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Israel Prepares for Independent Military Action Against Iran as Netanyahu Rejects Trump’s Gaza Peace Plan

Israel Prepares for Solo Iran Operation as Netanyahu Rejects Trump’s 15‑Point Gaza Plan

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Israel is preparing for potential independent military action against Iran as the United States searches for an exit strategy from the conflict. At the same time, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly rejected President Donald Trump’s 15‑point Gaza peace plan, insisting the IDF will not withdraw until Hamas is “genuinely disarmed.” The twin developments signal a widening rift between Jerusalem and Washington on two critical fronts.

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Israel Prepares for Solo Iran Operation

Israel is reportedly preparing for the possibility of taking independent military action against Iran as the United States weighs its next move in the conflict. Reports suggest senior U.S. officials are discussing ways to end the war, while concerns over dwindling American missile and interceptor stocks could limit Washington’s options. Vice President JD Vance has acknowledged that Iran wants an end to the conflict, but says Tehran must meet U.S. demands.

According to Israeli Channel 13, Tel Aviv continues to keep the option of launching attacks on Iran without U.S. involvement on the table. The Israeli military is continuing preparations for potential unilateral strikes at a time when the United States is seeking a diplomatic “exit route” to end the war with Iran. Reports indicate that Israel is preparing for a scenario in which American support or direct involvement decreases.

U.S. Exit Strategy Talks Intensify

CNN has reported that U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Dan Caine shared concerns with senior Washington officials about the course of the war. Caine was reportedly seeking an “exit route” from the conflict, arguing that further escalation could create new risks and that it would be difficult for President Trump to achieve his objectives through airstrikes alone. Caine reportedly met with CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vice President JD Vance.

The broader context is that the U.S. is running short on missiles and interceptors, which could limit its ability to continue the war against Iran. CNN has reported on dwindling U.S. munitions – something angrily denied by President Trump. The fresh demands from Iran “narrows the options for the Trump administration,” according to former NATO Supreme Allied Commander James Stavridis.

Israel’s Military Posture

Israel has already conducted hundreds of waves of strikes in Iran, dropping over 13,000 bombs on Iranian regime and military sites. Recent satellite images show Iran rapidly rebuilding sites hit by U.S. and Israeli strikes. Defense Minister Israel Katz has explicitly stated that the Israel Defense Forces have selected targets inside Iran and are prepared to take independent military action. The IDF has reportedly cancelled all military leaves amid signs that Netanyahu could be preparing a fresh strike on Iran.

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Netanyahu Rejects Trump’s 15‑Point Gaza Plan

In a separate but equally significant development, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has formally rejected President Trump’s 15‑point peace plan for Gaza. At a cabinet meeting on Sunday, Netanyahu declared: “Israel rejects the 15‑point document” and insisted the Israeli military “will not carry out any withdrawal until Hamas is genuinely disarmed.”

The Core Disagreement

The 15‑point plan, brokered by Trump’s Board of Peace, envisioned a phased peace process in which Hamas would gradually cede its weapons and power to a new Palestinian administration, while Israel would withdraw its troops to the “yellow line” established in the ceasefire deal both sides signed in October 2025. Trump had announced that Hamas had agreed to “complete disarmament,” calling it a “monumental step toward lasting peace and security.”

Netanyahu, however, insists that disarmament must come first – and that it must be complete and verifiable. He told his cabinet: “When I say the disarming of Hamas, it means heavy weaponry, lighter weaponry, all weaponry. And we are talking about genuine disarmament, not fictitious disarmament.” He also vowed: “As long as I am Prime Minister, no Palestinian state will be established – not in Gaza and not in the West Bank.”

A Rare Public Break with Trump

The rejection marks a rare public break between Netanyahu and Trump, whom he has called “the greatest friend that the state of Israel has ever had in the White House.” The Guardian described it as “a rare public break with Donald Trump.” Netanyahu appeared to rebuke U.S. pressure to end wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran without Israel’s buy-in: “Unlike all those who lecture us, we do what needs to be done for Israel’s security, and we can and know how to stand our ground, even against our best friends when necessary.”

Political Calculations

The timing of Netanyahu’s rejection is significant. Israel is facing tough elections on October 27, and Netanyahu is caught between far‑right ministers angered by concessions in Gaza and his key military backer, Trump, who wants progress toward ending the conflict. National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir dismissed the draft as “not acceptable.” Netanyahu is likely using the public break with Trump to shore up his reputation as a defender of Israel at home.

Hamas and the Board of Peace Respond

Hamas has reaffirmed its commitment to the 15‑point plan. A senior Hamas official told Reuters: “We expect the mediators and the U.S. guarantor to press Netanyahu and his government to adhere to the roadmap.” Nickolay Mladenov, the Board of Peace’s high representative for Gaza, defended the plan, saying it remained the “only way forward” to prevent a repeat of the October 7, 2023 attacks.

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Conclusion

Israel is preparing to fight on two fronts – against Iran and against its closest ally’s diplomatic pressure. The combination of potential unilateral Israeli strikes on Iran and the public rejection of Trump’s Gaza plan signals a dangerous new phase in the Middle East. With U.S. midterm elections approaching in November and Israeli elections due in October, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether diplomacy or military action prevails.

