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INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST 30 DE SEPTIEMBRE / 1 DE OCTUBRE DE 2025 ✌ FUNDADO EN EL AÑO 2000 DESPUÉS DE CRISTO

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ИНВЕСТИЦИОННЫЙ ДАЙДЖЕСТ “THE ORIGINAL” 30 СЕНТЯБРЯ / 1 ОКТЯБРЯ 2025 ✌ ОСНОВАН В 2000 ГОДУ НАШЕЙ ЭРЫ

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投资原创文摘 2025年9月30日/10月1日 ✌ 成立于公元2000年

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Investment Digest: Crypto Surges, Equities Recover, Commodities Steady, Bonds Firm, and Commercial Real Estate Resilient Amid Tariff Concerns and Geopolitical Risks – September 30, 2025

Executive Summary (English)

Global financial markets show cautious optimism amid trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Crypto markets surge, equities recover, commodities remain steady, bonds hold firm, and commercial real estate stays resilient, supported by clean energy investments and tokenized assets.

Key Market Movements

• Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin at $119,500 (+2.1%), with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi up 18.5% with $3.2B TVL; VINE token up 2.0%. Crypto derivatives at $12.5T.
• Equities: U.S. markets recover, with S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). China’s CSI 300 gains 3.8% on $700B stimulus. India’s Sensex at 83,500 (+0.6%) and Nifty at 25,350 (+0.3%) resilient despite tariffs.
• Commodities & Energy: Gold at $3,450/oz (+0.2%), silver at $39.00/oz (+0.2%), palladium up 0.8%. Brent crude at $72.50/barrel (+0.2%), WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2%), natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). Copper inventories tight.
• Bonds: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30% (+0.01%), tokenized bonds at $4.0B led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. High-yield inflows at $260M.
• Commercial Real Estate: U.S. property prices up 5.5% year-on-year, office occupancy at 6.9% in Q2 2025. Tokenized real estate at $4.3B on Ethereum/Polymath.

Economic and Geopolitical Context

• China: $700B stimulus supports 4.3% growth target, property weakness persists.
• India: Q4 FY25 GDP at 7.2%, FY26 forecast at 6.2%. Rupee at ₹88.00, steady despite U.S. 50% tariffs.
• U.S.: Fed holds rates at 4.25%–4.5%, September cut odds at 90%. Trump’s 50% tariffs on India, 100% on semiconductors escalate tensions. U.S.-India oil trade disputes intensify.
• UK: CPI at 3.8% YoY in July.
• Global: EU’s $84B retaliatory tariffs advance. Dollar Index at 100.7, euro at $1.155 (+0.09%). Geopolitical risks from Russia’s Kyiv attack, Iran sanctions, Thai PM dismissal, Texas voting map redraw.

Investment Highlights
Clean energy investments strong: JSW Energy’s 2,400 MW solar-wind deal, SJVN’s 3,000 MW hydro project, Petronas’ $4.7B Indonesian LNG, Ørsted’s €3.5B German offshore wind. Commercial real estate benefits from AI data center demand and green-certified buildings (10.6% demand growth). Tokenized assets (bonds at $4.0B, real estate at $4.3B) reflect blockchain growth.

Outlook
Markets anticipate Fed rate cut signals; tariff inflation and trade tensions pose risks. China’s stimulus and India’s resilience provide stability, while commercial real estate and clean energy offer opportunities. Monitor crypto ETF flows, tokenized assets, and geopolitics.

Source: Powered by Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch. Subscribe at patreon.com/berndpulch. Explore Nacktes Geld podcast.

Zusammenfassung für Führungskräfte (Deutsch)

Die globalen Finanzmärkte zeigen vorsichtigen Optimismus inmitten von Handelsspannungen und geopolitischen Risiken. Krypto-Märkte gewinnen an Schwung, Aktien erholen sich, Rohstoffe bleiben stabil, Anleihen halten stand, und Gewerbeimmobilien bleiben widerstandsfähig, unterstützt durch Investitionen in erneuerbare Energien und tokenisierte Vermögenswerte.

