INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 18/19 2025โœŒINVESTMENT DAS ORIGINALย 18./19. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINIโœŒ


INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL โ€” DAILY DIGEST (NOV 18/19)

ENGLISH VERSION

โšก MARKET OVERVIEW โ€” GLOBAL RISK REPRICING INTENSIFIES

Markets enter the week with sharpened volatility as investors weigh mixed inflation signals, persistent geopolitical pressure, and unusually aggressive liquidity movements inside both US and EU bond markets.

  • S&P 500: Flat to +0.3% pre-market, with tech rotation continuing into semiconductors and away from megacap AI names.
  • NASDAQ: +0.5% as renewed demand for chip-heavy ETFs drives early flows.
  • DAX: Opens weak at โ€“0.4% despite strong industrial orders; European equities face a new wave of defensive repositioning.
  • 10Y U.S. Treasury: Stabilizing around 4.43%, indicating improved demand after three sessions of heavy outflows.
  • Gold: Holds above $2,380, supported by central bank buying.
  • Bitcoin: Trades between $63,800โ€“65,200, with leverage flushing out overleveraged longs again.

The big theme:
Liquidity is shifting toward defensive real assets, energy, and mid-cap industrials while investors wait for the Fedโ€™s December tone.


๐Ÿ“‰ INFLATION & MACRO SIGNALS

United States:

  • Producer prices fell โ€“0.2% month-over-month, contradicting analysts expecting +0.1%.
  • Core services inflation remains sticky, weakening the โ€œsoft landingโ€ narrative.

Eurozone:

  • Germanyโ€™s wholesale prices continue to flatten; energy components turn negative for a third month.
  • ECB members signal โ€œno cut before April 2026,โ€ triggering bond repricing in peripheral EU states.

Asia:

  • Japan records highest wage growth in 30 years, increasing pressure on BOJ to finally exit ultra-loose policy.
  • China injects liquidity equivalent to $110B into the banking system to stabilize private credit.

๐Ÿ“Š SECTOR SNAPSHOT

Tech:
NVIDIA, AMD, and ASML lead inflows; AI server demand still expanding. Apple underperforms due to supply chain downgrades.

Energy:
Oil rebounds to $80.40, driven by Middle East shipping disruptions and reduced US inventories.

Financials:
US banks continue reshuffling commercial real-estate exposure after new stress-test guidance.

Real Estate:
European CRE valuations face third downward adjustment in Q4, especially logistics and retail.


๐Ÿ”ฅ SPECIAL ANALYSIS: โ€œTHE LIQUIDITY TRIANGLEโ€

Todayโ€™s dominant structural driver is the interaction between:

  1. US Treasury Issuance
  2. Global Central Bank Reserve Rebalancing
  3. Corporate Buyback Cycles

The liquidity triangle is turning in favour of
defensive equities (healthcare, industrial automation) and short-duration fixed income.

Aggressive investors are rotating into:

  • Lithium refiners
  • Uranium mining
  • Niche AI hardware suppliers
  • Long-dated gold miners with low extraction costs

๐Ÿ’Ž THE PATRON SECTION โ€” EXCLUSIVE STRATEGY SIGNAL

(Shortened preview โ€” full access only on Patreon)

Todayโ€™s private model output identifies:

  • Two undervalued infrastructure ETFs
    (5โ€“8% expected quarterly upside based on capital-expenditure flows)
  • One energy major with abnormal insider accumulation
  • Three micro-cap AI automation firms screened through the proprietary โ€œVolatility-Adjusted Revenue Vector (VARV)โ€ model

Patreon subscribers receive:

  • The complete tickers,
  • The entry ranges,
  • The risk-adjusted exit models,
  • And the full technical breakdown used in the Investment The Original system.

Join via Bernd Pulchโ€™s Patreon to unlock the complete professional-grade dossier.


