BREAKING & DEVELOPING✌Iranian Attack started in Northern Israel✌

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HUGE DEVELOPMENT – Iran was very clear that its response would be disciplined and non-escalatory, – Reuters, according to a source familiar with US intelligence

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❗️During a TV show on Hebrew Channel 13, Israeli army commander Bar Zonshine admits to implementing the Hannibal Directive.

URGENT – Channel 13 on Israeli officials: If the response comes from Iranian territory, Israel will have to respond strongly and without any delay.

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Hillel Biton Rosen, reporter of Hebrew Channel 14: The latest assessment of the situation here in Israel indicates that Iran will attack in the coming days;  It is expected that this attack will include the firing of dozens of projectiles in the first phase from Iran, Yemen and Iraq;  There is a question mark about the possible involvement of Hezbollah and its proxies in Syria in this attack;  Air defense is on standby;  There is coordination with the Americans to thwart this attack at best.

Israeli Channel 14: The Iranians are preparing a multi-pronged attack from Iran, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq

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The Iranian delegation to the UN: An Iranian response can be avoided if the UN condemns the attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus.

Attack seems to be postphoned.

(Developing story)

💣 BOMBSHELL Israel is facing a multi-level attack on various frontlines, according to Marco Rubio, member of the US Senate Intelligence Committee

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BREAKING & DEVELOPING✌Iranian Attack starts – Hannibal directive implemented✌

🇾🇪🇸🇾🇮🇶🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱🇮🇷

HUGE DEVELOPMENT – Iran was very clear that its response would be disciplined and non-escalatory, – Reuters, according to a source familiar with US intelligence

Meanwhile, keep updated
Subscribe

❗️During a TV show on Hebrew Channel 13, Israeli army commander Bar Zonshine admits to implementing the Hannibal Directive.

URGENT – Channel 13 on Israeli officials: If the response comes from Iranian territory, Israel will have to respond strongly and without any delay.

Meanwhile, keep updated
Subscribe

Hillel Biton Rosen, reporter of Hebrew Channel 14: The latest assessment of the situation here in Israel indicates that Iran will attack in the coming days;  It is expected that this attack will include the firing of dozens of projectiles in the first phase from Iran, Yemen and Iraq;  There is a question mark about the possible involvement of Hezbollah and its proxies in Syria in this attack;  Air defense is on standby;  There is coordination with the Americans to thwart this attack at best.

Israeli Channel 14: The Iranians are preparing a multi-pronged attack from Iran, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq

Meanwhile, keep updated
Subscribe

The Iranian delegation to the UN: An Iranian response can be avoided if the UN condemns the attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus.

Attack seems to be postphoned.

(Developing story)

💣 BOMBSHELL Israel is facing a multi-level attack on various frontlines, according to Marco Rubio, member of the US Senate Intelligence Committee

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Meanwhile, keep updated
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IDF released CCTV footage from the Shifa Hospital documenting Hamas terrorists forcibly transporting Hostages

A hard-to-watch Video of the Massacre at one of the bases in Otef on Black Sabbath ✌@abovetopsecretxxl

Female soldiers wounded by a grenade are hiding under the table, the terrorists approach them and kill them at point blank range.
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Seymour Hersh:”The Samson Option for Israel”✌️@abovetopsecretxxl

https://archive.org/details/Sampson_Option/page/n7/mode/2up

The Samson Option: Israel’s Nuclearsenal & American Foreign Policy

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Read more: Seymour Hersh:”The Samson Option for Israel”✌️@abovetopsecretxxl

Contents

Author’s Note ix

1. A Secret Agreement 3

2. The Scientist 19

3. The French Connection 33

4. First Knowledge 47

5. Internal Wars 59

6. Going Public 71

7. Dual Loyalty 83

8. A Presidential Struggle 93

9. Years of Pressure 117

10. The Samson Option 129

11. Playing the Game 143

12. The Ambassador 159

13. An Israeli Decision 173

14. A Presidential Gift 183

15. The Tunnel 195

Book page image

xii CONTENTS

16. Prelude to War 209

17. Nuclear Blackmail 225

18. Injustice 241

19. The Carter Malaise 259

20. An Israeli Test 271

21. Israel’s Nuclear Spy 285

22. An Israeli Asset 307

Epilogue 317

Acknowledgments 321

Notes 323

Index 335

  • (8 of 366)

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The Samson Option: Israel’s Nuclear Arsenal & American Foreign Policy

by Seymour HershUsage Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0Topics IsraelIsraeliNuclearNuclear BombDimonaJonathan PollardAIPACYitzhak ShamirYom Kippur WarMordecai VanunuDavid Ben-GurionWorld War 3Collection folkscanomy_politicsfolkscanomyadditional_collectionsLanguage English

The Samson Option explodes one of the world’s most closely guarded secrets—the secret of Israel’s atomic arsenal. It relates, for the first time, the political, diplomatic, and military repercussions that have for decades been concealed from the world.
It is also about America’s ability not to see what it does not want to see. All American presidents since John F. Kennedy have turned a blind eye toward Israel’s growing nuclear capacity while paying lip service to the goal of nuclear nonproliferation.
In The Samson Option, Seymour M. Hersh, the Pulitzer Prize-winner who wrote the first account of the My Lai massacre in South Vietnam, reveals one of the classic clandestine operations of our time: Israel’s spectacular underground nuclear facility in the Negev Desert, where its technicians and scientists began manufacturing nuclear warheads in the late 1960s. It describes the bitter infighting within the Israeli government over the bomb and its huge cost. It tells how the money for me nuclear program was raised abroad, and how the early technology was acquired with the aid of France. And it shows how and when Israel threatened to use its nuclear power.
The Samson Option reveals many startling events that played a secret and significant role in the history of our times from the early 1960s through the Gulf War:
• How, in the late 1970s, Israel not only stole reconnaissance intelligence from our most secret of satellites, the KH-11, but used that data to help target the Soviet Union;
• How Jonathan Pollard, the American spy now serving a life sentence in jail, was a key figure in Israel’s nuclear program (and how some of Pollard’s intelligence was turned over to the Soviet Union at the express direction of Yitzhak Shamir, the Israeli prime minister);
• How Israel created a false control room at the nuclear reactor at Dimona to give U.S. inspectors the false impression that the facility was solely for research;
• How the Eisenhower administration made a concerted last-ditch effort in December 1960 to force Israel to acknowledge its nuclear ambitions—and failed;
• How Israel threatened Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon with the use of nuclear weapons on the third day of the 1973 Yom Kippur War, successfully blackmailing the White House to airlift much needed supplies;
• How South Africa cooperated with Israel to create a mysterious 1979 “flash” in the South Atlantic, actually a test of an Israeli-South African nuclear artillery shell;
• How Israel used a top London newspaper editor to help catch Mordecai Vanunu, its nuclear traitor;
• How a prominent American Jewish Democratic party fund-raiser also raised money for the Israeli bomb—and was able to intervene repeatedly at the White House; and
• How the American intelligence community was finally able to learn what Israel was doing at Dimona—though it was understood that no one’s career would be enhanced by providing such intelligence to the White House.
The Samson Option is ultimately a narrative of how the bomb influenced the diplomatic relations between Israel and America far more than was seen or understood by the press and the public. It shows that, in every sense, Israel was born a nuclear power. Since its founding, some of its leaders, including David Ben-Gurion and Ernst David Bergmann—the little-known scientist who was the father of the Israeli bomb—were determined that no future enemy would be able to carry out another Holocaust. Just as Samson brought down the temple and killed himself along with his enemies, so would Israel destroy those who sought its destruction.
The message of The Samson Option is stark: The next Middle East war might very well be nuclear.Addeddate 2010-11-19 00:04:28Identifier Sampson_OptionIdentifier-ark ark:/13960/t6zw27s6zOcr ABBYY FineReader 8.0Openlibrary_edition OL1567229MOpenlibrary_work OL1804618WPages 366Ppi 600

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Reviewer: jew_cockroach – – May 25, 2021
Subject: here is a quick summary to anyone new to this conflict

The Israel lobby controls American politics and politicians. America sends $5 BILLION in aid to Israel. Israel gets to do whatever the fuck they want – apartheid, genocide. If israel decides to use nukes, there is no one who can stop them – they’ll just say their “defending themselves” and the big and powerful American govt will sit around and watch it happen because the Israel lobby controls what they say and do.

Reviewer: prose – – January 20, 2016
Subject: Misspelling in title

Should be SAMSON not SAMPSON

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Cryptome: Shin Bet has a Killer (you are being lied to) – Original Document in Hebrew

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„MintPress study has found that hundreds of former agents of the notorious Israeli spying organization, Unit 8200, have attained positions of influence in many of the world’s biggest tech companies, including Google, Facebook, Microsoft and Amazon…”

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COLLABORATION AGREEMENT:Israeli Ministry of Health-Pfizer Inc-ORIGINAL DOCUMENT

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The Synagogue of Satan: A Organ Harvesting Mafia

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Israel | Human Skin Bank
The Synagogue of Satan: A Organ Harvesting Mafia

‘How many innocent Palestinian were murdered by the IDF organ mafia ? Were they executed for the theft of their organs, in order to make millions of gains for the IDF?

The answers to these questions will be more objective after reading the report translated from Arabic newspapers into English. The Arabic report includes excerpts of what was mentioned in the report of Channel 2 aired on December 19 2009 in Israel.’

Is Israel a State or An Organ Harvesting Mafia?

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DOCUMENTS REVEAL ADVANCED AI TOOLS GOOGLE IS SELLING TO ISRAEL-DOCUMENT

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DOCUMENTS REVEAL ADVANCED AI TOOLS GOOGLE IS SELLING TO ISRAEL

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https://theintercept.com/2022/07/24/google-israel-artificial-intelligence-project-nimbus/

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„MintPress study has found that hundreds of former agents of the notorious Israeli spying organization, Unit 8200, have attained positions of influence in many of the world’s biggest tech companies, including Google, Facebook, Microsoft and Amazon…”

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First Review of the first draft of the new Iran Nuclear Deal

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OFFSHORE-COMPANIES-UNDER-INVESTIGATION:ISRAEL


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Gaza War Action Videos

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Gaza, Instant Karma: A missile fired by the local Jihadists did a U-turn
Many casualties reported
Israel: The head of the Islamic Jihad – Ahmed al-Madalel has been eliminated
Ahmed al-Madalel is one of the senior leaders of the Islamic Jihad leadership in the Gaza Strip and a member of its political bureau. He is in charge of national relations in the ranks of the movement, a doctor by training who served as a senior member of the Supreme National Authority for the “Return Marches”
The Gazan children who were killed by a failed Jihadist rocket
Iron Dome vs. Water Pipes
Rockets over Jerusalem, Intercepted by Iron Dome

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„The Epstein Associate Nobody’s Talking About: The IDF-Linked Bond Girl Infiltrating the UK NHS“ – Nicole Junkermann

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Continue reading “„The Epstein Associate Nobody’s Talking About: The IDF-Linked Bond Girl Infiltrating the UK NHS“ – Nicole Junkermann”

Israel Publishes Iranian Documents Showing Iran Illegally Obtained IAEA Docs

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Israel publishes what it claims are Iranian documents showing Iran illegally obtained IAEA files and used them to mislead nuclear inspectors in the early 2000s.

The docs are from a 2018 trove stolen by Mossad operatives and now published by Israel

https://drive.google.com/drive/mobile/folders/1-2vpLXa-xwdEybeDpCF4t2qmk4jAjjrg

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Israel Is Arming Neo-Nazi Group in Ukraine

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BREAKING NEWS: Threat Of War All Over Europe – Important Editorial

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People for Peace in Moscow

+++ Military informants worried: the situation is cumulating, it still does not look like calming down. On the contrary.

+++ NATO operations against Russia are already being planned behind the scenes. China is also supposed to be involved. Still these are rumors.

+++ Note: In fact, the scope and intensity of the propaganda of the mainstream media is only comparable to “Corona” and “9/11”. Other crimes, like Libya or Syria, ran comparatively by the way. The consequences for Europe, it is seriously to be feared, will be correspondingly dramatic.

+++ Almost all commentators of the freedom movement call for demonstrations for PEACE and AGAINST a European entry into the war on Monday and subsequently. The peace signal is important for all warring parties, they say. “Germany, Austria, Central Europe: the peoples do not want war!” Christoph Hörstel, Neue Mitte, a German political party and former war journalist, calls, today Sunday, for people to show peace messages and also Russia flags: “If we don’t show our colors, we will die! Quite simply. We must signal to Russia that we do not want war and do not support the aggression of the policy here, which is preparing a NATO war!”

+++ Putin has repeatedly stressed that he is ready to use nuclear weapons in the conflict over Ukraine (as he did previously over Crimea).

+++ Both the U.S. and Russia/China warfare are likely to care only to a limited extent about the people in the “buffer zone” if the worst comes to the worst. Europe is then battlefield.

+++ The people on the street, according to many observers, would have it once again in the hand: The bought political actors must be made to give in. The street must make clear: No war! Not in our name!

Europe does not have the task to enter this dangerous war here. Europe must now fight for its sovereignty and stand up. For peace, freedom, self-determination.

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BREAKING NEWS: Israeli PM Bennett Is Meeting With Putin In The Kremlin

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Israeli PM Bennett is reportingly now meeting with Putin in the Kremlin after a secret trip to Moscow.

This comes hours after Russia threatened to use talks on the Iran nuclear deal to pressure the U.S. over Ukraine sanctions.

Zelensky has asked Bennett to mediate with Russia previously.

UPDATE – Bennett is now on his way from Moscow to Berlin and spoke with Zelensky after meeting with Putin. It is not unlikely that talks between Ukraine and Russia could take place in Israel. Putin (https://www.juedische-allgemeine.de/juedische-welt/der-praesident-und-die-juden/), Selensky (https://www.timesofisrael.com/ukraines-jewish-president-elect-meets-with-chabad-rabbis/) and the Israeli leader Bennett (https://www.chabadnj.org/mobile/page.asp?pageID=%7B074B3A6A-B008-4849-AF94-2B0EF3B8C56F%7D) have the best relations with the influential Jewish group “Chabad Lubavitch”.

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Israel: After The Mass Vaccinations, The Death Figures Suddenly Explode Extremely

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Commander Of U.S. Naval Forces Command Finished Visit To Israel

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Israel – A Totalitarian Nightmare Vs The Freedom Fighters

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WIKISPOOKS – THE EPSTEIN AFFAIR

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Continue reading “WIKISPOOKS – THE EPSTEIN AFFAIR”

Israel Begins Injecting In CHILDREN 5-11

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Caught On Tage: Israeli Ministry Of Health – “There Is No Medical Justification For The Green Pass.”

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Israeli Ministry of Health  - "There is no medical justification for the green pass."

Israeli Ministry of Health – “There is no medical justification for the green pass.”

Click Link Above To Play The Video

Exposed – Committee on Israel Boycott Restrictions – IBR Committee – Original Document

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Companies Boycotting Israel Can't Do Business With These U ...
Continue reading “Exposed – Committee on Israel Boycott Restrictions – IBR Committee – Original Document”

Gal Gur From Israel – “Based On 70% Of The Data Received From The Hospitals, It Seems That The Vaccine Has Been LINKED To Myocarditis.”

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Image

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1397261126690299914.html

BREAKING!! YOU MUST LISTEN-
THIS IS MSM ABOUT AN OFFICIAL REPORT OF ADVERSE SE –
——-
A senior official in the Israeli MOH:
“There seems to be an excess disease and we will have to take this into account in our recommendation to vaccinate children. Based on 70% of the data received from the hospitals, it seems that the vaccine has been LINKED to myocarditis. There are more such cases in VACCINATED 16-30 y.o. than in unvaccinated.

Continue reading “Gal Gur From Israel – “Based On 70% Of The Data Received From The Hospitals, It Seems That The Vaccine Has Been LINKED To Myocarditis.””

Israel To CANCEL Green Passport Rules / Hugo Talks Some More #lockdown – Video

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Shocking Update From “Model Country Israel” By Gal Gur – The Children Are The Next in Line

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Gal Gur (@GalGur_) | Twitter

Thread

Conversation

Gal G @GalG____·


Gal G @GalG____
·

1/ Many ask – how can it be that the GP and all the coercion that followed passed in Israel so relatively quietly? And this is a question I have been asking myself for a long time as well. I think only today, as a trauma victim, am I able to look back and explain the process:63457Gal G @GalG____·

2/ The process began with prolonged and very severe intimidation and coercion that gradually broke the Israeli public’s opposition to other issues – such as repeated political elections, and a prime minister who divided the public anyway,1424Gal G @GalG____·

Continue reading “Shocking Update From “Model Country Israel” By Gal Gur – The Children Are The Next in Line”

Shocking Twitter Message From “Green Pass Model Country Israel” By Gal Gur

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Gal Gur (@GalGur_) | Twitter

https://twitter.com/GalGur_/status/1387377770137858057

Conversation

Gal Gur @GalGur_1/ Hello, my name is Gal, I am an Israeli citizen, and I want to convey this urgent message to the world: Contrary to what you are told, Israel has not “returned to normal” in any way >>2:06 PM · Apr 28, 2021·Twitter for iPhone5,781 Retweets1,523 Quote Tweets7,751 LikesGal Gur @GalGur_·

Replying to @GalGur_

2/ Moreover, despite the desire to create a setting as if there was a full and normal routine here – the Israeli Ministry of Health JUST RECOMMENDED TODAY TO EXTENT THE DECLARATION OF A “STATE OF EMERGENCY” in Israel >>197071.8KGal Gur @GalGur_·

3/ to which is the foundation for coercion, violation of basic rights, severe discrimination under a “green mark (pass)”, prolonged closure (Of about 5 months overall) and a lot of undemocratic and not “routine” restrictions. >116031.7KGal Gur @GalGur_·

4/ If the situation in Israel had “returned to routine thanks to the astounding success of vaccines” then the “state of emergency” would not have continued.65791.8KGal Gur @GalGur_·

5/ In fact, since the beginning of the “vaccination project” there has been only more intimidation and in many ways – even though the closure has been lifted, much more coercion.45461.6KGal Gur @GalGur_·

6/We live under increasing coercion, discrimination, marking and division into two civil societies-according to the “green mark (pass)”. Basic activities such as work, education, health and recreation – have become a luxury for only vaccinated people. And even then – temporary268261.9KGal Gur @GalGur_·

7/ Only some places allow the presentation of a negative test to COVID- every 72 hours (!)-the approval output sometimes puts out an output of all the medical tests you have done, recently it was announced that citizens who chosen to do so will have to pay for the tests.75101.4KGal Gur @GalGur_·

Continue reading “Shocking Twitter Message From “Green Pass Model Country Israel” By Gal Gur”

Israel Admits Attacking Iran’s Nuclear Programme, As Cyber-Attack Derails Iranian Nuke Plant

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Israel acknowledged that it was behind a cyberattack on Iran’s main nuclear facility on April 11. The cyberattack took place hours after officials at the Natanz reactor restarted spinning advanced centrifuges. These centrifuges could speed up the production of enriched uranium. Watch the video to know more.

