China’s Four-Phase Military Plot To Invade Taiwan Exposed

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CHINA has unveiled a ‘four-phase military campaign’ to invade and take over Taiwan, as the threat of all-out conflict “grows every day”. China has developed a ‘four-phase’ military plan to invade and take over Taiwan. Indian broadcaster WION showed a copy of the Chinese “invasion playbook” which details the breakdown of a potential military confrontation.

War Fears As China Building Secret ‘Sea Hunter’ Torpedo Warships

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CHINA is developing ‘War Hunter’ ships capable of firing torpedoes, satellite images suggest. A new model of Unscrewed Surface Vessels, also known as USVs were seen docked at the piers on the north-China coast just miles from the Xiaopingdao naval base.

Taiwan Will Not Bow Down To China, Says President

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Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen says her government will not bow down to pressure from China and will continue to bolster the island’s defences in order to protect its democratic way of life. Tsai’s strong riposte on Sunday comes a day after Chinese President Xi Jinping promised once again to realise “peaceful reunification” with the self-ruled territory. Claimed by China as its own territory, Taiwan has come under growing military and political pressure to accept Beijing’s rule. This includes repeated Chinese air force incursions into Taiwan’s air defence identification zone. During the first week of October alone, Beijing sent some 149 military planes near the island, forcing Taiwan to scramble its fighter jets and sparking international concern.

China Ready For ‘Full Scale Taiwan Invasion’ By 2025 As Xi Warns ‘Failure Not An Option’

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CHINA will be ready for a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025 as the communist state wants to be at full power. Asia politics expert Helen Davidson reflected on the ominous predictions by Taiwan’s Defence Minister as World War 3 fears have been sparked. While speaking to ABC News, she said Taiwan Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-Cheng believes China is capable of invading Taiwan.

Hypersonic Showdown – Putin Tests Terrifying New Weapon – Days After US Missile Launch

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RUSSIA said on Monday it had successfully test-launched a hypersonic cruise missile from a submarine for the first time – days after the USA confirmed it had tested a weapon of its own. The Zircon, or Tsirkon, missile has been touted by Russian President Vladimir Putin as part of his arsenal of supposedly unrivalled arms systems.

China Sparks WW3 Fears As Jets Enter Taiwan Airspace

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CHINA sent Taiwan’s airforce scrambling today after 25 Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwanese airspace, sparking war fears. Today Taiwan’s air force rushed to the skies after 25 Chinese military aircraft entered its air defence zone. The military craft were marking China’s national day.

Kim’s North Korea Fires Hypersonic Missile – Mad Rush For This Lethal War Technology

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North Korea has successfully tested a new hypersonic missile called Hwasong-8. Hypersonic missiles are new-age weapons that are much faster and more agile than the normal ones. These missiles are considered to have a combination of cruise missile’s manoeuvring capabilities and ballistic missile’s speed. These missiles are so fast that they can achieve over five times the speed of sound – or about 6,200 km per hour. China, Russia and the US are all pursuing hypersonic weapons technologies, setting the stage for an arms race. #HypersonicMissiles #HypersonicWeapons #NorthKorea #KimJongun

War Fears Explode As China Sends 19 Fighter Jets Into Taiwan Airspace – Island On Alert

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China has deployed 19 fighter jets into Taiwan airspace, sparking fears of imminent conflict. A swarm of jets entered Taiwan’s air defence zone on Thursday and included 12 J-16 fighters and two nuclear-capable H-6 bombers, the Taiwan defence ministry said.

Will There Be a World War III As the North Korean Threat Rises?

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Will China Invade Taiwan? Beijing Media Claims Western Soldiers Will ‘Waste Their Lives’

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China is on the offensive regarding the new Aukus pact for the Indo-Pacific region. Will China invade Taiwan as a result? Taiwan has welcomed the Aukus pact between the UK, USA and Australia, whereas China and some key allies have decried the new agreement.

SKY – China’s Military Equipment Is ‘Clearly Offensively Minded’

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Australian National University’s John Blaxland says the military equipment and weapons being “churned out” in China are “clearly offensively minded”. “Precision hyper-sonic missiles and other types of systems,” he told Sky News host Catherine McGregor. “When you couple that with the rhetoric, it is generating considerable unease around the region and justifying – quite compellingly in my view – a doubling-down on defence capability.” His comments come as Australia is set to acquire a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines amid the forming of the trilateral AUKUS partnership.

SKY – Milley Acted ‘Responsibly’ In Calling China Twice

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The Australian Foreign Editor Greg Sheridan says he thinks US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mike Milley had acted “responsibly” after it was reported he called China twice. Mr Milley reportedly twice called his counterpart in the Chinese dictatorship, General Li Zuocheng to assure him of the ‘stabilisation’ of the American government and claimed he would tell him if America was ever going to attack. “If Trump ordered an attack on China, and Milley said ‘no, I’m in the chain of command, you can’t do that’, Trump could sack Milley, Milley would be sacked, Trump could restate the order and the order would be carried out,” Mr Sheridan told Sky News host Andrew Bolt.

“So, the most that Milley could do is delay things for maybe 24 hours. “Milley may not be the greatest bloke in the world, but I think for him simply to say ‘the President seems very unstable, if there’s an order for a military action, it has to go through me as the top soldier’, I’m glad that he did that.”

‘Day Will Come Soon’ China’s Chilling Warning To US About Warships ‘Sailing Near Hawaii’ 

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Tensions between China and the US continue to boil amid another Beijing about warships “showing up near Hawaii”. Earlier this month, the US deployed the Carl Vinson Carrier Strike Group (VINCSG) to the highly contested South China Sea for the first time during the group’s 2021 deployment. The strike group is conducting maritime security operations, including flight operations.

North Korea Tests Long-Range Cruise Missiles: How Worried Should We Be? 

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How A Double Agent Prevented Nuclear War

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You won’t believe this crazy true story about a double agent spy who turned on his own country, but was he being followed the entire time? You don’t want to miss this epic spy story about one brave agent who managed to prevent an all-out nuclear war!

North Korea Resuming Its Nuclear Programme – The Stream

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North Korea appears to have restarted a nuclear reactor believed to have previously produced plutonium for weapons, according to a report from the UN atomic agency. The International Atomic Energy Agency’s assessment is based on satellite pictures of the Yongbyon nuclear plant because the group has not had access to the site since 2009 when North Korea kicked out its inspectors.

“Since early July 2021, there have been indications, including the discharge of cooling water, consistent with the operation of the reactor,” the report noted of the facility. The report also pointed out that from December 2018 until July 2021 there had been no indication of reactor operations at the site. Some analysts believe the resumption of North Korea’s nuclear programme signals Pyongyang is looking for the upper hand if and when negotiations with the West resume.

North Korea has said it isn’t interested in talks unless the US is willing to ease sanctions. In this episode of The Stream, we discuss the implications of Pyongyang expanding its nuclear program and its potential impact on the Korean peninsula and beyond.