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Israel bereitet Alleingang gegen Iran vor – Netanjahu lehnt Trumps Gaza-Friedensplan ab

Israel bereitet sich auf einen möglichen eigenständigen Militärschlag gegen den Iran vor, während die USA nach einem Ausweg aus dem Konflikt suchen. Gleichzeitig hat Ministerpräsident Benjamin Netanjahu den 15-Punkte-Friedensplan von Präsident Donald Trump für Gaza öffentlich abgelehnt und darauf bestanden, dass sich die IDF nicht zurückziehen werde, bis die Hamas “wirklich entwaffnet” sei. Die beiden Entwicklungen signalisieren eine wachsende Kluft zwischen Jerusalem und Washington an zwei kritischen Fronten.

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Israel bereitet Alleingang gegen Iran vor

Israel bereitet sich Berichten zufolge auf die Möglichkeit eines eigenständigen militärischen Vorgehens gegen den Iran vor, während die USA ihre nächsten Schritte im Konflikt abwägen. Berichten zufolge diskutieren hochrangige US-Beamte über Wege zur Beendigung des Krieges, während Bedenken über schwindende US-Raketen- und Abfangjägerbestände Washingtons Optionen einschränken könnten. Vizepräsident JD Vance hat eingeräumt, dass der Iran ein Ende des Konflikts wünsche, aber Teheran müsse die US-Forderungen erfüllen.

Nach Angaben des israelischen Senders Channel 13 behält Tel Aviv weiterhin die Option im Auge, Angriffe auf den Iran ohne US-Beteiligung zu starten. Das israelische Militär bereitet sich weiterhin auf mögliche einseitige Angriffe vor, während die USA nach einem diplomatischen “Ausweg” aus dem Krieg mit dem Iran suchen. Berichten zufolge bereitet sich Israel auf ein Szenario vor, in dem die amerikanische Unterstützung oder direkte Beteiligung abnimmt.

Gespräche über US-Ausstiegsstrategie intensivieren sich

CNN hat berichtet, dass der Vorsitzende der US-Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Caine, hochrangigen Beamten in Washington seine Bedenken über den Verlauf des Krieges mitgeteilt habe. Caine habe demnach nach einem “Ausweg” aus dem Konflikt gesucht und argumentiert, dass eine weitere Eskalation neue Risiken schaffen könnte und es für Präsident Trump schwierig sein würde, seine Ziele allein durch Luftangriffe zu erreichen. Caine habe sich demnach mit CIA-Direktor John Ratcliffe, Außenminister Marco Rubio und Vizepräsident JD Vance getroffen.

Der weitere Kontext ist, dass den USA die Raketen und Abfangjäger ausgehen, was ihre Fähigkeit, den Krieg gegen den Iran fortzusetzen, einschränken könnte. CNN hat über die schwindende US-Munition berichtet – was von Präsident Trump wütend dementiert wurde. Die neuen Forderungen Irans “verengen die Optionen für die Trump-Administration”, so der ehemalige NATO-Oberbefehlshaber James Stavridis.

Israels militärische Haltung

Israel hat bereits Hunderte von Angriffswellen im Iran durchgeführt und über 13.000 Bomben auf iranische Regime- und Militärstandorte abgeworfen. Aktuelle Satellitenbilder zeigen, dass der Iran von US- und israelischen Angriffen getroffene Stätten schnell wieder aufbaut. Verteidigungsminister Israel Katz hat ausdrücklich erklärt, dass die Israel Defense Forces Ziele im Iran ausgewählt haben und bereit sind, eigenständige militärische Aktionen durchzuführen. Die IDF hat Berichten zufolge alle Militärurlaube gestrichen, da es Anzeichen gibt, dass Netanjahu einen neuen Angriff auf den Iran vorbereiten könnte.

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Netanjahu lehnt Trumps 15-Punkte-Gaza-Plan ab

In einer separaten, aber ebenso bedeutsamen Entwicklung hat Ministerpräsident Benjamin Netanjahu den 15-Punkte-Friedensplan von Präsident Trump für Gaza formell abgelehnt. In einer Kabinettssitzung am Sonntag erklärte Netanjahu: “Israel lehnt das 15-Punkte-Dokument ab” und bestand darauf, dass sich das israelische Militär “nicht zurückziehen wird, bis die Hamas wirklich entwaffnet ist.”

Der Kern des Streits

Der 15-Punkte-Plan, der von Trumps Board of Peace vermittelt wurde, sah einen schrittweisen Friedensprozess vor, bei dem die Hamas ihre Waffen und Macht schrittweise an eine neue palästinensische Verwaltung abgeben würde, während sich Israel auf die “gelbe Linie” zurückziehen würde, die im Waffenstillstandsabkommen vom Oktober 2025 festgelegt wurde. Trump hatte verkündet, dass die Hamas einer “vollständigen Entwaffnung” zugestimmt habe, und nannte dies einen “monumentalen Schritt in Richtung dauerhaften Friedens und Sicherheit.”

Netanjahu besteht jedoch darauf, dass die Entwaffnung zuerst kommen müsse – und dass sie vollständig und überprüfbar sein müsse. Er sagte seinem Kabinett: “Wenn ich von der Entwaffnung der Hamas spreche, meine ich schwere Waffen, leichtere Waffen, alle Waffen. Und wir sprechen von echter Entwaffnung, nicht von fiktiver Entwaffnung.” Er gelobte auch: “Solange ich Ministerpräsident bin, wird kein palästinensischer Staat errichtet – weder in Gaza noch im Westjordanland.”

