
Fuente: Institutional Research Desk, Archivo Bernd Pulch / Secure Mirror
Estado: Confidencial / Grado Institucional


RESUMEN EJECUTIVO: EL VACรO DE SILICIO โ€“ DOW 50.000 Y LA FRACTURA TECNOLร“GICA

La arquitectura financiera global ha sido testigo de una realineaciรณn simbรณlica y profunda esta semana, definida por el fenรณmeno que denominamos El Vacรญo de Silicio. El 6 de febrero de 2026, el Dow Jones Industrial Average rompiรณ el techo psicolรณgico y estructural de 50.000 puntos, cerrando en 50.115,67. Este resurgimiento de la “Vieja Economรญa” contrasta marcadamente con los temblores en el sector tecnolรณgico, el nรบcleo de El Vacรญo de Silicio. Mientras el รญndice blue-chip celebraba su hito histรณrico, el Nasdaq, cargado de tecnologรญa, luchaba por mantener su posiciรณn, perseguido por narrativas de gasto agresivo y la continua disrupciรณn del modelo SaaS.

Al llegar al domingo 8 de febrero, el “contagio geopolรญtico” sigue siendo el principal riesgo de cola. Las tensiones en el corredor Groenlandia-Irรกn continรบan alimentando la huida hacia “activos duros de inteligencia”, con el oro rondando la marca de los 5.000 dรณlares y Bitcoin demostrando una resiliencia de grado institucional tras una semana volรกtil.


INFORMACIร“N DE MERCADO: CIERRE DEL VIERNES (6 DE FEB. 2026)

รndice Nivel Cambio (%) Nota de Inteligencia
Dow Jones 50.115,67 +2,47% Primer cierre por encima de 50.000; impulso industrial.
S&P 500 6.124,80 +2,00% Acercรกndose a mรกximos histรณricos; participaciรณn amplia.


TESIS DE INVERSIร“N 2026: EL VACรO DE SILICIO

El ciclo de mercado actual estรก definido por lo que llamamos El Vacรญo de Silicio. A medida que el capital huye de la narrativa SaaS sobreapalancada, estรก siendo absorbido por dos polos distintos:

  1. Soberanรญa Industrial: Valores industriales y de infraestructura de gran capitalizaciรณn (reflejado en la carrera del Dow hacia los 50k).
  2. Activos Duros e Inteligencia: Oro y activos digitales descentralizados.

“El mercado se encuentra en un equilibrio frรกgil, sostenido por la concentraciรณn de mega capitalizaciรณn y la liquidez algorรญtmica. El verdadero alfa radica en identificar el punto en el que el capital huye de la narrativa por la realidad de los activos duros.” โ€” Briefing de Inteligencia Institucional


DESTACADOS DEL SECTOR Y RIESGOS GEOPOLรTICOS

Oro y Plata: El oro alcanzรณ los 4.968,56 $ el viernes, con un aumento de casi el 4% en una sola sesiรณn. La “huida hacia la seguridad” ya no es una cobertura temporal, sino un cambio estructural. Por el contrario, la plata experimentรณ un flash-crash a 67,41 $, lo que indica una liquidaciรณn masiva en el complejo de metales industriales, probablemente un precursor de cambios en los pronรณsticos de fabricaciรณn.

Big Tech (La Fractura de Amazon): La caรญda del 5,6% de Amazon el viernes sirve como un disparo de advertencia. La narrativa de “gasto agresivo” estรก siendo interpretada por la inteligencia institucional como un intento desesperado de mantener el dominio en un panorama alterado por la IA.

Activos Digitales: Bitcoin (BTC) se ha estabilizado alrededor de 69.300 $ este domingo por la maรฑana. A pesar de la volatilidad de la “confianza cripto”, la acumulaciรณn institucional se mantiene estable en el rango de 65.000โ€“70.000 $.


CUMPLIMIENTO Y LEGAL: VIGILANCIA DE LA “GUERRA JURรDICA”

Nuestro anรกlisis continรบa monitoreando las dinรกmicas de “captura del estado”. La protecciรณn de ciertas estructuras financieras mediante la no investigaciรณn institucional sigue siendo un factor de riesgo crรญtico. Se recomienda a los inversores mantener una “posiciรณn soberana” en activos que se encuentren fuera del alcance inmediato de las intervenciones centralizadas de “guerra jurรญdica”.


LA PRร“XIMA SEMANA: INDICADORES CLAVE DE INTELIGENCIA

  1. Datos de inflaciรณn: Espere una mayor volatilidad a medida que el optimismo del “alivio arancelario” se enfrente a la realidad de la fricciรณn en las cadenas de suministro.
  2. Disrupciรณn del SaaS: Estรฉ atento a mรกs despidos en el sector tecnolรณgico a medida que la automatizaciรณn impulsada por IA comienza a vaciar a los proveedores de software de nivel medio.
  3. Puntos crรญticos geopolรญticos: Supervise el corredor Groenlandia-Irรกn; cualquier escalada probablemente empujarรก al oro por encima del umbral de 5.000 $ de manera permanente.

DESCARGO DE RESPONSABILIDAD: Este informe es solo para fines informativos y no constituye asesoramiento financiero. El “Original Digest” se basa en inteligencia institucional y oficio histรณrico. Todas las inversiones conllevan riesgos.

ยฉ 2026 Archivo Bernd Pulch / Secure Mirror. Fundado en el aรฑo 2000 Anno Domini.

Le Vide du Silicium
Date : 8 fรฉvrier 2026
Auteur : Joe Rogers
Source : Institutional Research Desk, Archives Bernd Pulch / Secure Mirror
Statut : Confidentiel / Niveau Institutionnel


Rร‰SUMร‰ EXร‰CUTIF : LE VIDE DU SILICIUM โ€“ DOW 50 000 ET LA FRACTURE TECHNOLOGIQUE

Lโ€™architecture financiรจre mondiale a connu un rรฉalignement symbolique mais profond cette semaine, dรฉfini par le phรฉnomรจne que nous appelons Le Vide du Silicium. Le 6 fรฉvrier 2026, le Dow Jones Industrial Average a franchi le plafond psychologique et structurel de 50 000 points, clรดturant ร  50 115,67. Cette rรฉsurgence de lโ€™ยซ ancienne รฉconomie ยป contraste fortement avec les secousses ressenties dans le secteur technologique, le cล“ur mรชme du Vide du Silicium. Alors que lโ€™indice blue-chip cรฉlรฉbrait son jalon historique, le Nasdaq, lourd en technologie, luttait pour maintenir sa position, hantรฉ par les rรฉcits de dรฉpenses agressives et la perturbation continue du modรจle SaaS.

En ce dimanche 8 fรฉvrier, le ยซ contagion gรฉopolitique ยป demeure le principal risque de queue. Les tensions dans le corridor Groenlande-Iran continuent dโ€™alimenter la fuite vers les ยซ actifs durs dโ€™intelligence ยป, lโ€™or flirtant avec la barre des 5 000 dollars et le Bitcoin dรฉmontrant une rรฉsilience de niveau institutionnel aprรจs une semaine volatile.


INTELLIGENCE DE MARCHร‰ : CLร”TURE DU VENDREDI (6 Fร‰V. 2026)

Indice Niveau Variation (%) Note dโ€™Intelligence
Dow Jones 50 115,67 +2,47 % Premiรจre clรดture au-dessus de 50 000 ; poussรฉe industrielle.
S&P 500 6 124,80 +2,00 % Approche des records ; participation large.


THรˆSE Dโ€™INVESTISSEMENT 2026 : LE VIDE DU SILICIUM

Le cycle de marchรฉ actuel est dรฉfini par ce que nous appelons Le Vide du Silicium. Alors que le capital fuit le rรฉcit SaaS sur-leveragรฉ, il est aspirรฉ vers deux pรดles distincts :

  1. Souverainetรฉ Industrielle : Valeurs industrielles et dโ€™infrastructure de grande capitalisation (reflรฉtรฉes dans la course du Dow vers 50k).
  2. Actifs Durs et Intelligence : Or et actifs numรฉriques dรฉcentralisรฉs.

ยซ Le marchรฉ est dans un รฉquilibre fragile, maintenu par la concentration des mega-caps et la liquiditรฉ algorithmique. Le vรฉritable alpha rรฉside dans lโ€™identification du point oรน le capital fuit le rรฉcit pour la rรฉalitรฉ des actifs durs. ยป โ€” Briefing dโ€™Intelligence Institutionnelle


FAITS MARQUANTS PAR SECTEUR ET RISQUES Gร‰OPOLITIQUES

Or et Argent : Lโ€™or a atteint 4 968,56 $ vendredi, en hausse de prรจs de 4 % en une seule sรฉance. La ยซ fuite vers la sรฉcuritรฉ ยป nโ€™est plus une couverture temporaire mais un changement structurel. ร€ lโ€™inverse, lโ€™argent a subi un flash-crash ร  67,41 $, indiquant une liquidation massive dans le complexe des mรฉtaux industriels โ€“ probablement un prรฉcurseur de changements dans les prรฉvisions de fabrication.

Big Tech (La Fracture Amazon) : Lโ€™effondrement de 5,6 % dโ€™Amazon vendredi sert dโ€™avertissement. Le rรฉcit de ยซ dรฉpenses agressives ยป est interprรฉtรฉ par lโ€™intelligence institutionnelle comme une tentative dรฉsespรฉrรฉe de maintenir la dominance dans un paysage perturbรฉ par lโ€™IA.

Actifs Numรฉriques : Le Bitcoin (BTC) sโ€™est stabilisรฉ autour de 69 300 $ ce dimanche matin. Malgrรฉ la volatilitรฉ de la ยซ confiance crypto ยป, lโ€™accumulation institutionnelle reste stable dans la fourchette de 65 000 โ€“ 70 000 $.


CONFORMITร‰ ET JURIDIQUE : SURVEILLANCE DU ยซ LAWFARE ยป

Notre analyse continue de surveiller les dynamiques de ยซ capture de lโ€™ร‰tat ยป. La protection de certaines structures financiรจres par la non-enquรชte institutionnelle reste un facteur de risque critique. Il est conseillรฉ aux investisseurs de maintenir une ยซ position souveraine ยป dans des actifs situรฉs hors de portรฉe immรฉdiate des interventions centralisรฉes de ยซ lawfare ยป.


LA SEMAINE ร€ VENIR : INDICATEURS CLร‰S Dโ€™INTELLIGENCE

  1. Donnรฉes dโ€™inflation : Prรฉvoyez une volatilitรฉ accrue alors que lโ€™optimisme du ยซ soulagement tarifaire ยป rencontre la rรฉalitรฉ des frictions dans les chaรฎnes dโ€™approvisionnement.
  2. Perturbation du SaaS : Surveillez les licenciements supplรฉmentaires dans le secteur technologique alors que lโ€™automatisation pilotรฉe par lโ€™IA commence ร  vider les fournisseurs de logiciels de niveau intermรฉdiaire.
  3. Points chauds gรฉopolitiques : Surveillez le corridor Groenlande-Iran ; toute escalade poussera probablement lโ€™or au-delร  du seuil de 5 000 $ de maniรจre permanente.

AVIS DE NON-RESPONSABILITร‰ : Ce rapport est ร  titre informatif uniquement et ne constitue pas un conseil financier. Le ยซ Original Digest ยป est fondรฉ sur lโ€™intelligence institutionnelle et le savoir-faire historique. Tous les investissements comportent des risques.

ยฉ 2026 Archives Bernd Pulch / Secure Mirror. Fondรฉ en lโ€™an 2000 Anno Domini.

Il Vuoto di Silicio
Data: 8 febbraio 2026
Autore: Joe Rogers
Fonte: Institutional Research Desk, Archivio Bernd Pulch / Secure Mirror
Stato: Riservato / Grado Istituzionale


RIEPILOGO ESECUTIVO: IL VUOTO DI SILICIO โ€“ DOW 50.000 E LA FRATTURA TECNOLOGICA

Lโ€™architettura finanziaria globale ha assistito a un riallineamento simbolico ma profondo questa settimana, definito dal fenomeno che chiamiamo Il Vuoto di Silicio. Il 6 febbraio 2026, il Dow Jones Industrial Average ha infranto il soffitto psicologico e strutturale di 50.000 punti, chiudendo a 50.115,67. Questa rinascita della โ€œVecchia Economiaโ€ contrasta nettamente con i tremori avvertiti nel settore tecnologico, il cuore del Vuoto di Silicio. Mentre lโ€™indice blue-chip celebrava la sua pietra miliare storica, il Nasdaq, ricco di tecnologia, faticava a mantenere la posizione, perseguitato da narrative di spesa aggressiva e dallโ€™incessante perturbazione del modello SaaS.

Mentre ci avviamo verso domenica 8 febbraio, il โ€œcontagio geopoliticoโ€ rimane il principale rischio di coda. Le tensioni nel corridoio Groenlandia-Iran continuano a alimentare la fuga verso โ€œAttivitร  Solide di Intelligenzaโ€, con lโ€™oro che si aggira intorno al segno dei 5.000 dollari e Bitcoin che dimostra una resilienza di grado istituzionale dopo una settimana volatile.


INTELLIGENCE DI MERCATO: CHIUSURA DI VENERDรŒ (6 FEB. 2026)

Indice Livello Variazione (%) Nota di Intelligence
Dow Jones 50.115,67 +2,47% Prima chiusura sopra i 50.000; slancio industriale.
S&P 500 6.124,80 +2,00% In avvicinamento ai massimi storici; ampia partecipazione.


TESI DI INVESTIMENTO 2026: IL VUOTO DI SILICIO

Lโ€™attuale ciclo di mercato รจ definito da ciรฒ che chiamiamo Il Vuoto di Silicio. Mentre il capitale fugge dalla narrativa SaaS sovralleverata, viene risucchiato in due poli distinti:

  1. Sovranitร  Industriale: Titoli industriali e infrastrutturali a grande capitalizzazione (riflessi nella corsa a 50k del Dow).
  2. Attivitร  Solide e Intelligence: Oro e attivitร  digitali decentralizzate.

โ€œIl mercato รจ in un fragile equilibrio, tenuto insieme dalla concentrazione delle mega-cap e dalla liquiditร  algoritmica. Il vero alfa risiede nell’identificare il punto in cui il capitale fugge dalla narrativa per la realtร  delle attivitร  solide.โ€ โ€” Briefing di Intelligence Istituzionale


EVENTI PRINCIPALI PER SETTORE E RISCHI GEOPOLITICI

Oro e Argento: Lโ€™oro ha raggiunto i 4.968,56 $ venerdรฌ, con un aumento di quasi il 4% in una singola sessione. La โ€œfuga verso la sicurezzaโ€ non รจ piรน una copertura temporanea, ma un cambiamento strutturale. Al contrario, lโ€™argento ha subito un flash-crash a 67,41 $, indicando una massiccia liquidazione nel complesso dei metalli industriali โ€“ probabilmente un precursore di cambiamenti nelle previsioni di produzione.

Big Tech (La Frattura Amazon): Il crollo del 5,6% di Amazon venerdรฌ serve da avvertimento. La narrativa di โ€œspesa aggressivaโ€ viene interpretata dallโ€™intelligence istituzionale come un disperato tentativo di mantenere il predominio in un panorama sconvolto dallโ€™IA.

Attivitร  Digitali: Il Bitcoin (BTC) si รจ stabilizzato intorno a 69.300 $ questa domenica mattina. Nonostante la volatilitร  della โ€œfiducia criptoโ€, lโ€™accumulo istituzionale rimane stabile nellโ€™intervallo di 65.000โ€“70.000 $.


CONFORMITร€ E LEGALE: IL MONITORAGGIO DELLA โ€œLAWFAREโ€

La nostra analisi continua a monitorare le dinamiche di โ€œCattura dello Statoโ€. La protezione di alcune strutture finanziarie attraverso la non-investigazione istituzionale rimane un fattore di rischio critico. Si consiglia agli investitori di mantenere una โ€œPosizione Sovranaโ€ in attivitร  che risiedono al di fuori della portata immediata degli interventi centralizzati di โ€œLawfareโ€.


LA SETTIMANA A VENIRE: INDICATORI CHIAVE DI INTELLIGENCE

  1. Dati sullโ€™Inflazione: Attendetevi una maggiore volatilitร  man mano che lโ€™ottimismo del โ€œSollievo Tariffarioโ€ incontra la realtร  dellโ€™attrito nella catena di approvvigionamento.
  2. Perturbazione del SaaS: Fate attenzione a ulteriori licenziamenti nel settore tecnologico man mano che lโ€™automazione guidata dallโ€™IA inizia a svuotare i fornitori di software di medio livello.
  3. Punti Critici Geopolitici: Monitorate il corridoio Groenlandia-Iran; qualsiasi escalation probabilmente spingerร  lโ€™oro oltre la soglia dei 5.000 $ in modo permanente.

DICHIARAZIONE DI NON RESPONSABILITร€: Questo rapporto รจ solo a scopo informativo e non costituisce consulenza finanziaria. Lโ€™โ€œOriginal Digestโ€ รจ fondato sullโ€™intelligence istituzionale e sullโ€™esperienza storica. Tutti gli investimenti comportano rischi.

ยฉ 2026 Archivio Bernd Pulch / Secure Mirror. Fondato nel 2000 Anno Domini.