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Must See Video – The Secret Israeli Unit That Hunted Nazis

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Israel remains in a constant state of survival, commissioning super sleuths for military assassinations, kidnappings and counterintelligence. From retribution against ex-Nazis to the establishment of the Mossad, this episode focuses on Israeli intelligence.

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United Nations – West Bank Access Restrictions – Confidential

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A complex series of concrete walls, electronic fences, and other obstacles to control Palestinian pedestrian and vehicular movement. Palestinian access to land and communities located behind the Barrier is subject to a permit or prior coordination regime. In its 2004 Advisory Opinion, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) established that the sections of the Barrier which run inside the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, together with the associated gate and permit regime, violate Israel’s obligations under international law.

MYTH: The Iran nuclear deal is working as expected.

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FACT

Prof. Mohammed Nuruzzaman of the Gulf University for Science and Technology in Kuwaitnoted that the JCPOA has not produced the change in behavior Obama anticipated. “Washington, to its deep frustration, has noticed that it simply made a series of unfounded calculations about Iran,” he said. “Just three months after the deal was concluded, Khamenei closed the door to U.S.-Iranian cooperation by imposing an outright ban on further negotiations with the United States.” Nuruzzaman added that Khamenei also ruled out cooperation with the “Great Satan” on regional issues.768

Iran has only received a fraction of the $150 billion windfall expected when sanctions are eased and assets released, but it is already creating greater chaos in the region. Iran has increased its involvement in backing the Syrian regime, has intervened in the civil was in Yemen against forces supported by Saudi Arabia, and fuels the ambition and arsenal of Hezbollah terrorists in preparation for a future conflict with Israel.

More seriously, as many opponents of the deal predicted, Iran is already cheating on the nuclear deal. Thanks to a leak from German intelligence, we know there have been extensive Iranian attempts to acquire illicit materials, especially goods that can be used in the field of nuclear technology.769

This revelation was followed by the disclosure of a part of the nuclear deal that was never revealed to the public. Instead of Iran being precluded from engaging in nuclear activities for 15 years, we now know that after 11 years, Iran can start replacing its current centrifuges with more advanced ones. As a result, instead of Iran having a one-year breakout time (which, absurdly, was considered a great achievement as opposed to destroying Iran’s capability altogether) to six months or less.770 The Obama administration had this information but failed to disclose it to the American people.

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17 Miraculous Israeli Military Victories

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The Battle of Mishmar HaEmek

On April 4th 1948, the odds were not in Israel’s favor. Outnumbered ten to three and with artillery shells raining down on them, a few hundred Jewish residents and soldiers managed to hold off about one thousand troops of the Arab Liberation Army. The Arabs had attacked the kibbutz, Mishmar Haemek, with the intent of taking it for the strategic location in between Jenin and Haifa. All hope seemed lost, yet surrender was not acceptable. Miraculously, the highly outnumbered Jewish forces managed to go on the offensive, successfully taking over the Arab villages surrounding the kibbutz. This attack led to the Arab Liberation Army’s retreat and was the last significant stand of the Arab Liberation Front in the Israeli War of Independence.

The Battle for Katamon

During the Independence War, Israeli forces reentered Katamon which was a key strategic position inJerusalem that Israel had failed to retake from the  Arab forces controlling it, just two days earlier. This time, the Israeli troops quickly captured the monastery that was being used as the Arab forces’ base of operations and that was the end of the fighting, or so they thought… After a few quiet hours, a fierce counter-attack began. Although they managed to hold off the Arabs, the Palmach began to run low on supplies. Additionally, they suffered countless injuries including Platoon Commander Raful Eitan who was shot in the head. They needed to retreat, but no soldier could be left behind for torture and mutilation. It was decided that those wounded who could not make it out would be put in a room rigged with explosives. Two soldiers would stay behind and detonate the explosives when the Iraqi forces reached the monastery. In the meantime, the enemy forces had also suffered many casualties and were out of Ammo. Their surrender was near, but the Israeli Forces in the monastery had no way of knowing this. The Israeli soldiers were on their way out the door, when suddenly the words “don’t retreat” echoed from a radio that was thought to be broken. The Arabs retreated. The Israelis stayed and reinforcements arrived to treat the wounded. Raful, the platoon commander, survived what should have been a fatal bullet wound to the head and was back in action, half an hour later! This, along with the battle being won, was nothing short of miraculous.

The Battle of Safed

In 1948, as their sovereignty over Palestine was coming to an end, the British were handing over the strategic high points of the city to the heavily armed Arab troops. Outnumbered and outgunned, the Israeli forces struggled battling over Safed for months. In late April, an artillery piece nicknamed “The Davidka” was delivered to the Jews. Surprisingly ineffective, the most notable feature of the Davidka was the tremendous noise it produced. A rumor quickly spread through the Arab ranks that the Jews had acquired an atom bomb, and the entire Arab community left that night. With their exit, morale deteriorated among the Arab troops, and the Haganah was able to secure the city.

Taking Back Mount Zion

During the Independence War, Ira Rappaport’s Israeli platoon fought the Jordanian military for Mount Zionand found themselves surrounded by hundreds with only twenty five bullets left. With a sad end seemingly near, the men agreed to go out with a bang and readied themselves to make good use of every last bullet. Then, just when the small platoon were about to face the inevitable, something incredible happened. The Jordanian soldiers dropped their weapons and began suddenly running away, screaming “ABRAHAM!”. Several years later, Ira would come across a familiar face with an unlikely answer, as to what had actually occurred on that miraculous day. This was a former Jordanian soldier who had fought against Ira on Mount Zion. According to him, his army all witnessed a vision of Abraham defending the Jews in the sky above the Israeli platoon and had no choice, but to drop their weapons.

Saving the Kibbutz

During the War of Independence, twenty-four homemade Israeli armored trucks and cars took a wrong turn on the way to aid a besieged Kibbutz, and crossed and accidentally entered Lebanon. They realized their mistake, when they ran into twenty brand new Syrian armored cars traveling with dozens of Syrian supplies trucks carrying ammunition and artillery. The Israelis immediately fired at the first Syrian truck and amazingly hit a tank loaded with gasoline, causing an explosion, which set fire to the following truck full of hand grenades. One by one, each truck in the Syrian convoy exploded. The loud booms could be heard for miles and the scared surviving Syrians abandoned their cargo. The Israelis had just enough people to drive the captured armored vehicles and Syrian weapons back. By the time they finally reached the Kibbutz, the Arab besiegers had already left. Apparently, after they heard rumors that the Israeli forces invaded Lebanon, they fled back toSyria. And that’s how one wrong turn saved an entire kibbutz. The skeptical may write it off as accidental, but when it comes to Israel there are no accidents.

The Attack on Degania

Shortly after the Independence War, nearly all of the Syrian forces stationed at Tel al-Qasr used two hundred armored Syrian vehicles including forty-five tanks to attack Israel’s oldest kibbutzim; Degania Alef (“A”) and Degania Bet (“B”). With no artillery, about seventy Israelis (most of them were kibbutz members which means they were not regular fighters) had virtually no chance of blocking a Syrian advance, but they wouldn’t go down without a fight.  When the tanks approached Degania Aleph, the minimal Israeli forces began to throw molotov cocktails and behold, an Israeli soldier made a direct hit on the first approaching Syrian tank. Suddenly, the entire Syrian column was turning around and fleeing, possibly believing that Israel had a large multitude of anti-tank weapons. When the Syrians hit Degania Bet, the Israelis were incredibly low on weapons, but quickly assembled two ancient French cannons and used them well against the Syrians’ 75 mm cannons, and 60 and 81 mm mortars. The use of Israel’s little artillery must have really taken the Syrians by great surprise. Why else would they retreat when they had Israel outgunned and outnumbered? Sometimes, the best explanation is the simplest one. Miracles really do happen.

The Preemptive Strike

In 1967, Egypt began moving large forces and heavy artillery to the Sinai desert. Next, Egypt closed the Straits of Tiran to Israeli ships and anyone bringing any military equipment to Israel. This was an act of war. WhenEgypt, Syria and Jordan formed a pact and placed their militaries on high alert for war, it became clear that conflict was inevitable. Israel had horrible odds. However, the Rebbe confidently declared, “G-d is guarding them (the people of Israel)” and “The people of Israel will emerge from the current situation with remarkable success.” And sure enough their success was more than remarkable, it was miraculous. Two hundred Israeli Air Force planes were heading towards Egyptian air bases and should have been shot down. Though flying very low to avoid being detected by Arab radar sites, a Jordanian radar facility was able to detect the unusual amount of aircrafts approaching the sea. Jordan quickly sent out the message, “Inab” (a code for war) to Egypt. Miraculously, however, the Egyptian coding frequencies were changed the very day before and Jordan was not yet updated. Still, the miracle of surprise was not enough. Egypt’s anti-aircraft ammunition was sufficient enough to destroy all the Israeli planes attacking. Miraculously, the order was not given to launch any of those missiles on the Israeli crafts. Israel accomplished her mission and took down half the Egyptian air force: two hundred and four Egyptian planes, the majority of which were in the Sinai Desert readying to attack Israel. With this battle, the Six Day War began.

The Battle of Ammunition Hill

This battle for an extremely fortified Jordanian military post in East Jerusalem was arguably the most furious battle of the Six Day War ‘67. Instead of an air strike that would ensure an israeli victory, they opted for a ground attack, using paratroopers, to minimize the risk of civilian casualties. However, the Israeli forces had incorrect intelligence suggesting the hill was being defended by a single Jordanian platoon, not accounting for the numerous underground bunkers throughout Ammunition Hill that made this battle so incredibly difficult. They sent a third of the amount they should have. This is the kind of serious mistake that should cost the military a battle and possibly the war, but not Israel. Despite their misinformation, Israel miraculously won this battle in the incredible time of just four hours! Ammunition Hill is currently a national memorial site.

Kusseima

To win the Six Day War, Israel needed to retake the Egyptians’ heavily fortified Kusseima outpost. The Egyptians were in control of powerful forces capable of a great counterattack, while the Israelis were weary from a full day of battle. As the Israeli Defence Forces drew near, they heard massive explosions. When they arrived they saw that the Egyptians had destroyed their equipment and abandoned the base, for no apparent reason! As the day continued, it became clear that the Egyptians were hastily abandoning many of their outposts and their supplies along with them. One mysterious report of the battle was from Egyptian soldiers who, when approaching the Israeli border, saw a gigantic hand come out from the sky.  Immediately terrified, they turned around and ran the other way, unable to deny that they were witness to a supernatural event.

Taking Back Jerusalem

Starting June 5th, days of violent battling ensued throughout the old city of East Jerusalem. On June 7th, an eerie silence befell the city when Jordanian firing stopped.  It was too quiet and so Israeli troops were dispatched to check for a trap.  However, their report was of no trap, but of a miracle. The city was empty, save for all the equipment that the Jordanian army left behind.  The Israeli forces entered East Jerusalem, and took the Temple Mount, reaching the Western Wall without even firing a single shot. The people of Israel had returned to the land again and again, but they never retook all of Jerusalem… not until June 8th, 1967.  On this day, Israel not only had the land, but had her holiest city of Jerusalem, for the first time in almost 2000 years. “The Lord says: I will return to Zion and dwell in Jerusalem,” -Zechariah 8:3

The Golan Heights Attack

At the end of the 6 Day War, to retake the Golan Heights, Israel had to win an uphill battle against a heavily entrenched and well fortified  Syrian army, consisting of seventy-five thousand troops. It was estimated that thirty thousand Israeli lives would be lost. Yet on June 9th, after just seven hours of heavy fighting, Israel had miraculously gained control of the main sectors. The next morning, the Israeli forces still expected another day of fierce fighting. The Syrians, however, had other plans. Before the Israelis even got to them, they pulled out of the Golan, fleeing frantically and leaving weapons behind. The mountains, which were once strategically used to murder Jews had fallen into the hands of the Jews. Having completed the final offensive, they signed a ceasefire.

Taking Tel Fakhr

Due to great casualties, an Israeli platoon was left with only twenty-five men. Nonetheless, what was left of the platoon continued to charge Tel Fakhr, in the Golan Heights. Little did they know, Tel Fakhr was maybe the most heavily fortified position Syria had. It had trenches, bunkers, and heavy wiring, machine guns, anti-tank guns, and mortars. Those Israeli soldiers did not stand a chance. That was until a miracle occurred. For no reason that makes any sense, a Syrian captain instructed his men not to fire on the Israelis until they reached the wiring. Before the Syrians knew it, they were too late. “The Jews are already inside, and we’ve taken heavy casualties,” they reported to their captain. Those who remained of the Israeli platoon were victorious, and continued up the Heights.

The result of the miracles of this war was the recapturing of the Western Wall and much of the land Israel has today; an Israeli victory in just six days.

Yom Kippur War

In 1973, while the entire country of Israel fasted for Yom Kippur (Day of Atonement), one hundred thousand Egyptians invaded Israel from the south and over 1,400 Syrian tanks invaded Israel from the north. Although one can say that every war is a miracle, Israel surviving, let alone winning this war, is arguably more miraculous than most of her other war victories. With a significant portion of the Israeli military either in their homes or synagogues, Israel was nearly defenseless. Not only was Israel caught completely off guard and outnumbered, now the vast majority of her soldiers were at their weakest. Initially Syria was gaining territory and logic dictates that Israel should have lost this war, but by the end of the the Yom Kippur War, Israelsomehow managed to come out on top and her weakened troops managed to reach 20 kilometers into Syria!

The Valley of Tears

During the Yom Kippur War, a small impossibly outnumbered Israeli force held back a large portion of the Syrian army, for four days in the Golan Heights. The Syrians were armed with hundreds of tanks, but gave the Israeli forces a false sense of security revealing only a few of their tanks in battle formation for months before the massive attack they had planned. If this attack was successful they could have taken Israel. They had three infantry divisions and over a thousand tanks. At one point, it was said to be just three Israeli tanks against one hundred and fifty Syrian tanks. A sergeant, out of shells wanted to leave his position, but was ordered to stay put. With no ammo, he was up against impossible odds. It would take a miracle to save him; to save Israel, and that’s just what happened.  The Syrians retreated, just when the Israeli force was on the verge of collapse! It has been theorized that the Syrians didn’t know the tanks were out of shells and seeing only a few tanks changing positions, they may have believed that Israel had more tanks than they actually did. However, a Syrian soldier swears an army of Angels surrounded those few tanks Israel had and considering the rate of miracles surrounding the small country of Israel, that could truly be what happened in what is now known as, the Valley of Tears.

The Gas Attack That Never Was

During the Gulf War in 1991, Iraq threatened to use chemical weapons on Israel, a country which was not actively participating in the conflict. As Iraq bombarded Israel with rockets, the country prepared for the likely possibility of a chemical attack. However, one never occurred. Why? Strangely enough, wind patterns changed from the normal directions to blow East from Israel going directly towards Iraq. The U.S. military theorized that the odd weather changes likely served as the major cause for Iraq’s decision not to employ chemical warfare, since the winds would have caused any gas attacks on Israel to harm Iraq as well.

Thirty-Nine Rockets

In 1991, without any Israeli instigation, Iraq tried to provoke Israel into retaliating by firing 39 missiles intoIsrael. Despite this, Israel did not retaliate and miraculously managed to stay out of the Gulf War, much due toU.S. encouragement. Many Iraqi scud missiles were intercepted by Patriot missiles from the U.S, but not all of them.  Still, throughout all of the numerous strikes on the West Bank, there was not a single death. Two missiles disappeared. To this day, nobody has taken credit for preventing their strikes and they have never been found. Another missile struck a garbage dump and for some reason did not explode.  One missile landed just several feet away from a gas station, which could have caused devastation, but incredibly it also did not explode.  Multiple missiles missed Iraq’s intended targets, instead landing in the Mediterranean Sea. One of which had gotten thrown off course by some inexplicable strong winds. There were other missiles that did hit and did actually explode. One of these exploded between two buildings and completely destroyed both of them, but somehow not a single soul was lost in this strike.

Not everyone realized the magnitude of this miracle until tragedy struck when over 40 were killed in a single missile strike on a U.S. marine bunker in Saudi Arabia. Even today, there are sadly parts of Israel that are being hit by terrorist rockets and while miracles do not occur for everyone, the rate of miracles for this country is undoubtedly exceptionally high.

Massacre Averted

During summer 2015, it was discovered that Hamas had been using supplies given by Israel for civil projects, to build tunnels that would enable them to transport weapons and invade Israel. In the weeks before July 17th,Hamas terrorists scouted out the area which one of their tunnels would potentially end, near the farming village of Sufa. It was perfect. At the time, this was a populated area of farmers concealed by tall wheat. Israelwouldn’t stand a chance.  However, the terrorists didn’t count on the apparent power of faith. According to Jewish customs, there is a biblical mandate that requires farmers to harvest before taking a sabbatical year, in which it is forbidden to harvest in Israel. On July 17th, terrorists exited their completed tunnel only to find an empty open land. This attempted attack happen to occur just after the sabbatical year had begun and so, the religious farmers were no longer harvesting. Without the tall wheat for cover, the terrorists were quickly spotted and intercepted by the Israeli Defense Forces. A potential massacre was avoided because of this miracle. And looking at the history of Israel, it seems there are always greater miracles to come.


Source: “Top 17 miraculous Israeli military victories,” Israel Video Network, (May 20, 2015)

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TOP-SECRET – DHS-FBI Bulletin: No Specific Threats to American Jewish Community

 

 

https://publicintelligence.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/DHS-FBI-JewishCommunityThreats.png

No Specific Threat to American Jewish Community, Despite Recent World Events

  • 5 pages
  • For Official Use Only
  • February 8, 2012

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(U//FOUO) This Joint Intelligence Bulletin (JIB) provides law enforcement and private sector safety officials with an evaluation of potential terrorist threats to Jewish organizations, facilities, and personnel in the United states. The information is provided to support the activities of DHS and FBI and to assist federal, state, local, tribal, and territorial government counterterrorism and first responder officials to deter, prevent, preempt, or respond to terrorist attacks in the United States.