TOP SECRET – The “Emperor’s New Clothes” Of U.S. Nuclear Secrets – USA & Japan – Original Document

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New Pictures Of Secretive Chinese Aircraft Carrier With ‘Clear Advantages’ To Challenge US

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Images of a new Chinese aircraft carrier reveal startling advances that could make it a serious threat to the US. Interim Dean at US Naval War College Peter Dutton today tweeted: “New pictures released of the Chinese Type 003 aircraft carrier. “It will be the first Chinese aircraft carrier to use a CATOBAR system and electromagnetic launch catapults.

Asia Radar – Ticking Time Bomb! – Beijing Stokes War Tension

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China’s latest maritime rules to regulate foreign ships is creating fear of a ‘ticking time bomb’ for a potential conflict in the South China sea. On September 1, China introduced the Maritime Traffic Safety Law which requires all foreign vessels entering Chinese waters to carry permits and inform maritime authorities of their entry.

‘Deeply Troubling’: North Korea Nuclear Activity Stokes Fears

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North Korea appears to have restarted a nuclear reactor widely believed to have produced plutonium for atomic weapons, the UN nuclear watchdog said, a likely signal Pyongyang is expanding its banned nuclear program. Signs of operation at the 5-megawatt reactor, seen as capable of producing weapons-grade plutonium, were the first to be seen since late 2018, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said in a report dated Friday. Robert Kelly is a professor of political science and diplomacy at Pusan National University. He joins us by Skype from Busan, South Korea for the latest updates.

Inside China’s Nuclear Arsenal

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SENIOR US OFFICIAL has issued a stark warning over China’s growing nuclear arsenal, warning one day soon Xi Jinping’s weapons will surpass Russia. China’s nuclear weapons could soon exceed Russia’s and create a whole new level of threat one official has warned. The stark message came as China is in the middle of quickly building its arsenal.

Taiwan Spends $1.4 Billion On Warplanes To fight Off Chinese Invasion

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Taiwan is to spend an additional $1.4bn (£1.02bn) on warplanes, in a bid to ward off possible Chinese invasion. President Tsai Ing-wen announced a 10 percent increase in the defence budget this year, taking it to $16.89bn (£12.36bn). Beijing claims sovereignty over the island of Taiwan and has threatened force to reclaim what it considers to be a lost province.

China’s Terrifying Threat To West: HYPERSONIC Missile Facility To Launch 23,000mph Rockets

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CHINA has issued its latest threat to the West, unveiling cutting-edge technology capable of simulating 30 times the speed of sound – technology that could give its missile arsenal the upper hand over the US. The world’s most powerful wind tunnel has been constructed in China, with the ability to hit speeds of 23,000mph.

Pakistan Is Now The Real Problem – Khan Is To Pivot Away From West

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The withdrawal from Afghanistan and the manner of it is the biggest foreign policy disaster of the 21st century. Its immediate impact is a humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan but its long-term impact will be decades of instability and the loss of Western influence in the region.

China ‘Already Preparing’ To Invade Taiwan – Jinping ‘Encouraged’ After Afghanistan Crisis

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War Fears Surge As China Vows To ‘Crush’ US Troops In Taiwan After Afghan Chaos

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CHINA has threatened to “crush” any US troops sent to Taiwan, following America’s disastrous pull-out from Afghanistan which left the Taliban in power. The threat was made by Global Times, a newspaper aligned with China’s ruling communist party.

‘Warning To Taiwan!’ War Fears Skyrocket As China Snipes US With Calculated Message

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CHINA has sparked fresh war fears after it warned Taiwan the United States “fleeing action” is a forecast in an apparent reference to the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan. The last few days have seen chaos ensue in Afghanistan as Western nations evacuated their soldiers and civilians amid the Taliban takeover of Kabul.

China Warning – US Told To Brace For ‘Multiple Wars’ With Beijing Over Next 100 Years – Video

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China and the US face “multiple wars” over the coming century, according to geopolitical expert Matt Gertken. US military planners have been warned to prepare for “multiple wars” with China over the next 100 years. Mr Gertken has advised the US to prepare for growing conflict with China as the two superpowers square off for global dominance.

Ellwood – UK, US And EU Risk A ‘Very Miserable CENTURY’ Unless They Deal With China NOW

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CHINA will hold “all the cards” if the West fails to do anything about its aggression according to an expert. Tory MP and Chair of the House of Commons Defence Select Committee, Tobias Ellwood, insisted the UK, US, and European Union needed to work together to resolve its issues with China.

World On Alert As China And Russia Send Chilling Warning With Step To Integrate Militaries

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Fears are growing over the prospect of Russia and China developing joint military capabilities that could spark another nosedive in relations with the West. Analysts say the two rogue states are on the verge of sharing each other’s electric communications systems to bolster their strategic presence.

Chinese Nuclear Attack Subs ‘Stalking’ Britain’s New Aircraft Carrier Across Pacific

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CHINESE nuclear attack submarines have attempted to secretly shadow the Royal Navy aircraft carrier HMS Queen Elizabeth as it sailed into the Pacific, it emerged today. But they were detected by anti-submarine sonar operators aboard the frigates protecting the Carrier Strike Group.

China And US On Collision Course Over Taiwan As Xi ‘Sends Very Clear Signal’ Of Invasion

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China could prevail in a conflict over Taiwan ‘even if the US intervenes’, a panel of experts have warned. The panel of experts, questioned during a virtual meeting hosted by LaTrobe University, set out to discuss the possibility of war in Asia amid surging tensions in the South China Sea.

“Aircraft Carrier Killer” – Beijing Sharpens Efforts To ‘Fight And Win’ In South China Sea

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China could use “carrier killer” aircraft in military drills as the Chinese ramp up efforts to “fight and win” in the South China Sea. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) will set up a navigation restriction zone in the South China Sea to conduct military exercises between Friday and Tuesday, according to reports from a Beijing-based paper aligned to the Chinese Communist Party.

Howitzers To Be Sold To Taiwan In £540M Deal Sparking Furious China Response – US On Alert

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Taiwan is to be supplied with British-built howitzers by the United States in a deal which could be worth up to £540millon ($750million). However, China has angrily denounced the news, coming at a time of rocketing tensions between the superpowers, with an official warning of unspecified “countermeasures”.

Video – South China Sea Tensions Boil Over As Biden & Harris Throw Down Gauntlet To Beijing

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Joe Biden and US Vice-President Kamala Harris will throw down the gauntlet to Beijing as tensions continue to soar in the South China Sea. Ms Harris will embark on her first visit to Asia later this month since she entered the White House and will issue a stern warning to China over the growing militarisation of the disputed waterways.

South China Sea Panic – Beijing ‘Readying’ For War With ‘Military Modernisation’ – Video

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South China Sea tensions could erupt after an expert told how Beijing is “readying itself” for war with its “military modernisation” plan, placing it in a position where it may invade Taiwan. Beijing has been flexing its muscles in the disputed waters in recent weeks amid rising tensions between China and western-aligned nations. China has stepped up its naval operation…

Video – Indian Missile Destroyer Heads To South China Sea Amid Unprecedented Tensions

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India is set to deploy a naval task force to the disputed South China Sea this month in an effort to counter China’s claim. Four ships will be sent on a two-month mission to southeast Asia, the South China Sea and the western Pacific, according to the navy who released a statement on Wednesday. The ships include a guided missile destroyer and a missile frigate.