Ein seltener öffentlicher Bruch mit Trump

Die Ablehnung markiert einen seltenen öffentlichen Bruch zwischen Netanjahu und Trump, den er als “den größten Freund, den der Staat Israel jemals im Weißen Haus hatte” bezeichnet hat. Der Guardian beschrieb es als “einen seltenen öffentlichen Bruch mit Donald Trump.” Netanjahu schien sich gegen den US-Druck zu wehren, die Kriege in Gaza, im Libanon und im Iran ohne die Zustimmung Israels zu beenden: “Im Gegensatz zu all denen, die uns belehren, tun wir, was für Israels Sicherheit getan werden muss, und wir können und wissen, wie wir unseren Mann stehen können, auch gegen unsere besten Freunde, wenn es nötig ist.”

Politische Kalkulationen

Der Zeitpunkt von Netanjahus Ablehnung ist bedeutsam. Israel steht vor harten Wahlen am 27. Oktober, und Netanjahu befindet sich zwischen ultrarechten Ministern, die über Zugeständnisse in Gaza verärgert sind, und seinem wichtigsten militärischen Unterstützer Trump, der Fortschritte bei der Beendigung des Konflikts wünscht. Der nationale Sicherheitsminister Itamar Ben Gvir bezeichnete den Entwurf als “nicht akzeptabel”. Netanjahu nutzt den öffentlichen Bruch mit Trump wahrscheinlich, um sein Image als Verteidiger Israels im Inland zu stärken.

Reaktionen von Hamas und dem Board of Peace

Die Hamas hat ihr Bekenntnis zum 15-Punkte-Plan bekräftigt. Ein hochrangiger Hamas-Vertreter sagte gegenüber Reuters: “Wir erwarten von den Vermittlern und dem US-Garanten, dass sie Netanjahu und seine Regierung drängen, sich an den Fahrplan zu halten.” Nickolay Mladenov, der hochrangige Vertreter des Board of Peace für Gaza, verteidigte den Plan und sagte, er bleibe der “einzige Weg nach vorn”, um eine Wiederholung der Angriffe vom 7. Oktober 2023 zu verhindern.

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Fazit

Israel bereitet sich darauf vor, an zwei Fronten zu kämpfen – gegen den Iran und gegen den diplomatischen Druck seines engsten Verbündeten. Die Kombination aus möglichen einseitigen israelischen Angriffen auf den Iran und der öffentlichen Ablehnung von Trumps Gaza-Plan signalisiert eine gefährliche neue Phase im Nahen Osten. Angesichts der bevorstehenden US-Zwischenwahlen im November und der israelischen Wahlen im Oktober werden die kommenden Wochen entscheidend dafür sein, ob Diplomatie oder militärische Gewalt die Oberhand gewinnt.

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Iranian Revolution Could Happen “Any Day Now” – Mossad-Backed Protesters Seek Weapons

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Iranian Revolution Could Happen “Any Day Now” – Mossad-Backed Protest Leaders Seek to Arm Themselves

Anti-regime figures in Tehran claim a revolution is imminent, as protest leaders prepare for the next uprising with hidden weapons and clandestine arms smuggling. Sources suggest Mossad is actively backing and funding the movement, while Iran’s government warns of a foreign-orchestrated “full-scale street war.”

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Streets Nearing a Breaking Point

According to anti-regime figures who spoke with the New York Post, Iran is on the brink of a popular uprising. A protest leader in Tehran stated that a “revolution can happen any day now,” driven by public executions, an economic collapse, and a war that has raged for more than five months.

An independent journalist active in the Iranian underground movement said that activists are studying the January protests to refine their tactics. The resistance has reportedly hidden crude weaponry and tools—including bricks, rocks, wooden clubs, and tires—throughout the country. Small groups are working clandestinely to procure firearms stored in private homes and smuggled from abroad.

“When we went out in January, we were like lambs to the slaughter. Next time we come out, we’re coming out armed.”
— Anti-regime protest leader

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The Mossad Connection

Iranian officials and state-aligned media have consistently alleged that foreign intelligence services, including Mossad and the CIA, are fueling unrest and arming protesters. In January 2026, Iranian security forces announced they had seized 60,000 weapons bound for Tehran and dismantled a Mossad-trained terror cell that exploited the protests.

In Fars province alone, the Revolutionary Guard arrested 154 riot leaders, including one key figure with ties to Mossad. Iran’s foreign minister has publicly accused the U.S. and Israel of orchestrating the violence, claiming that “armed terrorist groups” were placed among protest crowds to escalate tensions.

Other reports suggest that Mossad has provided Kurdish groups with money, vehicles, and weapons, including firearms, antitank launchers, grenades, and mortars. In early 2026, the Israeli spy agency reportedly issued messages from its official Farsi-language account on X (formerly Twitter), urging Iranians to escalate regime-change activities and promising support on the ground.

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What’s Driving the Anger

The January 2026 protests, which began over economic grievances, quickly escalated into a broader anti-government movement. Rights groups have estimated that the crackdown killed thousands of people. The trauma from those events has left a deep scar, but activists say it has also hardened their resolve.