(U) Threat overview

(U//FOUO) Heightened tensions between Israel, Iran, and the United States-stemming from threats against Israeli or Jewish targets in Asia and Europe attacks on Iranian nuclear scientists; global economic sanctions against Iran; and press reporting of Israel’s possible intent to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities-have contributed to the perception of an increased threat to the Jewish community worldwide from Iran or its surrogates. Hizballah’s longstanding interest in exacting retribution for the February 2008 death of Imad Mughniyah–a senior founding member of Hizballah who was killed in Syria–may also be fueling these concerns. We have no information, however, to indicate that these recent events have significantly increased the threat to Jewish organizations, facilities, and personnel in the United States.

– (U) On 3 February 2012, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei publicly threatened to retaliate against economic sanctions levied on his country and to support militant groups who oppose Israel.

– (U) On 24 January 2012, the Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff publicly remarked that terrorist groups are trying to conduct attacks against Israeli targets abroad, according to a respected Israeli newspaper, and some Israeli consulates in the United States have reportedly circulated letters warning of escalating threats to Israeli and Jewish facilities. Additionally, letters containing an unidentified, non-toxic white powder were recently mailed to various Israeli consulates in the United States, Europe, and Canada, according to open source reporting.

– (U) Three Azerbaijanis allegedly linked to Iranian intelligence were arrested for plotting to attack the Israeli Ambassador to Azerbaijan and the leader of a local Jewish school, according to late January international media reporting.

– (U//FOUO) An alleged Hizballah plot to attack Israeli or Jewish targets in Asia was reportedly disrupted in Thailand last month, although the targets and timing of the operation are unclear; press reporting suggested a similar threat existed in Europe, but we have no information to indicate that similar plots were directed at the Homeland.

(U//FOUO) Jewish organizations, facilities, and personnel in the United States have been a focus of violent extremists in the past and we assess that they will likely remain a target of violent groups and individuals in the future.

Simon Wiesenthal Center publishes Iran Targets Israel: The Fateful Confrontation

Yesterday, on Yom Kippurthe holiest day for world Jewry, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, stood before the nations of the world as a respected speaker at the United Nations General Assembly in New York.

Not since ancient times—when Queen Esther foiled Haman’s genocidal designs—has a threat this serious to the future of our people emanated from that land.

And it is not just about nuclear weapons.
Long before the current nuclear crisis, Tehran’s blood feud against Israel, her people and her Judaic traditions were a centerpiece of the mullahtocracy ever since the Ayatollah Khomeini seized power.

In his new Simon Wiesenthal Center report,Iran Targets Israel: The Fateful Confrontation, historian Dr. Harold Brackman outlines the multifaceted scope of the Iranian regime’s existential hatred for the Jewish State.

In the report, you will learn about the:

• Evolution of Holocaust Denial and Jew hatred as the cornerstone of Iranian statecraft
• Ayatollah Khomeini’s overthrow of the Shah four decades ago
• Iran’s terror network stretching from Syria and Lebanon to North Korea to Argentina and now in Venezuela
• The current Iranian nuclear threat

Iran Targets Israel: The Fateful Confrontation indicates that there are no easy answers posed by the Iranian regime’s bombast and threatsThe only certainty is that to do nothing—retreating into wishful thinking and anti-Israel scapegoating, will produce unspeakable catastrophic results for the Jewish state and all countries in the Middle East and beyond.

 

Ahmadinejad: “Israel will be eliminated”  – United Nations,  September 2012

“Iranian President Ahmadinejad should not be speaking from a podium at the UN General Assembly. Instead, he should be in the dock of the International Court of Justice in the Hague for planning and inciting the destruction of Israel, a UN member state in good standing, and genocide against the Israeli people,”

Dr. Harold Brackman, author of Iran Target Israel: The Fateful Confrontation

DOWNLOAD THE REPORT HERE:

IRAN-TARGETS-ISRAEL_THE FATEFUL-CONFRONTATION

Cryptome – Iran Targets US Bases in the Region

Iran Targets US Bases in the Region

http://rajanews.com/userfiles/flash/mostanad/e17bba6a5442dd2638abe26fbe7b2ea4260871.flv

In this piece of video IRGC’s aerospace force commander makes crucial statement. He is saying we are not going to go to a technical war with our advanced adversary, instead, we have designed specific targeted attacks and scenarios for specific places we would want to hit without hesitation with huge amount of missiles — then the report shows a test attack with mid range and ballistic missiles on a “one-to-one” size “American” base in Kuwait which its specifies obtained by UAVs and “local posts” and explains how the air defense systems will be evaded with simple targeted techniques instead of huge all purpose arsenals.

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A9%D8%A7-%D9%81%DB%8C%D9%84%D9%85-%D9%88-%D8%B9%DA%A9%D8%B3

The page contains references to Iranian military official quotes that they will hit U.S navy carriers in case of a war using missiles and UAVs. At the end of the page there is a Video taken by some of these UAVs. They get close to U.S carriers and “identify” the model of air planes it is carrying or the planes that take off including F-16s.

Considering Iran does not have stand-alone Satellites to have a reliable C4ISR for wide area wars, including the type of operations that is being discussed — there are serious questions whether Iran is exploiting U.S. owned satellite communications for its own purposes under cover of commercial or emergency services? U.S. army’s C4ISR is highly dependent on services such as the ones offered by ViaSat or Inmarsat and there is absolutely no other remotely comparable infrastructure. Adding the Iranian attack on lockheed martin’s “Monster” there are debates within Satellite and ISR production engineers whether Iranians are actually using U.S.’s own “wide area ISR model and technologies” in their attacks?

There are hints given to us that BGAN, the 4th generation of Inmarsat infrastructure, that claims military grade security have been exploited several times recently by Hezbollah operative’s in Syria and Russian ISR battleship floating around that same area since many inter-operations between NATO elements and U.S. army is based on BGAN. Public documents are available on Inmarsat’s government services site, last I checked. BGAN services are reported accepted and working — source is a reporter just came back from Tehran’s NAM, she broadcast live Video feed using BGAN. We have experiences with Iran that shows when they cannot control or monitor something, they do their best on jamming and disruptions. They are not even officially shy about it anymore. We believe there might be a serious dark hole in U.S.’s infrastructure and least we can certain about it Hezbollah (=Iran) and Russians have the capabilities to exploit these types of holes.

http://farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13910702001212

“Farsnews” is one of Iran’s semi-official News Agencies that has tight ties with Power elements, including IRGC and MOIS .

The page is reporting IRGC’s aerospace commander, General Hajizadeh, said in an interview tonight “We consider American bases as a part of American Soil, not as a part of Qatar -Bahrain and Afghanistan”. The interview ends with this statement: “we will attack these bases in case of a war, no doubt”.

http://rajanews.com/detail.asp?id=138567

Iranian official says an in interview that starting from tonight up until undetermined time, Google’s services including Gmail will be Filtered in Iran. He added that the decision was made due to huge number of calls people made to remove contents related to recent insults on Prophet Mohammad. Youtube, Twitter, Facebook, Blogspot and wordpress were already Filtered in Iran for a couple of years.



 

Unveiled – How Iran Spies on Internet Users and Counterspy

How Iran Spies on Internet Users and Counterspy

 


A sends:

Refer to peyvandha.ir. If you go to the site from Iran, it resolves to an IP in the 
famous Iranian "national internet" with IPs starting with 10.10.X.X. The IP and 
website belong to the Ministry of Islamic Guidance. Therefore, not only Police and 
Intelligence can monitor online behavior, through this trick, another entity that is
involved in Iran's internet infrastructure can monitor and learn who goes to filtered 
websites or make attempts to communicate with those sites. 

More interestingly is below. The stupid staff who registered the IP and domain are 
using Gmail and Yahoo accounts to maintain their access to the domain. Since I happen 
to know getting into someone's Yahoo account is easier than drinking water (no need 
for showing the tech here), there is opportunity for rogue elements to monitor Iranian 
user's behavior, partially and ironically, the people who are forcing people to use 
"local national" email systems such as mail.iran.ir, are using Gmail and Yahoo 
themselves. :)

root# whois peyvandha.ir

domain: peyvandha.ir
ascii: peyvandha.ir
remarks: (Domain Holder) Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance
remarks: (Domain Holder Address) No. 229, Ministry of Culture and Islamic, Kamalolmoke 
St., Baharestan Sq.,, Tehran, Tehran, IR
holder-c: mi151-irnic
admin-c: mi151-irnic
tech-c: mk168-irnic
nserver: a-ir1.hostiran.net
nserver: b-ir1.hostiran.net
last-updated: 2011-02-23
expire-date: 2016-04-06
source: IRNIC # Filtered
nic-hdl: mi151-irnic
org: Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance
e-mail: ahajitorab@gmail.com
address: No. 229, Ministry of Culture and Islamic, Kamalolmoke St., Baharestan Sq.,, 
Tehran, Tehran, IR
phone: +98 21 38513104
fax-no: +98 21 33966068
source: IRNIC # Filtered
nic-hdl: mk168-irnic
person: Mostafa Khademolmele
e-mail: mkhadem61@yahoo.com
source: IRNIC # Filtered


 

 

 


 

Unveiled – An Israeli – Iranian War: The Iranian Perspective

What are Tehran’s goals in a confrontation with Israel? Why have the Iranians been prepared to fight for so many years? A special analysis by Colonel (Res.) Ronen Cohen
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Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (Photo: AP)

“The IDF is ready to move against Iran the minute it receives the green light,” declared IDF Chief of Staff, Lieutenant General Benny Gantz in an interview broadcast on Israel’s 64th Independence Day. “The Iranians are determined to build a nuclear weapon while they continue to dupe the international community,” Minister of Defense Ehud Barak added the following day.

Israel’s leaders face a series of existential questions: should Israel attack Iran or pursue the diplomatic track? When, if ever, is the right time to launch an attack? How should it be executed? How will Iran’s leaders react to an attack on their nuclear facilities?

The day after

The most likely day-after scenario, as the international media sees it, is a devastating Iranian response based mainly, though not entirely, on its long-range missile arsenal. This attack would be coupled with terrorist strikes against Jewish and Israeli targets abroad, and backed by Hezbollah – Iran’s proxy in Lebanon.
On the international front, Iran could wreak havoc on the global economy through fluctuations in oil prices, even though this could also ultimately harm Iran (it is unclear whether Iran or the West would suffer more in an oil war).

Iran could respond with a four-way campaign with long-ranged counter-fire against Israel, terror activity on Israel’s borders, attacks on Israelis and Jews overseas, and a limited conflict in the north of Israel.

Israel is fully aware of the implications of the day after, but senior political-security figures have increasingly alleged that Iran’s response capabilities are limited due to international constraints and its distance from Israel. From our perspective, Israel could withstand an Iranian retaliation, just as it has withstood missile attacks in the past.

In his Independence Day speech, the chief of staff threw the proverbial ball into the political decision-makers’ court, taking careful aim at the prime minister and minister of defense. The question is whether Israel is up to the challenge of a day-after scenario that is different from the one the media projects.

If Israel initiates a military strike and Iran responds, Israel will face a security challenge of a magnitude that it has never experienced. It will be the first time in history that Israel faces a non-Arab state with an entirely different culture, mentality, and historical legacy. The same is true for the Iranians – for the first time they will be confronting Israel and the West.

Furthermore, Israel has never carried out a military attack against a state on the brink of nuclear capability. An attack against Iran would be far different than the bombing of the nuclear reactor in Iraq or the air strike against the reactor in Syria (attributed to Israel). For Israel, the element of surprise is already gone, which in effect, has already enabled the enemy to carry out a series of steps. These steps range from instilling a state of awareness into their nation, political-strategic maneuvering, and preparations for both an offensive and defensive military response.

Presenting a regional objective

When we examine the rationale behind an Iranian response, we should assume that the regime in Tehran will make every effort to cause the “Zionist entity” such severe damage that it would restore the Islamic Republic to the lofty position of a regional superpower. Iran’s choice of targets and its method of attack will be a regional and international display of Iranian strategy and military might. Iran cannot allow the campaign to end with it appearing ruined and humiliated. Another Iranian goal will be to safeguard its nuclear project so that it can quickly resume operations if damaged.

An Iranian strike would probably be directed against Israel’s population centers, since the Iranians believe that Israel would be hard-pressed to cope with a protracted campaign of attrition that weakens the home front.

Upon examining these goals against the scenario established by the media, we can see that the scenario the media portrays would not attain Iran’s objectives. What then is the modus operandi that Iran will choose to meet its goals?

A different kind of society

To understand how the Iranian leadership operates, we must go back to the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War. Despite the extreme differences between that war and a possible Israeli-Iranian confrontation, it would be worthwhile to look at the way the Ayatollah regime, still in its infancy, waged its first war.

At the time, following a break in relations with the US, the Iranian regime was isolated and bereft of superpower backing. Iraq received lavish military assistance from the Soviet Union, while Europe exerted pressure on Iran for disrupting the flow of oil caused by the war. During the long and bitter conflict, Iran’s Republican Guards displayed a high degree of patience, endurance, and determination. The nation proved that it could weather massive attacks from unconventional weapons (poisonous gas) and retain its trust in its leadership. This is the heritage that Khomeini bequeathed to the Iranian people: fighting and winning against all odds.

Those that believe Iran’s geographical distance from Israel will limit the Iranian response (the Iranians will mainly engage in long-range counter fire) fail to take into account the Iran-Syria-Hezbollah axis that enables Iran to bridge great distances. Republican Guard ground forces could be deployed along Israel’s northern border and even engage the IDF in a protracted guerilla campaign.

On the frontlines

Israel must also take into account Hezbollah’s role in such a scenario, since Israel could be tested in an unprecedented event.

For the first time, Hezbollah would be completely subordinate to Tehran’s leadership and the Iranian military command even though it is a Lebanese organization supported by the country’s Shiite population. In an Israeli-Iranian war, Hezbollah would take orders from Iran in its first and perhaps only real opportunity to repay the enormous debt that it owes to Iran for building up its military strength.

Another possibility is that Iran could launch a preemptive strike and place responsibility on Hezbollah, since Tehran has no interest in becoming entangled in hostilities prior to an Israeli attack.

After an Israeli strike, the scope of Hezbollah’s rocket fire into Israel’s depth could parallel the developments in the fighting between Israel and Iran. Israel should not be surprised if this time the rocket and missile fire is entirely different from the past. Instead of gradual escalation at the outset, Hezbollah could unleash a massive missile barrage into the heart of Tel Aviv.

Not today or in a few days

Israel has to proceed with great caution in light of Iran’s policy and culture. A long and bitter guerilla struggle may ensue, one that could last for a year or a number of years against Iranian combat units on Israel’s northern border.

These scenarios are not the product of an imagination run wild, but logical directions that Iran could take as it aspires to realize its goal to become a regional superpower.

 

***
The article was published in IsraelDefense Issue #8

Israel Defense – Bulgarian PM: “Assailant was a suicide bomber with a US passport”

Bulgaria: Hospitalized Israelis Being Evacuated, Number of casualties rises to 8

Terror attack in Bulgaria: the number of casualties in yesterday’s terror attack against the tourist bus in the airport in Burgas, Bulgaria, has risen to eight. One of the wounded persons died of his wounds at the hospital in the early hours of the morning. Six of the casualties are Israelis. Hercules helicopters belonging to the Israeli Air Force (IAF) have begun the operation to evacuate the wounded for hospitalization in Israel.

A team of Israeli doctors departed to Bulgaria over the night, in order to assist local medical teams in dealing with the large number of wounded persons, which currently stands on more than 30. Some of the wounded are suffering from burns and injuries that are characteristic of terror attacks.

The investigation of the event is continuing. Bulgarian Prime Minister Boyko Borisov told local media that despite previous assessments, the attack was carried out by a suicide bomber, and not a remotely-operated explosive charge. According to Borisov, a US passport was found on the terrorist’s body, apparently forged. Representatives of the CIA and FBI US intelligence agencies are involved in  investigation of the attack.

Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu blamed Iran yesterday as being behind the terror attack. Israel’s Minister of Defense clarified that “we will do everything to reach the perpetrators and those that sent them.” The White House published an announcement by US President Barack Obama that stated that the US will cooperate with Israel in investigating the attack, and expressed his condolences over the attack.

ISRAEL DEFENSE – Members of DFLP Squad Arrested

Photo: Shabak Photo: Shabak

Released for publication: the Shabak, in cooperation with the Israeli Police’s section for special duties in the Jerusalem district, have uncovered a terror squad in Northern Jerusalem’s Issawiya neighborhood. The squad is suspected of throwing stones at security forces and aggravated assault against local residents.

A gun and magazines were found during the investigation, which one of the squad members used in various activities carried out in the neighborhood on behalf of the Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP). In addition, another operative admitted to acquiring and possessing a gun.

Popular terror activity is routinely carried out in the Issawiya neighborhood, which includes throwing stones and incendiary bombs as well as physical attacks against Israeli citizens and security forces entering the neighborhood or locations near it.

One of the arrested suspects being investigated is Medhat Tariq Ahmad Muhammad, known as a senior DFLP official in Jerusalem, who was previously arrested for carrying out a shooting attack.

ISRAEL DEFENSE – Preparing for Fires and Structural Collapse

Water rescue exercise (Photo: Fire Service)
Water rescue exercise

The defining event that changed the face of firefighting in Israel was the December 2010 fire in the Carmel Mountains. Forty-four people died, and 6,177 acres of woods were destroyed.

Four months after the devastation, the air force established a firefighting squadron whose six aircraft are presently maintained by Elbit Systems. In addition, Israel Fire and Rescue Service ordered 88 firefighting vehicles. “There are several types of firefighting vehicles,” says Fire Service Commissioner, Chief Shahar Ayalon.

“Some of the vehicles are undergoing supply processes and need to undergo several changes. We’ve also published a tender worth 12 million NIS for personal fireman protection equipment including fireproof proximity suits, helmets, shoes, and coats. Additionally, we bought equipment from around the world, and are working with four to five international companies. We’re going to change the firefighter uniform, and even have a new symbol for the firefighters. We are also currently testing the simulators that exist around the world, and have allocated a sum of more than $10 million. In addition, we are constructing a new instruction facility in Rishon LeZion.