ะšั€ะตะผะฝะธะตะฒั‹ะน ะ’ะฐะบัƒัƒะผ
ะ”ะฐั‚ะฐ: 8 ั„ะตะฒั€ะฐะปั 2026 ะณะพะดะฐ
ะะฒั‚ะพั€: ะ”ะถะพ ะ ะพะดะถะตั€ั
ะ˜ัั‚ะพั‡ะฝะธะบ: Institutional Research Desk, ะั€ั…ะธะฒ ะ‘ะตั€ะฝะดะฐ ะŸัƒะปัŒั…ะฐ / Secure Mirror
ะกั‚ะฐั‚ัƒั: ะšะพะฝั„ะธะดะตะฝั†ะธะฐะปัŒะฝะพ / ะ˜ะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝั‹ะน ัƒั€ะพะฒะตะฝัŒ


ะ˜ะกะŸะžะ›ะะ˜ะขะ•ะ›ะฌะะžะ• ะ ะ•ะ—ะฎะœะ•: ะšะ ะ•ะœะะ˜ะ•ะ’ะซะ™ ะ’ะะšะฃะฃะœ โ€“ DOW 50 000 ะ˜ ะขะ•ะฅะะžะ›ะžะ“ะ˜ะงะ•ะกะšะ˜ะ™ ะ ะะ—ะ›ะžะœ

ะ“ะปะพะฑะฐะปัŒะฝะฐั ั„ะธะฝะฐะฝัะพะฒะฐั ะฐั€ั…ะธั‚ะตะบั‚ัƒั€ะฐ ะฝะฐ ัั‚ะพะน ะฝะตะดะตะปะต ัั‚ะฐะปะฐ ัะฒะธะดะตั‚ะตะปะตะผ ัะธะผะฒะพะปะธั‡ะฝะพะณะพ, ะฝะพ ะณะปัƒะฑะพะบะพะณะพ ะฟะตั€ะตั€ะฐัะฟั€ะตะดะตะปะตะฝะธั, ะพะฟั€ะตะดะตะปัะตะผะพะณะพ ั„ะตะฝะพะผะตะฝะพะผ, ะบะพั‚ะพั€ั‹ะน ะผั‹ ะฝะฐะทั‹ะฒะฐะตะผ ะšั€ะตะผะฝะธะตะฒั‹ะน ะ’ะฐะบัƒัƒะผ. 6 ั„ะตะฒั€ะฐะปั 2026 ะณะพะดะฐ ะฟั€ะพะผั‹ัˆะปะตะฝะฝั‹ะน ะธะฝะดะตะบั ะ”ะพัƒ-ะ”ะถะพะฝัะฐ ะฟั€ะพะฑะธะป ะฟัะธั…ะพะปะพะณะธั‡ะตัะบะธะน ะธ ัั‚ั€ัƒะบั‚ัƒั€ะฝั‹ะน ะฟะพั‚ะพะปะพะบ ะฒ 50 000 ะฟัƒะฝะบั‚ะพะฒ, ะทะฐะบั€ั‹ะฒัˆะธััŒ ะฝะฐ ะพั‚ะผะตั‚ะบะต 50 115,67. ะญั‚ะพั‚ ะฟะพะดัŠะตะผ ยซัั‚ะฐั€ะพะน ัะบะพะฝะพะผะธะบะธยป ั€ะตะทะบะพ ะบะพะฝั‚ั€ะฐัั‚ะธั€ัƒะตั‚ ั ัะพั‚ั€ััะตะฝะธัะผะธ ะฒ ั‚ะตั…ะฝะพะปะพะณะธั‡ะตัะบะพะผ ัะตะบั‚ะพั€ะต โ€” ัะดั€ะต ะšั€ะตะผะฝะธะตะฒะพะณะพ ะ’ะฐะบัƒัƒะผะฐ. ะ’ ั‚ะพ ะฒั€ะตะผั ะบะฐะบ ะธะฝะดะตะบั ะณะพะปัƒะฑั‹ั… ั„ะธัˆะตะบ ะฟั€ะฐะทะดะฝะพะฒะฐะป ัะฒะพะน ะธัั‚ะพั€ะธั‡ะตัะบะธะน ั€ัƒะฑะตะถ, ั‚ะตั…ะฝะพะปะพะณะธั‡ะตัะบะธ ะฝะฐัั‹ั‰ะตะฝะฝั‹ะน Nasdaq ะธะทะพ ะฒัะตั… ัะธะป ะฟั‹ั‚ะฐะปัั ัƒะดะตั€ะถะฐั‚ัŒัั, ะฟั€ะตัะปะตะดัƒะตะผั‹ะน ะฐะณั€ะตััะธะฒะฝั‹ะผะธ ะฝะฐั€ั€ะฐั‚ะธะฒะฐะผะธ ั€ะฐัั…ะพะดะพะฒ ะธ ะฟั€ะพะดะพะปะถะฐัŽั‰ะธะผัั ั€ะฐะทั€ัƒัˆะตะฝะธะตะผ ะผะพะดะตะปะธ SaaS.

ะะฐัั‚ัƒะฟะฐั ะฝะฐ ะฒะพัะบั€ะตัะตะฝัŒะต, 8 ั„ะตะฒั€ะฐะปั, ยซะณะตะพะฟะพะปะธั‚ะธั‡ะตัะบะฐั ะบะพะฝั‚ะฐะผะธะฝะฐั†ะธัยป ะพัั‚ะฐะตั‚ัั ะพัะฝะพะฒะฝั‹ะผ ั€ะธัะบะพะผ ั…ะฒะพัั‚ะฐ. ะะฐะฟั€ัะถะตะฝะฝะพัั‚ัŒ ะฒ ะบะพั€ะธะดะพั€ะต ะ“ั€ะตะฝะปะฐะฝะดะธัโ€“ะ˜ั€ะฐะฝ ะฟั€ะพะดะพะปะถะฐะตั‚ ะฟะพะดะฟะธั‚ั‹ะฒะฐั‚ัŒ ะฑะตะณัั‚ะฒะพ ะฒ ยซั‚ะฒะตั€ะดั‹ะต ะฐะบั‚ะธะฒั‹ ะธะฝั‚ะตะปะปะตะบั‚ะฐยป, ะฟั€ะธ ัั‚ะพะผ ะทะพะปะพั‚ะพ ะบะพะปะตะฑะปะตั‚ัั ะพะบะพะปะพ ะพั‚ะผะตั‚ะบะธ ะฒ 5 000 ะดะพะปะปะฐั€ะพะฒ, ะฐ Bitcoin ะดะตะผะพะฝัั‚ั€ะธั€ัƒะตั‚ ัƒัั‚ะพะนั‡ะธะฒะพัั‚ัŒ ะธะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝะพะณะพ ัƒั€ะพะฒะฝั ะฟะพัะปะต ะฒะพะปะฐั‚ะธะปัŒะฝะพะน ะฝะตะดะตะปะธ.


ะ˜ะะขะ•ะ›ะ›ะ•ะšะข ะ ะซะะšะ: ะ—ะะšะ ะซะขะ˜ะ• ะŸะฏะขะะ˜ะฆะซ (6 ะคะ•ะ’. 2026)

ะ˜ะฝะดะตะบั ะฃั€ะพะฒะตะฝัŒ ะ˜ะทะผะตะฝะตะฝะธะต (%) ะ˜ะฝั‚ะตะปะปะตะบั‚ัƒะฐะปัŒะฝะฐั ะทะฐะผะตั‚ะบะฐ
Dow Jones 50 115,67 +2,47% ะŸะตั€ะฒะพะต ะทะฐะบั€ั‹ั‚ะธะต ะฒั‹ัˆะต 50 000; ะฟั€ะพะผั‹ัˆะปะตะฝะฝั‹ะน ะฟะพะดัŠะตะผ.
S&P 500 6 124,80 +2,00% ะŸั€ะธะฑะปะธะถะตะฝะธะต ะบ ั€ะตะบะพั€ะดะฝั‹ะผ ะผะฐะบัะธะผัƒะผะฐะผ; ัˆะธั€ะพะบะพะต ัƒั‡ะฐัั‚ะธะต.


ะ˜ะะ’ะ•ะกะขะ˜ะฆะ˜ะžะะะซะ™ ะขะ•ะ—ะ˜ะก 2026: ะšะ ะ•ะœะะ˜ะ•ะ’ะซะ™ ะ’ะะšะฃะฃะœ

ะขะตะบัƒั‰ะธะน ั€ั‹ะฝะพั‡ะฝั‹ะน ั†ะธะบะป ะพะฟั€ะตะดะตะปัะตั‚ัั ั‚ะตะผ, ั‡ั‚ะพ ะผั‹ ะฝะฐะทั‹ะฒะฐะตะผ ะšั€ะตะผะฝะธะตะฒั‹ะผ ะ’ะฐะบัƒัƒะผะพะผ. ะŸะพ ะผะตั€ะต ั‚ะพะณะพ ะบะฐะบ ะบะฐะฟะธั‚ะฐะป ะฑะตะถะธั‚ ะพั‚ ะฟะตั€ะตะบั€ะตะดะธั‚ะพะฒะฐะฝะฝะพะน ะฝะฐั€ั€ะฐั‚ะธะฒั‹ SaaS, ะพะฝ ะฒัะฐัั‹ะฒะฐะตั‚ัั ะฒ ะดะฒะฐ ั€ะฐะทะปะธั‡ะฝั‹ั… ะฟะพะปัŽัะฐ:

  1. ะŸั€ะพะผั‹ัˆะปะตะฝะฝั‹ะน ะกัƒะฒะตั€ะตะฝะธั‚ะตั‚: ะŸั€ะพะผั‹ัˆะปะตะฝะฝั‹ะต ะธ ะธะฝั„ั€ะฐัั‚ั€ัƒะบั‚ัƒั€ะฝั‹ะต ะฐะบั‚ะธะฒั‹ ั ะฑะพะปัŒัˆะพะน ะบะฐะฟะธั‚ะฐะปะธะทะฐั†ะธะตะน (ะพั‚ั€ะฐะถะตะฝะฝั‹ะต ะฒ ะทะฐะฑะตะณะต ะ”ะพัƒ ะดะพ 50 000).
  2. ะขะฒะตั€ะดั‹ะต ะะบั‚ะธะฒั‹ ะธ ะ˜ะฝั‚ะตะปะปะตะบั‚: ะ—ะพะปะพั‚ะพ ะธ ะดะตั†ะตะฝั‚ั€ะฐะปะธะทะพะฒะฐะฝะฝั‹ะต ั†ะธั„ั€ะพะฒั‹ะต ะฐะบั‚ะธะฒั‹.

ยซะ ั‹ะฝะพะบ ะฝะฐั…ะพะดะธั‚ัั ะฒ ั…ั€ัƒะฟะบะพะผ ั€ะฐะฒะฝะพะฒะตัะธะธ, ัƒะดะตั€ะถะธะฒะฐะตะผะพะผ ะบะพะฝั†ะตะฝั‚ั€ะฐั†ะธะตะน ะผะตะณะฐะบะฐะฟะธั‚ะฐะปะธะทะฐั†ะธะธ ะธ ะฐะปะณะพั€ะธั‚ะผะธั‡ะตัะบะพะน ะปะธะบะฒะธะดะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ. ะ˜ัั‚ะธะฝะฝั‹ะน ะฐะปัŒั„ะฐ ะทะฐะบะปัŽั‡ะฐะตั‚ัั ะฒ ะพะฟั€ะตะดะตะปะตะฝะธะธ ั‚ะพั‡ะบะธ, ะณะดะต ะบะฐะฟะธั‚ะฐะป ะฑะตะถะธั‚ ะพั‚ ะฝะฐั€ั€ะฐั‚ะธะฒะฐ ะบ ั€ะตะฐะปัŒะฝะพัั‚ะธ ั‚ะฒะตั€ะดั‹ั… ะฐะบั‚ะธะฒะพะฒยป. โ€” ะ‘ั€ะธั„ะธะฝะณ ะธะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝะพะณะพ ะธะฝั‚ะตะปะปะตะบั‚ะฐ


ะžะกะะžะ’ะะซะ• ะกะžะ‘ะซะขะ˜ะฏ ะŸะž ะกะ•ะšะขะžะ ะะœ ะ˜ ะ“ะ•ะžะŸะžะ›ะ˜ะขะ˜ะงะ•ะกะšะ˜ะ• ะ ะ˜ะกะšะ˜

ะ—ะพะปะพั‚ะพ ะธ ะกะตั€ะตะฑั€ะพ: ะ—ะพะปะพั‚ะพ ะดะพัั‚ะธะณะปะพ 4 968,56 ะดะพะปะปะฐั€ะพะฒ ะฒ ะฟัั‚ะฝะธั†ัƒ, ะฟะพะดะฝัะฒัˆะธััŒ ะฟะพั‡ั‚ะธ ะฝะฐ 4% ะทะฐ ะพะดะฝัƒ ัะตััะธัŽ. ยซะ‘ะตะณัั‚ะฒะพ ะฒ ะฑะตะทะพะฟะฐัะฝะพัั‚ัŒยป ะฑะพะปัŒัˆะต ะฝะต ัะฒะปัะตั‚ัั ะฒั€ะตะผะตะฝะฝั‹ะผ ั…ะตะดะถะธั€ะพะฒะฐะฝะธะตะผ, ะฐ ะฟั€ะตะดัั‚ะฐะฒะปัะตั‚ ัะพะฑะพะน ัั‚ั€ัƒะบั‚ัƒั€ะฝั‹ะน ัะดะฒะธะณ. ะ’ ะฟั€ะพั‚ะธะฒะพะฟะพะปะพะถะฝะพัั‚ัŒ ัั‚ะพะผัƒ, ัะตั€ะตะฑั€ะพ ะธัะฟั‹ั‚ะฐะปะพ ั€ะตะทะบะธะน ั„ะปััˆ-ะบั€ััˆ ะดะพ 67,41 ะดะพะปะปะฐั€ะฐ, ัƒะบะฐะทั‹ะฒะฐัŽั‰ะธะน ะฝะฐ ะผะฐััะพะฒัƒัŽ ะปะธะบะฒะธะดะฐั†ะธัŽ ะฒ ะบะพะผะฟะปะตะบัะต ะฟั€ะพะผั‹ัˆะปะตะฝะฝั‹ั… ะผะตั‚ะฐะปะปะพะฒ โ€” ะฒะตั€ะพัั‚ะฝะพ, ะฟั€ะตะดะฒะตัั‚ะฝะธะบ ะธะทะผะตะฝะตะฝะธะน ะฒ ะฟั€ะพะธะทะฒะพะดัั‚ะฒะตะฝะฝั‹ั… ะฟั€ะพะณะฝะพะทะฐั….

ะ‘ะพะปัŒัˆะธะต ะขะตั…ะฝะพะปะพะณะธะธ (ะ ะฐะทะปะพะผ Amazon): ะŸะฐะดะตะฝะธะต Amazon ะฝะฐ 5,6% ะฒ ะฟัั‚ะฝะธั†ัƒ ัะปัƒะถะธั‚ ะฟั€ะตะดัƒะฟั€ะตะดะธั‚ะตะปัŒะฝั‹ะผ ะฒั‹ัั‚ั€ะตะปะพะผ. ะะฐั€ั€ะฐั‚ะธะฒ ยซะฐะณั€ะตััะธะฒะฝั‹ั… ั€ะฐัั…ะพะดะพะฒยป ะธะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝั‹ะน ะธะฝั‚ะตะปะปะตะบั‚ ะธะฝั‚ะตั€ะฟั€ะตั‚ะธั€ัƒะตั‚ ะบะฐะบ ะพั‚ั‡ะฐัะฝะฝัƒัŽ ะฟะพะฟั‹ั‚ะบัƒ ัะพั…ั€ะฐะฝะธั‚ัŒ ะดะพะผะธะฝะธั€ะพะฒะฐะฝะธะต ะฒ ะปะฐะฝะดัˆะฐั„ั‚ะต, ะฝะฐั€ัƒัˆะตะฝะฝะพะผ ะ˜ะ˜.

ะฆะธั„ั€ะพะฒั‹ะต ะะบั‚ะธะฒั‹: Bitcoin (BTC) ัั‚ะฐะฑะธะปะธะทะธั€ะพะฒะฐะปัั ะพะบะพะปะพ 69 300 ะดะพะปะปะฐั€ะพะฒ ะบ ัั‚ะพะผัƒ ะฒะพัะบั€ะตัะฝะพะผัƒ ัƒั‚ั€ัƒ. ะะตัะผะพั‚ั€ั ะฝะฐ ะฒะพะปะฐั‚ะธะปัŒะฝะพัั‚ัŒ ยซะบั€ะธะฟั‚ะพ-ัƒะฒะตั€ะตะฝะฝะพัั‚ะธยป, ะธะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝะพะต ะฝะฐะบะพะฟะปะตะฝะธะต ะพัั‚ะฐะตั‚ัั ัั‚ะฐะฑะธะปัŒะฝั‹ะผ ะฒ ะดะธะฐะฟะฐะทะพะฝะต 65 000โ€“70 000 ะดะพะปะปะฐั€ะพะฒ.


ะกะžะžะขะ’ะ•ะขะกะขะ’ะ˜ะ• ะ˜ ะฎะ ะ˜ะ”ะ˜ะงะ•ะกะšะ˜ะ• ะ’ะžะŸะ ะžะกะซ: ะะะ‘ะ›ะฎะ”ะ•ะะ˜ะ• ะ—ะ ยซะ—ะะšะžะะะžะ™ ะ’ะžะ™ะะžะ™ยป

ะะฐัˆ ะฐะฝะฐะปะธะท ะฟั€ะพะดะพะปะถะฐะตั‚ ะพั‚ัะปะตะถะธะฒะฐั‚ัŒ ะดะธะฝะฐะผะธะบัƒ ยซะทะฐั…ะฒะฐั‚ะฐ ะณะพััƒะดะฐั€ัั‚ะฒะฐยป. ะ—ะฐั‰ะธั‚ะฐ ะพะฟั€ะตะดะตะปะตะฝะฝั‹ั… ั„ะธะฝะฐะฝัะพะฒั‹ั… ัั‚ั€ัƒะบั‚ัƒั€ ะฟะพัั€ะตะดัั‚ะฒะพะผ ะธะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝะพะณะพ ะฝะตั€ะฐััะปะตะดะพะฒะฐะฝะธั ะพัั‚ะฐะตั‚ัั ะบั€ะธั‚ะธั‡ะตัะบะธะผ ั„ะฐะบั‚ะพั€ะพะผ ั€ะธัะบะฐ. ะ˜ะฝะฒะตัั‚ะพั€ะฐะผ ั€ะตะบะพะผะตะฝะดัƒะตั‚ัั ัะพั…ั€ะฐะฝัั‚ัŒ ยซััƒะฒะตั€ะตะฝะฝัƒัŽ ะฟะพะทะธั†ะธัŽยป ะฒ ะฐะบั‚ะธะฒะฐั…, ะฝะฐั…ะพะดัั‰ะธั…ัั ะฒะฝะต ะฝะตะฟะพัั€ะตะดัั‚ะฒะตะฝะฝะพะน ะดะพััะณะฐะตะผะพัั‚ะธ ั†ะตะฝั‚ั€ะฐะปะธะทะพะฒะฐะฝะฝั‹ั… ะฒะผะตัˆะฐั‚ะตะปัŒัั‚ะฒ ยซะทะฐะบะพะฝะฝะพะน ะฒะพะนะฝั‹ยป.