· Economic collapse: Sky-high inflation, a collapsing currency, and electricity and water shortages are fueling anger. Even middle-class families are skipping meals because they cannot afford food.
· Public executions: The regime has continued to execute anti-regime protesters, including the recent public hangings of Abolfazl Sepahi Badjani and Amir Hossein Safari Hosseinabadi, which sparked fresh protests in Isfahan.
· Foreign mercenaries: The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has reportedly brought in mercenaries from Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan to patrol the streets.

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A Regime Cracking at the Seams

Despite the regime’s efforts to crush dissent, cracks are beginning to show. Up to 2,000 demonstrators gathered in Isfahan to protest the public executions. The Iranian government is also engaged in a “desperate hunt” for the new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not been seen in public since February. The Mossad has reportedly established three new branches dedicated to regime-change operations, and its chief David Barnea is said to have promised Prime Minister Netanyahu that an uprising could be sparked.

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What’s Next?

The protest leaders could not say exactly when the next wave of unrest will come, but they warned that if the executions, repression, and economic hardship continue, any single event could trigger an explosion. With activists now seeking to arm themselves and foreign intelligence agencies allegedly providing support, the next uprising could be far more violent than the last.

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Iranische Revolution könnte „jeden Tag“ stattfinden – Mossad-unterstützte Protestführer bewaffnen sich

Regimegegner in Teheran behaupten, eine Revolution stehe unmittelbar bevor, während sich Protestführer mit versteckten Waffen und illegalem Waffenschmuggel auf den nächsten Aufstand vorbereiten. Quellen zufolge unterstützt und finanziert der Mossad die Bewegung aktiv, während die iranische Regierung vor einem von ausländischen Mächten orchestrierten “vollständigen Straßenkrieg” warnt.

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Die Straßen kurz vor dem Zerbrechen

Nach Angaben von Regimegegnern, die mit der New York Post sprachen, steht der Iran kurz vor einem Volksaufstand. Ein Protestführer in Teheran erklärte, eine “Revolution könne jeden Tag stattfinden”, angetrieben von öffentlichen Hinrichtungen, einem wirtschaftlichen Kollaps und einem Krieg, der bereits seit mehr als fünf Monaten tobt.

Ein unabhängiger Journalist, der in der iranischen Untergrundbewegung aktiv ist, sagte, Aktivisten würden die Januar-Proteste studieren, um ihre Taktik zu verfeinern. Der Widerstand habe im ganzen Land einfache Waffen und Werkzeuge versteckt – darunter Ziegelsteine, Steine, Holzschlagstöcke und Reifen. Kleine Gruppen arbeiten heimlich daran, Schusswaffen zu beschaffen, die in Privathäusern gelagert und aus dem Ausland geschmuggelt werden.

“Als wir im Januar auf die Straße gingen, waren wir wie Lämmer, die zur Schlachtbank geführt werden. Wenn wir das nächste Mal kommen, kommen wir bewaffnet.”
— Ein Anführer der Anti-Regime-Proteste

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Die Mossad-Verbindung

Iranische Regierungsvertreter und regierungsnahe Medien haben immer wieder behauptet, dass ausländische Geheimdienste, darunter der Mossad und die CIA, die Unruhen schüren und Demonstranten bewaffnen. Im Januar 2026 gab Irans Sicherheitskräfte bekannt, dass sie 60.000 Waffen auf dem Weg nach Teheran beschlagnahmt und eine vom Mossad ausgebildete Terrorzelle zerschlagen hätten, die die Proteste ausnutzte.

Allein in der Provinz Fars verhaftete die Revolutionsgarde 154 Rädelsführer, darunter eine Schlüsselfigur mit Verbindungen zum Mossad. Irans Außenminister hat die USA und Israel öffentlich beschuldigt, die Gewalt zu orchestrieren, und behauptet, “bewaffnete Terrorgruppen” seien unter die Protestierenden gemischt worden, um die Spannungen zu eskalieren.

Anderen Berichten zufolge hat der Mossad kurdischen Gruppen Geld, Fahrzeuge und Waffen zur Verfügung gestellt, darunter Schusswaffen, Panzerabwehrraketen, Granaten und Mörser. Anfang 2026 soll der israelische Geheimdienst von seinem offiziellen Farsi-Konto auf X (ehemals Twitter) Nachrichten verbreitet haben, in denen er die Iraner aufforderte, die Regimewechsel-Aktivitäten zu intensivieren, und Unterstützung vor Ort versprach.

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Was die Wut antreibt

Die Proteste vom Januar 2026, die aus wirtschaftlichen Gründen begannen, weiteten sich schnell zu einer breiten Anti-Regierungsbewegung aus. Menschenrechtsgruppen schätzen, dass bei der Niederschlagung Tausende Menschen getötet wurden. Das Trauma dieser Ereignisse hat tiefe Narben hinterlassen, aber Aktivisten sagen, es habe ihren Entschluss nur noch mehr gestärkt.

· Wirtschaftlicher Kollaps: Eine galoppierende Inflation, eine verfallende Währung sowie Strom- und Wasserknappheit schüren die Wut. Selbst Familien der Mittelschicht lassen Mahlzeiten ausfallen, weil sie sich Lebensmittel nicht mehr leisten können.
· Öffentliche Hinrichtungen: Das Regime exekutiert weiterhin Regimegegner, darunter die jüngsten öffentlichen Hinrichtungen von Abolfazl Sepahi Badjani und Amir Hossein Safari Hosseinabadi, die in Isfahan neue Proteste auslösten.
· Ausländische Söldner: Die Islamischen Revolutionsgarden haben Berichten zufolge Söldner aus dem Irak, Afghanistan und Pakistan angeheuert, um die Straßen zu patrouillieren.