Following the 2010 fire, Shahar Ayalon came to head the Fire Service after serving in the Israeli Police as district commander and deputy inspector general. According to Ayalon, the far-reaching changes within the fire service are also intended for firefighters participating in mass disaster relief, such as wide-ranging missile attacks and natural disasters.

In his opinion, the situation is far from satisfactory. Ayalon notes that during the 2011 rocket attacks from Gaza, it was impossible to send a vehicle from Ashkelon to handle a fire that burst out in the nearby town of Gan Yavneh, which was a result of administrative problems (the town belonged to the more distant district of Rehovot). It took a fire vehicle no less than 20 minutes to make it from there. According to him, there remains a severe shortage in firefighting stations across the country.

“We’ve conducted a threat reference with Israel’s Technion and the National Emergency Authority on how many firefighting vehicles and how many firefighters are needed to provide a response for Israel,” says Ayalon. “The interim statement indicates that an additional 40-60 stations are needed on top of the 100 that already exist. We want to lower the response time. In 2010, our average response time was 14 minutes. In the US, the standard is five minutes for the first team, and an additional five minutes for a second team. In Europe, it’s between 8-10 minutes – we want to approach this time.”

“Our current budget is 700 million NIS. I assume that after the reform, the budget will cross the one billion NIS mark. There won’t be any choice but to construct 50 more stations, and this will have to be planned in the framework of the multi-year budget.”

War Scenarios

“The firefighting system responds to 80,000 situations a year, nearly half of which are tied to rescue and extraction missions,” explains Ayalon. “We have 15 urban rescue units that can enter wreckage sites and rescue people from buildings, including two new units in Be’er Sheva and Netanya. These units are comprised of young and well-trained firefighters. We conduct the courses with RESQ1, a company of military veterans who have run these training exercises around the world for years.

“We also send 15 fighters each year to France to undergo advanced studies in rescuing people trapped in stormy weather. The scope of rescue is the same as the scope of firefighting, even though people think we only extinguish fires. In reality, we engage in rescues, deal with dangerous substances, and also fight fires.”

What will happen during a war? After all, it’s the IDF’s Rear-Area Headquarters that primarily deal with search and rescue.

“In a period of emergency and war, the Rear-Area HQ is also responsible for the Fire Service. The threat to the home front switched to a threat of missiles, and we are preparing for a state of demolished buildings in which the firefighters will have to handle both fires and structural collapses.

“We also take into account damage to strategic factories that house dangerous materials, and we intensively practice situations of container and fuel reserve impacts. We carry out risk assessments with the factories and introduce them to the forces. We have an organized doctrine that is also suitable for missile scenarios.

“We built an operations branch that works, practices, and immediately responds to events, reinforces units, and does all the required operations that are similar to a military system.

“For emergency scenarios, we purchased 24 containers equipped with clothing, food, and water. It costs a lot of money, but we placed these types of emergency containers at each station. As soon as there’s a war, we can increase our number of fire departments and our launches by 40% by taking out fire trucks to all sorts of launch points, thus bringing the firefighters closer to response locations. We settle in well-known locations and are capable of emergency deployment that increases manpower by having 1,200 firefighters in the reserve forces join the regular military.

“In emergency scenarios, we are the first ones alerted and the first to reach the scene. If it’s wreckage, we focus on rescuing lives and extracting whoever we can out of the rubble. Once the Rear-Area HQ’s rescue unit arrives, we pass the responsibility on to them and leave the scene. We are the immediate response for the golden hour – the time when the chances of finding survivors is the highest.”

** Photos: The fire extinguishing squad by Fire Service; Chief Shahar Ayalon by Fire Service

TOP-SECRET – Silver Shadow to Unveil New Assault Rifle

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Silver Shadow will present a new weapon prototype during the Eurosatory exhibition in Paris.

A new player in the arsenal of Israeli weapons? Silver Shadow, the manufacturer of the Israeli-produced Gilboa assault rifle, will soon be presenting another product from the Gilboa line of weapons.

The product is a new assault rifle, with a double barrel – a unique and first of its kind among Israeli-produced weapons. The new weapon increases firepower and has improved marksmanship, but still takes standard ammunition.

The company will present the new weapon at the Eurosatory exhibition in Paris during June 2012. The exhibition is one of the most prominent exhibitions in the world for the fields of defense and security, and takes place every two years in France.

The largest defense companies in the world present their products at the exhibition; the Israeli pavilion, which will feature dozens of companies, is considered one of the most prominent ones at the show.

The Truth about the Iranian UAV

Iranian Ababil UAV
Iranian Ababil UAV

Israel is trying to discover the extent to which the Iranian announcement regarding the development of a new UAV named “Shaparak” is true.

According to the Iranians, the UAV has a take-off weight of 100 kg and can carry a payload weighing up to 8 kg. In addition, the statement says that the UAV has an endurance of 3.5 hours in altitudes of up to 4 km.

In recent years, Iran has invested considerable efforts in developing UAVs. However, Israel is assessing that its achievements are few.

Currently, Iran is exploiting situations in other countries in order to garner operational experience with their UAVs. As was previously revealed in IsraelDefense, there is proof that Iran has operated UAVs on behalf of the Syrian regime.

According to reports from sources following Iran’s involvement in the Syrian Civil War, an Iranian Pahpad UAV was sighted in the past few weeks in the skies near Homs, Syria, which is considered the most advanced in Syria’s arsenal.

In the past, Tehran has claimed that the UAV possesses stealth qualities. While Western elements doubt this claim, they say that it is undoubtedly an advanced UAV, at least with regards to its aerodynamic configuration.

Iran has previously supplied Hezbollah with self-produced UAVs, and the country has previously developed various basic UAVs as well, including the Ra’ad and Nazir. Four years ago, Iran’s defense minister claimed that his country successfully developed a UAV with a flight range of approximately 1,000 km.

Israel has experience with simple Iranian UAVs launched from southern Lebanon by Hezbollah towards Israel’s northern region. In June 2006, the IAF intercepted a suicide UAV carrying a payload of explosives. The Ababil UAV is a copy of a Russian UAV that is produced in Iran. It first breached Israel’s borders on November 7, 2004, and circled for five minutes over the region of Nahariya, photographing the area with a basic photographic system installed onboard. The Ababil UAV has a flight speed of nearly 300 km/h and has a maximum range of 240 km.

Israel is assessing that advanced Iranian UAVs have already been transferred to Hezbollah. The operation of the Iranian UAV in Syria is part of Tehran’s assistance fo Assad’s regime, as well as an Iranian opportunity to operate it in real conditions.

Source: Israel Defense

The Shabak Show Terrorists Returning to Terrorism

 

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Over the past few months since the conclusion of the Shalit exchange deal, the Shabak has been working to ensure that the prisoners released in the framework of the deal have not returned to terror activities. Two examples from recent months prove that not all of them have decided to abandon the path of terrorism, and have instead, returned to their previous terror activities.

Shabak announced that at the end of March 2012, the Judea Military Court sentenced Daoud Hilo, a Ramallah resident and one of the prisoners released in the Shalit deal, to 44 months in prison. Hilo was convicted based on his admission of guilt for attempting to trade war equipment in January 2012. This was a month after his December 8, 2011 release in the framework of the second phase of the Shalit deal.

Having been previously sentenced to 40 months in 2010 (for which he spent 23 months in prison), Hilo’s conviction cancelled the mitigation he received (approximately 17 months) in the framework of the Shalit deal, and now he will return to serve the entire duration of his sentence. Along with a fine of 2,000 NIS, Hilo was also sentenced to 12 months probation for three years from the day he is released, for the felony he was sentenced for in this case or any other firearms felony.

Another example of a Shalit deal prisoner returning to terrorism was found when the Shabak revealed the attempts of Omar Abu-Sneineh, a Hamas operative from Hebron, to recruit operatives in the Judea and Samaria region for the purpose of an abduction attack. Having been banished to the Gaza Strip in the framework of the deal, Abu-Sneineh’s planned abduction was intended for bargaining for the release of prisoners. A Fatah operative serving a life sentence for murder, he crossed the lines into the ranks of Hamas while in prison.

Abu-Sneineh, who was released in October 2011, sent a memory card to his family in the Judea and Samaria region that contained detailed instructions on how to carry out the abduction attack. His intent was to have it later reach the hands of the operatives he would recruit.

The memory card, which was obtained by Shabak, included, among other things, instructions for the operatives on how to behave after abducting an Israeli. The card contained instructions such as: “refrain from hiding (the abducted person) in abandoned areas, caves, or groves, unless it’s a body or the head of the abducted person. If dealing with a live person, which needs to be reached at least once a week in order to bring food and water, it’s best to hide him in a house, an agricultural farm, a work place, or someplace similar.” Abu-Sneineh also listed instructions for obtaining firearms and for recruiting operatives into the service of the terror organizations.

Shabak has stated that the organization “will continue its mission to foil intentions to carry out terror attacks against Israeli targets, And will do everything in its power to bring those involved in terrorism to justice. This includes all the prisoners released in the deal for the freeing of Gilad Shalit that have returned to terror activity.”

Israel Head of Air Attacks – Israel’s Long Arm – Col. Nissim


Col. Nissim (Photo: IDF Spokesperson)
Col. Nissim (Photo: IDF Spokesperson)

The heightened tension with Iran over its nuclear program is forcing the Israeli Air Force (IAF) to rethink its special needs.

Colonel Shlomo Nissim, head of the IAF’s Aircraft Engineering Department, says, “Our goal is to be at the forefront of technology. We have outstanding people with brilliant ideas, whose professionalism is their calling. Their dedication is expressed in achievements in every field.”

One of the department’s recently completed projects is flexible fuel tanks that extend the range of Yasur (Ch-53 Sea Stallion) and Yanshuf (UH-60 Black Hawk) helicopters. The IAF designed the fuel tanks, and an Israeli company manufactured them.

The project has aroused considerable interest, especially after the announcement of the establishment of the IDF Depth Command, headed by Major General (Res.) Shai Avital. This command is officially charged with planning and implementing long-range, multi-arm special operations in the enemy’s strategic depth. This requires special operational and tactical equipment, and one of the basic tools is extended-range cargo helicopters.

Col. Nissim’s department is constantly improving the performance of IAF planes and helicopters, but not only in the Iranian context. One of the department’s developments that elicited considerable international attention is called the “smart patch.” The patch is glued to a smooth surface in an aircraft suspected of suffering from rapid structural fatigue. The band-shaped patch has microelectronic components that track the structural fatigue and relay the data to mechanics, thus eliminating the need to disassemble the aircraft for examination.

The engineering department is also working on a computerized system that will collect all the flight data from IAF helicopters for analysis. “Today, pilots fill out a questionnaire on their extreme flight maneuvers. However, the method is cumbersome, irksome, and inaccurate. This system will facilitate a new way to track aircraft fatigue. When development is completed, the system will be installed in all IAF helicopters,” Col. Nissim says.

Nissim also explained the IDF’s reasons for purchasing new Hercules transportation planes. “The IAF chose the lengthier model of the C-130J because it has an enhanced storage capacity. Naturally, we’ll be installing a number of our own systems in the aircraft, but the less I speak about them, the better.”

In addition to the procurement of new planes, the older Hercules, which has been in IAF use since the 1970s, will get a new lease on life.

According to Nissim, “The main section of the wings will be replaced to prevent dangerous cracking. Israel Aerospace Industries will put on new wings that will guarantee the planes have many more years of flight.” As new Hercules turboprop transport planes enter operational service, and some of the older ones continue flying, others – mainly the C-130Es – will be deactivated.

The Yasur helicopter has been in the IAF for many years, perhaps it too needs to be retired?

“There are no current alternatives to a heavy helicopter. We keep our Yasur fleet in top working condition through constant maintenance and upgrading. The Yasur will be flying at least until 2024. Nevertheless, the IAF is looking at the Sikorsky CH-53K helicopter, which is still in the planning stages in the US. However, it won’t be ready for export until 2019, which is only one of its problems. The price tag per aircraft is over $100 million.”

A new system that recently joined the Yasur fleet is the automatic hovering system. This system, a product by DRS, is connected to all of the helicopter’s sensors that monitor the aircraft’s altitude, speed, and other data. When a pilot reaches the desired altitude, he activates the hovering system and removes his hands from the flight control system. From that moment on, the system takes control, and the helicopter is as stable as a rock. The IAF played a key part in the system’s development.

The hovering system is being integrated into Yanshuf helicopters. “We test every system that can improve mission performance,” says Col. Nissim.