War Fears As Top US Admiral Says Action Against China ‘Has To Occur Now’ – Tensions Surge – Video

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The TOP US Pacific commander has called for a “sense of urgency” in dealing with the escalating Chinese threat. Admiral John C. Aquilino, head of the US Indo-Pacific Command, urged America and its allies to push back against Beijing. Speaking at the virtual Aspen Security Forum.

China and Russia’s ‘Team Up’ Could Spark International Disaster As Beijing May Invade – Video

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The UK and its Western allies have been warned by a Conservative MP of an international crisis as China and Russia team up. Tory MP and Chair of the House of Commons Defence Select Committee, Tobias Ellwood, warned that China and Russia teaming up could be a big challenge for the West.

Russian Troops Mark Historic Team Up With China – ‘First Joint Strategic Exercise’

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Russian troops have arrived in China as the two nations plan on holding strategic military drills for the first time next week. The exercises are said to safeguard regional security and stability as well as securing the good relationship between Beijing and Moscow. The drills are planned to run for five days, taking place from August 9 to 13.

China Is ‘Major Investor’ In Britain’s Nuclear Infrastructure ‘Easy For Them To Spy’ – Video

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Colonel Richard Kemp discussedd China’s role in Britain’s nuclear infrastructure after two military chiefs have criticised China’s reckless behaviour in space. Former military commander Richard Kemp discussed China’s “major investor” role in Britain’s nuclear infrastructure.

‘Failed Miserably!’ China ‘Ran Rings Around’ US Military In Simulated ‘Taiwan War Drill’

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China easily outclassed and ‘ran rings’ around the US in a recent war drill, the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs has warned. General John Hyten has urged the US to rethink its military strategy in light of the results of the drill which he claimed “failed miserably”.

South China Sea – Beijing ‘Wants To Hide Nuclear Submarines & Missiles’ In The Deep Waters

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China “wants to hide ballistic missiles” in the deep waters of the South China Sea, an expert has claimed. China has been building up its defences in the South China Sea to ward off any attack on the disputed waters which they claim to own.

UK On Red Alert As Russia & China Posing Daily Threat From Space With ‘Reckless Behaviour’

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Both Russia and China are regularly engaging in “reckless” behaviour in space, bringing with it the risk of future devastating conflict, senior British military commanders have warned. Air Chief Marshal Sir Mike Wigson fears future wars will be “won and lost” in the heavens.

South China Sea – US To Keep Military In Philippines ‘In Case Of Conflict’ With China – Video

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The US military has secured a major deal with the Philippines which will ensure America has a base in Asia if China decide to launch all out war. US Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin secured an agreement from Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte to restore a key pact allowing military exercises between the two countries to continue.

Bellicose China Warns Royal Navy Taskforce To Keep Out Of Its ‘Waters’ – Video

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Britain is “asking for a beating” if its mightiest aircraft carrier challenges territorial claims in the disputed South China Sea, Beijing declared yesterday. The £3billion HMS Queen Elizabeth, which is leading the UK Carrier Strike Group, plans to carry out legal freedom of navigation operations in international waters.

South China Sea – Beijing To Become ‘Bigger Than US’ – MP Warns UK Doesn’t Have A Plan

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Tory MP Tobias Ellwood has warned China is on track to become “bigger than the United States” as he fears Britain does not have a plan. China has threatened stern action against the Royal Navy’s carrier strike group (CSG) if it does not “remain restrained and obey the rules” as it sails through the South China Sea.

South China Sea – Beijing’s Plan To ‘Control’ Waters Exposed As Tensions Increase – Video

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China is “building up the infrastructure” in the South China Sea to deter any future conflict in the disputed waters. China has made its intentions clear after claiming to own the entirety of the South China Sea. But the Philippines, Brunei, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, and Vietnam have competing for claims of sovereignty in the disputed water.

Get Out Now! China Issues Serious Warning At UK Ships – Video

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Beijing has fired warnings to the UK over the Royal Navy’s deployment in the South China Sea. The HMS Queen Elizabeth and her carrier group arrived in the South China Sea on Thursday and is set to sail through the disputed waters alongside eight other vessels in a show of strength to Chinese President Xi Jinping.

China Holds D-Day-Style Invasion Drills As Beijing Talks Tough To US And UK – Video

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China has held another set of D-Day-style military drills simulating an invasion of Taiwan as tensions between the nations continue to escalate. Fears have erupted over recent months that under Chinese President Xi Jinping, Beijing will use military force to reunify Taiwan with mainland China.

South China Sea Erupts As Beijing Threatens To ‘Expel’ UK Warships In Retaliatory Move

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Tensions in the South China Sea have reached boiling point after Beijing has threatened to expel HMS Queen Elizabeth and her carrier group from parts of the archipelago. The South China Sea is a highly contested region and faces claims from China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Vietnam and the Philippines. Diplomatic relations between the nations are already extremely strained.

WW3 Fears – Chinese State Media Urges Beijing To Ramp Up Its Defence – Video

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Chinese state media has reacted to Joe Biden’s threat of starting a ‘real shooting war’ by urging China to ramp up its defence. The Global Times has responded to the US President’s remark by urging China to gear up its military defence.

The Letter Dozens Of Retired Army Generals Just Sent Congress In Support Of Obama’s Iran Deal

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Obama's hidden Iran deal giveaway – POLITICO
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Australia May Be Left To Battle China ‘On Their Own’ – War Over Taiwan ‘More Likely’

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Australia has been warned to prepare for war as the US army is weaker than people realise, the former Major General in the Australian Army has said. Ex-Major General Jim Molan warned viewers that his compatriots could be forced to go it alone in the South Pacific.

Beijing Furiously Accuses UK Of ‘Provoking’ China With HMS Queen Elizabeth Move

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Bejing has reacted furious as a UK Carrier Strike Group, led by HMS Queen Elizabeth, entered the contested South China Sea on Tuesday. Beijing claims sovereignty over almost the entire region, though this overlaps with rival bids from six of its neighbours.

China Ramps Up Nuclear Capability As It Begins Construction On Second Atomic Base – Video

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China has begun construction on a second nuclear missile base, new satellite images have shown. The new silo complex pictured in the country’s far western region of Xinjiang rivals US and Russian construction projects seen during the Cold War, experts have said. The project encompasses an area of about 800 sq km in the desert near the city of Hami.

Space Wars – China Unleashes ‘Hot Core’ Laser Guns To Make Hypersonic Missiles Go Faster

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Beijing is set to attach new laser guns to their hypersonic missiles in an attempt to make them even faster. The scientists at a military institute in China are developing hypersonic vehicle-mounted laser guns.

South China Sea – British Aircraft Carrier HMS Queen Elizabeth Ignores Chinese Threats

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British aircraft carrier HMS Queen Elizabeth has ignored warnings from the Chinese and entered the South China Sea, leading to fears of reprisals from Beijing. One of the UK’s advanced flagship aircraft carriers, the HMS Queen Elizabeth, has sailed into the contested maritime region heedless of the vocal threats from China.