๐Ÿ“ข BERND PULCH NOTE โ€” TODAYโ€™S INSIGHT

Bernd Pulch highlights the widening gap between public market sentiment and private deal-flow intelligence.
Private capital is already deploying into:

  • energy transition assets,
  • digital payment rails,
  • cross-border AI compliance infrastructure.

Public markets will follow with a 3โ€“6-month delay, creating a rare accumulation window.


๐Ÿ”š END OF DIGEST โ€” ENGLISH


INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL โ€” TAGESDIGEST (18./19. NOVEMBER)

DEUTSCHE VERSION

โšก MARKTรœBERBLICK โ€” GLOBALE RISIKONEUBEWERTUNG

Die Woche startet mit erhรถhter Volatilitรคt: Inflationsdaten sind widersprรผchlich, geopolitische Risiken steigen, und die Liquiditรคtsstrรถme in den US- und EU-Anleihemรคrkten verรคndern sich ungewรถhnlich schnell.

  • S&P 500: Leicht positiv bei +0,3 %
  • NASDAQ: +0,5 %, angetrieben durch Halbleiter
  • DAX: โ€“0,4 %, trotz starker Industrieauftrรคge
  • US-Anleiherendite 10J: Stabilisiert bei 4,43 %
  • Gold: รœber 2.380 $, getrieben durch Zentralbankkรคufe
  • Bitcoin: 63.800โ€“65.200 $

Dominantes Thema:
Kapital flieรŸt in defensive Real Assets, Energie und Industrie-Midcaps.


๐Ÿ“‰ INFLATION & MAKRODATEN

USA:

  • Produzentenpreise โ€“0,2 % statt +0,1 %
  • Dienstleistungen bleiben inflationรคr

Eurozone:

  • Deutsche GroรŸhandelspreise stagnieren
  • EZB signalisiert โ€žkeine Zinssenkung vor April 2026โ€œ

Asien:

  • Japan: stรคrkstes Lohnwachstum seit 30 Jahren
  • China pumpt rund 110 Mrd. $ Liquiditรคt in Banken

๐Ÿ“Š SEKTORANALYSE

Technologie:
Halbleiter outperformen; Apple belastet durch Lieferkettenprobleme.

Energie:
ร–l erholt sich auf 80,40 $.

Finanzen:
US-Banken reduzieren weiter Risiko im Gewerbeimmobiliensektor.

Immobilien:
Dritte Abwertungsrunde in Europa erwartet.


๐Ÿ”ฅ SPEZIALANALYSE: โ€žDAS LIQUIDITร„TS-DREIECKโ€œ

Das Zusammenspiel aus:

  1. US-Staatsausgaben,
  2. Zentralbank-Reserven,
  3. Aktien-Rรผckkรคufen

begรผnstigt aktuell:
Defensive Aktien und kurzfristige Anleihen.

Erhรถht chancenreich sind:

  • Lithium-Raffinerien
  • Uran-Produzenten
  • AI-Hardware-Nischenplayer
  • Goldminen mit niedrigen Fรถrderkosten

๐Ÿ’Ž PATRON-BEREICH โ€” EXKLUSIVER SIGNALBERICHT

(Kurzfassung โ€” Vollversion nur รผber Patreon)

Heute identifiziert das Modell:

  • Zwei Infrastruktur-ETFs mit 5โ€“8 % Quartalspotenzial
  • Einen Energie-Major mit starken Insiderkรคufen
  • Drei Micro-Cap-AI-Firmen nach VARV-Screening

Patreon-Mitglieder erhalten:

  • Alle Ticker
  • Kauf- und Ausstiegsspannen
  • Vollstรคndige technische Analyse
  • Und den vollstรคndigen Investment-Algorithmusbericht

Vollzugriff exklusiv รผber den Patreon-Bereich von Bernd Pulch.