**Yasur brought back to service, Photo: Ofer Zidon

Cryptome – US Boosts Middle East Oil Deals in Israel

[Federal Register Volume 77, Number 70 (Wednesday, April 11, 2012)] [Notices] [Pages 21748-21750] From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov] [FR Doc No: 2012-8608] ———————————————————————– DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE International Trade Administration Oil and Gas Trade Mission to Israel AGENCY: International Trade Administration, Department of Commerce. ACTION: Notice. ———————————————————————– Mission Description The United States Department of Commerce (DOC), International Trade Administration (ITA), U.S. and Foreign Commercial Service (CS), is organizing an Executive-led Oil and Gas Trade Mission to Israel, October 27-October 31, 2012. This mission is designed to be led by a Senior Commerce Department official. The purpose of the mission is to introduce U.S. firms to Israel’s rapidly expanding oil and gas market and to assist U.S. companies pursuing export opportunities in this sector. The mission to Israel is intended to include representatives from leading U.S. companies that provide services to oil and gas facilities, from design and construction through to project implementation, maintenance of facilities, and environmental protection. The mission will visit Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, and will include a visit to a to-be-determined site (e.g., port or company office). Mission participants will attend the 2012 Israel Energy and Business Convention. Held for the 10th consecutive year, by Eco Energy and Tachlit Conferences, this is Israel’s major energy forum. The convention assembles representatives of companies and senior Israeli and foreign policy makers, bringing them together with the Israeli financial and business community. The mission will help participating firms gain market insights, make industry contacts, solidify business strategies, and advance specific projects, with the goal of increasing U.S. exports to Israel. The mission will include one-on-one business appointments with pre- screened potential buyers, agents, distributors and joint venture partners; meetings with government officials; and high-level networking events. Participating in an official U.S. industry delegation, rather than traveling to Israel on their own, will enhance the companies’ ability to secure meetings in Israel. Commercial Setting The United States is Israel’s largest single country trade partner. Since the U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement entered into force in 1985, U.S.-Israel trade has grown nine-fold. Since 1995 nearly all trade tariffs between the U.S. and Israel have been eliminated. Exports of U.S. goods to Israel in 2010 were $6.7 billion. In September 2010, Israel joined the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. Israel has an advanced market economy. As of 2010, Israel has the 24th largest economy in the world. Historically poor in natural resources, Israel depends on imports of petroleum, coal, natural gas and production inputs, though the country’s nearly total reliance on energy imports will likely change with recent discoveries of large natural gas reserves off its coast. In accordance with the OECD’s Green Growth Declaration of 2009, the Government of Israel formed a Green Growth Round Table to bring about regulatory, budgetary and environmental policy changes between 2012 and 2020. Therefore, there may be sub-sector opportunities in environmental protection and pollution treatment, for onshore and offshore activities. Natural Gas In 2009 and 2010, the greatest natural gas discoveries of the decade were made off the coast of Israel: The Tamar and Leviathan fields. These fields may have the capacity to support Israel’s domestic gas consumption with reserves left for exports, and related platform chemicals. The U.S. Geological Survey estimates that there are 122 TCF of recoverable gas in the region, most of it in Israeli waters.\1\ In March 2012, another offshore discovery was made by Modiin and Adira Energy northwest of Tel Aviv, with an estimated 1.8 TCF of natural gas as well as oil.\2\ ————————————————————————— \1\ US Geological Survey. Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas Resources of the Levant Basin Province. <http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3014/ pdf/FS10-3014.pdf>. \2\ “Oil and Gas Found at Gabriella, Yitzhak Licenses.” Globes Israel Business News. 13 Mar. 2012. <http://www.globes.co.il/serveen/globes/ docview.asp?did=1000732741>. ————————————————————————— Israel’s offshore natural gas reserves are estimated around 30 trillion cubic feet, however further exploration is needed. The Ministry of Energy and Water Resources’ (MEWR) Petroleum Unit and Petroleum Council are responsible for issuing petroleum prospecting licenses in Israel. After the Tamar and Leviathan discoveries, numerous licenses to initiate petroleum prospecting were granted. According to the Petroleum Law, license owners must begin petroleum prospecting within 4 months of license issuance, commence drilling operations no later than two years following license issuance, and the interval between the drilling of one well and another cannot exceed 4 months. Consequently, it is likely that various drilling operations will commence in 2012. Because Israel does not yet have the physical infrastructure and technical workforce to support this fast growing industry, local companies are eager to team up with U.S. companies. Finally, Minister of Energy and Water Resources, Uzi Landau is committed to bringing foreign companies into Israel for continued gas exploration, and its eventual export. The Committee on Energy Policy, recommends setting aside 50 percent of the Tamar and Leviathan gas resources for export. Final decisions on exports will be made in the coming months. All natural gas export facilities will be located in areas under Israeli control. Opportunities exist for prospectors, operators, pipeline construction, logistical services and ship manufacturers. Technical training services are required to build a workforce and there are opportunities for academic cooperation with local universities and colleges. Oil In March 2010, the U.S. Geological Survey reported that there is an [[Page 21749]] estimated 1.7 billion barrels of recoverable oil in Israel.\3\ The World Energy Council estimates Israel’s shale deposits could ultimately yield as many as 250 billion barrels of oil.\4\ In May 2011, the Russian energy company Inter RAO announced that it had received a license to develop oil shale resources in the Negev desert. In March 2012, another offshore discovery was made by Modiin and Adira Energy northwest of Tel Aviv, with an estimated 128 million barrels of oil, as well as natural gas.\5\ The Meged Field may also contain significant oil reserves. In June 2011, Israeli oil exploration company, Givot Olam, announced that its test production site, Meged 5, was producing 800 barrels a day. According to a report by the international consultancy Baker Hughes, Givot Olam will develop Meged 6 and Meged 7 and perform well stimulation for all its drillings; in the next stage the company will drill up to 40 wells throughout the Meged field.\6\ In February 2012, MEWR approved continued production at Meged 5, and development of Meged 6-14 drillings.\7\ ————————————————————————— \3\ US Geological Survey. Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas Resources of the Levant Basin Province. <http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3014/ pdf/FS10-3014.pdf>. \4\ “Oil Shale Country Notes: Israel.” World Energy Council for Sustainable Energy. <http://www.worldenergy.org/publications/survey_of_ energy_resources_2007/oil_shale/country_notes/2005.asp>. \5\ “Oil and Gas Found at Gabriella, Yitzhak Licenses.” Globes Israel Business News. 13 Mar. 2012. <http://www.globes.co.il/serveen/globes/ docview.asp?did=1000732741>. \6\ Meged Field Reserves Classification. Rep. Baker Hughes, Mar. 2011. <http://www.givot.co.il/english/data/images/Media/GIVT0001%20Final %20Report%20rev3.pdf>. \7\ “Energy Ministry Approves Meged Field Development.” Globes Israel Business News, 30 Jan. 2012. <http://www.globes.co.il/serveen/globes/ docview.asp?did=1000720122>. ————————————————————————— Many oil exploration licenses are set to expire in 2012 and 2013. Exploration companies are limited to how many licenses they can hold in Israel, and given the success of several exploration projects, there are opportunities for U.S. companies to enter Israel’s oil exploration market. Mission Goals The mission will help U.S. companies increase their export potential to Israel by identifying profitable opportunities in Israel’s natural gas and oil market. As such, the mission will focus on helping U.S. companies obtain market information, establish business and government contacts, solidify business strategies, and/or advance specific projects. The mission’s goals include: Facilitating first-hand market exposure and access to government decision makers and key private-sector industry contacts, including potential trading partners; Promoting the U.S. energy industry by connecting representatives of U.S. companies with potential trading partners; Helping companies gain valuable international business experience in the rapidly growing energy industry; and, Helping U.S. companies strengthen their engagement in the worldwide marketplace, leading to increased exports and job creation. Mission Scenario Participants will attend country briefings, seminars and meetings with government decision makers and key private-sector industry contacts, including potential trading partners. Participants will also receive briefings on natural gas opportunities in Greece and Cyprus. Networking events will provide mission participants with further opportunities to speak with local business and government representatives, as well as with business executives of major U.S. companies already established in Israel. The mission will begin in Tel Aviv, where participants will receive market briefings and learn about doing business in Israel. Next, the delegates will participate in the Israel Energy and Business Convention 2012, Israel’s major energy forum. Here the participants will be able to learn about the market, meet with potential customers and network with all relevant players from the public and private sector. The convention will include plenary sessions, panel discussions, lectures, investment advice and exhibitions. Commercial Service Tel Aviv will arrange one-on-one business meetings with potential buyers and partners for all trade mission participants. Next, the delegation will be led on a site visit. Probable site visits include Ashdod Port and Noble Energy offices. Finally, the delegation will visit the MEWR in Jerusalem to learn about the state of the oil and gas industry in Israel. The precise agenda will depend upon the availability of local government and private sector officials, as well as on the specific goals and makeup of the mission participants. Notional Timetable ———————————————————————— ———————————————————————— Saturday, October 27, 2012… Tel Aviv. [cir] Participants arrive in the AM. [cir] Afternoon Embassy briefing, doing business in Israel seminar. Sunday, October 28, 2012….. Tel Aviv. [cir] Participation in Israel Energy and Business Convention 2012. [cir] One-on-one meetings. [cir] Dinner with trade mission lead and relevant government of Israel senior officials. Monday, October 29, 2012….. Tel Aviv. [cir] Participation in Israel Energy and Business Convention 2012. [cir] One-on-one meetings. [cir] Networking reception with Israeli companies. Tuesday, October 30, 2012…. Tel Aviv. [cir] Site visit to port, or Noble Energy Inc. offices. [cir] Reception and Ambassador’s residence. Wednesday, October 31, 2012.. Jerusalem. [cir] Relevant government meetings. ———————————————————————— Participation Requirements All parties interested in participating in the trade mission must complete and submit an application package for consideration by DOC. All applicants will be evaluated on their ability to meet certain conditions and best satisfy the selection criteria as outlined below. U.S. companies already doing business with [[Page 21750]] Israel as well as U.S. companies seeking to enter to the Israeli market for the first time may apply. A minimum of 10 and a maximum of 20 companies will be selected for participation in this mission. Fees and Expenses After a company has been selected to participate on the mission, a payment to the DOC in the form of a participation fee is required. The participation fee is $3,285 for large firms and $2,675 for a small or medium-sized enterprise (SME) \8\, which covers one representative. The fee for each additional representative is $500. ————————————————————————— \8\ An SME is defined as a firm with 500 or fewer employees or that otherwise qualifies as a small business under SBA regulations (see http://www.sba.gov/services/contracting_opportunities/sizestandards topics/index.html). Parent companies, affiliates, and subsidiaries will be considered when determining business size. The dual pricing reflects the Commercial Service’s user fee schedule that became effective May 1, 2008 (see http://www.export.gov/newsletter/ march2008/initiatives.html for additional information). ————————————————————————— Participants in Israel Energy and Business Conference will pay show-related expenses directly to the show organizer. Expenses for travel, lodging, meals, and incidentals will be the responsibility of each mission participant. Delegation members will be able to take advantage of U.S. Embassy rates for hotel rooms. Conditions for Participation An applicant must submit a completed and signed mission application and supplemental application materials, including adequate information on the company’s products and/or services, primary market objectives, and goals for participation. If the Department of Commerce receives an incomplete application, the Department may reject the application, request additional information, or take the lack of information into account when evaluating the applications. Each applicant must also certify that the products and services it seeks to export through the mission are either produced in the United States, or, if not, marketed under the name of a U.S. firm and have at least 51 percent U.S. content of the value of the finished product or service. Selection Criteria for Participation Suitability of the company’s products or services to the market. Applicant’s potential for business in the targeted industries in Israel, including likelihood of exports resulting from the mission. Consistency of the applicant’s goals and objectives and business with the stated scope of the mission. Diversity of company size, sector or subsector, and location may also be considered during the review process. Referrals from political organizations and any documents containing references to partisan political activities (including political contributions) will be removed from an applicant’s submission and not considered during the selection process. Timeframe for Recruitment and Applications Mission recruitment will be conducted in an open and public manner, including publication in the Federal Register, posting on the Commerce Department trade mission calendar (http://www.ita.doc.gov/doctm/tmcal.html) and other Internet Web sites, press releases to general and trade media, direct mail, notices by industry trade associations and other multiplier groups, and publicity at industry meetings, symposia, conferences, and trade shows. Recruitment for the mission will conclude no later than August 24, 2012. The U.S. Department of Commerce will review applications and make selection decisions on a rolling basis beginning May 21, 2012, until the maximum of 20 participants is selected. Applications received after August 24, 2012 will be considered only if space and scheduling constraints permit. Contacts U.S. Commercial Service Tel Aviv Ms. Irit van der Veur, Senior Commercial Specialist, 972-3-519- 7540, irit.vanderveur@trade.gov. U.S. Commercial Service Washington, DC Mr. David McCormack, International Trade Specialist, 202.482.2833, david.mccormack@trade.gov. Elnora Moye, Trade Program Assistant. [FR Doc. 2012-8608 Filed 4-10-12; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 3510-FP-P

The CIA reports – Iran Expanded its Nuclear Program in 2011

CIA: Iran Expanded its Nuclear Program in 2011

In 2011, Iran expanded its nuclear program, and continued to enrich uranium and develop its nuclear facilities – thus stated a report from the CIA that was presented to the US Congress.

According to the report, Iran has successfully produced approximately 4,900 kg of low-level enriched uranium, and continued its development of the nuclear facilities constructed throughout the country, as well as is heavy water research. The report determined that Iran’s actions were carried out in contrast to the UN decisions that Iran must halt their nuclear activities.

The CIA further determined that Iran has continued the development of the underground facilities in Natanz, and even developed more advanced centrifuges, which were already tested at an unknown destination in the country. Iran’s stockpiles possess approximately 80 kg of enriched uranium at a level approaching 20% (a level suitable for a nuclear bomb).

The report also noted that while the number of centrifuges in Iran’s possession has dropped from 8,900 to 8,000, the number of active centrifuges has skyrocketed from 3,800 in August 2010 to a present figure of 6,200.

In addition, according to the report, one of the most important facilities in Iran’s nuclear program is the Fordo facility near the city of Qom, where Iran is enriching uranium at a level of “nearly 20%.”

The CIA is also stating that while the Bushehr nuclear reactor started producing nuclear fuel last year, it is still not acting at full capacity. However, it should be noted that the report does not deal with the topic of Iran’s military nuclear program. While it provides figures of the country’s uranium stockpiles, it does not associate this stockpile, or any other, with the Islamic Republic’s plans for developing military nuclear capabilities.

The agency also determined that Tehran is continuing the development and expansion of its missile program. They are continuing the development of short and medium-ranged missiles, and focusing on the ability to launch missiles into space as well – so that they can develop missiles with exceptionally long ranges.

Eastern in the Holy Land – Eve of Holiday with an Eve of War Atmosphere

Israel: The chief task facing the newly appointed Head of the IDF’s Planning Branch, Major General Nimrod Shefer, is to restart the debates in the General Staff for consolidating the IDF’s new multi-year plan, codenamed “Halamish.”

The plan was supposed to enter effect at the start of 2012 and be implemented at least by the end of 2016. However, its implementation was postponed by a year due to the arguments over the defense budget and the upheavals in the Middle East.

The arguments began as a result of the summer protests and the need to allocate budgets for implementing the recommendations of the Trachtenberg committee.
As with all the IDF’s previous multi-year plans (the last one, Tefen, which was  intended for 2007-2011, was the first in decades to be materialized in its entirety, without being cut in the middle), the Halamish plan is based on “reference scenarios.” This essentially refers to the worst scenario, to which the IDF builds its forces accordingly. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean that the IDF is preparing for the worst-case scenario.

When Halamish was launched, back when Amir Eshel was still the Head of the Planning Branch (Eshel will soon be appointed the Air Force Commander), the Middle East truly seemed different. The peace agreements with Egypt were stable, even if the risk of war with Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas was already discernible over the horizon.

The strengthening of the threat posed by the “Iranian Axis,” in parallel to the strategic change in the southern arena, demanded that the assumptions of the Halamish plan be examined from the ground up. However, the suitable conditions for that don’t exist now. Due to a gap of at least six billion NIS between the defense establishment’s budgetary demands and the budget as it exists on paper (at least for the time being), the defense establishment is largely managing from hand to mouth at the moment, like a family going through hardships, or a business with financial problems maneuvering payments to its suppliers.

Merkava, with No End

Take the affair of the Merkava project as an example. The project was worthy of an in-depth examination concerning the question of whether the IDF should invest most of its allocated ground resources in a heavy armored vehicle, or in lighter vehicles with active protection. An examination is actually being done by a special committee, which includes the economist Liora Meridor and the former commander of the Combat Corps Headquarters, Major General (Res.) Emanuel Sakal.

According to the decisions made in the framework of the previous plan, Tefen, the IDF invests approximately two billion NIS annually over a ten-year period for construction of tanks and APCs. Nearly half of the sum is funded by the US taxpayer, in the framework of the Namer production efforts being done in the US. The other half is in NIS, providing a livelihood to approximately 200 factories involved with the Merkava tank, and a much smaller number of factories providing Namer components.

Several weeks ago, the Ministry of Defense completely halted new orders in the framework of the Merkava tank and APC project. In the past few days, it seems that the most predictable thing happened: small factories, most of them in the periphery, reached the brink of collapse. An uproar came from the heads of the periphery municipalities, including Kiryat Shmona, Nahariya, Sderot, and Netivot.

On Wednesday, the Director General of the Ministry of Defense, Udi Shani, approved the freeing of 50 million NIS for orders from 15 factories facing the most distress. The rest of the factories are still crying out for orders (primarily those that don’t have orders many years in advance). An essential debate concerning the fate of the project is sluggishly taking place (due to previous commitments, its closure could end up costing even more money in the coming years than its continuation).

There are no differences of opinion in the defense establishment concerning the necessity of the new tanks and APCs. The chief question is whether or not the ordered amount is excessive, and if the budgets can’t be utilized in a more efficient manner.

The political echelon is urging that the number of APCs intended for production in the coming years be cut by half. The Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz (who didn’t hesitate when it came to slashing the armored ORBAT while he was Ground Force Commander, prior to the Second Lebanon War) would apparently be happy to make the significant cut to the project. The problem is that the Ministry of Defense committed to GDLS – which constructed a Namer assembly line in the US city of Lima. In the contract, it stipulated that a minimal number of APCs be produced in two stages. The IDF is considering canceling the second stage, but it’s doubtful that they could do it, from a legal perspective.

The Southern Danger

Despite the cuts, the IDF is very much operating these days in an eve of war atmosphere. Even if there won’t eventually be a war with Iran in the summer, there’s a possibility that a significant front will erupt in 2012 against the Gaza Strip or in the north against Hezbollah. A conflict with Syria is neither fictitious.

The solemn atmosphere was also sensed at the forum of hundreds of operational commanders that gathered this week at the IDF’s Glilot base. In contrast to the mood in the IDF, the public finds it preferable to repress things. Even during tension-filled times, it is the nature of the media to deal with short, specific events more than with fateful processes that occur over time.

One example of this is the rocket fired at Eilat this week – an episode that will soon be forgotten. The rocket was a result of the Egyptian military’s difficulty in controlling events in Sinai, and the presence of numerous terrorist groups throughout the vast peninsula.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s decision last weekend to run for elections for the presidency of Egypt is an example of a far more significant event. However, it’s doubtful that even a small percentage of the Israeli public noticed it. This is a surprising decision, from many aspects, as the previous assessment was that the Brotherhood would avoid a direct conflict over the regime in the coming years. The movement’s very decision to run for office has a considerable significance. Have you considered a scenario in which the Muslim Brotherhood wins the elections, selects a religious president in Egypt, and de-facto cancels the peace agreement with Israel? This is not farfetched. The IDF, which decreased its forces in the south during the stable period during the Egyptian peace process, must prepare for that scenario as well.

The SIBAT Convention: No Party

The eve of Passover is a period for meetings and proposing toasts. Such was the atmosphere at the conference held on Thursday morning by SIBAT, the Ministry of Defense’s defense export and cooperation division, which saw the participation of senior officials from the Israeli defense industries.

SIBAT is the branch tasked with promoting Israel’s defense exports. The more that the Israeli defense industries sell overseas, the more they can afford to develop additional developments for the IDF at a lower cost.

However, there is no festive mood in the defense export arena. The cuts to the defense budgets in Western countries, primarily in the US, are leaving their mark. Data for 2011 has yet to be completely compiled, but it is likely that defense exports saw a specific decline compared to 2010 (although it is still high – nearly $7 billion).

The combination of global budgetary cuts (the US companies, now hungrier than ever, have increased the competition against Israeli companies in East-Asian markets) and the frugality of the Ministry of Defense is no simple matter. Elbit has already started cutting hundreds of employees from its manpower quotas (a process expected to continue after the holiday). Rafael and IAI have stopped recruiting new employees. Plasan Sasa is suffering from the decline in vehicle protection orders for the US Army. Moreover, the situation is even more complicated in small and medium-sized companies, which have fewer layers of fat to trim.

Eyes Towards the Comptroller

After the holdiday, Lt. General (Res.) Gabi Ashkenazi, Minister of Defense Ehud Barak, and the other heroes of the Galant document affair will submit their references to the State Comptroller’s draft report on the affair.

In addition, a full report will be published after the holiday on another issue: the conduct of the political echelons and the defense establishment concerning the flotilla of the Turkish ship Marmara in May 2010. An interesting topic will be addressed in the report – should the Head of the National Security Council take an active part in the sensitive deliberations of the security cabinet, as stated in the NSC law? Or should he be compartmentalized out of some of these debates, as is actually taking place?

Unveiled – Elbit to Defend IEC Against Cyber-Attacks

The Reading Power station (Photo: Wikipedia)
The Reading Power station

Elbit Systems has decided to define the field of cyber warfare as one of its primary expansion goals for the coming years. Dozens of experts have already been recruited to the cyber department headed by Brigadier General (Res.) Yair Cohen, former commander of the central collection unit 8200 in the IDF’s intelligence branch.

“The cyber field completely blurs the distinctions between the classic defense field, the military-defense sector, and the civilian sector,” Cohen said during the Central Cyber Session in December 2011. The session was held in the framework of the Globes Israel Business Conference, sponsored by IsraelDefense and the Yuval Ne’eman Science, Technology, and Security Workshop at Tel-Aviv University.

“Even if we come from the incorrect assumption that Israel’s air force branch is completely sealed, it still needs to receive water and electricity from external sources, and if the Mekorot water company or the Israel Electric Corporation (IEC) were to be stopped, it would affect them as well. You can unleash an unparalleled catastrophe upon a powerful country and military,” he said.

“In Brazil, there are constant attacks against the electric grid. There is a very high probability that these are cyber-attacks, which resulted in 60 million Brazilians being cut off from electricity in November 2009. I don’t want to think about what would happen in the Tel Aviv Metropolitan Area in Israel if there was no electricity for two hours,” Cohen added.

In order to prevent such scenarios from happening in Israel, Elbit and the IEC are preparing for the construction of an extensive defense layout aimed at covering all of the company’s facilities and computer systems. The intent is to replicate this layout in the future and suit it for other large entities in Israel and around the world.

The IEC is considered one of Israel’s essential national infrastructure organizations, with dozens of sites across Israel. The company’s Chairman, Major General (Res.) Yiftach Ron Tal, even recently revealed that the company identified several cyber-attack attempts, which were unsuccessful.

Unveiled – Israeli Airbases in Azerbaijan

Israeli Airbases in Azerbaijan

Is Israel maintaining airbases in Azerbaijan? “Foreign Policy Magazine” is reporting that Israel has obtained permission from the Azerbaijani government to use four abandoned air force bases, located close to Iran’s border.

According to US sources, these are abandoned bases from the soviet era in the country. A former US intelligence senior official told the magazine, “It’s not certain that there’s a signed agreement between Jerusalem and Baku. However, I’m sure that if Israel wants to use those bases as part of an attack on Iran – no one in Azerbaijan would have an issue with it. After all, the countries have had strong ties for two decades.”

“We are following the developments between Israel and Azerbaijan,” said another source in the US administration, “and we are not happy over them.” A source in the CIA told the magazine that in his opinion, Israel would not use the airbases in the framework of the initial attack of Iran’s nuclear facility. Rather, they would be used in the event of another attack.