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Ein Regime, das Risse bekommt

Trotz der Bemühungen des Regimes, den Widerstand zu zerschlagen, zeigen sich erste Risse. Bis zu 2.000 Demonstranten versammelten sich in Isfahan, um gegen die öffentlichen Hinrichtungen zu protestieren. Die iranische Regierung befindet sich zudem auf einer “verzweifelten Jagd” nach dem neuen Obersten Führer, Mojtaba Khamenei, der seit Februar nicht mehr öffentlich gesehen wurde. Der Mossad soll drei neue Abteilungen für Regimewechsel-Operationen eingerichtet haben, und sein Chef David Barnea soll Premierminister Netanjahu versprochen haben, einen Aufstand auslösen zu können.

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Wie geht es weiter?

Die Protestführer konnten nicht genau sagen, wann die nächste Unruhewelle kommen wird, aber sie warnten davor, dass angesichts der anhaltenden Hinrichtungen, der Unterdrückung und der wirtschaftlichen Not jedes einzelne Ereignis eine Explosion auslösen könnte. Da sich Aktivisten nun bewaffnen und ausländische Geheimdienste angeblich Unterstützung leisten, könnte der nächste Aufstand weitaus gewalttätiger werden als der letzte.

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Commentary – Iran will use the bomb

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Return of the Twelfth Imam

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad believes the most important task of the Iranian Revolution was to prepare the way for the return of the Twelfth Imam, who disappeared in 874, bringing an end to Muhammad’s lineage. This imam, the Mahdi or “divinely guided one,” Shiites believe, will return in an apocalyptic battle in which the forces of righteousness will defeat the forces of evil and bring about a new era in which Islam ultimately becomes the dominant religion throughout the world. The Shiites have been waiting patiently for the Twelfth Imam for more than a thousand years, but Ahmadinejad believes he can now hasten the return through a nuclear war. Ayatollah Hussein Nuri Hamdani explicitly said in 2005 that “the Jews should be fought against and forced to surrender to prepare the way for the coming of the Hidden Imam.” It is this apocalyptic world view, Middle East scholar Bernard Lewis notes, that distinguishes Iran from other governments with nuclear weapons.

Lewis quotes a passage from Ayatollah Khomeini cited in an 11th grade Iranian schoolbook, “I am decisively announcing to the whole world that if the world-devourers [the infidel powers] wish to stand against our religion, we will stand against the whole world and will not cease until the annihilation of all of them. Either we all become free, or we will go to the greater freedom, which is martyrdom. Either we shake one another’s hands in joy at the victory of Islam in the world, or all of us will turn to eternal life and martyrdom. In both cases, victory and success are ours.”

Killing Innocent Muslims

There are those who think that Muslims would never use such weapons against Israel because innocent Muslims would be killed as well, but Saddam Hussein did not hesitate to use poison gas on his own people. During the war in Lebanon in 2006, Hezbollah did not worry that rocketing cities with large Arab populations such as Haifa and Nazareth would kill non-Jews (and 24 of the 52 Israeli casualties were non-Jews). Muslims murder each other every day in Iraq. And Iran fought a ten-year war with Iraq in which as many as one million Muslims were killed.

Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani explicitly said he wasn’t concerned about fallout from an attack on Israel. “If a day comes when the world of Islam is duly equipped with the arms Israel has in possession,” he said “the strategy of colonialism would face a stalemate because application of an atomic bomb would not leave anything in Israel but the same thing would just produce damages in the Muslim world.” As even one Iranian commentator noted, Rafsanjani apparently wasn’t concerned that “the destruction of the Jewish State would also means the mass killing of the Palestinian population as well.”

Mutually Assured Destruction

Iran would never launch a nuclear attack against Israel, some argue because, as the old Sting song used to say about the Russians, the Iranians “love their children too.” In the days of the Cold War, this idea was known as MAD or Mutually Assured Destruction. In the Iranian case, no Muslim leader would risk an Israeli counterstrike that might destroy them. MAD doesn’t work, however, if the Iranians believe there will be destruction anyway at the end of time. What matters, Bernard Lewis observed, is if the infidels go to hell and believers go to heaven. And if you believe that killing the nonbelievers will earn you a place in Paradise with 72 virgins, what difference does it make if you go out in a blaze of glory as a suicide bomber or in the shadow of a mushroom cloud?

Rationality vs. Theology

Optimists also suggest the Iranians are driven more by rationality than theology and would not risk using nuclear weapons. Others believe they are irrational and therefore cannot be trusted to hold their fire. One does not have to believe the Iranians are irrational, however, to foresee the possibility of an attack on Israel with nuclear weapons. Rafsanjani, the President of Iran before Ahmadinejad, was just as adamant about destroying Israel as his successor. Contrary to the old aphorism that you can’t win a nuclear war, he argued that Iran could achieve victory. He said that “Israel is much smaller than Iran in land mass, and therefore far more vulnerable to nuclear attack.” Since Iran has 70 million people and Israel only has seven million, Rafsanjani believed Iran could survive an exchange of nuclear bombs while Israel would be annihilated. The rhetoric was bombastic, but he and other Iranian leaders might first consider the possibility that Israel could conceivably launch far more missiles and the outcome might be very different than he imagined.