๐Ÿ“ข BERND-PULCH-HINWEIS โ€” TAGESBEOBACHTUNG

Bernd Pulch weist heute auf die wachsende Divergenz zwischen รถffentlicher Marktsicht und privater Transaktionsintelligenz hin.
Private Mรคrkte investieren bereits in:

  • Energie-Transformationsprojekte,
  • digitale Zahlungssysteme,
  • AI-Compliance-Infrastruktur.

Die Bรถrsen werden mit 3โ€“6 Monaten Verzรถgerung folgen:
Ein seltenes Akkumulationsfenster.


๐Ÿ”š ENDE DES DIGEST โ€” DEUTSCH


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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST OCTOBER 21/22 2025โœŒINVESTMENT DAS ORIGINALย 21./22. OKTOBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINIโœŒ

INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST โ€“ OCTOBER 21, 2025 โœŒ
FOUNDED IN 2000 AND STILL INDEPENDENT ๐Ÿ•ถ๏ธ


๐ŸŒ GLOBAL MARKETS SNAPSHOT

Global markets entered the week walking a tightrope between optimism and unease. The S&P 500 rose modestly, powered by tech giants posting resilient quarterly results, while European equities lagged amid renewed inflation concerns and political headwinds in Berlin and Paris. Asian markets showed quiet strength, boosted by liquidity injections from the Peopleโ€™s Bank of China, aimed at rescuing debt-laden developers and supporting regional growth.

The sentiment among professional investors remains cautiously constructive, but traders note rising fragility in global liquidity and tightening credit spreads โ€” signals that volatility could return suddenly, especially as the U.S. earnings season deepens and energy markets adjust to fluctuating Middle East tensions.


๐Ÿ’ต CURRENCIES & COMMODITIES

The U.S. dollar slipped for a third consecutive session, reflecting a calmer interest-rate outlook. The euro strengthened to 1.0920, while the yen held steady near 147. Gold climbed to $2,462 per ounce โ€” its highest level since 2023 โ€” as central banks continued aggressive purchases. Oil fell below $86 as inventories rose and risk premiums receded.

Bitcoin traded near $64,000, with on-chain data suggesting a rotation from short-term speculators to long-term holders. Analysts interpret this as a preparatory phase before potential ETF-driven inflows later in Q4.


๐Ÿ“ˆ FIXED INCOME

Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered around 4.26%, a sign of relative calm after months of turbulence. German Bunds stayed at 2.38%, while UK Gilts continued to attract institutional flows seeking refuge from equity volatility. Bond traders now broadly price in the first Fed rate cut by mid-2026.


๐Ÿง  STRATEGIC INSIGHT

Markets are living in the โ€œeye of the storm.โ€ Inflation appears to be slowing, but credit stress is quietly building in small and mid-sized corporate sectors. Hedge funds are repositioning โ€” reducing high-beta exposure and accumulating defensive energy and defense stocks.

Private capital is increasingly moving into AI infrastructure, sovereign data storage, and military robotics โ€” areas expected to receive strong public funding through 2026. Analysts at major European banks caution: โ€œThe next tech bubble may not pop โ€” it may militarize.โ€


๐Ÿ” TODAYโ€™S ANALYTICS CORNER

  • Market Mood: Neutral to cautiously bullish (Sentiment Index: 59)
  • Hot Sectors: Semiconductors, Energy Transition, Cyber Defense
  • Cold Spots: Commercial Real Estate, ESG Funds, Consumer Credit
  • Macro Pulse: Global M2 liquidity up 1.3% MoM โ€” a hidden support for equities

๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ FLASHBACK

On October 21, 1987, traders still reeled from Black Mondayโ€™s 22.6% plunge the day before โ€” a cataclysm triggered by algorithmic panic and unchecked leverage. It remains a timeless lesson: systems built for speed can collapse in seconds.


๐Ÿงญ OUTLOOK

Short term: Profit rotation likely to continue as investors rebalance portfolios.
Mid term: AI, infrastructure, and defense sectors lead the conviction list for Q4.
Long term: Liquidity will determine everything โ€” those who track it will stay ahead of the herd.