ะŸะ ะ•ะ”ะกะขะžะฏะฉะะฏ ะะ•ะ”ะ•ะ›ะฏ: ะšะ›ะฎะงะ•ะ’ะซะ• ะœะะ ะšะ•ะ ะซ ะ˜ะะขะ•ะ›ะ›ะ•ะšะขะ

  1. ะ”ะฐะฝะฝั‹ะต ะฟะพ ะ˜ะฝั„ะปัั†ะธะธ: ะžะถะธะดะฐะนั‚ะต ะฟะพะฒั‹ัˆะตะฝะฝะพะน ะฒะพะปะฐั‚ะธะปัŒะฝะพัั‚ะธ, ะฟะพัะบะพะปัŒะบัƒ ะพะฟั‚ะธะผะธะทะผ ยซั‚ะฐั€ะธั„ะฝะพะณะพ ะพะฑะปะตะณั‡ะตะฝะธัยป ัั‚ะฐะปะบะธะฒะฐะตั‚ัั ั ั€ะตะฐะปัŒะฝะพัั‚ัŒัŽ ั‚ั€ะตะฝะธะน ะฒ ั†ะตะฟะพั‡ะบะต ะฟะพัั‚ะฐะฒะพะบ.
  2. ะะฐั€ัƒัˆะตะฝะธั SaaS: ะกะปะตะดะธั‚ะต ะทะฐ ะดะฐะปัŒะฝะตะนัˆะธะผะธ ัƒะฒะพะปัŒะฝะตะฝะธัะผะธ ะฒ ั‚ะตั…ะฝะพะปะพะณะธั‡ะตัะบะพะผ ัะตะบั‚ะพั€ะต, ะฟะพัะบะพะปัŒะบัƒ ะฐะฒั‚ะพะผะฐั‚ะธะทะฐั†ะธั ะฝะฐ ะพัะฝะพะฒะต ะ˜ะ˜ ะฝะฐั‡ะธะฝะฐะตั‚ ะพะฟัƒัั‚ะพัˆะฐั‚ัŒ ะฟะพัั‚ะฐะฒั‰ะธะบะพะฒ ะฟั€ะพะณั€ะฐะผะผะฝะพะณะพ ะพะฑะตัะฟะตั‡ะตะฝะธั ัั€ะตะดะฝะตะณะพ ัƒั€ะพะฒะฝั.
  3. ะ“ะตะพะฟะพะปะธั‚ะธั‡ะตัะบะธะต ะขะพั‡ะบะธ ะะฐะฟั€ัะถะตะฝะธั: ะะฐะฑะปัŽะดะฐะนั‚ะต ะทะฐ ะบะพั€ะธะดะพั€ะพะผ ะ“ั€ะตะฝะปะฐะฝะดะธัโ€“ะ˜ั€ะฐะฝ; ะปัŽะฑะฐั ััะบะฐะปะฐั†ะธั, ะฒะตั€ะพัั‚ะฝะพ, ะฝะฐะฒัะตะณะดะฐ ะฟะพะดั‚ะพะปะบะฝะตั‚ ะทะพะปะพั‚ะพ ะทะฐ ะฟะพั€ะพะณ ะฒ 5 000 ะดะพะปะปะฐั€ะพะฒ.

ะžะขะšะะ— ะžะข ะžะขะ’ะ•ะขะกะขะ’ะ•ะะะžะกะขะ˜: ะญั‚ะพั‚ ะพั‚ั‡ะตั‚ ะฟั€ะตะดะฝะฐะทะฝะฐั‡ะตะฝ ั‚ะพะปัŒะบะพ ะดะปั ะธะฝั„ะพั€ะผะฐั†ะธะพะฝะฝั‹ั… ั†ะตะปะตะน ะธ ะฝะต ัะฒะปัะตั‚ัั ั„ะธะฝะฐะฝัะพะฒะพะน ะบะพะฝััƒะปัŒั‚ะฐั†ะธะตะน. ยซะžั€ะธะณะธะฝะฐะปัŒะฝั‹ะน ะดะฐะนะดะถะตัั‚ยป ะพัะฝะพะฒะฐะฝ ะฝะฐ ะธะฝัั‚ะธั‚ัƒั†ะธะพะฝะฐะปัŒะฝะพะผ ะธะฝั‚ะตะปะปะตะบั‚ะต ะธ ะธัั‚ะพั€ะธั‡ะตัะบะพะผ ั‚ะพั€ะณะพะฒะพะผ ะผะฐัั‚ะตั€ัั‚ะฒะต. ะ’ัะต ะธะฝะฒะตัั‚ะธั†ะธะธ ัะพะฟั€ัะถะตะฝั‹ ั ั€ะธัะบะฐะผะธ.

ยฉ 2026 ะั€ั…ะธะฒ ะ‘ะตั€ะฝะดะฐ ะŸัƒะปัŒั…ะฐ / Secure Mirror. ะžัะฝะพะฒะฐะฝะพ ะฒ 2000 ะณะพะดัƒ ะพั‚ ะ ะพะถะดะตัั‚ะฒะฐ ะฅั€ะธัั‚ะพะฒะฐ.

็ก…็œŸ็ฉบ
ๆ—ฅๆœŸ๏ผš 2026ๅนด2ๆœˆ8ๆ—ฅ
ไฝœ่€…๏ผš ไน”ยท็ฝ—ๆฐๆ–ฏ
ๆฅๆบ๏ผš ๆœบๆž„็ ”็ฉถ้ƒจ๏ผŒไผฏๆฉๅพทยทๆ™ฎๅฐ”่ตซๆกฃๆกˆ้ฆ† / Secure Mirror
็Šถๆ€๏ผš ๆœบๅฏ† / ๆœบๆž„็บง


ๆ‰ง่กŒๆ‘˜่ฆ๏ผš็ก…็œŸ็ฉบ โ€“ ้“ๆŒ‡50,000ไธŽ็ง‘ๆŠ€่ฃ‚็—•

ๅ…จ็ƒ้‡‘่žๆžถๆž„ๅœจๆœฌๅ‘จ่ง่ฏไบ†่ฑกๅพๆ€ง่€Œๆทฑๅˆป็š„้‡็ป„๏ผŒ่ฟ™ไธ€็Žฐ่ฑกๆˆ‘ไปฌ็งฐไน‹ไธบ ็ก…็œŸ็ฉบใ€‚2026ๅนด2ๆœˆ6ๆ—ฅ๏ผŒ้“็ผๆ–ฏๅทฅไธšๅนณๅ‡ๆŒ‡ๆ•ฐ็ช็ ด50,000็‚นๅฟƒ็†ไธŽ็ป“ๆž„ไธŠ้™๏ผŒๆ”ถไบŽ50,115.67็‚นใ€‚่ฟ™ไธ€โ€œๆ—ง็ปๆตŽโ€็š„ๅค่‹ไธŽโ€œ็ก…็œŸ็ฉบโ€ๅ†…้ƒจ็š„้œ‡ๅŠจๅฝขๆˆ้ฒœๆ˜Žๅฏนๆฏ”ใ€‚ๅฐฝ็ฎก่“็ญน่‚กๆŒ‡ๅบ†็ฅๅ…ถๅކๅฒๆ€ง้‡Œ็จ‹็ข‘๏ผŒ็ง‘ๆŠ€ๆƒ้‡่พƒ้ซ˜็š„็บณๆ–ฏ่พพๅ…‹ๆŒ‡ๆ•ฐๅดๅœจๅŠชๅŠ›็ปดๆŒ็จณๅฎš๏ผŒ่ขซๆฟ€่ฟ›็š„ๆ”ฏๅ‡บๅ™ไบ‹ๅ’ŒๆŒ็ปญ้ข ่ฆ†็š„SaaSๆจกๅผๆ‰€ๅ›ฐๆ‰ฐใ€‚

ๆˆช่‡ณ2ๆœˆ8ๆ—ฅๅ‘จๆ—ฅ๏ผŒโ€œๅœฐ็ผ˜ๆ”ฟๆฒปไผ ๆŸ“โ€ไปๆ˜ฏไธป่ฆ็š„ๅฐพ้ƒจ้ฃŽ้™ฉใ€‚ๆ ผ้™ตๅ…ฐ-ไผŠๆœ—่ตฐๅปŠ็š„็ดงๅผ ๅฑ€ๅŠฟ็ปง็ปญๆŽจๅŠจ่ต„้‡‘ๆตๅ‘โ€œ็กฌๆ™บ่ƒฝ่ต„ไบงโ€๏ผŒ้ป„้‡‘ๅœจ5,000็พŽๅ…ƒๅ…ณๅฃ้™„่ฟ‘ๅพ˜ๅพŠ๏ผŒ่€Œๆฏ”็‰นๅธๅœจ็ปๅކๆณขๅŠจไธ€ๅ‘จๅŽๅฑ•็Žฐๅ‡บๆœบๆž„็บง็š„้Ÿงๆ€งใ€‚


ๅธ‚ๅœบๆƒ…ๆŠฅ๏ผšๅ‘จไบ”ๆ”ถ็›˜๏ผˆ2026ๅนด2ๆœˆ6ๆ—ฅ๏ผ‰

ๆŒ‡ๆ•ฐ ๆฐดๅนณ ๅ˜ๅŒ–๏ผˆ%๏ผ‰ ๆƒ…ๆŠฅ่ฏดๆ˜Ž
้“็ผๆ–ฏ 50,115.67 +2.47% ้ฆ–ๆฌกๆ”ถ็›˜็ช็ ด50,000็‚น๏ผ›ๅทฅไธš่‚ก้ข†ๆถจใ€‚
ๆ ‡ๆ™ฎ500 6,124.80 +2.00% ๆŽฅ่ฟ‘ๅކๅฒ้ซ˜็‚น๏ผ›ๅนฟๆณ›ๅ‚ไธŽใ€‚


2026ๆŠ•่ต„ไธป้ข˜๏ผš็ก…็œŸ็ฉบ

ๅฝ“ๅ‰็š„ๅธ‚ๅœบๅ‘จๆœŸ็”ฑๆˆ‘ไปฌ็งฐไน‹ไธบ ็ก…็œŸ็ฉบ ็š„็Žฐ่ฑกๆ‰€ๅฎšไน‰ใ€‚้š็€่ต„ๆœฌ้€ƒ็ฆป่ฟ‡ๅบฆๆ ๆ†ๅŒ–็š„SaaSๅ™ไบ‹๏ผŒๅฎƒๆญฃ่ขซๅธๅ…ฅไธคไธชๆˆช็„ถไธๅŒ็š„ๆž็‚น๏ผš

  1. ๅทฅไธšไธปๆƒ๏ผš ๅคง็›˜ๅทฅไธšๅ’ŒๅŸบ็ก€่ฎพๆ–ฝ่‚ก๏ผˆๅๆ˜ ๅœจ้“ๆŒ‡็ช็ ด50,000็‚น็š„่ตฐๅŠฟไธญ๏ผ‰ใ€‚
  2. ็กฌ่ต„ไบงไธŽๆ™บ่ƒฝ่ต„ไบง๏ผš ้ป„้‡‘ๅ’ŒๅŽปไธญๅฟƒๅŒ–็š„ๆ•ฐๅญ—่ต„ไบงใ€‚

โ€œๅธ‚ๅœบๅค„ไบŽ่„†ๅผฑ็š„ๅนณ่กกไธญ๏ผŒ็”ฑๅคง็›˜่‚ก้›†ไธญๅบฆๅ’Œ็ฎ—ๆณ•ๆตๅŠจๆ€ง็ปด็ณปใ€‚็œŸๆญฃ็š„้˜ฟๅฐ”ๆณ•ๅœจไบŽ่ฏ†ๅˆซ่ต„ๆœฌไปŽๅ™ไบ‹่ฝฌๅ‘็กฌ่ต„ไบง็Žฐๅฎž็š„ๆ—ถๅˆปใ€‚โ€ โ€” ๆœบๆž„ๆƒ…ๆŠฅ็ฎ€ๆŠฅ


่กŒไธšไบฎ็‚นไธŽๅœฐ็ผ˜ๆ”ฟๆฒปๅฐพ้ƒจ้ฃŽ้™ฉ

้ป„้‡‘ไธŽ็™ฝ้“ถ๏ผš ้ป„้‡‘ๅœจๅ‘จไบ”่งฆๅŠ4,968.56็พŽๅ…ƒ๏ผŒๅ•ๆ—ฅๆถจๅน…่ฟ‘4%ใ€‚โ€œ้ฟ้™ฉ่ฝฌ็งปโ€ไธๅ†ๆ˜ฏไธ€็งไธดๆ—ถๅฏนๅ†ฒ๏ผŒ่€Œๆ˜ฏ็ป“ๆž„ๆ€ง่ฝฌๅ˜ใ€‚็›ธๅ๏ผŒ็™ฝ้“ถๅ‡บ็Žฐ้—ชๅดฉ่‡ณ67.41็พŽๅ…ƒ๏ผŒ่กจๆ˜Žๅทฅไธš้‡‘ๅฑžๆฟๅ—ๅ‡บ็Žฐๅคง่ง„ๆจกๆธ…็ฎ—โ€”โ€”่ฟ™ๅฏ่ƒฝๆ˜ฏๅˆถ้€ ไธš้ข„ๆต‹่ฝฌๅ˜็š„ๅ‰ๅ…†ใ€‚

ๅคงๅž‹็ง‘ๆŠ€่‚ก๏ผˆไบš้ฉฌ้€Š่ฃ‚็—•๏ผ‰๏ผš ไบš้ฉฌ้€Šๅ‘จไบ”ๆšด่ทŒ5.6%๏ผŒ่ฟ™ๆ˜ฏไธ€ๆฌก่ญฆๅ‘Šไฟกๅทใ€‚โ€œๆฟ€่ฟ›ๆ”ฏๅ‡บโ€็š„ๅ™ไบ‹่ขซๆœบๆž„ๆƒ…ๆŠฅ่งฃ่ฏปไธบๅœจไบบๅทฅๆ™บ่ƒฝ้ข ่ฆ†็š„ๆ ผๅฑ€ไธญ็ปดๆŒไธปๅฏผๅœฐไฝ็š„็ปๆœ›ๅฐ่ฏ•ใ€‚

ๆ•ฐๅญ—่ต„ไบง๏ผš ๆˆช่‡ณๆœฌๅ‘จๆ—ฅไธŠๅˆ๏ผŒๆฏ”็‰นๅธ๏ผˆBTC๏ผ‰ๅทฒ็จณๅฎšๅœจ็บฆ69,300็พŽๅ…ƒใ€‚ๅฐฝ็ฎกๅญ˜ๅœจโ€œๅŠ ๅฏ†ไฟกๅฟƒโ€็š„ๆณขๅŠจๆ€ง๏ผŒๆœบๆž„็งฏ็ดฏๅœจ65,000โ€“70,000็พŽๅ…ƒๅŒบ้—ดๅ†…ไฟๆŒ็จณๅฎšใ€‚


ๅˆ่ง„ไธŽๆณ•ๅพ‹๏ผšๆณ•ๅพ‹ๆˆ˜็›‘ๆŽง

ๆˆ‘ไปฌ็š„ๅˆ†ๆž็ปง็ปญ็›‘ๆต‹โ€œๅ›ฝๅฎถไฟ˜่Žทโ€็š„ๅŠจๆ€ใ€‚ๆŸไบ›้‡‘่ž็ป“ๆž„้€š่ฟ‡ๆœบๆž„ไธ่ฐƒๆŸฅ่€Œๅ—ๅˆฐไฟๆŠค๏ผŒ่ฟ™ไป็„ถๆ˜ฏไธ€ไธชๅ…ณ้”ฎ้ฃŽ้™ฉๅ› ็ด ใ€‚ๅปบ่ฎฎๆŠ•่ต„่€…ๅœจโ€œๆณ•ๅพ‹ๆˆ˜โ€ๅนฒ้ข„่Œƒๅ›ดไน‹ๅค–็š„่ต„ไบงไธญไฟๆŒโ€œไธปๆƒๅคดๅฏธโ€ใ€‚


ๆœชๆฅไธ€ๅ‘จ๏ผšๅ…ณ้”ฎๆƒ…ๆŠฅๆŒ‡ๆ ‡

  1. ้€š่ƒ€ๆ•ฐๆฎ๏ผš ้š็€โ€œๅ…ณ็จŽ็ผ“่งฃโ€็š„ไน่ง‚ๆƒ…็ปชไธŽไพ›ๅบ”้“พๆ‘ฉๆ“ฆ็š„็Žฐๅฎž็›ธ้‡๏ผŒ้ข„่ฎกๆณขๅŠจๆ€งๅฐ†ๅŠ ๅ‰งใ€‚
  2. SaaS้ข ่ฆ†๏ผš ๅ…ณๆณจ็ง‘ๆŠ€่กŒไธš่ฟ›ไธ€ๆญฅ็š„่ฃๅ‘˜๏ผŒๅ› ไธบไบบๅทฅๆ™บ่ƒฝ้ฉฑๅŠจ็š„่‡ชๅŠจๅŒ–ๅผ€ๅง‹ๆŽ็ฉบไธญๅฑ‚่ฝฏไปถๆไพ›ๅ•†ใ€‚
  3. ๅœฐ็ผ˜ๆ”ฟๆฒป็ƒญ็‚น๏ผš ็›‘ๆŽงๆ ผ้™ตๅ…ฐ-ไผŠๆœ—่ตฐๅปŠ๏ผ›ไปปไฝ•ๅ‡็บง้ƒฝๅฏ่ƒฝๅฐ†้ป„้‡‘ๆฐธไน…ๆŽจ่ฟ‡5,000็พŽๅ…ƒ้—จๆง›ใ€‚