Russia – Hezbollah in Possession of Advanced Antitank Missiles

Russia recently unveiled its new Kornet EM missile that can launch at least two antitank missiles simultaneously. There is concern that the weapon might be transferred to Syria, and then make its way to Hezbollah in Lebanon

Is Hezbollah in Possession of Advanced Antitank Missiles?

Russia unveiled its new Kornet EM antitank missile at a recent exhibition. This missile is an advanced variant of the veteran Kornet missile, and is meant to be easier to operate against a wider range of targets.

Israel is concerned that quantities of the advanced missile might be transferred from Russia to Syria, and then might end up in the hands of Hezbollah.

The new missile has a greater level of precision with a range of up to 10 km, compared to the previous missile’s range of 5 km.

One of the missile’s advantages is that it can be used in the “natural reserves” in south Lebanon, since it can be assembled on various mobile light platforms.

In addition, the system allows for the simultaneous firing of two missiles, which may pose a risk to the IDF’s armored vehicles.

Israel has been concerned since the start of the popular uprising in Syria that the Assad regime is transferring quantities of weapons to Hezbollah to preserve the strength of its regional ally.

Weird in Wired – Three Blind Phreaks

How the phone-phreaking Badir brothers ran rings around Israel‘s telcos for six scam-filled years.


Inside the chintz-filled living room of the Badir family’s neat and modest home, a feast of freshly roasted chicken, saffron rice, and seasoned vegetable stew perfumes the air. Friends and relatives pour through the front door to congratulate 27-year-old Munther “Ramy” Badir. He’s just been released from prison after serving 47 months for computer-related crimes. Outside, Islamic prayers resonate from speakers on a truck moving slowly down the dusty streets of Kafr Kassem. Everyone in this Israeli village – populated mostly by Arabs – appears ecstatic to have Ramy back.

But he does not see their smiles. Ramy, along with two of his three brothers, has been blind since birth due to a genetic defect. He and his sightless brothers have devoted their lives to proving they can out-think, out-program, and out-hack anyone with vision. (Their sighted brother, Ashraf, is a baker with no tech leanings.) They’ve been remarkably successful. Ramy says dryly, “A computer that is safe and protected is a computer stacked in a warehouse and unplugged.”

Israeli authorities agree. The 44 charges leveled against Ramy, Muzher, and Shadde Badir in 1999 included telecommunications fraud, theft of computer data, and impersonation of a police officer. The brothers’ six-year spree of hacking into phone systems and hijacking telephone time ended when they were convicted of stealing credit card numbers and breaking into the Israeli army radio station’s telephone system to set up an illicit phone company. Unwitting customers – mostly Palestinians on theWest Bankand Gaza Strip – paid the fake telco for long distance calls that were billed to the radio station. A lawyer close to the case said that the Badirs’ scams pulled in more than $2 million.

Ramy, the leader and most technologically savvy of the brothers, was the only one sentenced to prison. Muzher, 28, was ordered to perform community service for six months; Shadde, 22, received a suspended sentence – not because he was innocent, the judge made clear, but because of his age.

Those targeted by the Badirs feel less charitable. Yekutiel “Kuty” Lavi, a security specialist at Bezeq International,Israel’s largest telco and a frequent victim of the Badirs, angrily complains, “Every day people try to steal from us, but nobody has ever stolen from us the way the Badirs did. When they dial, they use the middle finger.”

The Badirs pulled off Mamet-worthy phone cons, employing cell phones, Braille-display computers, ace code-writing skills, and an uncanny ability to impersonate anyone from corporate suits to sex-starved females. On the phone, the brothers morph into verbal 007s, intimidating men, seducing women, and wheedling classified information from steely-voiced security personnel. The phone phreakers’ term for this is social engineering: using a combination of brains and guile to obtain codes for trespassing into systems to rejigger them via strings of touch-tone code. Combine this talent with supersensitive hearing – the brothers can dissect an international connection the way wine expert Robert Parker pulls notes from a glass of Bordeaux – and you have what BernieS, a legendary phreaker and contributor to the hacking journal 2600, calls “a formidable skill set.”

At one point during my visit with the Badirs, I pull out my cell phone and make a call. Before it even connects, Shadde, who is sitting across the room, recites all 12 digits perfectly.

Ramy smiles at the parlor trick. “It used to be disgusting to be blind,” he says. “Today, you scare people. You possess skills that those with sight cannot possibly understand.”

Two hours into an afternoon-long interview with the Hebrew-speaking Badirs, my translator’s lips lock. He shrugs and tells me that the Badirs have shifted into a secret code. Ramy later explains that as kids he and Muzher developed their own language – reordering letters in mathematically complex ways – after they discovered that other boys were snooping on their conversations. “People said that God cursed our mother by giving her three blind sons,” recalls Ramy. “Children beat us on the backs of our legs. Those abuses left scars on our hearts. But they also forced us to grow stronger.”

The young Badirs closed ranks and vowed that their blindness would never be an impediment. They taught themselves to take apart telephones, to mimic voices and verbal tics, and to get around Tel Aviv without canes or guide dogs. They became obsessed with technology and telephones. After encountering their first computer, in 1989, at Tel Aviv’s Center for the Blind, Ramy and Muzher became enchanted with the IBM clones. They hung aroundTelAvivUniversitywhile working, with little success, as software and telephone consultants; their early crimes were the phreaker equivalent of shoplifting a Hershey bar.

But Ramy was too ambitious to stop there. “I taught myself to program in all the languages: C, C++, Basic, Java, HTML, PHP, CGI. I built my own black boxes, blue boxes, and red boxes,” which, respectively, circumvent billing, generate tones to place free calls, and simulate pulses triggered by money dropped into a pay phone. “I used those boxes to get into and decode phone systems.”

In 1993, Bezeq technicians caught the Badirs snagging telephone time for their own use. Things quickly escalated when the brothers obtained the codes to break into PBXs – private branch exchanges – belonging to Bezeq and to the Israeli headquarters of Comverse, Intel, Nortel, and others. PBXs are the computerized nerve centers that operate phone systems; they are designed to be repaired, updated, and altered remotely by technicians using touch-tone codes.

“The Badirs regularly called Bezeq, pretending to be engineers in the field,” recalls Eyal Raz, who worked in the telco’s international antifraud unit from 1994 to 1999. “They called secretaries and said,

‘I need to get in to do a repair. You need to give me the number and password.’ Sometimes they succeeded, or else they’d get only the number and try to break the password by using proprietary programs.” At other times, a secretary would simply key in the code, providing what seemed like onetime access but actually enabling the brothers to hear touch tones and translate them into numbers they could then use whenever they pleased.

The three used their access to devise an elaborate moneymaking scheme. According to Raz, during the mid-1990s the brothers made a deal with a phone sex outfit based in theDominican Republic. They would be paid for driving calls to the service. The Badirs made the calls themselves, but the lines were rigged so that Comverse and Nortel were billed by the phone sex service.

At the time there were no computer crime laws inIsrael, so Bezeq took it upon itself to try to short-circuit the Badirs. “At one point I asked an engineer to block three lines that the Badirs had opened up for themselves,” recalls Raz. “They knew that I had put the blocks on. So a couple days later, one of them phoned the engineer and said, ‘This is Eyal Raz. Please unblock those three lines.’ The engineer, who knew my voice, believed it was me. He unblocked the lines.” Raz shakes his head, showing grudging admiration. “These are very clever boys.”

In 1995, the Badirs turned their attention to a business closer to home. Their target was Israeli phone sex mogul Ben Zion “Bency” Levy, who maintained a database of thousands of customer credit card numbers. Ramy and his brothers went to work on Levy’s secretary, patiently convincing her to provide the information that would allow them to unlock the credit card numbers and PINs.

“We knew to approach her gently and break through her psychological barrier,” says Muzher. ” We had her tell us clues that would lead to the password of her boss’s computer.”

“I figured out the personality of her boss, learned the numbers that were meaningful to him, and used those numbers to get into his system remotely,” says Ramy. In the end, the Badirs seized some 20,000 credit card numbers – and, after being confronted by Levy, caused all of his telephones to ring continuously with no caller on the other end of the line.

In 1996, Levy reported the scam toIsrael’s National Fraud Unit. The following year, a file of Badir-related complaints – including Levy’s – landed on the desk of David Osmo, an investigator withIsrael’s national police force. Osmo met with Ramy and recalls being amazed at the speed of the young man’s fingers on a phone keypad when he made a call. “I told him he is a smart person who should use his intelligence for good things,” Osmo says. “Return back to society,” he urged.

Ramy remembers his response to Osmo: “You can chase me for 20 years and you will not find anything to convict me on.”

The Israeli Army Radio Station is guarded as if it were a military base. Occupying four floors of a dirty white building on a busy two-lane street in Jaffa, the station is protected 24/7 by a half-dozen armed recruits. In 1998, the brothers joined forces with a group of Jewish and Arab scam artists and targeted the station, intending to hijack phone lines and sell call time on them.

Though they were convicted of participating in the scheme, the brothers deny they were involved. Ramy is nonetheless willing to speak knowledgeably about the con. “These were among the most protected lines in theMiddle East,” says Ramy. “They had a lot of scrambling, and big technology is required in order to get in.”

Why an army outpost? “Those lines cannot be tapped by the police, so there is no monitoring,” explains Ramy. “These are the safest lines on which to do something like this.”

Authorities maintain that Ramy broke into the army radio station’s phone system and activated a dormant function called direct inward systems access, which allows long distance calls to be placed remotely and charged to that particular phone account. He structured the DISA so that as many as 281 people would be able to make telephone calls simultaneously on that single line.

Once the long distance access was in place, the Badirs’ partners set up a switchboard inside a shack in an orange grove inJaffa. Voilא, instant phone company. Customers placed calls from kiosks along the Gaza Strip, from cloned cell phones, or directly from their homes; these were routed from the switchboard to the radio station’s DISA. The Badirs and their partners billed customers for the calls, while the actual costs were absorbed by the radio station.

It wasn’t long before the station realized its bills were excessive and contacted Bezeq. The company’s security specialists joined with the Israeli national police in an investigation. They raided the orange grove, arresting several low-level workers at the shack. Only after one of them mentioned that the lines had been set up by blind technicians, says one source close to police, did the probe turn to the Badirs.

At the time, Ramy and his brothers were already in the crosshairs. Suspects in numerous telecommunication crimes, their home phone was frequently tapped by the national police. They reviewed the tap transcripts and spent a year investigating the brothers, hoping to find incontrovertible links between them and the pirate phone company. An intense cat-and-mouse game developed: the Badirs on one side, with fraud investigator David Osmo and prosecutor Doron Porat on the other.

While Porat was working on the case, his car’s GPS system and email were repeatedly hacked. “There was a message waiting for him with his password in it,” says Ramy, sounding quite pleased. “After that, he changed his password every hour before giving up on email altogether and using a typewriter.” The brothers reportedly contactedIsrael’s DMV and registered Osmo’s car under another name, causing embarrassing problems for the investigator when he tried to sell his vehicle.

“The police experienced bad luck,” notes Ramy. “Their telephone systems went down, their computers developed bugs. Osmo got big bills for calls that he hadn’t made. He believed we were always listening in on him. Sometimes Osmo spoke on the telephone and other calls came across the line as he tried to talk.” Ramy smiles devilishly. “He found that to be very annoying.”

Ironically, even as they knew the degree to which they were being pursued, the Badirs did not show a lot of restraint over the telephone. “This was our mistake,” admits Ramy, who believed that some of his phone lines were secure. “We knew the police were chasing us and trying to catch us. Our overconfidence led us to think they would never do it.”

On June 14, 1999, 14 police officers raided the brothers’ home in Kafr Kassem. Though they found a safe containing more than $14,000 worth of Jordanian dinars, investigators did not uncover an expected treasure trove of hardware, software, and notes in Braille. “It’s all in our heads,” asserts Ramy. “The police took my laptop, which contained programs for running through thousands of numbers very quickly, but I had it designed to erase everything on the hard drive if it was opened by somebody other than me. They lost all the material.”

Ramy, Muzher, and Shadde were arrested on a variety of charges relating to computer fraud in connection with their hacks of the radio station and Bency Levy’s phone sex operation. Police took them from their home in wrist and leg cuffs, but even in custody, they could not help but show off by conversing in their secret language and announcing telephone numbers that were being keyed in by law enforcers. “When Doron Porat stood next to me,” adds Ramy, “he took the battery out of his cell phone.”

Ramy was jailed throughout the trial, which dragged on for 27 months and took the prosecutors way beyond their depth of technological expertise. Porat and his team eventually quit trying to explain how the Badirs did what they’d been charged with and focused instead on simply proving they did commit acts like breaking into a phone company switchboard.

In her November 2001 ruling, judge Saviona Rotlevi went easy on Muzher and Shadde but found Ramy guilty of 20 counts concerning Israeli cyberlaw, 4 counts of telecom law violation, and 15 counts of other crimes. The judge sentenced him to 65 months in prison. Among his restrictions: All of his calls were to be made with the assistance of a guard so that he would never touch a telephone keypad.

After nearly four years behind bars, Ramy was released when a judge ruled he’d served enough time. He marks his second day of freedom by repairing with Muzher and Shadde to a small cafי on the edge of Kafr Kassem. Inside, the brothers order bottles of orange juice and three water pipes. They puff deeply, releasing plumes of fruity-smelling tobacco smoke.

Despite his years in prison, Ramy appears to have no financial worries. Upon arriving home, he promptly ordered a $20,000 Braille-display computer fromGermany. He also spent a couple of hours checking on the construction of his new four-story house. Workers broke ground on it while he was still in prison; completion was scheduled to coincide with his original release date. It’s a sprawling, solid-looking place, situated on a prime corner lot in the center of Kafr Kassem. The top floor will be a high tech penthouse where Ramy can hatch his next move.

And what will that be? Ramy claims a couple of juicy software programs that he began developing in prison are in the pipeline. “I am inventing a PBX firewall,” he says. “I know all the weakest spots of a telephone system. I can protect any system from infiltration.”

Ramy insists there are major companies interested in his new software. He talks about big money and big meetings. But he refuses to show what he’s working on and won’t name anybody who’s backing him. One person who sounds perfectly game to be involved is the brothers’ old nemesis Eyal Raz. “If he can build that, he’ll become a billionaire,” predicts Raz, who now works for a Tel Aviv-based phone security firm called ECtel. “The Badirs know so much and are so talented that I would happily use them as consultants.”

Ramy insists he has outgrown the scams: “I am going to the other side, coming up with devices that will keep the phreakers out.”

You want to believe him, you really do. Maybe it’s the truth. Or maybe it’s a sweet bit of social engineering designed to generate positive press and position the Badir brothers for their next spree.

Cyber-Security – The Software that will Provide Intelligence Information during Investigations

The Software that will Provide Intelligence Information during Investigations

MITsy International Ltd., the largest and most experienced Israeli company in the field of data-storage reconstruction and data recovery, is presenting a new, fast, and very efficient Hebrew version of Foresee digital forensic software. ForeSee can trace data that has been deleted from any platform, including hidden files.

“Files, emails, and online communication plays an important role in all aspects of life, and tracing data deleted by criminals is therefore, vital for many investigations,” explains Avner Sharon, MITsy’s CEO. “The new, improved version of MITsy allows the police to work faster and in a more precise manner during the investigation, and prevents unpleasantness if the suspect isn’t guilty – or accelerate his conviction if he broke the law.”

The software itself is a unique product, specially adapted to the requirements of Israeli entities and authorities – the police, Ministry of Justice, Ministry of Defense, law offices, and legal departments in organizations. Foresee 2012 includes swift tracing and reconstruction of word strings and files on drives of all kinds, 32 and 64-bit system support, a more convenient and user-friendly interface, a search tool for specific words in deleted files, and improved Russian and Arabic support.

Shabak Arrested Suspect on Way to Abduct Soldier and Carry Out a Terror Attack Near Eilat

Mahammad Hasin Awad Abu-Aadra was arrested trying to infiltrate Israel through the Sinai. He confessed that he sought to implement a suicide attack in Eilat, planned by Hamas

Released for Publication: Shabak Arrested Suspect on Way to Abduct Soldier and Carry Out a Terror Attack Near Eilat

Shabak released a statement that they arrested Mahammad Hasin Awad Abu-Aadra, a Rafah resident, at the end of February, while he was attempting to infiltrate Israel through the Gaza border.

Abu-Aadra is suspected of planning to abduct an Israeli soldier, as well as planning a suicide attack in Eilat. Abu-Aadra is the son of a well-known Rafah family of Hamas operatives.

During the investigation, Abu-Aadra admitted that he escaped from Gaza to the Sinai a year ago via a tunnel, due to criminal entanglement. After several months in the Egyptian peninsula, Abu-Aadra was approached by Yunes Shluf, a Rafah resident and Hamas operative. According to Abu-Aadra, Shluf is the commander of the organization’s artillery layout and responsible for the Hamas observation layout in the Sinai.

He asked Abu-Aadra to work for Hamas in the Sinai, carry out observations, and photograph Israeli positions along the Egyptian border with the purpose of carrying out a terror attack.

Abu-Aadra understood from Shluf that there were other elements in the Sinai conducting intelligence collection in order to carry out terror attacks backed by Hamas. Some of the operatives even received considerable sums of money for this activity.

After agreeing to work for Hamas in the Sinai, Abu-Aadra was smuggled through a tunnel by Hamas operatives.

Abu-Aadra underwent a comprehensive military debriefing in Gaza, and was informed that the purpose of the intelligence collection was for examining targets and destinations for carrying out terror attacks. He was also told that his relative, Rashdi Jama’a Mousa Abu-Aadra, a Hamas military operative, would accompany him for collecting intelligence for attacks in Sinai.

In August 2011, both of them carried out most of the observations while equipped with sophisticated cameras and a GPS device, which they used to mark the targets they observed. Local Sinai residents additionally aided them.

It should be noted that the Taba border crossing was one of the targets for which they were collecting information, with emphasis on examining the security forces and the guard stations at the crossing. The two also collected intelligence about military outposts spread out across the border with Israel, as well as several civilian targets within Israel, with emphasis on targets in the city of Eilat. Both of the men infiltrated into Israeli territory as part of their activities, with the objective of collecting better intelligence about targets and ways to reach them.

After completing the observations, Mahammad and Rashdi transferred their information to the Gaza Strip, where it was examined by senior Hamas operatives. They later received follow-up missions and precise briefings regarding the information and the targets for which they needed to collect intelligence.

Near the end of 2011, Mahammad Abu-Aadra was asked to reach the Gaza Strip. Upon his arrival, he was taken along with Rushdi Abu-Aadra and Yunes Abu Shluf to a meeting with Ra’ed Atar, commander of Hamas’s military brigade in Rafah.