Bin Ladin Congratulates Pakistan In Light Of Its Successful Nuclear Weapons Tests

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Page 1 of 1998 05 29 - Bin Ladin Congratulates Pakistan on acquiring nuclear weapons (English)
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China Could ‘Defeat Australia Within 48 Hours’ Amid Growing Fears Of Pacific War

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Sentor Jim Molan has warned that Australia could suffer as collateral damage if a US and China war broke out. NSW Senator Jim Molan warned that Australia is unlikely to come out on top if it engaged in a war with China. While speaking to Sky News Australia with Chris Smith, he said China had the capacity to destroy Australia.

Macron Forced Into Humiliating U-Turn As France Teams Up With Japan In Anti-China Alliance

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Emmanuel Macron has been forced into a humiliating U-turn months after he was attacked for playing a prominent role in the EU-China deal.

The French President vowed to bolster France’s security ties with Tokyo in a bid to counter Beijing’s dominance in the Indo-Pacific region. Mr Macron met with Japan’s Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga and they issued a joint statement.

War Fears As Chinese Military Expert Warns US Over Taiwan Invasion – ‘Won’t Stand A Chance’

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The US “won’t stand a chance” of stopping a Chinese invasion of Taiwan as it would happen “in a very short amount of time”, according to experts. Du Wenlong, a military expert at China’s Military Culture Society, said that Chinese force would arrive on the neighbouring island quickly. Wenlong told China’s state-controlled broadcaster CCTV that this gives the US “no chance to intervene”.

Video – Australia Could Be ‘Collateral Damage’ In All-Out War With China Over Taiwan

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The US might not take action to stop a Chinese attack on Taiwan, an Australian politician has warned. Tensions over Taiwan have continued to increase as Beijing doubles down on its aggressive actions towards the island state. Recent months have seen a ratcheting up of militant rhetoric and continued incursions of Taiwan’s airspace by Chinese fighter jets.

Video – ‘Desperate’ Merkel Departure To Have ‘Major Impact’ As EU Wakes Up To China Threat

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Angela Merkel’s departure as German Chancellor has been tipped to have a “major impact” on how the EU faces up to the rise of China. Angela Merkel has been blasted for having “lost contact” with the “dire reality” that is China’s growing threat to European Union interests.

The ‘Fear’ Is A War Between US And China May Occur ‘And We Get Caught In Collateral Damage’

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Liberal Senator Jim Molan says his “fear” is that a war between China and the United States may occur, and that Australia gets “caught in collateral damage”.

“Or, even more frightening, the US – because it hasn’t won a war game in the last couple of years over a Taiwan scenario – is that they don’t engage and Taiwan falls,” Mr Molan told Sky News host Chris Smith. “That is the big problem”.

China Threatens To ‘Nuke Japan Off The Face Of The Earth’ As Taiwan Conflict Erupts

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CHINA has threatened to launch nuclear missiles atJapan on the eve of the Olympic Games as tensions of Taiwan threaten all-out war. China has vowed to launch a nuclear war with Japan if Tokyo intervenes to protect Taiwan.

Beijing made the threat as Japan prepares to host the 2021 Olympic Games, the East Asian superpowers have been in conflict over the status of Taiwan. …

Xi Jinping: China’s President And His Quest For World Power Nr 1

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China’s President Xi Jinping is a force to be reckoned with. As leader of the Communist colossus, he commands the world’s attention, but who is China’s strongman and what is his agenda?

Born into the privileged life of a princeling, banished to poverty in the countryside during a political purge, his early life formed and framed his views on power and control. His rise up the political ladder was propelled by party connections and an advantageous celebrity marriage.

As he rose through the party ranks, he carefully crafted his image. Today it’s a full-blown cult of personality featuring compulsory lessons in “Xi Jinping Thought”. China specialists say that the country has already fundamentally re-written the international rule book.

The question is, how will the rest of the world respond?

Blaxland – CCP Centenary Parade ‘Eerily Reminiscent’ Of Nuremberg Rally

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The ANU’s Professor John Blaxland says China’s parade for the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party of China was “eerily reminiscent” of Nuremberg-type rallies.

“The parade that we saw for the anniversary, eerily reminiscent of Nuremberg-type rallies with goose-stepping parades and fists of declaration of smashing heads – it makes Peter Dutton looks positively pacifist,” he told Sky News host Catherine McGregor.

“The talk of beating drums of war really makes it very very clear that the drums aren’t being beaten here, they’re being beaten in Beijing.”

CIA Intelligence Assessment – North Korea’s Lead in Artillery Poses A Challenge For The South – Original Document

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Israel Admits Attacking Iran’s Nuclear Programme, As Cyber-Attack Derails Iranian Nuke Plant

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Israel acknowledged that it was behind a cyberattack on Iran’s main nuclear facility on April 11. The cyberattack took place hours after officials at the Natanz reactor restarted spinning advanced centrifuges. These centrifuges could speed up the production of enriched uranium. Watch the video to know more.

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Top Secret – Mossad: Putin Prepares His Military for World War III – Video

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TOP-SECRET – Iran Making Nuclear Weapons Report

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1. This report of the Director General to the Board of Governors and, in parallel, to the Security Council, is on the implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran (Iran).

G. Possible Military Dimensions

38. Previous reports by the Director General have identified outstanding issues related to possible military dimensions to Iran’s nuclear programme and actions required of Iran to resolve these. Since 2002, the Agency has become increasingly concerned about the possible existence in Iran of undisclosed nuclear related activities involving military related organizations, including activities related to the development of a nuclear payload for a missile, about which the Agency has regularly received new information.

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Top Secret – Joint Chiefs of Staff – 3-72 Nuclear Operations

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Atomic weapons are a key element of the security condition. Foes progressively depend on atomic weapons to verify their inclinations. Those looking for approaches to utilize atomic weapons for pressure and war end present complex prevention and acceleration the executives challenges. US atomic weapons and the related capacities expected to lead atomic tasks are basic to guarantee a powerful obstacle.

2. Motivation behind Atomic Powers in US Technique

US atomic powers serve the national goal of keeping up harmony through quality. The National Security Procedure and National Protection Methodology are upheld through four head jobs for US atomic powers that guide the advancement of US power abilities and endorse the utilization of these capacities. These jobs are correlative and interrelated, and the sufficiency of US atomic powers is evaluated against every job and the methodology intended to satisfy it:

a. Hinder atomic and nonnuclear assault.

b. Guarantee partners and accomplices.

c. On the off chance that prevention fizzles, accomplish US destinations.

d. Support against a dubious future.