Wichtige Marktentwicklungen

• Kryptowährungen: Bitcoin bei $119,500 (+2.1%), mit $340M ETF-Zuflüssen. Ethereum bei $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP bei $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana bei $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi +18.5% mit $3.2B TVL; VINE Token +2.0%. Krypto-Derivate bei $12.5T.
• Aktien: U.S.-Märkte erholen sich, S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). Chinas CSI 300 +3.8% auf $700B-Stimulus. Indiens Sensex bei 83,500 (+0.6%) und Nifty bei 25,350 (+0.3%) trotz Zöllen widerstandsfähig.
• Rohstoffe & Energie: Gold bei $3,450/oz (+0.2%), Silber bei $39.00/oz (+0.2%), Palladium +0.8%. Brent crude bei $72.50/barrel (+0.2%), WTI crude bei $69.20/barrel (+0.2%), Erdgas bei $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). Kupferbestände knapp.
• Anleihen: U.S. 10-Jahres-Treasury-Renditen bei 4.30% (+0.01%), tokenisierte Anleihen bei $4.0B von BlackRock’s BUIDL. High-Yield-Zuflüsse bei $260M.
• Gewerbeimmobilien: U.S. Immobilienpreise +5.5% jährlich, Bürobelegung bei 6.9% im Q2 2025. Tokenisierte Immobilien bei $4.3B auf Ethereum/Polymath.

Wirtschaftlicher und geopolitischer Kontext

• China: $700B-Stimulus unterstützt 4.3% Wachstumsziel, Immobilien-Schwäche anhaltend.
• Indien: Q4 FY25 BIP bei 7.2%, FY26-Prognose bei 6.2%. Rupie bei ₹88.00, stabil trotz U.S. 50% Zöllen.
• U.S.: Fed hält Zinssätze bei 4.25%–4.5%, September-Senkungswahrscheinlichkeit bei 90%. Trumps 50% Zölle auf Indien, 100% auf Halbleiter eskalieren Spannungen. U.S.-Indien-Ölhandel-Streitigkeiten nehmen zu.
• UK: CPI bei 3.8% YoY im Juli.
• Global: EU’s $84B Vergeltungszölle voranschreitend. Dollar-Index bei 100.7, Euro bei $1.155 (+0.09%). Geopolitische Risiken durch Russlands Kiew-Angriff, Iran-Sanktionen, Thai PM-Entlassung, Texas-Wahlkarte.

Investitions-Highlights
Erneuerbare Energien stark: JSW Energys 2,400 MW Solar-Wind-Deal, SJVNs 3,000 MW Hydro-Projekt, Petronas’ $4.7B Indonesien-LNG, Ørsteds €3.5B deutsches Offshore-Wind. Gewerbeimmobilien profitieren von KI-Datenzentren und grünen Gebäuden (10.6% Nachfragewachstum). Tokenisierte Vermögenswerte (Anleihen bei $4.0B, Immobilien bei $4.3B) zeigen Blockchain-Wachstum.

Ausblick
Märkte erwarten Signale für Zinssenkungen; Zoll-Inflation und Handelsspannungen bergen Risiken. Chinas Stimulus und Indiens Widerstandsfähigkeit bieten Stabilität, während Gewerbeimmobilien und erneuerbare Energien Chancen bieten. Überwachen Sie Krypto-ETF-Zuflüsse, tokenisierte Vermögenswerte und Geopolitik.

Quelle: Powered by Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch. Abonnieren Sie bei patreon.com/berndpulch. Erkunden Sie den Podcast Nacktes Geld.

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Global Markets: Crypto, Derivatives, Equities, Commodities, Bonds, and Real Estate

Bitcoin surges to $119,500 (+2.1%) with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi up 18.5%. Crypto derivatives at $12.5T. Equities recover, with S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). Commodities firm, with gold ($3,450/oz, +0.2%) and Brent crude ($72.50/barrel, +0.2%) up. Energy prices stable, with WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2%) and natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30%, tokenized bonds at $4.0B. Commercial real estate resilient, with office demand at 6.9% and tokenized assets at $4.3B. China’s $700B stimulus lifts CSI 300 (+3.8%). Indian markets resilient despite tariffs. Explore more in the podcast Nacktes Geld.

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Investment Highlights

Bitcoin at $119,500 (+2.1%) with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi up 18.5% with $3.2B TVL. JSW Energy secures 2,600 MW solar-wind deal. SJVN advances 3,200 MW hydro project. Petronas invests $4.9B in Indonesian LNG. Ørsted expands €3.6B German offshore wind project. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30%. Commercial real estate resilient, with tokenized assets at $4.3B. OYO’s $7-8B IPO set for November.