Mahammad Abu-Aadra agreed to carry out fire attacks towards military and civilian targets on the Sinai-Israel border, as well as fire rockets from Sinai towards Israel. Ra’ed Atar explained to Mahammad Abu-Aatra that the purpose of the attack would be the abduction of an Israeli soldier, and that another attack was planned.

In the additional attack, a squad of suicide bombers would be inserted into the city of Eilat in order to carry out a suicide attack.

Mahammad Abu-Aadra admitted during his interrogation that he agreed to set up the suicide squad in Eilat. He added that Yunes Shluf told him the training of the terrorists for the suicide attack squad had been completed, and that the infrastructure for their transport had been prepared in Sinai, but they were currently waiting for the right conditions to commence the attack.

An indictment have been presented to the Be’er Sheva regional court against Abu-Aadra, on charges including: contact with foreign agents, membership in an illegal organization, conspiracy to commit murder, conspiracy to commit abduction, intent to harm national security, and more.

Column – Assad – “He will bleed, he will kick, but it is the end”

A year after the eruption of the Syrian uprising, Lieutenant Colonel Dr. Mordechai Kedar examines the continuation of the struggle, and claims that Assad will fall sooner or later

 

“He will bleed, he will kick, but it is the end"

This week marked a year since the start of the Syrian uprisings. However, despite assessments that claimed his regime would end within several months, Assad remains in power, and the final results of the internal Syrian conflict are still unclear.

According to Lieutenant Colonel (Res.) Dr. Mordechai Kedar, Assad will eventually be defeated. Even if it takes more time, he will eventually vacate his position, whether if it happens in the framework of an agreement, or due to defeat at the hands of the rebels. “He will bleed, he will kick, but it’s the end. People will not agree to continue with him after massacring 10,000 people, even if it happens in a month, two months, or a year. He’s in a state similar to a terminal illness – he can take all sorts of measures to bring calm for a period, but he will eventually be subdued.

“The situation has completely changed. The Kurds can almost smell their freedom, and they’re waiting for the Arab factions in Syria to do all the work – the more they slaughter each other, the more the Kurds’ situation will improve.

“Assad will be toppled when the military units direct the tank barrels towards him. Officers, soldiers, and even small units have defected so far, but they are few. We’ve yet to see tank regiments defect, along with their ammunition bases and logistical layout. As soon as units with large combat forces defect and turn against Assad, that will mark the end. It’s heading in that direction – the question is if it’s going in that direction fast enough. The West is not interfering because it fears Russia and China, and Syria is not Libya. The Russians didn’t have a port in Libya, whereas they have three ports in Syria – Latakia, Tartus, and Baniyas. These are their only ports on the Mediterranean Sea, which means that from their perspective, losing Syria poses a strategic problem. Furthermore, the fall of Syria would greatly anger Iran, which may result in Iran causing problems in the gulf.

You don’t see a scenario in which Assad subdues the rebels, and as a result, ends up strengthened?

“Even if that were to happen, the riots would eventually erupt again at some point. You can’t turn back time, and when it erupts again, it will be even stronger. What we are seeing in the Youtube videos is nothing compared to what they are actually experiencing there – women are being viciously raped and people are being massacred everywhere. Members of a military unit break into the house of the head of a village, seize his eldest daughter, and rape her.”

**Dr. Mordechai Kedar is an expert in Middle Eastern affairs, a Lt. Colonel reservist, and research associate at the BESA Center for Strategic Studies at Bar-Ilan University.

Confidential – CIA, Mossad Agree That Iran is Not Pursuing Nuclear Weapons

Mossad, CIA agree Iran has yet to decide to build nuclear weapon (Ha’aretz):

Israel’s intelligence services agree with American intelligence assessments that there is not enough proof to determine whether Iran is building a nuclear bomb, according to a report published Sunday in the New York Times.

The newspaper said that senior American officials believe there is little disagreement between the Mossad and U.S. intelligence agencies over Iran’s nuclear program, despite the fact that Israeli political leaders have been pushing for quick action to block Iran from becoming what they describe as an existential threat.

The report further quoted one former senior American intelligence official who states that the Mossad “does not disagree with the U.S. on the weapons program,” adding that there is “not a lot of dispute between the U.S. and Israeli intelligence communities on the facts.”

U.S. Faces a Tricky Task in Assessment of Data on Iran (New York Times):

Mossad, Israel’s intelligence service, agrees with the American intelligence assessments, even while Israeli political leaders have been pushing for quick, aggressive action to block Iran from becoming what they describe as an existential threat to the Jewish state.

“Their people ask very hard questions, but Mossad does not disagree with the U.S. on the weapons program,” said one former senior American intelligence official, who, like others for this article, would speak only on the condition of anonymity about classified information. “There is not a lot of dispute between the U.S. and Israeli intelligence communities on the facts.”

In trying to evaluate the potential perils of Iran’s nuclear program, the United States’ spy agencies have spent years trying to track its efforts to enrich uranium and develop missile technology, and watching for any move toward weaponization — designing and building a bomb.

The United States and Israel share intelligence on Iran, American officials said. For its spying efforts, Israel relies in part on an Iranian exile group that is labeled a terrorist organization by the United States, the Mujahedeen Khalq, or M.E.K., which is based in Iraq. The Israelis have also developed close ties in the semiautonomous region of Kurdistan in northern Iraq, and they are believed to use Kurdish agents who can move back and forth across the border into Iran.

American intelligence officials, however, are wary of relying on information from an opposition group like the M.E.K., particularly after their experience in Iraq of relying on flawed information provided by the Iraqi National Congress, an exile group run by Ahmad Chalabi.

“I’m very suspicious of anything that the M.E.K. provides,” said David A. Kay, who led the C.I.A.’s fruitless effort to find weapons program in Iraq. “We all dealt with the Chalabis of the world once.”

Just as in 2010, new evidence about the Iranian nuclear program delayed the National Intelligence Estimate in 2007, the last previous assessment. Current and former American officials say that a draft version of the assessment had been completed when the United States began to collect surprising intelligence suggesting that Iran had suspended its weapons program and disbanded its weapons team four years earlier.

The draft version had concluded that the Iranians were still trying to build a bomb, the same finding of a 2005 assessment. But as they scrutinized the new intelligence from several sources, including intercepted communications in which Iranian officials were heard complaining to one another about stopping the program, the American intelligence officials decided they had to change course, officials said. While enrichment activities continued, the evidence that Iran had halted its weapons program in 2003 at the direction of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was too strong to ignore, they said.

One former senior official characterized the information as very persuasive. “I had high confidence in it,” he said. “There was tremendous evidence that the program had been halted.”

And today, despite criticism of that assessment from some outside observers and hawkish politicians, American intelligence analysts still believe that the Iranians have not gotten the go-ahead from Ayatollah Khamenei to revive the program.

“That assessment,” said one American official, “holds up really well.”

Israel – Former head of the Counter-Terrorism Bureau, Nitzan Nuriel – Attacks on Israel from Turkey

Former head of the Counter-Terrorism Bureau, Nitzan Nuriel, is calling on Israelis in Turkey to operate cautiously in light of information that terror elements are seeking to carry out attacks against Israeli targets

 

“Turkey is a very convenient operational arena for those seeking to attack Israelis”

The Counter-Terrorism Bureau increased its existing travel alert for Turkey yesterday (Tuesday), following intelligence information that terror elements intend to carry out attacks against Israeli or Jewish targets.

In a special interview for IsraelDefense, the former head of the Counter-Terrorism Bureau, Nitzan Nuriel, explained that behind the bureau’s decision was “a coalition of jihadists, and it makes no difference if it’s Hezbollah, the Revolutionary Guard, or anyone else who is identifying Turkey as a convenient place to operate. The country has a shared border with Iran and Syria, and the anti-Israeli sentiment is very extensive.”

He continued, by saying, “The truth needs to be said – there is a sort of cooperation between the terrorists and the local security forces in Turkey.” This morning the Turkish media reported that Turkey’s Prime Minister, Tayyip Rajab Erdogan, sent a warning to Iran in which he warned the Revolutionary Guard against hurting Israelis or Jews. Nuriel believes that this was only “lip service.” “They just don’t want to find themselves arresting Iranians for the moment, so they prefer to hint that they not reach them.” He added that so far, no one has demanded that the terrorists that have already operated in Turkey answer for their actions. “Turkey knows who carried out the May 2011 attacks (in which several people were wounded in what was apparently an attempt to hurt the Israeli consul), and have yet to punish those responsible. The terrorists are operating in a convenient arena, in which there are many targets, and they know they will not pay a price for it.”

According to Nuriel, there are three possible targets for terrorists in Turkey – the Jewish community, Israeli diplomats, and business people from Israel that reside in the country. “With regards to the Jews, the Turkish government is responsible for protecting them, as they protect other populations in the country. The diplomats are secured by Israel. The business people, however, are the most vulnerable targets at the moment, which is why the travel warning was escalated.

“Business in Turkey might be good for the Israeli economy, but business people must be offered several ways to reduce their risk of danger. It’s recommended that the same cab driver not be taken more than once; meet in central and bustling areas, not in remote locations; it’s best to go to a meeting with two people, and carefully inspect every businessman you are invited to meet for the first time, regardless of how tempting and lucrative his proposal may be,” Nuriel explains.

Facebook Warnings

Nuriel said that the Counter-Terrorism Bureau launched a Facebook page two weeks ago that publishes travel warnings for Israelis overseas. It was made especially for Israeli backpackers and those residing overseas for long durations who are not up-to-date regarding news events in Israel.

“Travelers, especially youths, go to distant locations in the world and upload their photos to Facebook in real-time. What they don’t realize is that they’re making a doubled mistake. They’re essentially telling anyone looking at the page, ‘Hey, I’m here, and I’m an Israeli.’ It’s better to upload photos from the trip a week later after leaving the place.”

Start for Israels New Head of Central Command – Major General Nitzan Alon

New Head of Central Command: Major General Nitzan Alon

The new Major General in the IDF’s General Staff, Nitzan Alon, was considered to be the “enemy of the settlers” when he served as former commander of the Judea and Samaria division.

Today, Alon began his role as head of the Central Command. He was promoted to the rank of Major General in a ceremony held last Thursday at the Kiriya in Tel Aviv.

The Minister of Defense, Ehud Barak, and the Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz, attended the ceremony along with the members of the General Staff and the families of the commanders.

Maj. Gen. Nitzan Alon is replacing Maj. Gen. Avi Mizrahi who served as head of Central Command for the past three years and is expected to leave to study in the US. Mizrahi is competing for the role of next Deputy Chief of Staff against Maj. Gen. Gadi Eizenkot, the former head of Northern Command.

On Thursday, the Minister of Defense told Maj. Gen. Mizrahi: “Avi, you brought along tremendous experience and left your mark on the command, the military units, and their readiness for war, as well as on the complicated fabric of the region.”

He told the new Major General: “Nitzan, today you are entering a far more complex reality than you’ve experienced in the past two years, and today you’re receiving comprehensive responsibility for it. I would like to wish you the best of luck.”

The outgoing head of Central Command, Maj. Gen. Avi Mizrahi, said, “This is the most challenging, complicated, and difficult role I’ve held throughout my service. I’m glad for the opportunity that was given to me, to take part in shaping the future of the state of Israel.”

The incoming head of the Central Command, Maj. Gen. Nitzan Alon, thanked the Minister of Defense and the Chief of Staff for their trust in choosing him for the role, saying, “I am grateful for the trust in choosing me for this role, and I will make every effort to meet the trust.”

Before his appointment, Maj. Gen. Nitzan Alon served as commander of Sayeret Matkal.

Report – Obamas Gifts to Israel in Exchange for Not Attacking Iran

Why was Netanyahu forced to have a spokesperson describe the meeting with Obama? Why are the US presidential elections the most important in Israel’s history? Why is IMI only a “scapegoat” in the Indian affair? And will Barak surprise with new appointments pertaining to Udi Shani and Yoav Galant?

 

The fact that the new head of Netanyahu’s publicity layout, Liran Dan, had to explain in the media that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and US President Obama had a “good meeting” regarding the Iranian issue, is not a good sign in itself.

If Netanyahu and Obama were really deeply coordinated, then the events following the meeting should have gone down more or less as follows: none of the heads of states would have said a word about the Iranian issue (and would have thus increased the pressure in Tehran); within a few weeks or months, upon the exhaustion (and near certain failure) of the economic sanctions, the US and its allies would have declared a naval and aerial blockade in the Persian Gulf. If the blockade wouldn’t have helped halt Iran’s progress towards a nuclear bomb – that’s when the assault stage would have arrived, be it Israeli or international.

Although that it is not what happened, the meetings that took place this week have historical significance nevertheless. Two very important things can be understood from Obama’s words after the meetings: Obama does not trust Netanyahu or Ehud Barak not to instruct the Israeli air force to attack Iran. Thus, he operated in order to effectively “lock” them by publicly announcing that the US believes that it’s too early for an attack.

At the same time, Obama announced an unprecedented commitment to Israel’s protection, and essentially promised Israel that the US is taking all the responsibility for halting the Iranian bomb. Obama announced that it is a US interest. This is no trivial matter. Yet, can his promise to halt the bomb be trusted? Not necessarily. November will see the most fateful elections in Israel’s history (in which the next US president will be elected). After the elections, Obama may change his skin, or a Republican president will be elected, one that will not be bound to Obama’s statements. Therefore, it’s entirely possible to agree with Netanyahu’s words in this context: that Israel is obligated to protecting itself by itself.

A Man of Words

Netanyahu is a person who attributes great significance to words. Each and every word he said this week in the US was measured. Netanyahu is also obsessed with his image (hardly an exclusive for this column, it’s rather well known). He arrived to the US directly from Canada. It’s possible to remember another occasion in which he also arrived from Canada, on May 30, 2010 (though that day is chiefly remembered due to the events onboard the Mavi Marmara, and less because of the US visit).

During that trip in 2010, Netanyahu first achieved the historic commitment which was also proclaimed this week, that the US will guarantee Israel’s safety (it occurred following behind-the-scenes efforts by the head of Israel’s National Security Council at the time, Uzi Arad).

After that visit, the Israeli media published the (incorrect) report that Obama had promised that Israel be approved construction of nuclear reactors for peaceful purposes. The US was furious, and the accusation for the leak was cast within the Prime Minister’s office on Uzi Arad – yes, the same Uzi Arad, who’s already been outside of the Prime Ministers office for a year, and who verbally attacked the Prime Minister last week over the same affair.

Gifts for Restraint

So what did we have this week? At the bottom line, an obvious warning coming from the direction of the US that Israel must not attack (even if it wasn’t an explicit prohibition). Furthermore, a more-than-implied US promise that it will take full responsibility for stopping the Iranian bomb, even if the possible Israeli window-of-opportunity for an attack (until the coming summer) is not utilized. And lastly, as according to Israeli tradition, there was a shopping list, but we cannot know if it was granted.

A “shopping list” is a tradition in which Israeli prime ministers arrive to the US with a request for a gift from the US, in exchange for any Israeli step, in the defensive or political field. Israel usually gains weapons or other gifts in exchange for concessions with regards to the peace process with the Palestinians or with regards to countries in its neighborhood. According to reports, Israel requested refueling aircraft from the US this time, which will enable it to increase the air force’s flight range, as well as additional bunker-penetrating bombs. The reward would not necessarily be an explicit commitment that it not attack. In any case, according to publications, Israel’s Minister of Defense, Ehud Barak, also met with President Obama during his US visit from more than a week ago, and discussed these “gifts” with him. Even if the request was truly granted, it can be assumed that the US will not provide it to Israel at a date that will allow it to use the new measures in the imminent period.

Ashkenazi Is in the Bunker

While an Israeli option to attack Iran was apparently postponed in Washington, monumental efforts were invested this week in the local front, in the battle between the Minister of Defense, Ehud Barak, and former Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi, following the State Comptroller’s interim statement on the Harpaz Affair.

The current situation picture near the weekend in this front: after several utterances in which he took partial responsibility for the affair and cast a greater responsibility on Barak, Ashkenazi descended into the bunker, where he spends his time with his lawyer and prepares the response to the Comptroller. Barak and his people are heavily bombing the bunker, and will continue to do so, though it’s doubtful that it’ll be effective. Both Barak and Ashkenazi are in a bad place with regards to public opinion – at least with regards to this affair.

Interestingly enough, from this week’s developments was the demand by Brigadier General Imad Fares to be returned to the IDF, due to the things stated in Barak’s official announcement, which stated that Ashkenazi had wronged him. Logic dictates that if the Minister of Defense says such things, then there’s allegedly a “case” for the demand coming from Fares. However, will the current Chief of Staff, Benny Gantz, really bring the dismissed officer back into service? It doesn’t seem to be the case.

By the way, Barak claimed that Brigadier General Moshe (Chico) Tamir was also wronged by Ashkenazi, who dismissed him due to the affair in which his son drove a military-issued ATV. Gantz can be at ease when it comes to this issue: there’s no chance that Brigadier General Tamir will ask to return to service. He’s making great success (and money) as VP of Defense and Homeland Security for Gilat Satellite Networks (read the special interview with him in the coming issue of IsraelDefense, which will be published next week).

IMI on India’s Blacklist

On another matter: employees working at the various defense industries in Israel know to appreciate the considerable amount of work that they receive from India, which has been a tremendous market for the defense industries for more than 15 years. The collective scope of the sales there nearly reaches the figure of $10 billion.

The Indian issue rose to the headlines this week following the reports that Israel Military Industries (IMI) is still on the Indian Ministry of Defense’s blacklist of companies with which they are not to do business. IMI entered the list several years ago, due to an investigation in India into the actions of Indian businessman Sudhir “Bunny” Choudhrie.  Choudhrie represented the company in a deal, in which it was supposed to establish a munitions factory on Indian soil at an investment of $240 million.

If Tamir and Fares are “victims” of Ashkenazi, according to Barak, then IMI is a “scapegoat” in a sense, as Choudhrie previously represented nearly all the Israeli defense industries in India, including Israel Aerospace Industries and Rafael. Furthermore, he was even a shareholder in both Aeronautics and Soltam (presently a part of Elbit Systems). The Israeli defense establishment can live with the ban on IMI, so long as no more bans are imposed upon other, larger companies as well.

Galant for the Ministry of Defense?