3. Prevention

a. Discouragement is the avoidance of activity by the presence of a believable risk of unsatisfactory neutralization and additionally conviction that the expense of the activity exceeds the apparent advantages. Sound prevention works by affecting enemy leaders through the show of US capacity and key informing of US resolve to utilize abilities that preclude the advantages from securing foe activity and force costs on them.

b. Valid atomic capacities are significant, as the President must have the way to react properly to an assault on the US, its partners, and accomplices. Atomic powers must be set up to accomplish the key destinations characterized by the President. Vital discouragement doesn’t stop once a contention has begun however proceeds all through the whole scope of military tasks. The utilization of atomic as well as customary prevention tasks during all periods of arranging and execution is basic to impact a foe’s basic leadership process, paying little mind to the phase of contention.

c. Notwithstanding dissuading enemies from propelling enormous scale traditional assaults or utilizing weapons of mass obliteration (WMD), atomic powers stretch out prevention to partners and accomplices. This backings limitation endeavors by preventing country states from creating atomic abilities of their own.

d. There is no “one size fits all” for prevention. Thus, the US applies a customized and adaptable way to deal with viably deflect a range of foes, dangers, and settings. Atomic weapons expansion, procurement of atomic materials of concern, and trade of specialized ability pursue pathways and danger systems like those of other WMD multiplication.

2. Vital Set of three

a. The US keeps up a set of three of vital atomic powers comprising of land-based intercontinental ballistic rockets (ICBMs), submarine-propelled ballistic rockets (SLBMs), and long-extend planes. Every framework gives solidarity to the US atomic power pose through one of a kind and correlative qualities. Further, the key group of three decreases the likelihood that a specialized issue in any one leg of the vital set of three or enemy specialized headway will leave the US at a vital drawback.

b. ICBM. The ICBM power remains ceaselessly on alert and furnishes the President with responsive choices. Adaptability accordingly choices and the capacity to quickly retarget confuses adversary assault arranging. With scattered basing, responsiveness, and powerful order and control, the ICBM power makes an uncommonly high edge for an effective, enormous scale, regular or atomic assault on the US country. The ICBM power is survivable from the angle that an adversary would be required to submit a huge scale use of atomic warheads to focus on all ICBM dispatch offices and control focuses.

A talk of ICBM capacities is found in Aviation based armed forces Convention Addition 3-72, Atomic Activities.

c. SLBM. The ballistic rocket submarine (atomic controlled) (SSBN) and its related SLBM give a guaranteed, survivable strike capacity. The SSBN power furnishes the country with an exceptionally solid, sheltered, secure, exact, adaptable, and viable obstacle capacity that convolutes a risk’s arranging, driving them to consider the reaction ability from SSBNs.

For more data on SSBN/SLBM abilities, allude to Naval force Fighting Distribution 372, Naval force Vital Atomic Prevention.

d. Long-Range Planes. Long-extend aircraft are fit for striking focuses the world over, giving an obvious and adaptable atomic obstruction capacity, while guaranteeing partners and accomplices. Aircraft give both standoff and infiltrating capacities expected to overcome an assortment of dangers, to incorporate current air safeguards, portable targets, and targets inserted in complex landscape. Dissimilar to SLBMs and ICBMs, aircraft are recallable.

A talk of aircraft capacities is found in Aviation based armed forces Teaching Addition 3-72, Atomic Activities.

3. Nonstrategic Powers

Double Proficient Air ship. The US and select North Atlantic Arrangement Association (NATO) partners keep up double fit flying machine fit for conveying atomic or ordinary weapons on the side of national vital expanded prevention targets and reinforcing local discouragement. These atomic powers offer a significant ability against provincial dangers, guaranteeing partners of the US duty to their security and are an unmistakable and noticeable message to any risk.

TOP SECRET – U.S. Army Threat Tactics Report: North Korea

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Page Count: 53 pages
Date: October 2015
Restriction: None
Originating Organization: TRADOC G-2 ACE Threats Integration
File Type: pdf
File Size: 2,690,302 bytes
File Hash (SHA-256):345786D6CBC1D7FFEA6FC3D4854FFEE7EF825AFBF92F765C5123221FCF5D20A3

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The Korean peninsula is a location of strategic interest for the US in the Pacific Command (PACOM), and many observers note that North Korea is an unpredictable and potentially volatile actor. According to the Department of Defense in its report to Congress and the intelligence community, the DPRK “remains one of the United States’ most critical security challenges for many reasons. These include North Korea’s willingness to undertake provocative and destabilizing behavior, including attacks on the Republic of Korea (ROK), its pursuit of nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles, and its willingness to proliferate weapons in contravention of United Nations Security Council Resolutions.” Some of the latest evidence of irrational behavior is the elevation of Kim Jong Un’s 26-year old sister to a high governmental post late in 2014, the computer hacking of the Sony Corporation supposedly by North Korea during late 2014 over the possible release of a film that mocked Kim Jong Un, and the April 2015 execution of a defense chief for allegedly nodding off during a meeting. Over the past 50 years, North Korea has sporadically conducted operations directed against its enemies, especially South Korea. These actions included attacks on South Korean naval vessels, the capturing of a US ship and holding American hostages for 11 months, the hijacking of a South Korean airline jet, electronic warfare against South Korean signals including global positioning satellites (GPS), and assassinations or attempted assassinations on South Korean officials including the ROK president. The attempted 1968 Blue House Raid by North Korean elite military personnel resulted in the death or capture of all 31 infiltrators involved in the assassination attempt as well as the death of 71 personnel, including three Americans, and the injury of 66 others as the North Korean SPF personnel attempted to escape back to DPRK territory.

The purpose of this North Korean Threat Tactics Report (TTR) is to explain to the Army training community how North Korea fights including its doctrine, force structure, weapons and equipment, and the warfighting functions. A TTR also identifies where the conditions specific to the actor are present in Decisive Action Training Environment (DATE) and other training materials so that these conditions can easily be implemented across all training venues.

Executive Summary

  • North Korea is an oligarchy with Kim Jong Un as its supreme leader.
  • The DPRK is a militaristic society with about 1.2 million active duty personnel in uniform out of a population of 24 million with another 7.7 million in the reserve forces.
  • All military personnel serve under the umbrella of the Korean People’s Army (KPA); the Korean People’s Air Force (KPAF) and Korean People’s Navy (KPN) primarily support the KPA ground forces.
  • The KPAF focuses on homeland defense and close air support to the KPA.
  • The KPN’s primary mission is to protect the North Korean coastline and support the KPA special purpose forces (SPF) in mission execution.
  • Much of the equipment in all military branches is old and obsolete, but the KPA has concentrated its modernization efforts on missile technology that may provide the means to successfully launch a nuclear warhead.
  • North Korea possesses a nuclear weapon and is modernizing its missile fleet in order to increase the attack range for its nuclear arsenal.
  • North Korea possesses both chemical and biological weapons.
  • The KPA practices both passive and active camouflage to hide its units, headquarters, and other important resources from the air.