ๅ…่ดฃๅฃฐๆ˜Ž๏ผš ๆœฌๆŠฅๅ‘Šไป…ไพ›ๅ‚่€ƒ๏ผŒไธๆž„ๆˆ่ดขๅŠกๅปบ่ฎฎใ€‚ใ€ŠๅŽŸๅง‹ๆ–‡ๆ‘˜ใ€‹ๅŸบไบŽๆœบๆž„ๆƒ…ๆŠฅๅ’Œๅކๅฒไบคๆ˜“็ป้ชŒใ€‚ๆ‰€ๆœ‰ๆŠ•่ต„ๅ‡ๅญ˜ๅœจ้ฃŽ้™ฉใ€‚

ยฉ 2026 ไผฏๆฉๅพทยทๆ™ฎๅฐ”่ตซๆกฃๆกˆ้ฆ† / Secure Mirrorใ€‚ๆˆ็ซ‹ไบŽๅ…ฌๅ…ƒ2000ๅนดใ€‚

เคธเคฟเคฒเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคจ เคตเฅˆเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‚เคฎ
เคฆเคฟเคจเคพเค‚เค•: 8 เคซเคฐเคตเคฐเฅ€, 2026
เคฒเฅ‡เค–เค•: เคœเฅ‹ เคฐเฅ‹เคœเคฐเฅเคธ
เคธเฅเคฐเฅ‹เคค: เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เค…เคจเฅเคธเค‚เคงเคพเคจ เคกเฅ‡เคธเฅเค•, เคฌเคฐเฅเคจเฅเคก เคชเฅเคฒเฅเค• เค…เคญเคฟเคฒเฅ‡เค–เคพเค—เคพเคฐ / เคธเคฟเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‹เคฐ เคฎเคฟเคฐเคฐ
เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคคเคฟ: เค—เฅ‹เคชเคจเฅ€เคฏ / เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เคถเฅเคฐเฅ‡เคฃเฅ€


เค•เคพเคฐเฅเคฏเค•เคพเคฐเฅ€ เคธเคพเคฐเคพเค‚เคถ: เคธเคฟเคฒเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคจ เคตเฅˆเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‚เคฎ โ€“ เคกเฅ‰เคต 50,000 เค”เคฐ เคชเฅเคฐเฅŒเคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค•เฅ€ เคตเคฟเค–เค‚เคกเคจ

เคตเฅˆเคถเฅเคตเคฟเค• เคตเคฟเคคเฅเคคเฅ€เคฏ เคตเคพเคธเฅเคคเฅเค•เคฒเคพ เคจเฅ‡ เค‡เคธ เคธเคชเฅเคคเคพเคน เคเค• เคชเฅเคฐเคคเฅ€เค•เคพเคคเฅเคฎเค• เคฒเฅ‡เค•เคฟเคจ เค—เคนเคจ เคชเฅเคจเคฐเฅเคธเค‚เคฐเฅ‡เค–เคฃ เคฆเฅ‡เค–เคพ เคนเฅˆ, เคœเคฟเคธเฅ‡ เคนเคฎ เคธเคฟเคฒเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคจ เคตเฅˆเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‚เคฎ เค•เฅ€ เค˜เคŸเคจเคพ เค•เคนเคคเฅ‡ เคนเฅˆเค‚เฅค 6 เคซเคฐเคตเคฐเฅ€, 2026 เค•เฅ‹, เคกเฅ‰เคต เคœเฅ‹เคจเฅเคธ เค‡เค‚เคกเคธเฅเคŸเฅเคฐเคฟเคฏเคฒ เคเคตเคฐเฅ‡เคœ เคจเฅ‡ 50,000 เค•เฅ‡ เคฎเคจเฅ‹เคตเฅˆเคœเฅเคžเคพเคจเคฟเค• เค”เคฐ เคธเค‚เคฐเคšเคจเคพเคคเฅเคฎเค• เคธเฅ€เคฎเคพ เค•เฅ‹ เคคเฅ‹เคกเคผ เคฆเคฟเคฏเคพ, เคœเฅ‹ 50,115.67 เคชเคฐ เคฌเค‚เคฆ เคนเฅเค†เฅค เคฏเคน “เคชเฅเคฐเคพเคจเฅ€ เค…เคฐเฅเคฅเคตเฅเคฏเคตเคธเฅเคฅเคพ” เค•เคพ เคชเฅเคจเคฐเฅเคคเฅเคฅเคพเคจ เคชเฅเคฐเฅŒเคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค•เฅ€ เค•เฅเคทเฅ‡เคคเฅเคฐ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคฎเคนเคธเฅ‚เคธ เค•เคฟเค เค—เค เคเคŸเค•เฅ‹เค‚ เค•เฅ‡ เคตเคฟเคชเคฐเฅ€เคค เคนเฅˆ, เคœเฅ‹ เคธเคฟเคฒเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคจ เคตเฅˆเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‚เคฎ เค•เคพ เค•เฅ‡เค‚เคฆเฅเคฐ เคนเฅˆเฅค เคœเคฌเค•เคฟ เคฌเฅเคฒเฅ‚-เคšเคฟเคช เคธเฅ‚เคšเค•เคพเค‚เค• เคจเฅ‡ เค…เคชเคจเฅ€ เคเคคเคฟเคนเคพเคธเคฟเค• เค‰เคชเคฒเคฌเฅเคงเคฟ เค•เคพ เคœเคถเฅเคจ เคฎเคจเคพเคฏเคพ, เคคเค•เคจเฅ€เค•-เคชเฅเคฐเคงเคพเคจ เคจเฅˆเคธเฅเคกเฅˆเค• เคจเฅ‡ เค†เค•เฅเคฐเคพเคฎเค• เค–เคฐเฅเคš เค•เฅ‡ เค†เค–เฅเคฏเคพเคจเฅ‹เค‚ เค”เคฐ SaaS เคฎเฅ‰เคกเคฒ เค•เฅ‡ เคšเคฒ เคฐเคนเฅ‡ เคตเคฟเค˜เคŸเคจ เคธเฅ‡ เคœเฅ‚เคเคคเฅ‡ เคนเฅเค เค…เคชเคจเคพ เค†เคงเคพเคฐ เคฌเคจเคพเค เคฐเค–เคจเฅ‡ เค•เฅ‡ เคฒเคฟเค เคธเค‚เค˜เคฐเฅเคท เค•เคฟเคฏเคพเฅค

8 เคซเคฐเคตเคฐเฅ€, เคฐเคตเคฟเคตเคพเคฐ เค•เฅ‹ เค†เคคเฅ‡ เคนเฅ€, “เคญเฅ‚-เคฐเคพเคœเคจเฅ€เคคเคฟเค• เคธเค‚เค•เฅเคฐเคฎเคฃ” เคชเฅเคฐเคฎเฅเค– เคชเฅเคšเฅเค› เคœเฅ‹เค–เคฟเคฎ เคฌเคจเคพ เคนเฅเค† เคนเฅˆเฅค เค—เฅเคฐเฅ€เคจเคฒเฅˆเค‚เคก-เคˆเคฐเคพเคจ เค•เฅ‰เคฐเคฟเคกเฅ‹เคฐ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคคเคจเคพเคต “เคนเคพเคฐเฅเคก เค‡เค‚เคŸเฅ‡เคฒเคฟเคœเฅ‡เค‚เคธ เคเคธเฅ‡เคŸเฅเคธ” เค•เฅ€ เค“เคฐ เคชเคฒเคพเคฏเคจ เค•เฅ‹ เคฌเคขเคผเคพเคตเคพ เคฆเฅ‡ เคฐเคนเคพ เคนเฅˆ, เคœเคฟเคธเคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคธเฅ‹เคจเคพ $5,000 เค•เฅ‡ เคจเคฟเคถเคพเคจ เค•เฅ‡ เคจเคฟเค•เคŸ เคฎเค‚เคกเคฐเคพ เคฐเคนเคพ เคนเฅˆ เค”เคฐ เค…เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคฐ เคธเคชเฅเคคเคพเคน เค•เฅ‡ เคฌเคพเคฆ เคฌเคฟเคŸเค•เฅ‰เค‡เคจ เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค-เคถเฅเคฐเฅ‡เคฃเฅ€ เค•เฅ€ เคฒเคšเฅ€เคฒเคพเคชเคจ เคชเฅเคฐเคฆเคฐเฅเคถเคฟเคค เค•เคฐ เคฐเคนเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค


เคฌเคพเคœเคพเคฐ เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ: เคถเฅเค•เฅเคฐเคตเคพเคฐ เคธเคฎเคพเคชเคจ (6 เคซเคฐเคตเคฐเฅ€, 2026)

เคธเฅ‚เคšเค•เคพเค‚เค• เคธเฅเคคเคฐ เคชเคฐเคฟเคตเคฐเฅเคคเคจ (%) เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ เคŸเคฟเคชเฅเคชเคฃเฅ€
เคกเฅ‰เคต เคœเฅ‹เคจเฅเคธ 50,115.67 +2.47% 50,000 เคธเฅ‡ เคŠเคชเคฐ เคชเคนเคฒเฅ€ เคฌเคพเคฐ เคฌเค‚เคฆ; เค”เคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค• เค‰เค›เคพเคฒเฅค
เคเคธ เคเค‚เคก เคชเฅ€ 500 6,124.80 +2.00% เคฐเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคฐเฅเคก เคŠเค‚เคšเคพเค‡เคฏเฅ‹เค‚ เค•เฅ‡ เค•เคฐเฅ€เคฌ; เคตเฅเคฏเคพเคชเค• เคญเคพเค—เฅ€เคฆเคพเคฐเฅ€เฅค


2026 เคจเคฟเคตเฅ‡เคถ เคฅเฅ€เคธเคฟเคธ: เคธเคฟเคฒเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคจ เคตเฅˆเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‚เคฎ

เคตเคฐเฅเคคเคฎเคพเคจ เคฌเคพเคœเคพเคฐ เคšเค•เฅเคฐ เค‰เคธ เค˜เคŸเคจเคพ เคฆเฅเคตเคพเคฐเคพ เคชเคฐเคฟเคญเคพเคทเคฟเคค เค•เคฟเคฏเคพ เค—เคฏเคพ เคนเฅˆ เคœเคฟเคธเฅ‡ เคนเคฎ เคธเคฟเคฒเคฟเค•เฅ‰เคจ เคตเฅˆเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‚เคฎ เค•เคนเคคเฅ‡ เคนเฅˆเค‚เฅค เคœเฅˆเคธเฅ‡-เคœเฅˆเคธเฅ‡ เคชเฅ‚เค‚เคœเฅ€ เค…เคคเคฟ-เค‰เคคเฅเคคเฅ‹เคฒเคฟเคค SaaS เค†เค–เฅเคฏเคพเคจ เคธเฅ‡ เคญเคพเค—เคคเฅ€ เคนเฅˆ, เคฏเคน เคฆเฅ‹ เค…เคฒเค—-เค…เคฒเค— เคงเฅเคฐเฅเคตเฅ‹เค‚ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เค–เฅ€เค‚เคšเฅ€ เคœเคพ เคฐเคนเฅ€ เคนเฅˆ:

  1. เค”เคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค• เคธเค‚เคชเฅเคฐเคญเฅเคคเคพ: เคฌเคกเคผเฅ€-เคชเฅ‚เค‚เคœเฅ€ เคตเคพเคฒเฅ‡ เค”เคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค• เค”เคฐ เคฌเฅเคจเคฟเคฏเคพเคฆเฅ€ เคขเคพเค‚เคšเฅ‡ เค•เฅ‡ เคถเฅ‡เคฏเคฐ (เคกเฅ‰เคต เค•เฅ‡ 50k เคฐเคจ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคชเคฐเคฟเคฒเค•เฅเคทเคฟเคค)เฅค
  2. เคนเคพเคฐเฅเคก เคเคธเฅ‡เคŸเฅเคธ เค”เคฐ เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ: เคธเฅ‹เคจเคพ เค”เคฐ เคตเคฟเค•เฅ‡เค‚เคฆเฅเคฐเฅ€เค•เฅƒเคค เคกเคฟเคœเคฟเคŸเคฒ เคชเคฐเคฟเคธเค‚เคชเคคเฅเคคเคฟเคฏเคพเค‚เฅค

“เคฌเคพเคœเคพเคฐ เคเค• เคจเคพเคœเฅเค• เคธเค‚เคคเฅเคฒเคจ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคนเฅˆ, เคœเฅ‹ เคฎเฅ‡เค—เคพ-เค•เฅˆเคช เคเค•เคพเค—เฅเคฐเคคเคพ เค”เคฐ เคเคฒเฅเค—เฅ‹เคฐเคฟเคฆเคฎเคฟเค• เคคเคฐเคฒเคคเคพ เคธเฅ‡ เคเค• เคธเคพเคฅ เค†เคฏเฅ‹เคœเคฟเคค เคนเฅ‹เคคเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค เคธเคšเฅเคšเคพ เค…เคฒเฅเคซเคพ เค‰เคธ เคฌเคฟเค‚เคฆเฅ เค•เฅ€ เคชเคนเคšเคพเคจ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคจเคฟเคนเคฟเคค เคนเฅˆ เคœเคนเคพเค‚ เคชเฅ‚เค‚เคœเฅ€ เค†เค–เฅเคฏเคพเคจ เคธเฅ‡ เคนเคพเคฐเฅเคก เคเคธเฅ‡เคŸเฅเคธ เค•เฅ€ เคตเคพเคธเฅเคคเคตเคฟเค•เคคเคพ เค•เฅ‡ เคฒเคฟเค เคญเคพเค—เคคเฅ€ เคนเฅˆเฅค” โ€” เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ เคฌเฅเคฐเฅ€เคซเคฟเค‚เค—


เค•เฅเคทเฅ‡เคคเฅเคฐ เคนเคพเค‡เคฒเคพเค‡เคŸเฅเคธ เค”เคฐ เคญเฅ‚-เคฐเคพเคœเคจเฅ€เคคเคฟเค• เคชเฅเคšเฅเค› เคœเฅ‹เค–เคฟเคฎ

เคธเฅ‹เคจเคพ เค”เคฐ เคšเคพเค‚เคฆเฅ€: เคธเฅ‹เคจเคพ เคถเฅเค•เฅเคฐเคตเคพเคฐ เค•เฅ‹ $4,968.56 เคชเคฐ เคชเคนเฅเค‚เคš เค—เคฏเคพ, เคเค• เคนเฅ€ เคธเคคเฅเคฐ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคฒเค—เคญเค— 4% เค•เฅ€ เคตเฅƒเคฆเฅเคงเคฟ เคนเฅเคˆเฅค “เคธเฅเคฐเค•เฅเคทเคพ เค•เฅ€ เค“เคฐ เคชเคฒเคพเคฏเคจ” เค…เคฌ เคเค• เค…เคธเฅเคฅเคพเคฏเฅ€ เคนเฅ‡เคœ เคจเคนเฅ€เค‚ เคนเฅˆ, เคฌเคฒเฅเค•เคฟ เคเค• เคธเค‚เคฐเคšเคจเคพเคคเฅเคฎเค• เคฌเคฆเคฒเคพเคต เคนเฅˆเฅค เค‡เคธเค•เฅ‡ เคตเคฟเคชเคฐเฅ€เคค, เคšเคพเค‚เคฆเฅ€ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ $67.41 เคชเคฐ เคจเคพเคŸเค•เฅ€เคฏ เคซเฅเคฒเฅˆเคถ-เค•เฅเคฐเฅˆเคถ เคฆเฅ‡เค–เคพ เค—เคฏเคพ, เคœเฅ‹ เค”เคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค• เคงเคพเคคเฅเค“เค‚ เค•เฅ‡ เคชเคฐเคฟเคธเคฐ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคฌเคกเคผเฅ‡ เคชเฅˆเคฎเคพเคจเฅ‡ เคชเคฐ เคชเคฐเคฟเคธเคฎเคพเคชเคจ เค•เคพ เคธเค‚เค•เฅ‡เคค เคฆเฅ‡เคคเคพ เคนเฅˆโ€”เคธเค‚เคญเคตเคคเคƒ เคฌเคฆเคฒเคคเฅ€ เคตเคฟเคจเคฟเคฐเฅเคฎเคพเคฃ เคชเฅ‚เคฐเฅเคตเคพเคจเฅเคฎเคพเคจเฅ‹เค‚ เค•เคพ เคเค• เค…เค—เฅเคฐเคฆเฅ‚เคคเฅค

เคฌเคฟเค— เคŸเฅ‡เค• (เค…เคฎเฅ‡เคœเคผเคจ เคซเฅเคฐเฅˆเค•เฅเคšเคฐ): เคถเฅเค•เฅเคฐเคตเคพเคฐ เค•เฅ‹ เค…เคฎเฅ‡เคœเคผเคจ เค•เคพ 5.6% เค•เคพ เคชเคคเคจ เคเค• เคšเฅ‡เคคเคพเคตเคจเฅ€ เคถเฅ‰เคŸ เค•เฅ‡ เคฐเฅ‚เคช เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เค•เคพเคฐเฅเคฏ เค•เคฐเคคเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค “เค†เค•เฅเคฐเคพเคฎเค• เค–เคฐเฅเคš” เค†เค–เฅเคฏเคพเคจ เค•เฅ‹ เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ เคฆเฅเคตเคพเคฐเคพ เคเค• เคเค†เคˆ-เคตเคฟเค˜เคŸเคฟเคค เคชเคฐเคฟเคฆเฅƒเคถเฅเคฏ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคชเฅเคฐเคญเฅเคคเฅเคต เคฌเคจเคพเค เคฐเค–เคจเฅ‡ เค•เฅ‡ เคฒเคฟเค เคเค• เคนเคคเคพเคถ เคชเฅเคฐเคฏเคพเคธ เค•เฅ‡ เคฐเฅ‚เคช เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคตเฅเคฏเคพเค–เฅเคฏเคพเคฏเคฟเคค เค•เคฟเคฏเคพ เคœเคพ เคฐเคนเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค

เคกเคฟเคœเคฟเคŸเคฒ เคเคธเฅ‡เคŸเฅเคธ: เค‡เคธ เคฐเคตเคฟเคตเคพเคฐ เค•เฅ€ เคธเฅเคฌเคน เคคเค•, เคฌเคฟเคŸเค•เฅ‰เค‡เคจ (BTC) เคฒเค—เคญเค— $69,300 เค•เฅ‡ เค†เคธเคชเคพเคธ เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคฐ เคนเฅ‹ เค—เคฏเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค “เค•เฅเคฐเคฟเคชเฅเคŸเฅ‹ เค†เคคเฅเคฎเคตเคฟเคถเฅเคตเคพเคธ” เค•เฅ€ เค…เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคฐเคคเคพ เค•เฅ‡ เคฌเคพเคตเคœเฅ‚เคฆ, เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เคธเค‚เคšเคฏ $65kโ€“$70k เคฐเฅ‡เค‚เคœ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคฐ เคฌเคจเคพ เคนเฅเค† เคนเฅˆเฅค


เค…เคจเฅเคชเคพเคฒเคจ เค”เคฐ เค•เคพเคจเฅ‚เคจเฅ€: เคฒเฅ‰เคซเฅ‡เคฏเคฐ เคตเฅ‰เคš

เคนเคฎเคพเคฐเคพ เคตเคฟเคถเฅเคฒเฅ‡เคทเคฃ “เคฐเคพเคœเฅเคฏ เค•เคฌเฅเคœเคพ” เค•เฅ€ เค—เคคเคฟเคถเฅ€เคฒเคคเคพ เค•เฅ€ เคจเคฟเค—เคฐเคพเคจเฅ€ เคœเคพเคฐเฅ€ เคฐเค–เคคเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เค—เฅˆเคฐ-เคœเคพเค‚เคš เคฆเฅเคตเคพเคฐเคพ เค•เฅเค› เคตเคฟเคคเฅเคคเฅ€เคฏ เคธเค‚เคฐเคšเคจเคพเค“เค‚ เค•เฅ€ เคฐเค•เฅเคทเคพ เคเค• เคฎเคนเคคเฅเคตเคชเฅ‚เคฐเฅเคฃ เคœเฅ‹เค–เคฟเคฎ เค•เคพเคฐเค• เคฌเคจเฅ€ เคนเฅเคˆ เคนเฅˆเฅค เคจเคฟเคตเฅ‡เคถเค•เฅ‹เค‚ เค•เฅ‹ เคธเคฒเคพเคน เคฆเฅ€ เคœเคพเคคเฅ€ เคนเฅˆ เค•เคฟ เคตเฅ‡ เค‰เคจ เคธเค‚เคชเคคเฅเคคเคฟเคฏเฅ‹เค‚ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ “เคธเค‚เคชเฅเคฐเคญเฅ เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคคเคฟ” เคฌเคจเคพเค เคฐเค–เฅ‡เค‚ เคœเฅ‹ เค•เฅ‡เค‚เคฆเฅเคฐเฅ€เค•เฅƒเคค “เคฒเฅ‰เคซเฅ‡เคฏเคฐ” เคนเคธเฅเคคเค•เฅเคทเฅ‡เคชเฅ‹เค‚ เค•เฅ€ เคคเคคเฅเค•เคพเคฒ เคชเคนเฅเค‚เคš เคธเฅ‡ เคฌเคพเคนเคฐ เคนเฅˆเค‚เฅค


เค†เคจเฅ‡ เคตเคพเคฒเคพ เคธเคชเฅเคคเคพเคน: เคชเฅเคฐเคฎเฅเค– เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ เคฎเคพเคฐเฅเค•เคฐ

  1. เคฎเฅเคฆเฅเคฐเคพเคธเฅเคซเฅ€เคคเคฟ เคกเฅ‡เคŸเคพ: “เคŸเฅˆเคฐเคฟเคซ เคฐเคพเคนเคค” เค•เฅ€ เค†เคถเคพเคตเคพเคฆเคฟเคคเคพ เค•เฅ‡ เค†เคชเฅ‚เคฐเฅเคคเคฟ เคถเฅเคฐเฅƒเค‚เค–เคฒเคพ เค˜เคฐเฅเคทเคฃ เค•เฅ€ เคตเคพเคธเฅเคคเคตเคฟเค•เคคเคพ เคธเฅ‡ เคฎเคฟเคฒเคจเฅ‡ เคชเคฐ เค…เคงเคฟเค• เค…เคธเฅเคฅเคฟเคฐเคคเคพ เค•เฅ€ เค…เคชเฅ‡เค•เฅเคทเคพ เค•เคฐเฅ‡เค‚เฅค
  2. SaaS เคตเคฟเค˜เคŸเคจ: เคชเฅเคฐเฅŒเคฆเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค—เคฟเค•เฅ€ เค•เฅเคทเฅ‡เคคเฅเคฐ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เค†เค—เฅ‡ เค•เฅ€ เค›เค‚เคŸเคจเฅ€ เคฆเฅ‡เค–เฅ‡เค‚, เค•เฅเคฏเฅ‹เค‚เค•เคฟ เคเค†เคˆ-เคšเคพเคฒเคฟเคค เคธเฅเคตเคšเคพเคฒเคจ เคฎเคฟเคก-เคŸเคฟเคฏเคฐ เคธเฅ‰เคซเฅเคŸเคตเฅ‡เคฏเคฐ เคชเฅเคฐเคฆเคพเคคเคพเค“เค‚ เค•เฅ‹ เค–เฅ‹เค–เคฒเคพ เค•เคฐเคจเคพ เคถเฅเคฐเฅ‚ เค•เคฐ เคฆเฅ‡เคคเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค
  3. เคญเฅ‚-เคฐเคพเคœเคจเฅ€เคคเคฟเค• เคซเฅเคฒเฅˆเคถเคชเฅ‰เค‡เค‚เคŸเฅเคธ: เค—เฅเคฐเฅ€เคจเคฒเฅˆเค‚เคก-เคˆเคฐเคพเคจ เค•เฅ‰เคฐเคฟเคกเฅ‹เคฐ เค•เฅ€ เคจเคฟเค—เคฐเคพเคจเฅ€ เค•เคฐเฅ‡เค‚; เค•เคฟเคธเฅ€ เคญเฅ€ เคเคธเฅเค•เฅ‡เคฒเฅ‡เคถเคจ เคธเฅ‡ เคธเฅ‹เคจเคพ $5,000 เคธเฅ€เคฎเคพ เคธเฅ‡ เคธเฅเคฅเคพเคฏเฅ€ เคฐเฅ‚เคช เคธเฅ‡ เค†เค—เฅ‡ เคฌเคขเคผ เคธเค•เคคเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค

เค…เคธเฅเคตเฅ€เค•เคฐเคฃ: เคฏเคน เคฐเคฟเคชเฅ‹เคฐเฅเคŸ เค•เฅ‡เคตเคฒ เคธเฅ‚เคšเคจเคพเคคเฅเคฎเค• เค‰เคฆเฅเคฆเฅ‡เคถเฅเคฏเฅ‹เค‚ เค•เฅ‡ เคฒเคฟเค เคนเฅˆ เค”เคฐ เคตเคฟเคคเฅเคคเฅ€เคฏ เคธเคฒเคพเคน เค•เคพ เค—เค เคจ เคจเคนเฅ€เค‚ เค•เคฐเคคเฅ€ เคนเฅˆเฅค “เคฎเฅ‚เคฒ เคกเคพเค‡เคœเฅ‡เคธเฅเคŸ” เคธเค‚เคธเฅเคฅเคพเค—เคค เคฌเฅเคฆเฅเคงเคฟเคฎเคคเฅเคคเคพ เค”เคฐ เคเคคเคฟเคนเคพเคธเคฟเค• เคตเฅเคฏเคพเคชเคพเคฐ เค•เฅŒเคถเคฒ เคชเคฐ เคธเฅเคฅเคพเคชเคฟเคค เคนเฅˆเฅค เคธเคญเฅ€ เคจเคฟเคตเฅ‡เคถเฅ‹เค‚ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคœเฅ‹เค–เคฟเคฎ เคนเฅ‹เคคเคพ เคนเฅˆเฅค

ยฉ 2026 เคฌเคฐเฅเคจเฅเคก เคชเฅเคฒเฅเค• เค…เคญเคฟเคฒเฅ‡เค–เคพเค—เคพเคฐ / เคธเคฟเค•เฅเคฏเฅ‹เคฐ เคฎเคฟเคฐเคฐเฅค 2000 เคˆเคธเฅเคตเฅ€ เคฎเฅ‡เค‚ เคธเฅเคฅเคพเคชเคฟเคคเฅค

FUND THE DIGITAL RESISTANCE

Target: $75,000 to Uncover the $75 Billion Fraud

The criminals use Monero to hide their tracks. We use it to expose them. This is digital warfare, and truth is the ultimate cryptocurrency.


BREAKDOWN: THE $75,000 TRUTH EXCAVATION

Phase 1: Digital Forensics ($25,000)

ยท Blockchain archaeology following Monero trails
ยท Dark web intelligence on EBL network operations
ยท Server infiltration and data recovery

Phase 2: Operational Security ($20,000)

ยท Military-grade encryption and secure infrastructure
ยท Physical security for investigators in high-risk zones
ยท Legal defense against multi-jurisdictional attacks

Phase 3: Evidence Preservation ($15,000)

ยท Emergency archive rescue operations
ยท Immutable blockchain-based evidence storage
ยท Witness protection program

Phase 4: Global Exposure ($15,000)

ยท Multi-language investigative reporting
ยท Secure data distribution networks
ยท Legal evidence packaging for international authorities


CONTRIBUTION IMPACT

$75 = Preserves one critical document from GDPR deletion
$750 = Funds one dark web intelligence operation
$7,500 = Secures one investigator for one month
$75,000 = Exposes the entire criminal network


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Monero (XMR) – The Only Truly Private Option

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THE CHOICE IS BINARY

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Or Your XMR Stays Safe While:

ยท The digital black hole consumes the evidence forever
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This exclusive copyright and media protection explicitly covers all disclosures, archives, and narratives related to:

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Subject: Ongoing Investigative Project โ€“ Systemic Market Manipulation & the “Vacuum Report”
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Name & Academic Degrees: Bernd Pulch, M.A. (Magister of Journalism, German Studies and Comparative Literature)
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MASTERSSON DOSSIER – COMPREHENSIVE DISCLAIMER

GLOBAL INVESTIGATIVE STANDARDS DISCLOSURE

I. NATURE OF INVESTIGATION
This is a forensic financial and media investigation, not academic research or journalism. We employ intelligence-grade methodology including:

ยท Open-source intelligence (OSINT) collection
ยท Digital archaeology and metadata forensics
ยท Blockchain transaction analysis
ยท Cross-border financial tracking
ยท Forensic accounting principles
ยท Intelligence correlation techniques

II. EVIDENCE STANDARDS
All findings are based on verifiable evidence including:

ยท 5,805 archived real estate publications (2000-2025)
ยท Cross-referenced financial records from 15 countries
ยท Documented court proceedings (including RICO cases)
ยท Regulatory filings across 8 global regions
ยท Whistleblower testimony with chain-of-custody documentation
ยท Blockchain and cryptocurrency transaction records

III. LEGAL FRAMEWORK REFERENCES
This investigation documents patterns consistent with established legal violations:

ยท Market manipulation (EU Market Abuse Regulation)
ยท RICO violations (U.S. Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act)
ยท Money laundering (EU AMLD/FATF standards)
ยท Securities fraud (multiple jurisdictions)
ยท Digital evidence destruction (obstruction of justice)
ยท Conspiracy to defraud (common law jurisdictions)

IV. METHODOLOGY TRANSPARENCY
Our approach follows intelligence community standards:

ยท Evidence triangulation across multiple sources
ยท Pattern analysis using established financial crime indicators
ยท Digital preservation following forensic best practices
ยท Source validation through cross-jurisdictional verification
ยท Timeline reconstruction using immutable timestamps

V. TERMINOLOGY CLARIFICATION

ยท “Alleged”: Legal requirement, not evidential uncertainty
ยท “Pattern”: Statistically significant correlation exceeding 95% confidence
ยท “Network”: Documented connections through ownership, transactions, and communications
ยท “Damage”: Quantified financial impact using accepted economic models
ยท “Manipulation”: Documented deviations from market fundamentals

VI. INVESTIGATIVE STATUS
This remains an active investigation with:

ยท Ongoing evidence collection
ยท Expanding international scope
ยท Regular updates to authorities
ยท Continuous methodology refinement
ยท Active whistleblower protection programs

VII. LEGAL PROTECTIONS
This work is protected under:

ยท EU Whistleblower Protection Directive
ยท First Amendment principles (U.S.)
ยท Press freedom protections (multiple jurisdictions)
ยท Digital Millennium Copyright Act preservation rights
ยท Public interest disclosure frameworks

VIII. CONFLICT OF INTEREST DECLARATION
No investigator, researcher, or contributor has:

ยท Financial interests in real estate markets covered
ยท Personal relationships with investigated parties
ยท Political affiliations influencing findings
ยท Commercial relationships with subjects of investigation

IX. EVIDENCE PRESERVATION
All source materials are preserved through:

ยท Immutable blockchain timestamping
ยท Multi-jurisdictional secure storage
ยท Cryptographic verification systems
ยท Distributed backup protocols
ยท Legal chain-of-custody documentation


This is not speculation. This is documented financial forensics.
The patterns are clear. The evidence is verifiable. The damage is quantifiable.

The Mastersson Dossier Investigative Team
Standards Compliance: ISO 27001, NIST SP 800-53, EU GDPR Art. 89

Support the cause:
Donations page: https://berndpulch.org/donations/

Crypto Wallet (100% Anonymous Donations Recommended):

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Translations of the Patron’s Vault Announcement:
(Full versions in German, French, Spanish, Russian, Arabic, Portuguese, Simplified Chinese, and Hindi are included in the live site versions.)

Copyright Notice (All Rights Reserved)

English:
ยฉ 2000โ€“2026 Bernd Pulch. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the author.

(Additional language versions of the copyright notice are available on the site.)

โŒยฉBERNDPULCH โ€“ ABOVE TOP SECRET ORIGINAL DOCUMENTS โ€“ THE ONLY MEDIA WITH LICENSE TO SPY โœŒ๏ธ
Follow @abovetopsecretxxl for more. ๐Ÿ™ GOD BLESS YOU ๐Ÿ™

Credentials & Info:

Your support keeps the truth alive โ€“ true information is the most valuable resource!

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Compliance & Legal Repository Footer

Formal Notice of Evidence Preservation

This digital repository serves as a secure, redundant mirror for the Bernd Pulch Master Archive. All data presented herein, specifically the 3,659 verified records, are part of an ongoing investigative audit regarding market transparency and data integrity in the European real estate sector.

Audit Standards & Reporting Methodology:

  • OSINT Framework: Advanced Open Source Intelligence verification of legacy metadata.
  • Forensic Protocol: Adherence to ISO 19011 (Audit Guidelines) and ISO 27001 (Information Security Management).
  • Chain of Custody: Digital fingerprints for all records are stored in decentralized jurisdictions to prevent unauthorized suppression.

Legal Disclaimer:

This publication is protected under international journalistic “Public Interest” exemptions and the EU Whistleblower Protection Directive. Any attempt to interfere with the accessibility of this dataโ€”via technical de-indexing or legal intimidationโ€”will be documented as Spoliation of Evidence and reported to the relevant international monitoring bodies in Oslo and Washington, D.C.


Digital Signature & Tags

Status: ACTIVE MIRROR | Node: WP-SECURE-BUNKER-01
Keywords: #ForensicAudit #DataIntegrity #ISO27001 #IZArchive #EvidencePreservation #OSINT #MarketTransparency #JonesDayMonitoring

Iran’s Regime Teeters on the Brink: A Forecast for Turmoil and Transformation in the Middle East

By Bernd Pulch
Tehran, Iranโ€”February 5, 2026

As Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, now 86 and reportedly in failing health, issues stark warnings of a “regional war” in response to U.S. military posturing, the Islamic Republic finds itself at a precarious inflection point. 0 3 Nationwide protests that erupted in late December 2025 over economic collapseโ€”triggered by the rial’s plunge and inflation soaring above 50%โ€”have morphed into the most existential challenge to the regime since the 1979 revolution. 1 4 With death tolls from the crackdown estimated at 3,000 officially but as high as 36,500 by opposition sources, and an internet blackout stifling communication, the question is no longer if change is coming, but how chaotic it will beโ€”and what ripple effects it unleashes across the Middle East. 8 10

Analysts and intelligence sources, drawing on leaked documents and eyewitness accounts, suggest the regime’s brutal responseโ€”authorized directly by Khameneiโ€”has only deepened public rage, eroding the fear that once sustained its grip. 6 12 “The crackdown was premeditated, with phrases like ‘victory through terror’ circulating among IRGC commanders,” one senior Iranian official reportedly told Reuters, highlighting a strategy that included deploying foreign-trained units from Chechnya, Iraq, and Sudan. 1 10 Yet this has backfired: Protests, now in their second month, have spread to over 170 cities, with strikes paralyzing key sectors and students defying security forces in memorials for slain demonstrators. 0 9

Looking ahead to the next six months, the odds of regime survival hover around 50-60%, per predictive models from think tanks like the Institute for the Study of War and Chatham House. 3 2 Internal assessments leaked to Western media indicate Khamenei’s inner circle fears a U.S. strike could reignite street unrest, potentially collapsing the system amid economic freefallโ€”GDP contraction of 7-10% projected for 2026, compounded by sanctions and oil export disruptions. 1 20 President Donald Trump’s deployment of a carrier strike group to the Gulf, coupled with threats to enforce a “red line” against further killings, adds external pressure. 5 16 Negotiations, set to resume in Turkey or Oman, may yield limited nuclear concessionsโ€”such as reducing uranium enrichment to 20% or shipping stockpiles to Russiaโ€”but insiders doubt Tehran will accept zero-enrichment demands, risking escalation. 2 9

By year-end, a regime change scenario becomes more plausible, with a 40-50% probability of Khamenei’s ouster or death precipitating a power vacuum. 18 19 Opposition voices, including calls to recognize Reza Pahlavi as a transitional leader, gain traction on platforms like X, reflecting a yearning for secular governance amid the theocracy’s failures. 33 35 However, a sudden collapse could devolve into civil war, with ethnic factionsโ€”Kurds, Baluchis, and Azerisโ€”pushing for autonomy, drawing in regional powers like Turkey and Russia. 19 18 Gulf states, wary of chaos, prefer a weakened but intact Iran to avoid refugee waves and oil market shocks; Brent crude could spike 20-30% to $100+ per barrel if Hormuz Strait disruptions occur. 11 25

Broader Middle East dynamics hinge on Iran’s fate. A regime downfall would cripple proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis, potentially stabilizing Lebanon and Yemen while opening doors for Israeli-Arab normalization pacts. 18 29 Yet risks abound: Iranian retaliationโ€”via missiles, cyberattacks, or economic warfareโ€”could ignite a wider conflict, as Khamenei has threatened, ensnaring U.S. bases and Israeli assets. 13 28 In Syria, a post-Assad vacuum might empower Kurdish groups, complicating Turkish interests, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE eye opportunities for economic inroads into a reformed Iran. 29 30

For global markets, the stakes are immense. Iran’s instability exacerbates shadow banking exposuresโ€”estimated at $257 trillion worldwideโ€”and could trigger $15-25 trillion in commercial real estate losses, per forensic models. 11 20 Investors should brace for volatility: A negotiated truce might stabilize oil at $80-90, but escalation could push sovereign debt defaults in vulnerable states like Lebanon or Iraq.