While we’re mentioning IAI, it’s hard to know the seriousness of the rumor in the defense establishment, that the current chairman of the Ministry of Defense, Major General (Res.) Udi Shani, will be IAI’s next CEO (following the anticipated retirement of Itzhak Nissan, the current CEO, in October). The same goes for the chances that Major General (Res.) Yoav Galant, who was dropped from the race for the position of Chief of Staff, will replace Shani as chairman. All this is according to a “master plan” attributed to Barak, one which was not written down in any document, such as the forged “Harpaz document.”

 

SOURCE: ISRAEL DEFENSE

Column by Arie Egozi – Separate Speeches – Separate Realities

Arie Egozi Arie Egozi is a seasoned reporter in the defense industry and in military and civilian aviation. He has worked closely with the Israeli daily Yedioth Ahronoth, and written for international journals in both the aviation and defense fields.

The speeches were amazing, truly a school of state speeches, fluent and sweeping. The applause from the good Jewish Americans at the AIPAC convention was genuine and loud. So far, so good. However, there’s a very large problem behind the scene. Perhaps a twofold problem.

It’s an election year in the United States, and the US doesn’t need a war in the Middle East. Israel, on the other hand, has reached the conclusion that the sanctions barely tickle the whiskers on Ahmadinejad’s face, and that the nuclear facilities need to be attacked. So the US solved its problem with Jerusalem, but those in Jerusalem have forgotten something; It’s the Israeli home front that will suffer the Iranian response, and the home front is in no way ready for an attack.

A home front can’t really be prepared for a missile attack, but not even the smallest effort has been taken in Israel; no shelters, no NBC protective masks for the populace, no element to coordinate the activities in the areas that will be hit. In short, a typical Israeli mess. The home front has simply been abandoned, and it seems that Jerusalem’s forgotten this. There is clearly a tremendous problem here.

After the applause in Washington fades, someone will have to examine the situation, and it’s a grim one. Having just two Arrow batteries, as well as all the deficiencies listed earlier, is a recipe for a heavy blow to the home front. Not the 500 casualties (a number that Minister of Defense Ehud Barak plucked from the confidential files), not “tolerable damage” – but the paralysis of the home front, mass casualties, widespread destruction, and a joint attack from Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas.

Everyone will take part in the attack, but Israel is simply not ready. The Merkava Mark IV tanks and the sophisticated UAVs will not help here. Nor will the smart and precise weapons. The Israeli home front is relatively small and unprepared for a barrage of missiles and rockets. Our leaders need to remember this before they make any decisions.

The problem is not what will be said in the White House, the problem is what will happen to us here. I’m not at all certain that this is being taken into consideration in Jerusalem.

To paraphrase Bibi Netanyahu’s words in Washington: If it looks like a mess, sounds like a mess, and walks like a mess, then it’s a mess.

Column of Major General (Res.) Amos Yadlin – former Head of Israel’s Directorate of Military Intelligence

Major General (Res.) Yadlin during a lecture at the Tel Aviv University
Major General (Res.) Yadlin during a lecture at the Tel Aviv University

Major General (Res.) Amos Yadlin, the former Head of the Directorate of Military Intelligence and current head of the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), believes that an Israeli strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities will result in regional stability in the Middle East.

In an article written by Yadlin for the New York Times, he says, “Others claim that an action will destabilize the region. However, a nuclear Iran could lead to far worse: a regional nuclear arms race without a red phone to defuse an escalating crisis and Iranian aggression in the Persian Gulf.”

“An ironclad American assurance is needed to prevent a nuclear Iran, and if President Obama will not do so, Israel may well choose to act while it still can,” Amos continued.

In his opinion, Israel will require support from Washington in case of an attack. “The US could carry out an extensive air campaign using stealth technology and huge amounts of ammunition, beyond what Israel can achieve.”

Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will depart today for a formal visit to Canada, from where he’ll continue to Washington DC for a meeting with US President Barack Obama. The two are expected to discuss the topic of Iran’s nuclear program.

At the same time, Bloomberg news is reporting that the US army is practicing for an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. The US Air Force Commander, General Norton A. Shwartz, said during a discussion with reporters in Washington that the US Army has prepared military options in case it might need to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.

“You wouldn’t want to be in the area,” Shwartz reportedly said. Senior Pentagon officials told a network reporter that the US is considering, among other things, assisting the Israeli Air Force in refueling its aircraft on the way to an attack on the Iranian facilities.

Another option that’s also being considered is a US Army attack against the headquarters of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.

Column of Former Mossad Chief Danny Yatom – The No Choice Attack Against Iran

Danny Yatom Major General (ret.) Danny Yatom is Chairman and CEO of GSG Ltd. He was a Member of Knesset (Israeli Parliament), Head of the Mossad and chief of staff to the prime minister

Much has recently been discussed on the need to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities. One thing should be made clear in advance: the implications of such an attack and Iran’s response, including missiles and rockets fired from the north, would be far less destructive than if Iran unleashed a nuclear bomb on Israel.

Some people are voicing sharp opposition to a military strike against Iran, claiming it would signal a regional war of unforeseen magnitude. This is their perspective, and there is nothing wrong with public discourse on the issue. However, it is imperative to recognize that Israel will pay a heavy price for an attack on Iran, regardless of the aggressor’s identity. If sanctions and other restrictions do not convince Iran to halt its race for nuclear power, then the question of a military strike will rise to the top of Israel’s agenda.

We must not allow Iran to obtain a nuclear weapon that poses an existential threat to Israel—a situation in which we will wake up every morning wondering whether a nuclear bomb will fall on us because somebody in Iran got up on the wrong side of the bed. The damage from a nuclear bomb on Israel would be catastrophic.

We are not dealing with a rational regime that makes sound political decisions. It is a regime headed by a spiritual leader who acts according to his personal interpretation of the Koran. What’s more, Ahmadinejad repeatedly calls for erasing Israel off the map. Who can guarantee that when he secures a nuclear bomb, he won’t use it on us?

We cannot gamble on our future by relying on the assessments or wishful thinking of those who believe that diplomatic pressure will force the Iranians to relinquish their quest for nuclear capability. These assessments assume that Iran is a rational regime, which is not the case. In the meantime, recent Western-led sanctions against Iran’s financial institutions seem to only “itch” the Islamic Republic, and Russia and China, two countries with close commercial ties to Tehran (including weapons sales) are opposed to crippling their Middle Eastern economic partner.

After Iran is attacked, we will suffer through the consequences, which might include rocket barrages from Lebanon and Gaza. However, our retaliation will be so painful and so devastating that, in my opinion, the enemies’ aggression will quickly come to an end. Likewise, although we will have to strike civilian infrastructure and public facilities throughout Lebanon and Gaza, rockets will no longer threaten the citizens of Israel.

The world must realize time is running out. As of now, everything depends on the Iranian’s decision to produce a bomb. They already have the knowledge and material—it is only a matter of time (a year at most) from when they give the green light. Therefore, from my point of view, sanctions—no matter how harsh—will not bring the desired results. In the same way, secret operations like the mysterious explosions at Iranian bases and the assassination of scientists and senior figures from their missile program will not deter Iran’s leaders, for they are determined to attain a nuclear weapon. An attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities should only be done as a last resort. Assuming that sanctions and other efforts will fail to stop the Iranians, the only alternative will be to strike.

The world must understand that this is a global problem and not just Israel’s problem—Israel should not have to be forced to initiate a military strike. Still, we must make it clear that if the world is unwilling to intervene, then Israel has a moral obligation to protect itself.

OPINION -Israel needs to begin a cyber counterattack

Arie Egozi Arie Egozi is a seasoned reporter in the defense industry and in military and civilian aviation. He has worked closely with the Israeli daily Yedioth Ahronoth, and written for international journals in both the aviation and defense fields.

Israel needs to begin a cyber counterattack; the cooperation between IAI and Boeing creates a large profit potential; will autonomous systems that open fire on their own be positioned along the Egyptian border?

There’s no doubt that the persons capable of dealing with cyber attacks against Israel are the individuals in the IDF’s elite units who deal with advanced computerization. There is an assessment that the recent attacks against banks and hospitals are merely a rehearsal for the real thing; if this is true, then these units need to be prepared not just for a defensive operation, but also an offensive operation.

While it is still unclear who developed and sent the worms that infected Iran’s nuclear facilities, this is the kind of offensive action Israel needs to take. We must severely damage the infrastructure of hostile states, as the large attacks against Israel will be conducted by states, not by groups of young anarchist hackers.

Though Israel is not ready for this kind of war, in the meantime, it can at least respond with highly effective counterattacks.

A Strategic Maneuver

The expansion of the cooperation agreement for ballistic missile defense between Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) and Boeing was presented as another step of industrial cooperation between two companies with advanced technology. However, this is not exactly the case.

A deal was signed with Boeing nearly a decade ago to obtain more Arrow-2 missiles. IT manufactures part of the missiles in an Arizona-based plant that are purchased for the IAF with US foreign aid funds – a convenient arrangement for all sides.

Yet, something happened along the way. Israel is the only country in the world in possession of an operational system for defense against ballistic missiles. The US is positioning systems against intercontinental missiles, but that is another story. Boeing understood that aside from sub-contracting, there is still greater potential in this area.

The signing of the agreement for expanding the cooperation represents a genuine change. Today, Boeing is largely involved in the development of the upgraded Arrow-3 missile. However, that is not where the issue ends.

I have no doubt that the threat posed by ballistic missiles to an increasing number of countries is generating a demand for defense systems. The cooperation between IAI and Boeing could result in the sale of these systems to several countries.

Independent in the Field

Will the IDF use autonomous systems capable of opening fire on their own accord in the near future? The decision is tactical rather than technical, as the technology already exists with both ground and naval tools.

The question is one of human “operational code.” What now seems unacceptable may soon become acceptable, especially along a border like the Egyptian one. When the never-ending work of erecting the Egyptian border fence is complete, someone will have to back the metal wires from which it was made.

It is along such an extended fence that autonomous tools that can identify and eliminate will provide effective solutions. The IDF will have to consider all aspects of using this technology. It will not be an easy decision, but the changing situation necessitates a renewed and comprehensive analysis.

A Foretold Failure

The last-minute cancellation of a deal signed by Israeli UAV manufacturer Aeronautics and a foreign country once again raises the question as to the way Israeli defense export deals are made. Supposedly, all the elements and mechanisms needed to prevent unsuitable deals already exist.

So how do mishaps such as these still occur? The best example is the economic “parallel market.” Essentially, these formal exporters operate in semi-secrecy alongside importers, and not always in conjunction with them. Primarily, these are former senior officers utilizing connections from their military service to make a profit.

All attempts to overcome, regulate, and end this phenomenon have so far failed.

Alone in Battle

IsraelDefense readers already know that during Gen. Dempsey’s visit ten days ago, the state of the discussions carried out with Israel’s Chief of Staff and other senior defense officials was far from the “family picnic” official spokespersons tried to portray.

Over the weekend, an interview with the US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff exposed what was said during his visit. There is no agreement between the US and Israel on the Iranian issue. Gen. Dempsey arrived here in an attempt to prevent an independent Israeli operation, and the discussions, at least in part, were acrimonious.

This means that the Americans don’t want a mess during an election year, that Israel is alone in this battle, and that Israel will have to make tough decisions in the near future.

Government Suckers

Thousands of words have been written about the Tal law and the attempt to extend it. This time I wish to speak about other “suckers,” and not those that go into the reserve forces every year. The Prime Minister and the Minister of Defense are the suckers. Either they are not listening to their media consultants, or those consultants don’t understand a thing.

If Netanyahu and Barak had decided long ago to end the massive evasion from IDF service, they would have gained enough support to render the partnership with the religious parties pointless. Therefore, they are in fact the suckers.

They don’t understand the depth of the fury among the secular populace over the discriminatory law; they would have made a name for themselves in an unprecedented manner had they demonstrated valor as veterans of combat units and done the right thing.

However, their instincts are not what they used to be during their military service. Now, of all times, those instincts would have benefited them, as evasion from service is a dangerous enemy.

TOP-SECRET – How Israel won the war – The Capture of an Iraqi Mig – 21 by the MOSSAD

Iraqi Pilot Munir Redfa 1966 Left & 1998 Right  (Mossad Archive Photo) Munir Redfa (1934 – 1998)  was an Iraqi Fighter Pilot, of Assyrian origin, who defected to Israel in 1966 by flying a MiG-21 of the Iraqi Air Force. In what is considered as one of the Mossad’s most successful operations, Redfa’s entire extended family was smuggled safely out of Iraq to Israel. The MiG-21 fighter was evaluated by the Israeli Air Force and was later loaned to the United States for testing and intelligence analysis. Knowledge obtained from analysis of the aircraft was instrumental to the successes achieved by the Israeli Air Force in its future encounters with Arab MiG-21s.Redfa’s defection was the subject of the movie Steal the Sky.Redfa was born Munir Habib Jamil Rufa  in 1934 to an Assyrian family belonging to the Syriac Orthodox Church from Mosul. He was the second of nine children. Like many other Assyrians, his family fled to Iraq as part of the Christian migration from southeast Turkey and Iran’s northwestern mountains (specifically Urmia, fleeing the upheaval of World War I in what is known as the Assyrian genocide).At the time of Redfa’s defection, a press conference was held during which he indicated that he had suffered from religious and ethnic discrimination in Iraq and that he did not feel that it was his home and requested asylum in the United States.Although he was reunited with his family in Israel he did not re-emigrate to the US, contrary to his declaration, and he received Israeli citizenship. He and his family shortly thereafter moved to another western country.Redfa died in 1998 of a heart attack.

THE inside story of a daring mission to steal a Russian MiG21 jet fighter from Iraq has emerged in Israel as the country prepares to mark its stunning victory in the six-day war 40 years ago this week.
The secrets of the plane, which was flown to Israel by its decorated Iraqi pilot Munir Redfa, laid the foundation for a triumph by Israeli pilots during the 1967 war, in which the MiGs flown by the Egyptian, Syrian and Iraqi air forces were crippled.Last week Zeev Liron, the pilot who persuaded the Iraqi to defect, recalled how the whole mission had nearly unravelled when Redfa’s wife, who had been told nothing, threw a fit in Paris on hearing the news that she was going to live in Israel.In 1966 Redfa was a 32-year-old pilot in the Iraqi air force. He was frustrated that his Christian background was blocking prospects of promotion and outraged that he had been ordered to attack Iraqi Kurds. He was beginning to doubt whether he had any future in Iraq.Joseph Shamash, one of Israel’s top agents in Baghdad, befriended Redfa and his wife Betty and persuaded them to join him on a Greek island holiday during which they were introduced to Liron. They knew him only as Josh.“Josh can help you to leave Iraq,” Shamash whispered to Redfa.
“When Munir heard what we wanted – to fly his MiG from Iraq to Israel – he almost fainted,” said Liron. “‘My MiG? To Israel? Are you guys out of your minds?’” He pointed out that his tanks carried insufficient fuel to reach Israel and that he would be shot down as soon as he tried to head for the border.Speaking as a fellow pilot, Liron pulled out a map and showed Redfa that his plan could work. “Finally Munir was convinced,” Liron said, “but by the morning he’d got cold feet.”Urgent action was required. Mossad consulted Yitzhak Rabin, the army’s chief of staff and future prime minister, who ordered: “Bring him to Israel. Show him where he’ll land and let him fly in one of our jets.”Redfa was given an Israeli passport in the name of Moshe Miz-rahi and touched down with Liron in Tel Aviv, where he was taken to the airfield where he would land the MiG. Before he left Israel, Redfa asked Liron not to tell his wife anything about the plan. “I’ll prepare the ground,” he promised. But he did not – and it almost derailed the operation.Back in Baghdad, Redfa was assigned to a long-haul flight and he convinced his ground staff to add an extra fuel tank to his MiG.Meanwhile, the Israelis arranged for Redfa’s entire family to leave Iraq for their summer holiday. The last to leave were Betty and their two children, aged three and five, who flew to Paris.When Liron met her there ina Mossad safe house and told her they were about to fly to Israel, she had hysterics. “Forget it!” she screamed. “Israel? Are you mad? And who are you anyway? I’m going straight to the Iraqi embassy.”“Only then did I realise Munir hadn’t said her a word to her about going to Israel,” said Liron.
Eventually he calmed Betty down, persuaded her not to expose the plot to the authorities, gave her an Israeli passport and got her onto a flight to Tel Aviv. Several hours after they landed, Redfa and his MiG21, escorted by an Israeli Mirage, landed at the airbase.With Redfa’s help, the Israelis immediately began to unlock the secrets of the Russian plane. Their pilots tested it to its limits. They fought mock dogfights with their Mirages and learnt the tactics needed to beat it.After the 1967 war, Redfa and his family left Israel. Betty had told her husband that living with the enemy was out of the question. Mossad arranged for them to adopt new identities – as the proprietors of a petrol station in the West.The MiG was lent to the US, which tested it in the Nevada desert, and it helped develop a new generation of American fighters. In return, for the first time, the US began to supply Israel with modern jets. Redfa died of a heart attack in 1998.

ISREAEL – Barak: “Iran and Hezbullah are determined to avenge, we will continue to operate against the terror front”

Barak: “Iran and Hezbullah are determined to avenge, we will continue to operate against the terror front”

Israel’s Minister of Defense Ehud Barak and the senior officials of the Israeli defense establishment inaugurated the Israeli pavilion at the Singapore Air Show on Tuesday morning. The Israeli delegation arrived accompanied by heavy security, due to the event that occurred yesterday near the embassy in New Delhi, India, and the attempt to harm the Israeli embassy in Georgia.

Barak referenced the events at the inauguration of the Israeli pavilion, saying, “Israel is dealing with defense challenges. The attack in India and the event in Georgia did not come from Denmark or Belgium. Responsibility for the events comes from the same elements.” Barak held Iran and Hezbollah responsible, saying, “They are continuing to focus on avenging and causing casualties. We will have to continue operating against the terror front.” Barak also spoke of the defense export’s contribution to the security of Israel.

Miki Federman, the owner of Elbit Systems, said during the inauguration ceremony that cooperation between the industries and the defense establishment is widening. “The ministry is helping us by promoting the defense export in any way possible,” Federman noted.

The Singapore Air Show is considered one of the most important defense exhibitions of the year, and features guests and buyers from across the world, but primarily from Southeast Asian countries. SIBAT, the defense assistant division of the Israeli government, set up an Israeli national pavilion – which includes large companies such as IAI, IMI, Rafael, and Elbit Systems, alongside smaller companies such as Eromaoz and Kanfit.