Weaknesses

Although the North Korean military may feature some positive attributes as a fighting force, the KPA also suffers from many weaknesses as well. Much of the military’s equipment is old and obsolete. The North Korean military consciously refuses to rid itself of any equipment and still operate tanks that date back to World War II. This wide range of military hardware from many generations of warfare also generates logistical issues. The KPA’s supply personnel must not only find the spare parts for a large variety of equipment, the KPA maintenance personnel must be well-versed in the repair of a great assortment of vehicles and weapons. In addition, the DPRK lacks the logistical capability to support the KPA beyond a few months. Due to the shortage of fuel and the cost to operate vehicles for a cash-strapped country, many of the KPA soldiers find themselves involved in public works projects or helping farmers bring in their rice crops. Any time spent in non-military support is less time that the KPA soldiers can spend training for combat. Even the mechanized and armor forces, due to resource restraints, spend much of their training time doing light infantry training instead of mounted operations. While KPA soldiers may be well trained in individual skills or small unit tactics, the amount of time spent on larger exercises pales in comparison to most Western militaries. Without adequate time and resources to practice large scale military operations, the KPA will always face a steep learning curve when the KPA is forced to perform them in actual combat for the first time.

The DPRK’s unorthodox use of provocation in order to obtain concessions from its enemies—especially the US, South Korea, and Japan—is a danger. One never knows what North Korea will do next as, in the past, the DPRK has sanctioned assassination attempts on South Korean political leaders and conducted bombings when South Korean contingents are in another country, unannounced attacks on ships by submarines, unprovoked artillery attacks, or has tunneled underground into another country. US military personnel stationed in South Korea must be prepared for the unexpected from the DPRK.

One of these incidents could ignite the Korean peninsula back into a full-blown war. While an armistice has been in place since 1953, an armistice is just a ceasefire waiting for a peace treaty to be signed or for the resumption of hostilities. Any conflict between North and South Korea would inevitably bring the US into the conflict as the ROK has been an ally for over six decades.

North Korea’s possession of nuclear weapons and the missiles to transport it up to 9,650 km makes it a threat to US forces stationed in Korea, Japan, Alaska, or even the west coast of the continental United States. Even more concerning was the DPRK’s first successful test launch of a KN-11 missile from a submarine on 23 January 2015 since, in the near future, the North Korean submarines could silently move closer to their targets before launching a nuclear missile that would give the US less warning time. If the DPRK thought that the survival of its country or the Kim regime was at stake, North Korea might use any nuclear weapons at its disposal. The KPA also possesses chemical weapons and its doctrine calls for their employment. The DPRK is also involved in biological weapons research and would likely use those with offensive capabilities. US military personnel training for deployment to South Korea must be prepared to fight in a chemical, biological, or nuclear environment.

EXPOSED – U.S. Army Threat Tactics Report: North Korea

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The Korean peninsula is a location of strategic interest for the US in the Pacific Command (PACOM), and many observers note that North Korea is an unpredictable and potentially volatile actor. According to the Department of Defense in its report to Congress and the intelligence community, the DPRK “remains one of the United States’ most critical security challenges for many reasons. These include North Korea’s willingness to undertake provocative and destabilizing behavior, including attacks on the Republic of Korea (ROK), its pursuit of nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles, and its willingness to proliferate weapons in contravention of United Nations Security Council Resolutions.” Some of the latest evidence of irrational behavior is the elevation of Kim Jong Un’s 26-year old sister to a high governmental post late in 2014, the computer hacking of the Sony Corporation supposedly by North Korea during late 2014 over the possible release of a film that mocked Kim Jong Un, and the April 2015 execution of a defense chief for allegedly nodding off during a meeting. Over the past 50 years, North Korea has sporadically conducted operations directed against its enemies, especially South Korea. These actions included attacks on South Korean naval vessels, the capturing of a US ship and holding American hostages for 11 months, the hijacking of a South Korean airline jet, electronic warfare against South Korean signals including global positioning satellites (GPS), and assassinations or attempted assassinations on South Korean officials including the ROK president. The attempted 1968 Blue House Raid by North Korean elite military personnel resulted in the death or capture of all 31 infiltrators involved in the assassination attempt as well as the death of 71 personnel, including three Americans, and the injury of 66 others as the North Korean SPF personnel attempted to escape back to DPRK territory.

The purpose of this North Korean Threat Tactics Report (TTR) is to explain to the Army training community how North Korea fights including its doctrine, force structure, weapons and equipment, and the warfighting functions. A TTR also identifies where the conditions specific to the actor are present in Decisive Action Training Environment (DATE) and other training materials so that these conditions can easily be implemented across all training venues.

Executive Summary

North Korea is an oligarchy with Kim Jong Un as its supreme leader.
The DPRK is a militaristic society with about 1.2 million active duty personnel in uniform out of a population of 24 million with another 7.7 million in the reserve forces.
All military personnel serve under the umbrella of the Korean People’s Army (KPA); the Korean People’s Air Force (KPAF) and Korean People’s Navy (KPN) primarily support the KPA ground forces.
The KPAF focuses on homeland defense and close air support to the KPA.
The KPN’s primary mission is to protect the North Korean coastline and support the KPA special purpose forces (SPF) in mission execution.
Much of the equipment in all military branches is old and obsolete, but the KPA has concentrated its modernization efforts on missile technology that may provide the means to successfully launch a nuclear warhead.
North Korea possesses a nuclear weapon and is modernizing its missile fleet in order to increase the attack range for its nuclear arsenal.
North Korea possesses both chemical and biological weapons.
The KPA practices both passive and active camouflage to hide its units, headquarters, and other important resources from the air.

Weaknesses

Although the North Korean military may feature some positive attributes as a fighting force, the KPA also suffers from many weaknesses as well. Much of the military’s equipment is old and obsolete. The North Korean military consciously refuses to rid itself of any equipment and still operate tanks that date back to World War II. This wide range of military hardware from many generations of warfare also generates logistical issues. The KPA’s supply personnel must not only find the spare parts for a large variety of equipment, the KPA maintenance personnel must be well-versed in the repair of a great assortment of vehicles and weapons. In addition, the DPRK lacks the logistical capability to support the KPA beyond a few months. Due to the shortage of fuel and the cost to operate vehicles for a cash-strapped country, many of the KPA soldiers find themselves involved in public works projects or helping farmers bring in their rice crops. Any time spent in non-military support is less time that the KPA soldiers can spend training for combat. Even the mechanized and armor forces, due to resource restraints, spend much of their training time doing light infantry training instead of mounted operations. While KPA soldiers may be well trained in individual skills or small unit tactics, the amount of time spent on larger exercises pales in comparison to most Western militaries. Without adequate time and resources to practice large scale military operations, the KPA will always face a steep learning curve when the KPA is forced to perform them in actual combat for the first time.

The DPRK’s unorthodox use of provocation in order to obtain concessions from its enemies—especially the US, South Korea, and Japan—is a danger. One never knows what North Korea will do next as, in the past, the DPRK has sanctioned assassination attempts on South Korean political leaders and conducted bombings when South Korean contingents are in another country, unannounced attacks on ships by submarines, unprovoked artillery attacks, or has tunneled underground into another country. US military personnel stationed in South Korea must be prepared for the unexpected from the DPRK.

One of these incidents could ignite the Korean peninsula back into a full-blown war. While an armistice has been in place since 1953, an armistice is just a ceasefire waiting for a peace treaty to be signed or for the resumption of hostilities. Any conflict between North and South Korea would inevitably bring the US into the conflict as the ROK has been an ally for over six decades.