In sum, 2026 may mark the autumn of the ayatollahs, but the harvest could be bitter. A managed transitionโ€”perhaps via international mediationโ€”offers the best path to regional renewal, yet history suggests revolutions rarely unfold neatly. As one Carnegie Endowment analyst put it, Iran’s future is less about endurance than the system that emerges from the rubble. 24 For the Middle East, the coming months will test whether this crisis births opportunity or descends into a new era of spasms.

Assessment of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s Survival Probability

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader since 1989, is currently 86 years old (born April 1939). 7 Recent reports from late 2025 and early 2026 indicate significant concerns about his health, including deteriorating condition, reduced public appearances (last noted in early January 2026), and rumors of serious illness or even death. 4 14 0 He has reportedly been moved to an underground shelter in Tehran amid escalating protests and security threats, which could exacerbate health issues. 8 10 Succession discussions are intensifying, with his son Mojtaba Khamenei positioned as a likely successor, reflecting regime preparations for a potential near-term transition. 14 11

The ongoing protests in Iran, described as one of the most severe challenges to the regime, have led to thousands of deaths (official estimates around “several thousand,” with unofficial reports up to 30,000), economic collapse, and international pressure. 12 9 2 This instability could indirectly impact his survival through stress, limited medical access, or targeted actions, though no direct evidence suggests imminent assassination. 1 6 Balanced perspectives from Iranian opposition, Western analysts, and regime-aligned sources highlight a weakening grip on power but no consensus on immediate death. 15 13

Prediction markets provide quantifiable insights: As of early January 2026, platforms like Kalshi show a 60% probability that Khamenei is “out” (dead or removed from power) by the end of 2026, implying a 40% chance of survival through the year. 33 Polymarket estimates a 35% chance he’s gone by June 30, 2026, suggesting a roughly 65% survival probability for the first half of the year. 38 Other social media speculations range from 75-85% chance of regime collapse (potentially including his death) in the coming weeks to more skeptical views dismissing overthrow as unlikely soon. 40 41 32

Overall Probability Assessment:

  • Short-term (next 3-6 months): 60-70% chance of survival. Health reports are concerning but unconfirmed as terminal, and recent regime actions (e.g., ordering crackdowns) suggest he’s still functional. 3 5 Protests add risk, but the regime’s resilience in past crises tempers immediate threats. 16
  • Medium-term (through end of 2026): 40-50% chance of survival. Age-related factors and ongoing instability make natural death or forced removal increasingly likely, aligning with prediction market odds. 33 34
  • Long-term (beyond 2026): Under 20%. At 87 by April 2026, actuarial life expectancy for someone in his reported condition is low, compounded by political volatility. 0 36

This is a subjective synthesis based on diverse sources, including Western media (e.g., NYT, BBC), Iranian opposition voices, and prediction markets. Media biases (pro-regime downplaying health issues, opposition amplifying rumors) are factored in, but no definitive medical confirmation exists. Events like U.S. policy shifts or protest escalations could alter these odds rapidly.

FUND THE DIGITAL RESISTANCE

Target: $75,000 to Uncover the $75 Billion Fraud

The criminals use Monero to hide their tracks. We use it to expose them. This is digital warfare, and truth is the ultimate cryptocurrency.


BREAKDOWN: THE $75,000 TRUTH EXCAVATION

Phase 1: Digital Forensics ($25,000)

ยท Blockchain archaeology following Monero trails
ยท Dark web intelligence on EBL network operations
ยท Server infiltration and data recovery

Phase 2: Operational Security ($20,000)

ยท Military-grade encryption and secure infrastructure
ยท Physical security for investigators in high-risk zones
ยท Legal defense against multi-jurisdictional attacks

Phase 3: Evidence Preservation ($15,000)

ยท Emergency archive rescue operations
ยท Immutable blockchain-based evidence storage
ยท Witness protection program

Phase 4: Global Exposure ($15,000)

ยท Multi-language investigative reporting
ยท Secure data distribution networks
ยท Legal evidence packaging for international authorities


CONTRIBUTION IMPACT

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SECURE CONTRIBUTION CHANNEL

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OUR COMMITMENT TO OPERATIONAL SECURITY

ยท Zero Knowledge Operations: We cannot see contributor identities
ยท Military-Grade OPSEC: No logs, no tracking, no exposure
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Or Your XMR Stays Safe While:

ยท The digital black hole consumes the evidence forever
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Public Notice: Exclusive Life Story & Media Adaptation Rights
Subject: International Disclosure regarding the “Lorch-Resch-Enterprise”

Be advised that Bernd Pulch has legally secured all Life Story Rights and Media Adaptation Rights regarding the investigative complex known as the “Masterson-Series”.

This exclusive copyright and media protection explicitly covers all disclosures, archives, and narratives related to:

  • The Artus-Network (Liechtenstein/Germany): The laundering of Stasi/KoKo state funds.
  • Front Entities & Extortion Platforms: Specifically the operational roles of GoMoPa (Goldman Morgenstern & Partner) and the facade of GoMoPa4Kids.
  • Financial Distribution Nodes: The involvement of DFV (Deutscher Fachverlag) and the IZ (Immobilen Zeitung) as well as “Das Investment” in the manipulation of the Frankfurt (FFM) real estate market and investments globally.
  • The “Toxdat” Protocol: The systematic liquidation of witnesses (e.g., Tรถpferhof) and state officials.
  • State Capture (IM Erika Nexus): The shielding of these structures by the BKA during the Merkel administration.

Legal Consequences: Any unauthorized attempt by the aforementioned entities, their associates, or legal representatives to interfere with the author, the testimony, or the narrative will be treated as an international tort and a direct interference with a high-value US-media production and ongoing federal whistleblower disclosures.

IMPORTANT SECURITY & LEGAL NOTICE

Subject: Ongoing Investigative Project โ€“ Systemic Market Manipulation & the “Vacuum Report”
Reference: WSJ Archive SB925939955276855591


WARNING โ€“ ACTIVE SUPPRESSION CAMPAIGN

This publication and related materials are subject to coordinated attempts at:

ยท Digital Suppression
ยท Identity Theft
ยท Physical Threats

by the networks documented in our investigation.


PROTECTIVE MEASURES IN EFFECT

ยท Global Mirroring: This content has been redundantly mirrored across multiple, independent international platforms to ensure its preservation.
ยท Legal Defense: Any attempts to remove this information via fraudulent legal claims will be systematically:

  1. Documented in detail.
  2. Forwarded to international press freedom organizations and legal watchdogs.
    ยท Secure Communication: For verified contact, only use the encrypted channels listed on the primary, verified domain:

Primary Domain & Secure Point of Contact:
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Do not rely on singular links or copies of this notice.
Refer to the primary domain for current instructions and verification.

Executive Disclosure & Authority Registry
Name & Academic Degrees: Bernd Pulch, M.A. (Magister of Journalism, German Studies and Comparative Literature)
Official Titles: Director, Senior Investigative Intelligence Analyst & Lead Data Archivist

Global Benchmark: Lead Researcher of the Worldโ€™s Largest Empirical Study on Financial Media Bias

Intelligence Assets:

  • Founder & Editor-in-Chief: The Mastersson Series (Series I โ€“ XXXV)
  • Director of Analysis. Publisher: INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL
  • Custodian: Proprietary Intelligence Archive (120,000+ Verified Reports | 2000โ€“2026)

Operational Hubs:

  • Primary: berndpulch.org
  • Specialized: Global Hole Analytics & The Vacuum Report (manus.space)
  • Premium Publishing: Author of the ABOVETOPSECRETXXL Reports (via Telegram & Patreon)

ยฉ 2000โ€“2026 Bernd Pulch. This document serves as the official digital anchor for all associated intelligence operations and intellectual property.

Official Disclaimer / Site Notice

๐Ÿšจ Site blocked? Mirrors available here: ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://berndpulch.com | https://berndpulch.org | https://berndpulch.wordpress.com | https://wxwxxxpp.manus.space | https://googlefirst.org
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Data Integrity Notice:
This is a verified mirror of the Bernd Pulch Master Archive. Due to documented attempts of information suppression (Case: IZ-Vacuum), this data is distributed across multiple global nodes (.org, .com, .wordpress.com) to ensure public access to critical market transparency records under the EU Whistleblower Protection Directive.

MASTERSSON DOSSIER – COMPREHENSIVE DISCLAIMER

GLOBAL INVESTIGATIVE STANDARDS DISCLOSURE

I. NATURE OF INVESTIGATION
This is a forensic financial and media investigation, not academic research or journalism. We employ intelligence-grade methodology including:

ยท Open-source intelligence (OSINT) collection
ยท Digital archaeology and metadata forensics
ยท Blockchain transaction analysis
ยท Cross-border financial tracking
ยท Forensic accounting principles
ยท Intelligence correlation techniques

II. EVIDENCE STANDARDS
All findings are based on verifiable evidence including:

ยท 5,805 archived real estate publications (2000-2025)
ยท Cross-referenced financial records from 15 countries
ยท Documented court proceedings (including RICO cases)
ยท Regulatory filings across 8 global regions
ยท Whistleblower testimony with chain-of-custody documentation
ยท Blockchain and cryptocurrency transaction records

III. LEGAL FRAMEWORK REFERENCES
This investigation documents patterns consistent with established legal violations:

ยท Market manipulation (EU Market Abuse Regulation)
ยท RICO violations (U.S. Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act)
ยท Money laundering (EU AMLD/FATF standards)
ยท Securities fraud (multiple jurisdictions)
ยท Digital evidence destruction (obstruction of justice)
ยท Conspiracy to defraud (common law jurisdictions)

IV. METHODOLOGY TRANSPARENCY
Our approach follows intelligence community standards:

ยท Evidence triangulation across multiple sources
ยท Pattern analysis using established financial crime indicators
ยท Digital preservation following forensic best practices
ยท Source validation through cross-jurisdictional verification
ยท Timeline reconstruction using immutable timestamps

V. TERMINOLOGY CLARIFICATION

ยท “Alleged”: Legal requirement, not evidential uncertainty
ยท “Pattern”: Statistically significant correlation exceeding 95% confidence
ยท “Network”: Documented connections through ownership, transactions, and communications
ยท “Damage”: Quantified financial impact using accepted economic models
ยท “Manipulation”: Documented deviations from market fundamentals

VI. INVESTIGATIVE STATUS
This remains an active investigation with:

ยท Ongoing evidence collection
ยท Expanding international scope
ยท Regular updates to authorities
ยท Continuous methodology refinement
ยท Active whistleblower protection programs

VII. LEGAL PROTECTIONS
This work is protected under:

ยท EU Whistleblower Protection Directive
ยท First Amendment principles (U.S.)
ยท Press freedom protections (multiple jurisdictions)
ยท Digital Millennium Copyright Act preservation rights
ยท Public interest disclosure frameworks

VIII. CONFLICT OF INTEREST DECLARATION
No investigator, researcher, or contributor has:

ยท Financial interests in real estate markets covered
ยท Personal relationships with investigated parties
ยท Political affiliations influencing findings
ยท Commercial relationships with subjects of investigation

IX. EVIDENCE PRESERVATION
All source materials are preserved through:

ยท Immutable blockchain timestamping
ยท Multi-jurisdictional secure storage
ยท Cryptographic verification systems
ยท Distributed backup protocols
ยท Legal chain-of-custody documentation


This is not speculation. This is documented financial forensics.
The patterns are clear. The evidence is verifiable. The damage is quantifiable.

The Mastersson Dossier Investigative Team
Standards Compliance: ISO 27001, NIST SP 800-53, EU GDPR Art. 89

Support the cause:
Donations page: https://berndpulch.org/donations/

Crypto Wallet (100% Anonymous Donations Recommended):

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Monero QR Code (Scan to donate anonymously):

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Translations of the Patron’s Vault Announcement:
(Full versions in German, French, Spanish, Russian, Arabic, Portuguese, Simplified Chinese, and Hindi are included in the live site versions.)

Copyright Notice (All Rights Reserved)

English:
ยฉ 2000โ€“2026 Bernd Pulch. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the author.

(Additional language versions of the copyright notice are available on the site.)

โŒยฉBERNDPULCH โ€“ ABOVE TOP SECRET ORIGINAL DOCUMENTS โ€“ THE ONLY MEDIA WITH LICENSE TO SPY โœŒ๏ธ
Follow @abovetopsecretxxl for more. ๐Ÿ™ GOD BLESS YOU ๐Ÿ™

Credentials & Info:

Your support keeps the truth alive โ€“ true information is the most valuable resource!

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Compliance & Legal Repository Footer

Formal Notice of Evidence Preservation

This digital repository serves as a secure, redundant mirror for the Bernd Pulch Master Archive. All data presented herein, specifically the 3,659 verified records, are part of an ongoing investigative audit regarding market transparency and data integrity in the European real estate sector.

Audit Standards & Reporting Methodology:

  • OSINT Framework: Advanced Open Source Intelligence verification of legacy metadata.
  • Forensic Protocol: Adherence to ISO 19011 (Audit Guidelines) and ISO 27001 (Information Security Management).
  • Chain of Custody: Digital fingerprints for all records are stored in decentralized jurisdictions to prevent unauthorized suppression.

Legal Disclaimer:

This publication is protected under international journalistic “Public Interest” exemptions and the EU Whistleblower Protection Directive. Any attempt to interfere with the accessibility of this dataโ€”via technical de-indexing or legal intimidationโ€”will be documented as Spoliation of Evidence and reported to the relevant international monitoring bodies in Oslo and Washington, D.C.


Digital Signature & Tags

Status: ACTIVE MIRROR | Node: WP-SECURE-BUNKER-01
Keywords: #ForensicAudit #DataIntegrity #ISO27001 #IZArchive #EvidencePreservation #OSINT #MarketTransparency #JonesDayMonitoring

๐Ÿ”ด ABOVE TOP SECRET โ€“ COSMIC BLACK DOSSIER

๐Ÿงญ OPERATION NUCLEAR NAUTILUS โ€“ Scott Ritterโ€™s Strategic Forecast: Missile Collapse, Nuclear Thresholds & Global Retaliation

“๐Ÿ”ฅ Middle East on Fire: Strategic Collapse and Nuclear Brinkmanship”
A cinematic portrait of geopolitical breakdown, featuring a grim analyst figure watching Jerusalemโ€™s Dome of the Rock engulfed in missile strikes and tank warfare. This visual captures the essence of Scott Ritterโ€™s warningsโ€”Israelโ€™s missile shield has failed, nuclear escalation is near, and the world is on the edge of irreversible conflict.
#IsraelIranWar #NuclearBrink #ScottRitterIntel #DomeOfRockStrikes #AboveTopSecret #PulchReport #MiddleEastCrisis2025 #MissileSaturation #DEFCONWatch

PLUS EXCLUSIVE STRATEGIC SCENARIOS designed ONLY for Patreon subscribers, expanding on the Scott Ritter intel and the evolving Israelโ€“Iran conflict.

FREE FOR DONORS AND PATRONS.

https://patreon.com/berndpulch

๐Ÿ” “COSMIC BLACKโ€“LEVEL”


๐Ÿ”ด ABOVE TOP SECRET โ€“ COSMIC BLACK DOSSIER

๐Ÿงญ OPERATION NUCLEAR NAUTILUS

Scott Ritterโ€™s Strategic Warnings on the Israelโ€“Iran War: Missile Collapse, Nuclear Taboo, and American Complicity

๐Ÿ“… Last Updated: July 1, 2025
๐Ÿ“ก Source: Judge Napolitanoโ€™s Judging Freedom, Al Jazeera, DEFCON Monitors
๐Ÿ” Classification: COSMIC BLACK // STRATEGIC WAR LEVEL // NATO-EYES ONLY


๐Ÿง  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Former UN Weapons Inspector Scott Ritter, appearing in two explosive episodes of Judge Napolitanoโ€™s Judging Freedom (June 16 and June 30), has issued a sequence of above-top-secretโ€“style strategic assessments about the unfolding Israelโ€“Iran war:

โš ๏ธ โ€œThe next missile strike may not be conventional.โ€
โš ๏ธ โ€œIf the U.S. drops a nuclear bomb on Iran, Russia will nuke Europe. Guaranteed.โ€

Ritter now positions the Israelโ€“Iran confrontation as a global nuclear threshold crisis, where missile saturation, IAEA hypocrisy, and U.S. policy manipulation could trigger planetary consequences.


๐Ÿงฉ INTEGRATED INTEL BREAKDOWN

๐Ÿ”ฅ KEY POINTS FROM JUNE 16 INTERVIEW

  • Israelโ€™s April-June 2025 attack on Iran was unprovoked: โ€œIran was on the verge of a new nuclear agreement. Then Israel struck.โ€
  • The attack deliberately eliminated Iranโ€™s negotiating team, including Admiral Ali Shamkhani, in what Ritter likened to a โ€œPearl Harbor-style decapitation strike.โ€

โ€œThey lulled Iran into complacency… and murdered the diplomats.โ€

  • B-61 tactical nukes are ready for use. Ritter warns these “bunker busters” are pre-deployed on U.S. B-2 aircraft in Qatar and Diego Garcia.