Property Market Updates

Mumbai’s housing sales at 2,09,000 units in H1 2025. Germany’s rents up 12.0% in Q2 2025, Berlin at 14.2%. U.S. home prices up 5.1% year-on-year, mortgage rates at 6.02%. Dubai’s luxury market grows 52% pre-Expo 2025, with Bitcoin options trading expanding. Canberra’s rents rise 15.5%. Singapore’s green buildings attract $6.1B. U.S. commercial property prices up 5.5%, office demand at 6.9% in Q2 2025. Tokenized real estate at $4.3B via Ethereum/Polymath. HDB Financial IPO advances. Nomura holds reduce rating on Godrej Properties at ₹2,070.

Commercial Real Estate Trends

U.S. commercial real estate resilient, with office occupancy at 6.9% in Q2 2025, driven by AI data center demand. Industrial properties up 8.4% in value, e-commerce fueling growth. Retail vacancy rates at 4.2%. Tokenized real estate at $4.3B, with platforms like Polymath and Ethereum enabling crypto deals. Christie’s crypto-backed property transactions grow. High interest rates (6.02% for commercial mortgages) pressure valuations, but green-certified buildings see 10.8% demand growth. New York and San Francisco premium office rents up 6.5%. A $470M Florida office bond holds steady. Demand for industrial space softens.

Stock Market Trends

Indian markets resilient, with Sensex at 83,500 (+0.6%) and Nifty at 25,350 (+0.3%). U.S. markets recover, with S&P 500 at 6,450 (+0.5%), Nasdaq at 21,150 (+0.6%), Dow at 44,600 (+0.3%) post-PPI. CSI 300 gains 3.8%. Gold at $3,450/oz (+0.2%), silver at $39.00/oz (+0.2%), Brent crude at $72.50/barrel (+0.2%). Indian rupee at ₹88.00. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30%, high-yield inflows at $260M. Burberry holds FTSE 100 position.

Crypto and Derivatives Trends

Bitcoin at $119,500 (+2.1%) with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%) with $500M inflows. XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%) holds $5.0B futures open interest post-Mastercard. Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%), futures volume up 8.0%. Qubit DeFi up 18.5% with $3.2B TVL. VINE token up 2.0%. Crypto derivatives at $12.5T. Dubai expands Bitcoin options trading. Posts on X bullish for XRP/Solana.

Commodities and Energy Trends

Gold at $3,450/oz (+0.2%), silver at $39.00/oz (+0.2%), palladium up 0.8%. Brent crude at $72.50/barrel (+0.2%), WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2%), natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%) with stable Middle East supply. Copper inventories tight. Tether USDT/Monero integration in $1B agribusiness deal.

Bonds Market Trends

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30% (+0.01%) post-weak jobs data (22,000 added vs. 150,000 expected). High-yield inflows at $260M. Tokenized bonds at $4.0B on Ethereum/Polygon, led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. Municipal yields 4.15%, infrastructure steady. Posts on X highlight tariff inflation risks.

Economic Outlook

China targets 4.3% growth with $700B stimulus, property weakness persists. India’s Q4 FY25 GDP at 7.2%, FY26 forecast at 6.2%. U.S. Fed holds rates at 4.25%–4.5%, September cut odds at 90% post-Powell speech and weak jobs (22K added, revisions -911K). Trump’s 50% tariffs on India, 100% on semiconductors, 30% on EU/Mexico/Brazil escalate tensions. EU’s $84B retaliatory plan advances. U.S.-India oil tensions over Russia intensify. UK CPI at 3.8% YoY in July. U.S. Dollar Index at 100.7, euro at $1.155 (+0.09%). Geopolitical risks from Russia’s Kyiv attack, stalled Iran sanctions, Thai PM dismissal, Texas voting map redraw add volatility.

Comprehensive Analysis

This Investment Digest for September 30, 2025, powered by Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch, compiles global investment news as of 9:45 PM CEST. Bitcoin surges to $119,500 (+2.1%) with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi up 18.5%. Crypto derivatives at $12.5T. Equities recover, with S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). Commodities steady, with gold ($3,450/oz, +0.2%) and Brent crude ($72.50/barrel, +0.2%) up. Energy prices stable, with WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2%) and natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30%, tokenized bonds at $4.0B. Commercial real estate resilient, with office demand at 6.9% and tokenized assets at $4.3B. Indian markets resilient despite U.S. 50% tariffs. China’s $700B stimulus lifts CSI 300 by 3.8%. UK CPI at 3.8% YoY in July. Clean energy investments, like Ørsted’s €3.6B project, signal resilience. Geopolitical risks from Russia, Iran, Thailand, and Texas add volatility. Subscribe to patreon.com/berndpulch for leaks. Explore Nacktes Geld podcast.