North Korea’s possession of nuclear weapons and the missiles to transport it up to 9,650 km makes it a threat to US forces stationed in Korea, Japan, Alaska, or even the west coast of the continental United States. Even more concerning was the DPRK’s first successful test launch of a KN-11 missile from a submarine on 23 January 2015 since, in the near future, the North Korean submarines could silently move closer to their targets before launching a nuclear missile that would give the US less warning time. If the DPRK thought that the survival of its country or the Kim regime was at stake, North Korea might use any nuclear weapons at its disposal. The KPA also possesses chemical weapons and its doctrine calls for their employment. The DPRK is also involved in biological weapons research and would likely use those with offensive capabilities. US military personnel training for deployment to South Korea must be prepared to fight in a chemical, biological, or nuclear environment.

 

World War 3 threat: Hawaii ‘prepares for North Korea nuclear attack’

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Authorities held a secret meeting last week to discuss contingency plans in the event of Pyongyang launching a deadly missile at the US islands.

North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un has threatened to drop a hydrogen bomb over the Pacific Ocean amid fears Pyongyang has developed a nuclear missile capable of reaching Hawaii.

A document shared at the private talks, and obtained by local paper Honolulu Civil Beat, featured chapter headings such as “Enhance missile launch notification process between U.S. Pacific Command and the State Warning Point.”

The US state, in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, will also begin testing a warning siren system in November, giving residents between 12 and 15 minutes to take refuge.

Resident wil then be advised to stay indoors for 72 hours after an attack.

State representative Gene Ward told the Washington Post: “Now it’s time to take it seriously.”

He said the plan was “not to be an alarmist but to be informing people.”

Mr Ward said the meeting last week was held in private because officials did not want to worry residents.

He also said talk of bunkers and fallout shelters was “probably more surreal for younger generations” with no experience of a realistic nuclear threat.

But Hawaiians are apparently taking the news in their stride, and carrying on with their daily lives.

Residents are used to disaster warnings, living in an area prone to hurricanes and tsunamis.

Survival guidelines for those scenarios are similar to the ones being issued for a nuclear attack – instead of seven days worth of food, water and medical supplies, residents are advised to double it.

The document distrubted at last week’s meeting suggested that around 90 per cent of the Hawaiian population would survive a nuclear attack by North Korea, based on the estimated yield of North Korea’s missile capability, which suggests an explosion less than eight miles in diameter.

It comes as America’s top military officer said despite an escalation in rhetoric between the US and North Korea, he had not seen Pyongyang change it’s military posture.

Marine General Joseph Dunford, chairman of the military’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, told a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing for his reappointment: “While the political space is clearly very charged right now, we haven’t seen a change in the posture of North Korean forces and we watch that very closely.

“What we haven’t seen is military activity that would be reflective of the charged political environment.”

North Korea has boosted defences on its east coast, a South Korean lawmaker said on Tuesday, after Pyongyang said US President Donald Trump had declared war and that it would shoot down US bombers flying near the peninsula.

Tensions have escalated since reclusive North Korea conducted its sixth and most powerful nuclear test on Sept. 3. Bellicose rhetoric has reached a new level in recent days with leaders on both sides exchanging threats and insults.

North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho said on Monday that Mr Trump’s Twitter comments that leader Kim Jong Un and Ri “won’t be around much longer” if they acted on their threats amounted to a declaration of war and that Pyongyang had the right to take countermeasures.

Exposed – WW3 ALERT ~ North Korea war about to break out triggering military invasion

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The highest tensions have been in decades. North Korea and the United States are at an entirely new level of conflict. At any minute something could trigger an all out invasion of North Korea and multiple nuclear missile launches at the United States, South Korea and Japan.

Shocking – California Preparing for Nuclear War Attack

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[ATS] Last month a bulletin was issued by the Joint Regional Intelligence Center, regarding preparing California for a nuclear attack from N. Korea. I know Kim would be insane to start a war with the U.S. and unfortunately we all know he is insane.

Things have ramped up since this was issued, and I’m concerned that our President is pushing Kims buttons. Kim has painted himself in a corner on this, and saving face could cause him to do something radically stupid.

It contains some advice that I think everyone might want to know. Readers are encouraged to familiarize themselves with nuclear response emergency procedures. How to lessen the exposure to nuclear radiation, and what to expect from the Govt.

According to foreignpolicy.com:

With U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un trading insults and threatening war, California officials are taking the threat of nuclear exchange seriously.

Noting the heightened North Korean threat, the Los Angeles-area Joint Regional Intelligence Center issued a bulletin last month warning that a nuclear attack on Southern California would be “catastrophic” and urged officials in the region to shore up their nuclear attack response plans.

The report cites North Korea’s late July test of an intercontinental ballistic missile that could, in theory, reach the West Coast of the United States. “North Korea’s propaganda videos feature ruins of San Francisco and Washington,” the document says.“North Korea’s propaganda videos feature ruins of San Francisco and Washington,” the document says.

The 16-page “Nuclear Attack Response Considerations” bulletin is dated Aug. 16 and marked for “official use only.” It was circulated last month to Los Angeles-area local, state, and federal agency personnel and also throughout the Department of Homeland Security and other federal agencies across the country.

The idea behind the unclassified report was to share planning and guidance with as wide a distribution as possible, according to two officials involved in responding to a nuclear strike and who received the bulletin. Many agencies are involved in responding to an attack and are often staffed with personnel without access to classified information.

DHS did not respond to requests for comment.

Much of the information in the report is based on well-known facts about the effects of a nuclear blast, including the effects of radiation, the possibly of an electromagnetic pulse disabling communications, and the destructive effects of the initial blast on human life and infrastructure.

Citing figures from the Rand Corp., the report says a nuclear blast at the Long Beach Port could cause more than $1 trillion in damage, including loss of life and destruction of homes and infrastructure.

In a section on “radiation protection basics,” the report offers a primer on what to do during a nuclear attack. “Lie face down and place hands under the body to protect exposed skin,” it recommends. “Remain flat until the heat and shock waves have passed.”

There are also sections explaining the basic mechanisms of a nuclear blast as it occurs and discussion of specific things expected to happen in the event of a nuclear attack that should be considered and prepared for in advance.

It also warns of the difficulties government authorities would likely encounter in dealing with the aftermath of a blast. The public will need to evacuate, the report says, but with “limited understanding of radiation risks, they will experience high anxiety and may be non-compliant.”

Challenges with contamination spread by pets and through clothing are among the many public health and logistical coordination issues spelled out for potential emergency responders.

“The consequences of a nuclear attack in Southern California would be catastrophic,” the report says. “Nonetheless, government entities and first responders are expected to remain operational to preserve human life, maintain order, and aid in the recovery process.”

The report, which is largely directed at local, state, and federal agencies and first responders located in the Los Angeles region, notes that the federal government will likely be of limited help immediately after a nuclear blast.

“[T]here will be no significant federal assistance at the scene for 24-72 hours following the attack,” the bulletin says.

China’s hold over ‘Rocket Man’ is key to avoiding nuclear war in East Asia

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US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un are playing a dangerous game of brinkmanship while also trading personal insults.