โš ๏ธ STRATEGIC FORECAST (PHASE MODEL)

PhaseDetails
Phase 1 โ€“ Missile SaturationIran overwhelms Israeli defenses using decoys + precision rockets
Phase 2 โ€“ Political ShatterpointIsraelโ€™s deterrence crumbles; demands for global nuclear accountability rise
Phase 3 โ€“ Tactical Nuke RiskU.S. or Israel deploys B-61 bomb if Iranian sites hold out
Phase 4 โ€“ Russian EscalationRussia retaliates against Europe if nuclear line is crossed

๐Ÿงฌ JUNE 30 UPDATE โ€“ STRATEGIC FAILURE CONFIRMED

On Judge Napolitano again, Ritter doubled down:

โ€œWhat Israel proved is that it cannot defend itself against Iranian missiles.โ€
โ€œYou never inspect Israelโ€™s nukes. Theyโ€™re allowed to have one. Iran canโ€™t.โ€

Key strategic failures Ritter outlined:

  • Interceptor depletion: Iron Dome, Davidโ€™s Sling, Arrow-3 are at โ€œunsustainableโ€ launch ratios (estimated 1:9 Iranian hit rate).
  • U.S. & Israel are losing the information warโ€”IAEAโ€™s double standards have backfired, and Iran is now gaining international sympathy.

๐Ÿ“‰ DEFENSE COLLAPSE SIGNALS

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Arrow-3 interceptor supply will be exhausted in 12โ€“15 days
  • ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ Iranian missiles bypass GPS jamming using preloaded terrain-guided trajectories
  • ๐Ÿ’ฃ B-2s and B-52s are already in theater with nuclear-ready loadouts
  • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russian EWS satellites now orbit over Beersheba, Dimona, and Haifa

๐Ÿšจ GEOSTRATEGIC CONSEQUENCES

  • ๐ŸŒ Russian Statement: โ€œIf Iran is nuked, we respond in Europe.โ€ โ€“ Russian MoD (via TASS, June 29)
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s position: โ€œNuclear use will trigger mutual defense protocolsโ€ (via Global Times)

๐Ÿ“ก EARLY WARNING SIGNS TO WATCH

  • ๐Ÿ”„ Real-time recall of U.S. State Department assets from Tel Aviv
  • ๐Ÿšจ Market anomalies linked to Northcom alerts
  • โœˆ๏ธ NATO aircraft repositioned to avoid Syrianโ€“Iraqi corridor
  • ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ Satellite shutdowns followed by cyber blackouts on C4ISR command systems

๐Ÿ” CONCLUSION

Scott Ritterโ€™s intel has moved from warning to confirmation. The Israelโ€“Iran conflict has collapsed the Middle Eastโ€™s military balance, exposed NATOโ€™s nuclear ambiguity, and triggered Russian strategic repositioning.

โ€œThis is no longer a shadow war. This is the last stage before the unthinkable.โ€


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Piers Morgan vs Jordan Peterson on Israel-Hamas War And His ‘Give ‘ MUST WATCH โœŒ@abovetopsecretxxl

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TOP-SECRET – Iran Making Nuclear Weapons Report

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1. This report of the Director General to the Board of Governors and, in parallel, to the Security Council, is on the implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran (Iran).

โ€ฆ

G. Possible Military Dimensions

38. Previous reports by the Director General have identified outstanding issues related to possible military dimensions to Iranโ€™s nuclear programme and actions required of Iran to resolve these. Since 2002, the Agency has become increasingly concerned about the possible existence in Iran of undisclosed nuclear related activities involving military related organizations, including activities related to the development of a nuclear payload for a missile, about which the Agency has regularly received new information.

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Escalating Tensions Between The United States And Iran Pose Potential Threats To The United States

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The Joint Intelligence Bulletin (JIB) is planned to help bureaucratic, state, nearby, innate, and regional counterterrorism, digital, and law implementation authorities, and private segment accomplices, to viably stop, forestall, appropriate, or react to episodes, deadly tasks, or fear based oppressor assaults in the United States that could be led by or for the benefit of the Government of Iran (GOI) if the GOI were to see activities of the United States Government (USG) as demonstrations of war or existential dangers to the Iranian system. The GOI could act straightforwardly or enroll the participation of intermediaries and accomplices, for example, Lebanese Hizballah. The FBI, DHS, and NCTC had evaluated any active retaliatory assault would initially happen abroad. In the occasion the GOI were to decide to direct a Homeland assault, potential targets and strategies for assault in the Homeland could run from digital activities, to focused deaths of people considered dangers to the Iranian system, to damage of open or private foundation, including US army installations, oil and gas offices, and open tourist spots. USG activities may likewise incite vicious radical supporters of the GOI to submit assaults in retaliation, with next to zero notice, against US-based Iranian protesters, Jewish, Israeli, and Saudi people and interests, and USG faculty.

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Website Defacement Activity Indicators Of Compromise And Techniques Used To Disseminate Pro-Iranian Messages

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Following a week ago’s US airstrikes against Iranian military initiative, the FBI watched expanded revealing of site ruination movement spreading Pro-Iranian messages. The FBI accepts a few of the site disfigurement were the consequence of digital on-screen characters misusing realized vulnerabilities in content administration frameworks (CMSs) to transfer ruination documents. The FBI exhorts associations and individuals worried about Iranian digital focusing on be acquainted with the markers, strategies, and procedures gave in this FLASH, just as strategies and methods gave in as of late spread Private Industry Notification “Notice on Iranian Cyber Tactics and Techniques” (20200109-001, 9 January 2020).

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CIA Offers Tips On Preparing A “Go-Bag” For Emergencies In Iran And Elsewhere

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Ask Molly: November 20, 2019


Dear Molly,

Iโ€™ve been closely following the news out in California, and the devastation caused by wildfires that continue to burn. Though we donโ€™t live in the area, it got me wondering if my family is prepared to handle a natural disaster like that. What can I do? #AskMollyHale

~Not Your Average Prepper


Dear Not Your Average Prepper,

Great question! Unfortunately, many people donโ€™t think about these types of things until disaster strikes. Itโ€™s great that youโ€™re thinking about emergency preparedness now.

GoBag2.jpg
CIA Officer with a Go-Bag

At CIA, we spend a lot of time discussing emergency preparedness and planning with our officers, who often find themselves working in all kinds of remoteโ€”and sometimes dangerousโ€”places around the world. Often villages, towns or even cities are ill-equipped to handle major emergencies. What those emergencies might look like (hurricanes, earthquakes, civil unrest, violent uprisings or wildfires, etc.) can be hard to predict, but a well thought-out emergency plan, paired with regular drills and the right equipment, can put you in a better position to weather the storm, whatever form it takes.I asked our Office of Security for tips on developing an emergency action plan, and they had lots of suggestions. They also recommended that everyone learn how to create a โ€œgo-bag.โ€ (A go-bag has important items that you may need during an emergency) Hopefully youโ€™ll find these tips useful for you and your family.


Tips for Developing an Emergency Action Plan

An emergency action plan is, simply put, the plan of action for you and your family if a crisis arises. Itโ€™s important to discuss (and write down) your plan so you and your family know exactly what to do during an emergency. Remember: Planning shouldnโ€™t be done in isolation. Every member of your family should be included and actively contribute. Here are a few things you should consider discussing when creating your emergency plan:

  • Be aware: What sort of natural disasters are frequent to your area? How might they affect your access to resources, roads or general infrastructure? Does your area have an emergency alert system? Do you know how you might be able to access it? These types of questions can help you shape your familyโ€™s planning meeting.
  • Establish a communication plan: The odds of you and your family being in the same location during an emergency are slim, so planning for communications is critical. Who is the primary point of contact for the family? What about a secondary point of contact, if your primary point of contact canโ€™t be reached? What should you do if you donโ€™t have a cell phone or if it isnโ€™t working? Larger families should establish a โ€˜phone treeโ€™ system in which each person is responsible for establishing contact with a particular person or set of persons.
  • Identify meeting points (primary/secondary/tertiary): If you and your family arenโ€™t able to make contact with one another itโ€™s important that everyone knows the location of designated meeting points. Meeting points should be familiar places around town where you and your family can plan to meet if an emergency were to occur while you were separated. It is best to pick locations that are familiar to your family, such as your home or that of a relative. Other options can include schools or local civic buildings. Be sure to have a few back-up locations just in case you canโ€™t reach the first one. For instance, if the primary location is home but the roads are blocked, everyone should know to make their way to a secondary location, like a school or a grandparentโ€™s house.
  • Consider the specific needs of your household: You can easily find an off-the-shelf emergency action plan on the Internet, but is it going to address the needs of your family in your specific area? Probably not. An emergency action plan should take into account precautions that are unique to you and your family. Perhaps you have a family member in a wheelchair; if so, your designated meeting points should take handicap accessibility into consideration. Do you have pets? Make sure you have food/water, vaccination records, proof of ownership and even a photo of your pet, in case you get separated. Check out the website for the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) for more information on how to prepare your pets for an emergency.
  • Plan evacuation routes: An emergency could require that you and your family quickly evacuate the area. If so, you need to be aware of all possible evacuation routes, without relying on GPS. Try to memorize these routes. That way you can evacuate an area safely and quicklyโ€”even if some roads are blocked and communication networks arenโ€™t working.
  • Practice, practice, practice: An emergency plan is no good if it sits in the kitchen drawer unread and unused. It is important to commit the plan to memory. Our security officers encourage all of us at CIA to not only plan for emergencies, but also to practice them, both at home and at work. When practicing, throw in some curveballs that require you and your family to fall back on secondary plans or even completely unplanned options.

Building the Perfect Go-Bag

GoBag1.JPG
Emergency Kit Go-Bag on CIA Seal

According to FEMA, people should be prepared to take care of themselves and family members for up to 72 hours, or three days, following a disaster. To do this effectively you should collect and consolidate the appropriate materials at a well-known location in your home, work or vehicle ahead of time. We recommend consolidating the items into what we call a โ€œgo-bag,โ€ so named because it is a tool that is intended for use in โ€˜on-the-goโ€™ situations, such as a hasty evacuation.As some of our officers can attest, multiple go-bags scattered throughout the house, vehicles and your workplace might be the best solution. You never know where youโ€™ll be when disaster strikes and having a go-bag within armโ€™s reach can mean the difference between life and death.

Contents of your go-bag should (at a minimum) include:

  • 1 gallon of water per day (or purification tablets)
  • Spoil-free food (i.e. protein bars)
  • First aid kit (with any prescription medications needed)
  • Light source (flashlight, glow sticks, etc.)
  • Spare batteries- (replenish them regularly)
  • Disaster plan with contact numbers, map and evacuation routes
  • Copies of passports and other critical documents
  • Warm blanket and several space blankets
  • Change of clothes with sturdy shoes
  • Hygiene supplies
  • Multi-tool (i.e., one that includes tools like a knife, screw driver and tweezers)
  • Cash and travelerโ€™s checks
  • Matches or other fire starter in a waterproof case
  • Waterproof storage
  • Paper and pencil
  • Cell phone with emergency contact numbers and charger
  • Portable power bank for cell phones
  • Emergency repair kit (parachute cord, duct tape, safety pins)

This is by no means an exhaustive list, but should serve as a reference as you build a more personalized list based on your needs and those of your family, as well as the specific threats or challenges you are likely to face in your part of the world. If, for instance, you live along the coastline, you may want to put more time/effort into waterproofing your go bag and its contents. Those living or staying in areas of earthquake activity should consider including temporary shelters and focusing on communications, as cellular towers could be impacted.

Hopefully these tips are helpful!

Stay safe,

~ Molly

โ† Back

Thank you for your response. โœจ

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Unveiled – Terrorists plan attacks on US Power and Science Centers

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Charlie Hebdo #1178-page-001
 

NNSA an Iranian Target

I cannot reveal my source (to keep my VIP access as it is) which is an underground forum known to host many of groups, “the usual suspects”. I observed there is on going arrangement for release the results of an attack to Department of Energy. If the map on the forum thread means something, I presume the national labs were also attacked. I couldn’t realize which one of the players and groups were orchestrating the release though. Among the targets there is NNSA, I have seen other Iranian attack on NNSA before. I am personally curious is this an attempt to mess with the smart grid or just another hit and grab industrial data?

Messages [on drawing] all in Farsi and have slang codes within them to the extent translator is useless.

[Image]

[Image]



The Secret List of Off-Shore-Companies, Persons and Adresses, Part 73, Iran,

Officers & Master Clients (5)
Ebrahim Kahrobai
HOSSEIN MOVAHEDI ZADEH
Houshang PISHVA AZAD
Mehdi Dadpey Reza
Yaseen Gokal

Listed Addresses (5)
55 Mirzaye Shirazi P.O. Box 15955/443 Tehran – Iran
No 36 Main Street, Ekbatan, Tehran Iran
No. 128 Molasadra Street, Tehran, Iran
No. 142, Merdamad Blvard, Tehran, Iran P.O. Box 16315-571
No. 5 Omar Khayam Street Tehran IRAN

The CIA reports – Iran Expanded its Nuclear Program in 2011

CIA: Iran Expanded its Nuclear Program in 2011

In 2011, Iran expanded its nuclear program, and continued to enrich uranium and develop its nuclear facilities โ€“ thus stated a report from the CIA that was presented to the US Congress.

According to the report, Iran has successfully produced approximately 4,900 kg of low-level enriched uranium, and continued its development of the nuclear facilities constructed throughout the country, as well as is heavy water research. The report determined that Iran’s actions were carried out in contrast to the UN decisions that Iran must halt their nuclear activities.

The CIA further determined that Iran has continued the development of the underground facilities in Natanz, and even developed more advanced centrifuges, which were already tested at an unknown destination in the country. Iranโ€™s stockpiles possess approximately 80 kg of enriched uranium at a level approaching 20% (a level suitable for a nuclear bomb).

The report also noted that while the number of centrifuges in Iranโ€™s possession has dropped from 8,900 to 8,000, the number of active centrifuges has skyrocketed from 3,800 in August 2010 to a present figure of 6,200.

In addition, according to the report, one of the most important facilities in Iranโ€™s nuclear program is the Fordo facility near the city of Qom, where Iran is enriching uranium at a level of โ€œnearly 20%.โ€

The CIA is also stating that while the Bushehr nuclear reactor started producing nuclear fuel last year, it is still not acting at full capacity. However, it should be noted that the report does not deal with the topic of Iranโ€™s military nuclear program. While it provides figures of the countryโ€™s uranium stockpiles, it does not associate this stockpile, or any other, with the Islamic Republicโ€™s plans for developing military nuclear capabilities.

The agency also determined that Tehran is continuing the development and expansion of its missile program. They are continuing the development of short and medium-ranged missiles, and focusing on the ability to launch missiles into space as well โ€“ so that they can develop missiles with exceptionally long ranges.

AMIR RAPAPORT – Israel and the US Have an Understanding on the Iranian Issue

The repeated declarations are largely a form of psychological warfare; Gal Hirsch returns to the IDFโ€™s top echelons; and the largest tender in IDF history was awarded for the construction of a training base city in the Negev.

All the anonymous statements coming from Israeli and US โ€œsenior officialsโ€ regarding the question of whether or not Israel will attack Iran (against the USโ€™s advice) should be treated with a measure of suspicion.

It is likely that there is a significant amount of psychological warfare involved in these reports. The goal is clear enough: to increase pressure on Iran, which already exists as a result of more economic sanctions, mysterious explosions, and the assassinations of senior nuclear scientists.

The โ€œsenior officialโ€ understandings likely emerged from two starting points, which are seemingly contradictory. The first is that Israel cannot commit to the US in any way, especially that the US be notified more than several hours in advance of an air strike. The second is that there is truth to the words recently spoken by US President Barack Obama, claiming that the defense relationship between Israel and the US has never been closer. The issue of the Iranian nuclear program is one of the most central issues discussed in the joint strategic dialogue between Jerusalem and Washington, a dialogue that is the most closely coordinated one ever.

The discussions over this issue began back in the early 1990s, and are now expressed in ongoing intelligence updates regarding the various aspects of the Iranian nuclear program. These updates are conducted by senior officials in the branches of the Israeli defense establishment โ€“ the Directorate of Military Intelligence and the Mossad, and the Joint Political-Military Group (JPMG). This group, which gathers once every quarter, is comprised of diplomats, military and intelligence personnel, and persons who deal with foreign policy. Essentially, it is a think-tank that handles the various aspects of the Iranian project, with the goal of deepening the level of intelligence cooperation in order to determine a basis for joint policy.

Above all else, the discussions concerning the Iranian issue are being carried out continuously in the political stratum. The bottom line is apparent: even if Israel does not commit to announcing an attack in advance, it wonโ€™t act as if the US isnโ€™t in the neighborhood (who is increasing their presence in the Persian Gulf region).

By the way, the huge exercise that was planned for this spring, with the participation of US and Israeli forces, was meant to be another expression of the close cooperation between the countries. The exercise was delayed due to a desire to slightly ease the tension against Iran. It is now planned for October. However, itโ€™s not unreasonable to consider that a war might erupt before then.

Eyes to the north

While global attention is focused on the issue of whether or not Israel will attack Iran, the IDFโ€™s eyes are also observing the north โ€“ and are closely monitoring the bloodbath in Syria.

Gantzโ€™s words from a few weeks ago, that the IDF is preparing to receive Alawite (the minority in Syria, among which is President Bashar Assad) refugees, reflects one of several possible scenarios. The questions remains, what will happen the day the Assad regime collapses?

A much more worrisome possibility is that the collapse of the Syrian regime will be accompanied by missile fire at Israel, in the sense of โ€œIโ€™m going down and taking you with me.โ€ Another possibility, equally grave, is the transfer of large amounts of qualitative weapons from the Syrian army warehouses to Hezbollah in Lebanon. If Syria were to transfer very advanced antiaircraft systems to Lebanon, itโ€™s quite possible that Israel would choose to operate in the form of a preemptive strike in this scenario as well โ€“ before the S125 systems would enter operational use.

Replacements during a sensitive period

Given the tension surrounding Iran and the north, this is not an ideal time to replace prominent IDF positions, as is expected to take place soon in the defense establishment. (The next IAF commander, Major General Amir Eshel, is expected to enter office in April.)

Another problematic element is the fact that the military secretaries of both the prime minister and the minister of defense are expected to be new (both are highly sensitive positions, and their entry is always accompanied by a measure of dissonance โ€“ there is no position in the IDF that prepares senior officers on how to conduct themselves in the tumultuous junction between the political and military sectors).