Rafsanjani is correct about Israel’s vulnerability. Besides the population difference, the disparity in size of the countries is such that it does not take a whole arsenal of ICBMS like the old Soviet Union had to destroy Israel; Iran need only have three crude bombs to attack Israel’s three major population centers – Tel Aviv, Haifa and Jerusalem – and it’s goodbye Israel.

The Power to Influence

Iran will not have to use nuclear weapons to influence events in the region. Maj. Gen. Vladimir Dvorkin, head of the Moscow-based Center for Strategic Nuclear Forces, said the potential danger of an Iranian bomb is not the possibility of a nuclear strike against some countries, but the ability to assume a more bold approach in dealing with the international community after becoming a nuclear power. “The real threat is that Iran, which is already ignoring all resolutions and sanctions issued by the UN Security Council, will be practically ‘untouchable’ after acquiring nuclear-power status, and will be able to expand its support of terrorist organizations, including Hamas and Hezbollah” said Dvorkin (RIA Novosti, March 12, 2009).

Furthermore, by possessing a nuclear capability, the Iranians can deter Israel or any other nation from attacking Iran or its allies. When Hezbollah attacked Israel in 2006, for example, a nuclear Iran could have threatened retaliation against Tel Aviv if Israeli forces bombed Beirut. The mere threat of using nuclear weapons would be sufficient to drive Israelis into shelters and could cripple the economy. What foreign investors will want to risk their money going up in the smoke of a mushroom cloud? Will immigrants want to come to a country that lives in the shadow of annihilation? Will Israelis accept the risk? Israeli leaders will have to decide if they can risk calling the Iranians’ bluff.

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Secret – Verification and Monitoring in the Islamic Republic of Iran in light of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231

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Revealed – U.S. Army TRISA Threat Report: Attacks Against the Iranian Nuclear Program

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The following report is part of a series produced by the TRADOC G-2 Intelligence Support Activity (TRISA). While the reports contain no control markings, they are not released publicly.

TRADOC G2 Intelligence Support Activity (TRISA) OEA Team Threat Report

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FBI – Iranian Cyber Actors Targeting Defense Contractors, Schools and Energy Sector

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The following document was obtained from the website of the Marshfield, Wisconsin Chamber of Commerce.

FBI Liaison Alert System #M-000045-TT

10 pages
TLP: GREEN
December 5, 2014

The FBI is providing the following information with HIGH confidence:

A group of cyber actors utilizing infrastructure located in Iran have been conducting computer network exploitation activity against public and private U.S. organizations, including Cleared Defense Contractors (CDCs), academic institutions, and energy sector companies. The actors typically utilize common computer intrusion techniques such as the use of TOR, open source reconnaissance, exploitation via SQL injection and web shells, and open source tools for further network penetration and persistence. Internet-facing infrastructures, such as web servers, are typical targets for this group. Once the actors penetrate a victim network, the actors exfiltrate network design information and legitimate user credentials for the victim network. Often times, the actors are able to harvest administrative user credentials and use the credentials to move laterally through a network.

According to public network registration information, IP addresses previously utilized by this group were assigned to “Tarh Andishan.” The group primarily utilized two Iran-based IP addresses to conduct its activity, 78.109.194.114 and 217.11.17.99. There has been no recent activity from these IP addresses since early 2014; however, the group now primarily utilizes a series of proxy or midpoint infrastructure in support of their computer network operations. The most recent midpoint infrastructure used by this group was located in the United Kingdom and the Netherlands.

Tools: The following tools have been known to be utilized by the cyber actors.
1021114.aspx
4g.exe
akisapi.php
ASPACK
Atkill.txt
Bitvise
c99shell.php
Cafae
Cain and Abel
CCProxy
CCproxy.zip
cmd.aspx
Cprivesc
debug.aspx
DefaultWS.asmx
Dirbuster
FileZilla
Find_tokens.exe
Find_tokens.txt
Gsecdump
Havij
hscan.zip
hscan1.2
img.asp
img.aspx
In2.txt
isapi.aspx
J.exe
Jasus.exe size: 118,272 MD5: 53841511791E4CAC6F0768A9EB5DEF8A Type: ARP POISON TOOL
Jasus.pdb
Kappfree
kappfree.dll
Kelloworld
kelloworld.dll
Klock
klock.dll
Lc.exe
lc15.exe
Libeay32.doc
Libeay32.txt
Loader.exe
LoggerModule.e
mim2.2.exe
Mimikatz
mimikatz.exe
mimikatz.swf
Mx.exe
NBrute Force
NC.exe
ncat.exe
Ncrack
Nc-themida.exe
Netcat
Netscp.exe
netscp_total.exe
Netview
Nmap
NTFS
OS_Detector.exe
ospcsvc.exe
osppsvc.exe
OSQL
ossisvc.exe
ossysvc.exe
Plink
plink.exe
priorities_readfile.aspx
Privesc.exe size: 51,200 MD5: DABF638EB53070CDC7B10BFA5E4E8142
ProcDump
proxy.php
PsExec
PsExec.exe
PsKill
PsList
Putty Link
putty.exe
pw.exe
PwDump
PwDump7.exe
PwDump7_p.exe
rdcmd.aspx
RunAs.exe
Samdump
sekurlsa.dll
Sl.exe
snmpwalk.exe
SQL Manager
STR.EXE
Themida
u.exe
U.exe size: 60,928 MD5: DDA3E5629A0E8FB63A3E19027AE45458
upload.aspx
Wcet
winBypass.php
WinDump
WinDump.exe
winpcap-nmap-4.12.exe
winusr.dll
wminotify.dll
wndTest.exe
wt.exe
xcmd-aspack.exe
xCmdSvc.exe
Xcmdt.exe
xcmd-themida.exe
xp_cmdshell
ZXPortMap.exe