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Schlagwörter: Bitcoin Preis 2025, XRP ETF Gerüchte 2025, Krypto-Regulierung 2025, Krypto-Derivate 2025, Qubit DeFi 2025, Goldpreis 2025, Silberpreis 2025, Palladiumpreis 2025, Brent-Rohölpreis 2025, WTI-Rohölpreis 2025, Erdgaspreis 2025, China Liquiditätsinjektion 2025, PBOC Stimulus 2025, globale Investitionsnachrichten 2025, Investitionen in saubere Energien, Projekte erneuerbare Energien, Gewerbeimmobilien 2025, Immobilienmarkt Trends 2025, Mumbai Wohnungsumsatz 2025, Mietmarkt Deutschland 2025, Luxusimmobilien Dubai, Aktienmarkt Updates 2025, CSI 300 September 2025, Sensex September 2025, Nifty September 2025, US-Aktienmarkt 2025, S&P 500 Trends 2025, Nvidia Gewinne 2025, Trump Zölle September 2025, EU Vergeltungszölle 2025, Indien USA Handelsabkommen 2025, Indische Rupie Kurs 2025, Chinesischer Yuan 2025, globaler Wirtschaftsausblick 2025, Federal Reserve Zinssätze 2025, IWF Wachstumsprognose 2025, Indien BIP-Wachstum 2025, Indien Einzelhandelsinflation 2025, BluPine Energy ESG Auszeichnung 2025, JSW Energy Batteriespeicher 2025, SJVN Wasserkraftprojekte 2025, Jindal India Greenfield Projekt 2025, Investment The Original Bernd Pulch, Finanzleaks 2025, Offshore-Steueroasen, Bankenkorruption aufgedeckt, TCS Q1 Ergebnisse 2025, Infosys Q1 Ergebnisse 2025, Reliance Industries Aktien 2025, HDB Financial IPO 2025, Singapur grüne Gebäude 2025, US-Hypothekenzinsen 2025, Investitionen saubere Energien IEA 2025, globale FDI-Trends 2025, Zollrisiken 2025, Nacktes Geld Podcast, ESG-Investitionen 2025, US-Kanada Handelsgespräche 2025, Brasilien Vergeltungszölle 2025, nachhaltige Finanztrends, Kupferzoll 2025, Pharma-Zölle 2025, globale Handelsspannungen 2025, Godrej Properties Aktien 2025, Reverse-Repo-Operationen 2025, Nvidia China Chip Exporte 2025, Krypto-Futures 2025, Ethereum Preis 2025, Solana Futures 2025, XRP Preis 2025, Solana Preis 2025, Nahost Versorgungsrisiken 2025, VINE Coin 2025, US-Indien Ölhandel Spannungen 2025, US-Arbeitsmarktbericht 2025, US-Schatzanleihen Renditen 2025, tokenisierte Anleihen 2025, tokenisierte Immobilien 2025, Bitcoin ETF Zuflüsse 2025, Trump Krypto 401k 2025, Halbleiterzölle 2025, China Auslandsinvestitionen 2025, XRP SEC Fall 2025, ChainLink Reserve 2025, Ripple Fall eingestellt 2025, KI-Datenzentren Nachfrage 2025, US CPI September 2025, Home Depot Aktien 2025, Target Aktien 2025, UK CPI Inflation 2025, Fed Powell Rede 2025, OYO IPO 2025, Russland Ukraine Konflikt 2025, Iran Sanktionen 2025, Thai PM Absetzung 2025, Texas Wahlkarte 2025, Ondo Finance tokenisierte Aktien 2025, US Bancorp Bitcoin Verwahrung 2025, Burberry FTSE 100 2025, Broadcom OpenAI Deal 2025, US Arbeitsmarktbericht September 2025

Резюме инвестиций: Криптовалюты растут, акции восстанавливаются, сырьевые товары стабильны, облигации тверды, а коммерческая недвижимость устойчива на фоне опасений по поводу тарифов и геополитических рисков – 30 сентября 2025 г.

Исполнительное резюме

Глобальные финансовые рынки демонстрируют осторожный оптимизм на фоне торговой напряженности и геополитических рисков. Рынки криптовалют растут, акции восстанавливаются, сырьевые товары остаются стабильными, облигации держатся твердо, а коммерческая недвижимость демонстрирует устойчивость, поддерживаемая инвестициями в чистую энергетику и токенизированные активы.