๐Ÿ“ฐ FROM BERNDPULCH.ORG

For 25 years, BerndPulch.org has delivered independent intelligence, unfiltered data, and fearless commentary โ€” long before โ€œalternative mediaโ€ became a buzzword.
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INVESTMENT โ€“ THE ORIGINAL DIGEST SINCE 2000
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INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL DIGEST โ€“ 21. OKTOBER 2025 โœŒ
GEGRรœNDET IM JAHR 2000 UND NOCH IMMER UNABHร„NGIG ๐Ÿ•ถ๏ธ


๐ŸŒ WELTWEITE Mร„RKTE IM รœBERBLICK

Die globalen Bรถrsen starteten mit gemischten Signalen in die Woche. Der S&P 500 legte leicht zu, getragen von starken Tech-Ergebnissen, wรคhrend europรคische Aktien wegen Energiepreisen und politischer Unsicherheit stagnierten. Asien zeigte sich robust โ€“ unterstรผtzt durch neue Liquiditรคtsspritzen der chinesischen Zentralbank.

Anleger bleiben vorsichtig optimistisch, doch zunehmende Kreditrisiken und sinkende Margen kรถnnten die Stimmung im vierten Quartal trรผben. Viele Marktteilnehmer erwarten, dass die derzeitige Ruhe nur eine Atempause vor erneuter Volatilitรคt ist.


๐Ÿ’ต DEVISEN & ROHSTOFFE

Der US-Dollar schwรคchte sich weiter ab, der Euro festigte sich bei 1,09. Gold stieg auf 2.462 USD โ€“ getrieben durch Zentralbankkรคufe. ร–lpreise fielen unter 86 USD, da Lagerbestรคnde zunahmen.
Bitcoin blieb stabil bei etwa 64.000 USD; die Daten zeigen zunehmende Langfristhalter.


๐Ÿ“ˆ ANLEIHEN

Die Renditen zehnjรคhriger US-Staatsanleihen verharrten bei 4,26 %, auch deutsche Bunds blieben stabil bei 2,38 %. Anleiheinvestoren erwarten eine erste Zinssenkung der Fed bis Mitte 2026.


๐Ÿง  STRATEGISCHER EINBLICK

Der Markt befindet sich โ€žim Auge des Sturmsโ€œ: Inflation sinkt, aber Kreditrisiken steigen. Hedgefonds senken Risikoquoten und investieren verstรคrkt in Energie, Verteidigung und KI-Infrastruktur.
Private Investoren richten den Fokus auf Datenhoheit und militรคrische Robotik โ€“ Zukunftsmรคrkte mit geopolitischer Sprengkraft.


๐Ÿ” ANALYTIK-BEREICH

  • Stimmung: neutral bis leicht optimistisch (Index: 59)
  • Gewinner: Halbleiter, Energiewende, Cyberabwehr
  • Verlierer: Immobilien, ESG-Fonds, Konsumkredite
  • Makrotrend: Weltweite Geldmenge wรคchst weiter โ€“ heimlicher Stรผtzpfeiler der Mรคrkte

๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ RรœCKBLICK

Am 21. Oktober 1987 standen die Mรคrkte noch unter Schock des โ€žBlack Mondayโ€œ โ€“ ein Absturz von 22,6 % an einem einzigen Tag. Die Lektion bleibt: Geschwindigkeit ersetzt keine Stabilitรคt.


๐Ÿงญ AUSBLICK

Kurzfristig: Sektorrotation und Gewinnmitnahmen.
Mittelfristig: KI, Infrastruktur und Verteidigung bleiben Favoriten.
Langfristig: Liquiditรคt bleibt der entscheidende Faktor.


๐Ÿ“ฐ VON BERNDPULCH.ORG

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๐Ÿ‘‰ ืฆืคื” ื‘ื“ืœื™ืคื•ืช ื‘ืœืขื“ื™ื•ืช

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ะ ัƒััะบะธะน

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