IP Addresses: The following IP addresses have been observed to be utilized by the cyber actors.
64.120.208.154
78.109.194.114
159.253.144.209
217.11.17.99
95.211.191.225
95.211.241.249
95.211.241.251
108.175.153.158
88.150.214.162
88.150.214.166
88.150.214.168
88.150.214.170
184.82.158.18

…

Identify creation of users and databases named “haha”.

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SECRET – U.S. Military PSYOP Leaflets from Iraq and Afghanistan

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The following are psychological operations (PSYOP) leaflets dropped over Afghanistan and Iraq during Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom. The leaflets are taken from a booklet released commercially by Giovanni Carmine and Christoph Büchel in 2006. The leaflets are written in Arabic, Dari and Pashto. Accurate translations are welcome.

Video – The Inevitable Global Spread of Islam: How long before Sharia Law reaches our shores?

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Video – The Inevitable Global Spread of Islam: How long before Sharia Law reaches our shores?

A sobering analysis and news reports documenting the inevitable spread of Islam across Europe and the United States. Hear the Muslim bitter and vengeful perspective of Western society and imperialism, and the inevitable desire for Sharia Law in Europe.

The Secret List of Off-Shore-Companies, Persons and Adresses, Part 73, Iran,

Officers & Master Clients (5)
Ebrahim Kahrobai
HOSSEIN MOVAHEDI ZADEH
Houshang PISHVA AZAD
Mehdi Dadpey Reza
Yaseen Gokal

Listed Addresses (5)
55 Mirzaye Shirazi P.O. Box 15955/443 Tehran – Iran
No 36 Main Street, Ekbatan, Tehran Iran
No. 128 Molasadra Street, Tehran, Iran
No. 142, Merdamad Blvard, Tehran, Iran P.O. Box 16315-571
No. 5 Omar Khayam Street Tehran IRAN

Iran News – Guy code-named “8” is arrested by counterintelligence department of MOIS

Referring to : http://cryptome.org/2013/12/ir-spy-uk-ca.htm

The news just surfaced but its not new. The guy code-named “8” is arrested by counterintelligence department of MOIS and charged with 3 claim counts.

A. Espionage and cooperation with Foreign governments.

B. Running a private network of operatives worldwide involved in “information offers and auctions and sells” with various unaligned elements.

C. Unsanctioned business with Organized Crime Groups in various areas including Nuclear data.

His case has not reached to Judicial system so no name no nothing of the person is aired. I suspect that changes soon. My source tells me the 8 had close relationship with Palestinian Islamic Jihad’s office at Tehran, beyond his formal line of duty and done many operations in favor of the Palestinian group including the huge organized attacks to U.S banking and financial firms that causes serious damage while transferred funds belonging to Islamic Jihad during the chaos to protect their western-based ops against FBI’s initiative to combat and dismantle organized cyber crimes.

8 had been providing intelligence and operational support directly tied to two top leaders of Palestinian and Lebanese Resistant movements named “Ali Atwa” and “Ramadan Abdullah Mohammad Shalah.” Both are in the “FBI’s TOP WANTED LIST” according to FBI’s official website.

The initial deal between IR and U.S. that led to tackling 8’s operations quite clearly is not going to be a hit-and-run, considering powerful elements within IR regime provide support for various organizations for who knows what reasons. If 8 is civilian (MOIS) the case should go to the “revolutionary court” and if he is in armed forces (IRGC – Army – MoD – Police) , the case must be tried at the Military Judiciary Organization according to Iranian law, confirmed by a native lawyer formerly working in Iran from where she had to flee.

Anonymous — to readers, particularly journalists who follow Iranian affairs

Most of U.S sensitive websites are not accessible to Iranian from BOTH Sides!