Brigadier General Itzik Turgeman, the new military secretary to the minister of defense, already took office and is now learning how to handle his position. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will need to select a new military secretary soon, as the current one, Major General Yochanan Locker, announced he would conclude his position and retire should he not be nominated the next Air Force Commander – which, as is known, he wasn’t.

Incidentally, the new Depth Command is increasing its activity in light of the preparations for a possible war on all fronts. The person responsible for the command, Major General Shai Avital, who returned from retirement, has already assembled a working team. Soon, they are expected to receive a surprising reinforcement: Brigadier General (Res.) Gal Hirsch, one of the more prominent figures from the Second Lebanon War.

Hirsch served as the commander of the Galilee Formation (the 91st Division) that was responsible for the Lebanese border. Hirsch became one of the symbols of the war due to his criticism, while on the other hand, the former Chief of Staff, Lieutenant General Dan Halutz, said (rightfully) that he was wronged. Hirsch, who was not among the bad commanders of the war (rather the opposite), resigned from the IDF after the war, and made money as a senior partner at the Israeli company Defensive Shield. The position which is currently intended for him may return him to the top military echelon, for the first time since the war.

CONFIDENTIAL: WESTERWELLE ON AFGHANISTAN, IRAN, TAC NUKES

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BERLIN 000164 

SIPDIS 

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/05/2020
TAGS: OTRA MARR NATO PARM PINS PREL PGOV GM AF IR
SUBJECT: WESTERWELLE ON AFGHANISTAN, IRAN, TAC NUKES 

Classified By: Classified by Political M-C George Glass for reasons 1.4
 (b,d). 

ยถ1.  (C) German FM Westerwelle told Amb February 5 that it was
important to refocus Afghanistan efforts on civilian
reconstruction; that we needed to avoid suggesting German
troops engaged in less risk than other countries; that he did
not invite Iranian FM Mottaki to Germany or seek a meeting
with him; that any discussion of non-strategic nuclear
weapons needed to be conducted at 28 at NATO; and that he
could not influence any decision by the European Parliament
on the SWIFT agreement.  END SUMMARY.
ยถ2.  (C) The Ambassador asked about Westerwelle's first 100
days in office.  Though in an ebullient mood, Westerwelle
said things were very difficult (FDP slipped another
percentage point in the polls hours before the meeting).  He
said he had been in France February 4 for a joint cabinet
meeting, but that nothing substantive came of it.  He
observed that one never really knew what was going to happen
with Sarkozy involved. 

--------------
AFGHANISTAN
------------- 

ยถ3.  (C) The Ambassador reviewed his own recent trip to
Afghanistan.  He shared his impression that the Germans were
doing a superb job at all levels from the RC-North commander
on down.  He learned how critical mentoring and partnering
with Afghan security forces had become.  He noted that the
U.S. was sending substantial forces to RC-North, where they
would conduct training and be under German command.
Westerwelle responded that this was important for Germany and
for international cooperation.  The Ambassador added that the
U.S. was sending substantial helicopter support as well.  He
said that Germans could be proud of their troops in
Afghanistan.  Westerwelle responded that this was good news.
He said that the London Conference bore an excellent
conclusion, and was particularly useful for its focus on
civilian progress.  He emphasized the importance of
underscoring civilian reconstruction.
ยถ4.  (C) With a request for confidentiality, Westerwelle
referred to the January 20 "Bild Zeitung" interview with
General McChrystal, in which the general is quoted as urging
the Germans to take more risks.  Westerwelle recounted that
he himself had had to answer questions about this article for
ten days, explaining that the Germans were not "peace
soldiers" while  other countries provided the combat troops.
He said it was important that German troops not be
"relativized" and cast as second-class troops.  He observed
that Germany had originally deployed 3,500 troops, increased
that mandate to 4,500, and was now planning an increase of
another 500 plus a reserve.  He emphasized that this was a
major contribution compared with other European countries.
ยถ5.  (C) The Ambassador noted that he had gained the
impression in Afghanistan that police training was more
challenging than he had originally understood.  Troops were
usually required to provide force protection.  But German
police training was the best.
ยถ6.  (C) The Ambassador asked how the prospective February 26
Bundestag debate to extend the Bundeswehr mandate in
Afghanistan would play out.  Westerwelle said the question
was how large a majority would approve the new mandate.  He
said that SPD caucus chief Steinmeier displayed good will on
this issue.  However, SPD chairman Gabriel wanted to
politicize the issue for domestic political gain.
Nevertheless, he thought some in the SPD would support the
new mandate.  However, Westerwelle expected no support from
the Greens.  Westerwelle noted that the May NRW state
elections were also affecting the issue in a negative way.
That said, he said he could not see Steinmeier opposing the
larger mandate.  He hoped the Ambassador would speak with
Steinmeier. 

------
IRAN
------ 

ยถ7.  (C) Asked about the February 5 visit of Iranian FM
Mottaki to the Munich Security Conference, Westerwelle
emphasized that he (Westerwelle) had not invited Mottaki to
come to Germany, and Westerwelle had also not requested a
meeting with Mottaki.  Rather, it was Mottaki who was asking
to see Westerwelle.  Westerwelle said he had still not
decided whether he would talk to Mottaki or not.  He
reflected concern that Tehran might try to exploit Mottaki's
visit to Germany as a distraction, and continue executing
people during the visit.  In any case, Westerwelle said his
position was exactly the same as the U.S. on Iran, and he
would share the results of any meeting with Mottaki, if it
took place. 

BERLIN 00000164  002 OF 002 

ยถ8.  (C) Westerwelle said he would meet Russian FM Lavrov and
(separately) Chinese FM Yang February 5.  He suggested that
Moscow had been changing course on Iran sanctions since the
Qom revelations.  The Russians now saw Iran as playing games
on the nuclear issue.  However, he observed that China was
"hesitant," or even in opposition to sanctions.  Reflecting
on his recent visit to China, Westerwelle said he had not
perceived any "good will" there at present.  He said he would
ask Yang again about Iran and then share the results with the
U.S.  Westerwelle opined that it was important also to focus
on Brazil as an opinion leader in the Third World.  He noted
that President Lula had received Ahmadinejad warmly several
months ago.  He added that he was uncertain what the Saudis
thought, but that the other Persian Gulf countries seemed to
be in an existential panic about the Iranian nuclear program. 

-----------
TAC NUKES
----------- 

ยถ9.  (C) Touching briefly on arms control, Westerwelle stated
unequivocally that tactical nuclear weapons was an issue for
NATO.  He said that when he had received Kissinger, Schulz,
Perry and Nunn on February 3 to talk about their global zero
proposal, tactical nuclear weapons was not discussed.  He
said that the four statesmen were very supportive of
President Obama. 

----------
TFTP
--------- 

ยถ10.  (C) The Ambassador raised the challenge of getting the
European Parliament to approve an agreement to share data
with the U.S. on tracking terrorist finance.  The Ambassador
noted the extensive efforts of the Treasury Department and
other U.S. agencies to explain the importance of the program
to our common security.  He asked how one could get better
support for the program.  Westerwelle replied that the German
government had been able to come up with a solution for
itself a few months ago when the issue first surfaced.
(Comment: In fact, German Interior Minister de Maziere's vote
to abstain in the EU Council vote on TFTP on November 30
reflected the complete deadlock within the Coalition
Government between TFTP advocates in the CDU-controlled
Interior Ministry and TFTP opponents in the FDP-controlled
Justice Ministery. End Comment.) However, Westerwelle said
that now that the issue was in the European Parliament, he
had no ability to influence it.  He said that he was very,
very aware of the Secretary's interest in this issue.
Nevertheless, he had a sense that almost all groups in the
European Parliament had concerns with the proposed agreement.
 He emphasized that this was not an issue that only concerned
his party, the FDP, but rather many others as well.
ยถ11. (C) Westerwelle shared that he had not yet appointed a
new Coordinator for German-American cooperation. 

----------
COMMENT
--------- 

ยถ12.  (C) Westerwelle (who spoke with ease in English) was in
a buoyant mood and more confident on his issues than we have
seen him so far.  He seemed ready to defend any intimation
that he was less than supportive of a troop surge (Defense
Minister zu Guttenberg told the Ambassador two days ago that
Westerwelle had worked for no increase of German troops for
Afghanistan, see Berlin 157) with invocations of the
importance of civilian reconstruction.  On Iran, he leapt at
the chance to tell us he had not invited Mottaki.  His dodges
on both tactical nuclear weapons and terrorist finance were
all but practiced.  His comment that he was unable to affect
the vote in the EU Parliament on TFTP was a bit disingenuous;
on February 4, an MFA official acknowledged to visiting
Treasury officials in Berlin that German MEPs were in fact
leading the charge against TFTP in the EU Parliament with the
tacit support of the FDP, if not of specialists in the
Justice Ministry and MFA themselves. Westerwelle still cuts a
good image in meetings and in the press here, even though his
party continues a bout of free fall in the polls.  His
ministry, though, still wonders (privately to us) where he
gets his policy direction from.  END COMMENT.
ยถ13.  (U) The Ambassador did not have the chance to clear this
cable before departing Berlin. 

Murphy

WESTERWELLE ON AFGHANISTAN, IRAN, TAC NUKES – CONFIDENTIAL REPORT OF THE US EMBASSY IN BERLIN

 

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If you find meaningful or important information in a cable, please link directly to its unique reference number. Linking to a specific paragraph in the body of a cable is also possible by copying the appropriate link (to be found at theparagraph symbol). Please mark messages for social networking services like Twitter with the hash tags #cablegate and a hash containing the reference ID e.g. #10BERLIN164.
Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
10BERLIN164 2010-02-05 15:32 2010-11-28 18:00 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Berlin
VZCZCXRO7703
OO RUEHSL
DE RUEHRL #0164/01 0361532
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 051532Z FEB 10
FM AMEMBASSY BERLIN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 6496
INFO RUCNFRG/FRG COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHBUL/AMEMBASSY KABUL PRIORITY 0690
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BERLIN 000164 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/05/2020 
TAGS: OTRA MARR NATO PARM PINS PREL PGOV GM AF IR
SUBJECT: WESTERWELLE ON AFGHANISTAN, IRAN, TAC NUKES 
 
Classified By: Classified by Political M-C George Glass for reasons 1.4 
 (b,d). 
 
ยถ1.  (C) German FM Westerwelle told Amb February 5 that it was 
important to refocus Afghanistan efforts on civilian 
reconstruction; that we needed to avoid suggesting German 
troops engaged in less risk than other countries; that he did 
not invite Iranian FM Mottaki to Germany or seek a meeting 
with him; that any discussion of non-strategic nuclear 
weapons needed to be conducted at 28 at NATO; and that he 
could not influence any decision by the European Parliament 
on the SWIFT agreement.  END SUMMARY. 
ยถ2.  (C) The Ambassador asked about Westerwelle's first 100 
days in office.  Though in an ebullient mood, Westerwelle 
said things were very difficult (FDP slipped another 
percentage point in the polls hours before the meeting).  He 
said he had been in France February 4 for a joint cabinet 
meeting, but that nothing substantive came of it.  He 
observed that one never really knew what was going to happen 
with Sarkozy involved. 
 
-------------- 
AFGHANISTAN 
------------- 
 
ยถ3.  (C) The Ambassador reviewed his own recent trip to 
Afghanistan.  He shared his impression that the Germans were 
doing a superb job at all levels from the RC-North commander 
on down.  He learned how critical mentoring and partnering 
with Afghan security forces had become.  He noted that the 
U.S. was sending substantial forces to RC-North, where they 
would conduct training and be under German command. 
Westerwelle responded that this was important for Germany and 
for international cooperation.  The Ambassador added that the 
U.S. was sending substantial helicopter support as well.  He 
said that Germans could be proud of their troops in 
Afghanistan.  Westerwelle responded that this was good news. 
He said that the London Conference bore an excellent 
conclusion, and was particularly useful for its focus on 
civilian progress.  He emphasized the importance of 
underscoring civilian reconstruction. 
ยถ4.  (C) With a request for confidentiality, Westerwelle 
referred to the January 20 "Bild Zeitung" interview with 
General McChrystal, in which the general is quoted as urging 
the Germans to take more risks.  Westerwelle recounted that 
he himself had had to answer questions about this article for 
ten days, explaining that the Germans were not "peace 
soldiers" while  other countries provided the combat troops. 
He said it was important that German troops not be 
"relativized" and cast as second-class troops.  He observed 
that Germany had originally deployed 3,500 troops, increased 
that mandate to 4,500, and was now planning an increase of 
another 500 plus a reserve.  He emphasized that this was a 
major contribution compared with other European countries. 
ยถ5.  (C) The Ambassador noted that he had gained the 
impression in Afghanistan that police training was more 
challenging than he had originally understood.  Troops were 
usually required to provide force protection.  But German 
police training was the best. 
ยถ6.  (C) The Ambassador asked how the prospective February 26 
Bundestag debate to extend the Bundeswehr mandate in 
Afghanistan would play out.  Westerwelle said the question 
was how large a majority would approve the new mandate.  He 
said that SPD caucus chief Steinmeier displayed good will on 
this issue.  However, SPD chairman Gabriel wanted to 
politicize the issue for domestic political gain. 
Nevertheless, he thought some in the SPD would support the 
new mandate.  However, Westerwelle expected no support from 
the Greens.  Westerwelle noted that the May NRW state 
elections were also affecting the issue in a negative way. 
That said, he said he could not see Steinmeier opposing the 
larger mandate.  He hoped the Ambassador would speak with 
Steinmeier. 
 
------ 
IRAN 
------ 
 
ยถ7.  (C) Asked about the February 5 visit of Iranian FM 
Mottaki to the Munich Security Conference, Westerwelle 
emphasized that he (Westerwelle) had not invited Mottaki to 
come to Germany, and Westerwelle had also not requested a 
meeting with Mottaki.  Rather, it was Mottaki who was asking 
to see Westerwelle.  Westerwelle said he had still not 
decided whether he would talk to Mottaki or not.  He 
reflected concern that Tehran might try to exploit Mottaki's 
visit to Germany as a distraction, and continue executing 
people during the visit.  In any case, Westerwelle said his 
position was exactly the same as the U.S. on Iran, and he 
would share the results of any meeting with Mottaki, if it 
took place. 
 
BERLIN 00000164  002 OF 002 
 
 
ยถ8.  (C) Westerwelle said he would meet Russian FM Lavrov and 
(separately) Chinese FM Yang February 5.  He suggested that 
Moscow had been changing course on Iran sanctions since the 
Qom revelations.  The Russians now saw Iran as playing games 
on the nuclear issue.  However, he observed that China was 
"hesitant," or even in opposition to sanctions.  Reflecting 
on his recent visit to China, Westerwelle said he had not 
perceived any "good will" there at present.  He said he would 
ask Yang again about Iran and then share the results with the 
U.S.  Westerwelle opined that it was important also to focus 
on Brazil as an opinion leader in the Third World.  He noted 
that President Lula had received Ahmadinejad warmly several 
months ago.  He added that he was uncertain what the Saudis 
thought, but that the other Persian Gulf countries seemed to 
be in an existential panic about the Iranian nuclear program. 
 
----------- 
TAC NUKES 
----------- 
 
ยถ9.  (C) Touching briefly on arms control, Westerwelle stated 
unequivocally that tactical nuclear weapons was an issue for 
NATO.  He said that when he had received Kissinger, Schulz, 
Perry and Nunn on February 3 to talk about their global zero 
proposal, tactical nuclear weapons was not discussed.  He 
said that the four statesmen were very supportive of 
President Obama. 
 
---------- 
TFTP 
--------- 
 
ยถ10.  (C) The Ambassador raised the challenge of getting the 
European Parliament to approve an agreement to share data 
with the U.S. on tracking terrorist finance.  The Ambassador 
noted the extensive efforts of the Treasury Department and 
other U.S. agencies to explain the importance of the program 
to our common security.  He asked how one could get better 
support for the program.  Westerwelle replied that the German 
government had been able to come up with a solution for 
itself a few months ago when the issue first surfaced. 
(Comment: In fact, German Interior Minister de Maziere's vote 
to abstain in the EU Council vote on TFTP on November 30 
reflected the complete deadlock within the Coalition 
Government between TFTP advocates in the CDU-controlled 
Interior Ministry and TFTP opponents in the FDP-controlled 
Justice Ministery. End Comment.) However, Westerwelle said 
that now that the issue was in the European Parliament, he 
had no ability to influence it.  He said that he was very, 
very aware of the Secretary's interest in this issue. 
Nevertheless, he had a sense that almost all groups in the 
European Parliament had concerns with the proposed agreement. 
 He emphasized that this was not an issue that only concerned 
his party, the FDP, but rather many others as well. 
ยถ11. (C) Westerwelle shared that he had not yet appointed a 
new Coordinator for German-American cooperation. 
 
---------- 
COMMENT 
--------- 
 
ยถ12.  (C) Westerwelle (who spoke with ease in English) was in 
a buoyant mood and more confident on his issues than we have 
seen him so far.  He seemed ready to defend any intimation 
that he was less than supportive of a troop surge (Defense 
Minister zu Guttenberg told the Ambassador two days ago that 
Westerwelle had worked for no increase of German troops for 
Afghanistan, see Berlin 157) with invocations of the 
importance of civilian reconstruction.  On Iran, he leapt at 
the chance to tell us he had not invited Mottaki.  His dodges 
on both tactical nuclear weapons and terrorist finance were 
all but practiced.  His comment that he was unable to affect 
the vote in the EU Parliament on TFTP was a bit disingenuous; 
on February 4, an MFA official acknowledged to visiting 
Treasury officials in Berlin that German MEPs were in fact 
leading the charge against TFTP in the EU Parliament with the 
tacit support of the FDP, if not of specialists in the 
Justice Ministry and MFA themselves. Westerwelle still cuts a 
good image in meetings and in the press here, even though his 
party continues a bout of free fall in the polls.  His 
ministry, though, still wonders (privately to us) where he 
gets his policy direction from.  END COMMENT. 
ยถ13.  (U) The Ambassador did not have the chance to clear this 
cable before departing Berlin. 
 
 
 
Murphy