 

Most recently, Trump blasted the “Rocket Man” in his inaugural speech to the United Nations, promising to “totally destroy” North Korea if it threatens the U.S. or its allies. The Trump Administration also added new sanctions aimed at strangling its ability to work with banks.

Kim, for his part, resorted to calling Trump “mentally deranged” and a “dotard,” while his foreign minister threatened to test a hydrogen bomb in the Pacific.

 

With tensions escalating, it is important to be realistic about how we can get out of this mess.

 

In short, any nonmilitary solution will rely on China choosing to apply its massive economic leverage over the North Korean regime. In a positive sign, China’s central bank recently told Chinese financial companies to stop doing business with North Korea.

 

Overall, however, it appears that China has increased its trade with North Korea in recent years while doing fairly little to forestall North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. China’s foremost objective seems to be promoting greater stability from its volatile neighbor, in part because it fears being faced with a massive humanitarian crisis should the regime collapse.

 

But while the poor quality of the data hinders a detailed analysis, a quick look shows just how much leverage China has, if it wishes to use it.

 

 

North Korea’s primary patron

 

In general, exports from one country to another can be mostly explained by the distance between them and the sizes of their markets, a pattern that holds for China and North Korea.

 

Geographically, they share a long border, which makes China a natural, though not inevitable, partner for trade. As a case in point, North Korea also shares a long border with South Korea, but these countries have almost no trade between them. In addition, North Korea shares a small border with Russia, with whom it has little, though ever-increasing, trade.

 

China’s large market, proximity and – most importantly – willingness to trade with North Korea has led to a situation in which North Korea has become highly dependent on trade with what has become its primary patron. About half of North Korean exports and imports go directly to and from China and most of the rest of its trade is handled indirectly by Chinese middlemen.

 

North Korea’s dependence on its neighbor has grown alongside China’s increasing economic dominance of East Asia, which gained momentum 15 years ago when China joined the World Trade Organization. Since then, both Chinese gross domestic product as well as its annual trade with North Korea have increased nearly tenfold, to around US$11 trillion and $6 billion, respectively.

 

North Korea imports nearly everything from China, from rubber tires to refined petroleum to pears, with no single category dominating. Meanwhile, coal constitutes about 40 percent of North Korean exports to China.

 

Time to use that leverage?

 

However, recent events – such as the use of front companies by Chinese firms to evade sanctions imposed on North Korea and China’s reluctance to cut off energy supplies to the country – have led to some uncertainty about the extent to which China is willing to use this economic leverage to rein in North Korea’s military ambitions.

 

On one hand, China previously claimed to have stopped coal imports from North Korea as part of recent efforts to punish the regime for missile tests and the suspected assassination of Kim Jong-nam, the estranged half-brother of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. This was an important signal of China’s willingness to support U.S. concerns about the missile program since oil represents about a third ($930 million) of North Korea’s import revenue.

 

On the other hand, there is evidence that coal shipments in fact never ceased. And, in any case, China may have increased its imports of iron ore from North Korea to offset the lost coal revenues.

 

This is consistent with the idea that China carefully considers the resources and revenue that are available to the North Korean regime at any moment, and uses trade as a lever to control them. In this way, China walks a fine line between providing too many resources, and thus allowing the regime to prosper, and not enough resources, such that North Korea is in danger of collapsing. Ultimately, trade may be used as a lever to do some light scolding, but China’s overwhelming concern is preventing North Korea’s collapse.

 

Further evidence that China has tight control over the North Korean economy comes from a recent report from C4ADS. The research group found close, and often common, ownership ties between most of the major Chinese companies who do business with North Korea. This suggests that trade with North Korea is highly centralized and thus easily controlled.

 

Russia: North Korea’s other ‘friend’

 

China is not the only country that North Korea trades with, though the others currently pale in comparison. Other top export destinations include India ($97.8 million), Pakistan ($43.1 million) and Burkina Faso ($32.8 million). In terms of imports, India ($108 million), Russia ($78.3 million) and Thailand ($73.8 million) currently sell the most to North Korea.

 

Russia in particular may soon complicate U.S. efforts to isolate the regime. While still small, Russian trade with North Korea increased 73 percent over the first two months of 2017 compared with the same period of the previous year.

 

But whereas China is legitimately worried that an economic crisis in North Korea could lead to a flood of refugees or all-out war, Russia likely sees engagement with North Korea in much simpler terms, namely as an additional way to gain geopolitical advantage relative to the U.S.

 

A way out?

 

Nearly all experts agree that there is no easy way to “solve” the North Korea problem. However, one plausible approach is to encourage South Korea and Japan to begin to develop nuclear weapons programs of their own, and to only discontinue these programs if China takes meaningful steps to use its trade with North Korea to reign in the regime.

 

Threatening to introduce new nuclear powers to the world is clearly risky, however stable and peaceful South Korea and Japan currently are. But China is highly averse to having these economic and political rivals acquire nuclear capabilities, as it would threaten China’s ongoing pursuit of regional control. In short, this is a sensitive pressure point that could be used to sway the Chinese leadership.

 

The Conversation logo

 

One way or another, China must become convinced that the costs of propping up the North Korean regime through trade are higher than the costs of an increased probability that the regime will collapse.

 


This is an updated version of an article originally published on July 6, 2017.

 

Greg Wright, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of California, Merced

 

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

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After the latter sent the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier with its battle group to the waters off the Korean peninsula, North Korea has made a decision to stand against any further moves by the US. Amongst the other things, this issue seems to be taking up even more heat and tensions between the two nations.

Warning

The consequences will be catastrophic if further provoked by the US following their step of sending the navy battle group, said Pyongyang.

Donald Trump said to solve the problem of North Korea if China doesn’t help to put pressure on its neighbor to stop all missile and nuclear weapons programs they developed.

Tensions increase

The actual decision to send the aircraft carrier and battleships to the Korean peninsula came after tensions increased over previous military drills involving American and South Korean forces, which Pyongyang terms as a performance test for an invasion.

A state-run Korean Central News Agency quoted, “We will hold the US wholly accountable for the catastrophic consequences to be entailed by its outrageous actions.”

Donald Trump’s tweet

Donald Trump used his Twitter to communicate his latest warning aimed at the Pyongyang.

“Most of the US national security establishment accepted that any preventative strike aimed at North Korean nuclear facilities could trigger devastating reprisals against South Korea, Seoul in particular, and US bases in the region. US strike against a Syrian base was also being seen as a warning to North Korea.”

Breaking a UN resolutions

Reports claim that the difficult situation escalated after North Korea refused to obey UN resolutions banning it from developing ballistic missile technology. After that, the Korean nation did another test-launch during Trump’s summit with Xi Jinping in Florida.

Chinese authorities report

The Chinese Foreign officials have ruled down the claims that Beijing has situated 150,000 troops to its border with North Korea. Hua Chunying told reporters that she was uniformed of any mobilization by the People’s Liberation Army along the 880-mile border with North Korea and also claimed such reports are false.

She added that China was very closely following developments on the Korean peninsula.

We only hope that all involved sides should avoid doing any activities that could escalate the tension and make it even worse.

Images source: unknownfacts.info