Here are examples :

Its attempt to connect FBI to put a tip or something :

$ curl -v fbi.gov
* About to connect() to fbi.gov port 80 (#0)
* Trying 72.21.81.85…
* connected
* Connected to fbi.gov (72.21.81.85) port 80 (#0)
> GET / HTTP/1.1
> User-Agent: ***
> Host: fbi.gov
> Accept: */*
>
< HTTP/1.1 403 Forbidden
< Cache-Control: max-age=28800
< Content-Type: text/html
< Date: Tue, 24 Dec 2013 01:07:50 GMT
< Expires: Tue, 24 Dec 2013 09:07:50 GMT
< Server: ECAcc (jfk/25B5)
< Content-Length: 345
<

403 – Forbidden

* Connection #0 to host fbi.gov left intact

* Closing connection #0

And here is an attempt to connect to CIA’s website:

$ curl -v cia.gov
* About to connect() to cia.gov port 80 (#0)
* Trying 198.81.129.107…
* connected
* Connected to cia.gov (198.81.129.107) port 80 (#0)
> GET / HTTP/1.1
> User-Agent: ***
> Host: cia.gov
> Accept: */*
>
< HTTP/1.1 403 Forbidden
GET / HTTP/1.1
> User-Agent:***
> Host: whitehouse.gov
> Accept: */*
>
< HTTP/1.1 403 Forbidden
< Connection:close
<

Nany of the same websites belonging to IR are also forbidden to visit from U.S IP. Its ironic when the leaders of the countries trying to negotiate huge deals or shitting on them to change the history, they generally do not recognize the right of the other side to visit websites and read casual data, mostly bullshit for average netizens.

TOP-SECRET – Unveiled – Iran’s New Sea-based Missiles

GMT – 21:54 / تهران – 02:24

گروههاي خبري

صفحه اصلي

عناوين کل اخبار

اخبار برگزيده

انتخابات ٩٢

اجتماعي

اقتصادي

بين الملل

سياسي

دانشگاه

فرهنگي

ورزشي

استانها

عکس

طرح و کاريکاتور

صوت و تصوير

سياست خارجي

ديدگاه

خواندنی ها

اخبار ويژه

فضاي مجازي

حماسه و مقاومت

ديپلماسي عمومي و جنگ نرم

بیداری اسلامی

تحولات سوریه

انتشارات

ساير خدمات

پيوندها

آرشيو اخبار :

گروه سیاسی / حوزه امنیتی و دفاعی

92/02/22 – 10:31

شماره: 13920216000464

سردار فرحی در گفت‌وگو با فارس اعلام کرد

تجهیز شناورهای سپاه به موشک‌های کروز با برد بیش از ۳۰۰ کیلومتر

رئیس سازمان هوافضای وزارت دفاع و پشتیبانی نیروهای مسلح از برنامه‌ریزی برای تحویل موشک‌های کروز پیشرفته با برد بیش از ۳۰۰ کیلومتر به نیروی دریایی سپاه خبر داد.

سردار سید مهدی فرحی رئیس سازمان هوافضای وزارت دفاع و پشتیبانی نیروهای مسلح در گفتگو با خبرنگار دفاعی خبرگزاری فارس، با اشاره به تجهیز نیروهای مسلح از سوی این وزارتخانه به انواع تسلیحات نظامی ازجمله موشک و راکت گفت: تاکتیک‌ها و نحوه استفاده از این تجهیزات و تسلیحات به عهده فرماندهان نیروهای مسلح است.

وی ادامه داد: محصولات متعددی از جمله موشک‌های 300 کیلومتری در اختیار نیروی دریایی سپاه است.

فرحی تاکید کرد: بزودی محصولات جدید دیگری با بردهای مختلف و قابلیت‌های فوق‌العاده پیشرفته و از نوع کروز در اختیار نیروی دریایی سپاه قرار می‌گیرد.

رئیس سازمان هوافضای وزارت دفاع و پشتیبانی نیروهای مسلح اظهار داشت: دقت و برد موشک‌های جدید نسبت به موشک‌های 300 کیلومتری که اکنون در اختیار نیروی دریایی سپاه است، افزایش یافته است.

فرحی همچنین تاکید کرد: این موشک می‌‌تواند توان دفاعی ما را در نبردهای دریایی افزایش دهد.

به گزارش فارس، موشک‌های کروز ساحل به دریا و سطح به سطح با قابلیت‌های خاص خود، می‌توانند در مقابله با انواع تهدیدات، تاکتیک های خود را تغییر داده و این تغییر تاکتیک‌ها نیز در اختیار فرمانده نیرو قرار دارد.

موشک های کروز که امکان شلیک آنها از روی شناور نیز وجود دارد، می‌توانند از روی شناورهای با سرعت بالای 30 نات (حدود 60 کیلومتر) نیز شلیک شوند که از نمونه های قبلی در این حوزه می توان به موشک های کروز ظفر، نصر، نور، قادر و غدیر اشاره کرد.

انتهای پیام/

Iran’s New Sea-based Missiles

A sends:

Source : http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13920216000464

Today 5-12-2013, General Farahi, the chief of the Iranian Ministry of Defense’s Aerospace Organization, has announced a new series of fast-acting sea-based rockets and missiles have been produced and turned over to IRGC’s Navy force. This force is responsible for “the security” of the Persian Gulf and the infamous Hormoz Strait.

According to publications by FarsNews, a semi-state-run media, IRGC’s Navy has been operating a series of fast-acting rockets and missiles fit to be fired from small-scale fast boats named “Zafar”, “Nasr”, “Nour”, Ghader” and “Ghadir”, but the newly produced “Cruise Type” missile which is unnamed in the report, has a firing speed of 300 Km/h and can be fired from a moving boat at a speed of 30 knots.

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Return of the Twelfth Imam

Killing Innocent Muslims

Mutually Assured Destruction

Rationality vs. Theology

The Power to Influence

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TRADOC G2 Intelligence Support Activity (TRISA) OEA Team Threat Report

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FBI Liaison Alert System #M-000045-TT

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403 – Forbidden

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