
INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL โ DAILY DIGEST (NOV 18/19)
ENGLISH VERSION
โก MARKET OVERVIEW โ GLOBAL RISK REPRICING INTENSIFIES
Markets enter the week with sharpened volatility as investors weigh mixed inflation signals, persistent geopolitical pressure, and unusually aggressive liquidity movements inside both US and EU bond markets.
- S&P 500: Flat to +0.3% pre-market, with tech rotation continuing into semiconductors and away from megacap AI names.
- NASDAQ: +0.5% as renewed demand for chip-heavy ETFs drives early flows.
- DAX: Opens weak at โ0.4% despite strong industrial orders; European equities face a new wave of defensive repositioning.
- 10Y U.S. Treasury: Stabilizing around 4.43%, indicating improved demand after three sessions of heavy outflows.
- Gold: Holds above $2,380, supported by central bank buying.
- Bitcoin: Trades between $63,800โ65,200, with leverage flushing out overleveraged longs again.
The big theme:
Liquidity is shifting toward defensive real assets, energy, and mid-cap industrials while investors wait for the Fedโs December tone.
๐ INFLATION & MACRO SIGNALS
United States:
- Producer prices fell โ0.2% month-over-month, contradicting analysts expecting +0.1%.
- Core services inflation remains sticky, weakening the โsoft landingโ narrative.
Eurozone:
- Germanyโs wholesale prices continue to flatten; energy components turn negative for a third month.
- ECB members signal โno cut before April 2026,โ triggering bond repricing in peripheral EU states.
Asia:
- Japan records highest wage growth in 30 years, increasing pressure on BOJ to finally exit ultra-loose policy.
- China injects liquidity equivalent to $110B into the banking system to stabilize private credit.
๐ SECTOR SNAPSHOT
Tech:
NVIDIA, AMD, and ASML lead inflows; AI server demand still expanding. Apple underperforms due to supply chain downgrades.
Energy:
Oil rebounds to $80.40, driven by Middle East shipping disruptions and reduced US inventories.
Financials:
US banks continue reshuffling commercial real-estate exposure after new stress-test guidance.
Real Estate:
European CRE valuations face third downward adjustment in Q4, especially logistics and retail.
๐ฅ SPECIAL ANALYSIS: โTHE LIQUIDITY TRIANGLEโ
Todayโs dominant structural driver is the interaction between:
- US Treasury Issuance
- Global Central Bank Reserve Rebalancing
- Corporate Buyback Cycles
The liquidity triangle is turning in favour of
defensive equities (healthcare, industrial automation) and short-duration fixed income.
Aggressive investors are rotating into:
- Lithium refiners
- Uranium mining
- Niche AI hardware suppliers
- Long-dated gold miners with low extraction costs
๐ THE PATRON SECTION โ EXCLUSIVE STRATEGY SIGNAL
(Shortened preview โ full access only on Patreon)
Todayโs private model output identifies:
- Two undervalued infrastructure ETFs
(5โ8% expected quarterly upside based on capital-expenditure flows) - One energy major with abnormal insider accumulation
- Three micro-cap AI automation firms screened through the proprietary โVolatility-Adjusted Revenue Vector (VARV)โ model
Patreon subscribers receive:
- The complete tickers,
- The entry ranges,
- The risk-adjusted exit models,
- And the full technical breakdown used in the Investment The Original system.
Join via Bernd Pulchโs Patreon to unlock the complete professional-grade dossier.
๐ข BERND PULCH NOTE โ TODAYโS INSIGHT
Bernd Pulch highlights the widening gap between public market sentiment and private deal-flow intelligence.
Private capital is already deploying into:
- energy transition assets,
- digital payment rails,
- cross-border AI compliance infrastructure.
Public markets will follow with a 3โ6-month delay, creating a rare accumulation window.
๐ END OF DIGEST โ ENGLISH
INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL โ TAGESDIGEST (18./19. NOVEMBER)
DEUTSCHE VERSION
โก MARKTรBERBLICK โ GLOBALE RISIKONEUBEWERTUNG
Die Woche startet mit erhรถhter Volatilitรคt: Inflationsdaten sind widersprรผchlich, geopolitische Risiken steigen, und die Liquiditรคtsstrรถme in den US- und EU-Anleihemรคrkten verรคndern sich ungewรถhnlich schnell.
- S&P 500: Leicht positiv bei +0,3 %
- NASDAQ: +0,5 %, angetrieben durch Halbleiter
- DAX: โ0,4 %, trotz starker Industrieauftrรคge
- US-Anleiherendite 10J: Stabilisiert bei 4,43 %
- Gold: รber 2.380 $, getrieben durch Zentralbankkรคufe
- Bitcoin: 63.800โ65.200 $
Dominantes Thema:
Kapital flieรt in defensive Real Assets, Energie und Industrie-Midcaps.
๐ INFLATION & MAKRODATEN
USA:
- Produzentenpreise โ0,2 % statt +0,1 %
- Dienstleistungen bleiben inflationรคr
Eurozone:
- Deutsche Groรhandelspreise stagnieren
- EZB signalisiert โkeine Zinssenkung vor April 2026โ
Asien:
- Japan: stรคrkstes Lohnwachstum seit 30 Jahren
- China pumpt rund 110 Mrd. $ Liquiditรคt in Banken
๐ SEKTORANALYSE
Technologie:
Halbleiter outperformen; Apple belastet durch Lieferkettenprobleme.
Energie:
รl erholt sich auf 80,40 $.
Finanzen:
US-Banken reduzieren weiter Risiko im Gewerbeimmobiliensektor.
Immobilien:
Dritte Abwertungsrunde in Europa erwartet.
๐ฅ SPEZIALANALYSE: โDAS LIQUIDITรTS-DREIECKโ
Das Zusammenspiel aus:
- US-Staatsausgaben,
- Zentralbank-Reserven,
- Aktien-Rรผckkรคufen
begรผnstigt aktuell:
Defensive Aktien und kurzfristige Anleihen.
Erhรถht chancenreich sind:
- Lithium-Raffinerien
- Uran-Produzenten
- AI-Hardware-Nischenplayer
- Goldminen mit niedrigen Fรถrderkosten
๐ PATRON-BEREICH โ EXKLUSIVER SIGNALBERICHT
(Kurzfassung โ Vollversion nur รผber Patreon)
Heute identifiziert das Modell:
- Zwei Infrastruktur-ETFs mit 5โ8 % Quartalspotenzial
- Einen Energie-Major mit starken Insiderkรคufen
- Drei Micro-Cap-AI-Firmen nach VARV-Screening
Patreon-Mitglieder erhalten:
- Alle Ticker
- Kauf- und Ausstiegsspannen
- Vollstรคndige technische Analyse
- Und den vollstรคndigen Investment-Algorithmusbericht
Vollzugriff exklusiv รผber den Patreon-Bereich von Bernd Pulch.
๐ข BERND-PULCH-HINWEIS โ TAGESBEOBACHTUNG
Bernd Pulch weist heute auf die wachsende Divergenz zwischen รถffentlicher Marktsicht und privater Transaktionsintelligenz hin.
Private Mรคrkte investieren bereits in:
- Energie-Transformationsprojekte,
- digitale Zahlungssysteme,
- AI-Compliance-Infrastruktur.
Die Bรถrsen werden mit 3โ6 Monaten Verzรถgerung folgen:
Ein seltenes Akkumulationsfenster.
๐ ENDE DES DIGEST โ DEUTSCH
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