Ключевые движения рынка

· Криптовалюты: Биткойн на отметке 119 500 долл. (+2,1%), приток средств в ETF составил 340 млн долл. Эфириум на отметке 4750 долл. (+0,8%), XRP – 3,20 долл. (+0,6%), Solana – 210,00 долл. (+0,5%). Qubit DeFi вырос на 18,5% при TVL в 3,2 млрд долл.; токен VINE вырос на 2,0%. Криптодеривативы на уровне 12,5 трлн долл.
·Акции: Рынки США восстанавливаются: S&P 500 (+0,5%), Nasdaq (+0,6%), Dow (+0,3%). Китайский CSI 300 выиграл 3,8% благодаря стимулу в 700 млрд долл. Индийский Sensex на уровне 83 500 (+0,6%) и Nifty на уровне 25 350 (+0,3%) демонстрируют устойчивость, несмотря на пошлины.
·Сырьевые товары и энергетика: Золото на уровне 3450 долл./унция (+0,2%), серебро – 39,00 долл./унция (+0,2%), палладий вырос на 0,8%. Нефть Brent на уровне 72,50 долл./баррель (+0,2%), нефть WTI – 69,20 долл./баррель (+0,2%), природный газ – 3,20 долл./MMBtu (+0,2%). Запасы меди ограничены.
·Облигации: Доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций США составляет 4,30% (+0,01%), токенизированные облигации – на уровне 4,0 млрд долл. под руководством BUIDL от BlackRock. Приток в высокодоходные облигации составил 260 млн долл.
·Коммерческая недвижимость: Цены на недвижимость в США выросли на 5,5% в годовом исчислении, занятость офисов составила 6,9% во втором квартале 2025 года. Токенизированная недвижимость на уровне 4,3 млрд долл. на Ethereum/Polymath.

Экономический и геополитический контекст

· Китай: Стимул в 700 млрд долл. поддерживает цель роста в 4,3%, слабость рынка недвижимости сохраняется.
·Индия: ВВП в четвертом квартале 2025 финансового года составил 7,2%, прогноз на 2026 финансовый год – 6,2%. Рупия на уровне 88,00, стабильна, несмотря на 50% пошлины США.
·США: ФРС сохраняет ставки в диапазоне 4,25%–4,5%, вероятность снижения в сентябре составляет 90%. 50% пошлины Трампа на Индию и 100% на полупроводники обостряют напряженность. Споры между США и Индией по поводу торговли нефтью усиливаются.
·Великобритания: ИПЦ в июле составил 3,8% в годовом исчислении.
·Глобально: Продвигаются ответные пошлины ЕС на сумму 84 млрд долл. Индекс доллара на уровне 100,7, евро – 1,155 долл. (+0,09%). Геополитические риски из-за атаки России на Киев, санкций против Ирана, отставки премьер-министра Таиланда, пересмотра избирательной карты Техаса.

Инвестиционные highlights
Инвестиции в чистую энергетику сильны:соглашение JSW Energy на 2400 МВт в области солнечной и ветровой энергетики, гидроэнергетический проект SJVN на 3000 МВт, инвестиции Petronas в размере 4,7 млрд долл. в СПГ в Индонезии, немецкий офшорный ветровой проект Ørsted на 3,5 млрд евро. Коммерческая недвижимость受益 от спроса на центры обработки данных ИИ и сертифицированные зеленые здания (рост спроса на 10,6%). Токенизированные активы (облигации на 4,0 млрд долл., недвижимость на 4,3 млрд долл.) отражают рост блокчейна.

Перспективы
Рынки ожидают сигналов о снижении ставок ФРС;инфляция, вызванная пошлинами, и торговая напряженность создают риски. Стимулы Китая и устойчивость Индии обеспечивают стабильность, в то время как коммерческая недвижимость и чистая энергетика предлагают возможности. Следите за потоками крипто-ETF, токенизированными активами и геополитикой.

Источник: На основе технологии Investment The Original от Bernd Pulch. Подпишитесь на patreon.com/berndpulch. Исследуйте подкаст Nacktes Geld.

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Резюме инвестиций: Криптовалюты растут, акции восстанавливаются, сырьевые товары стабильны, облигации тверды, а коммерческая недвижимость устойчива на фоне опасений по поводу тарифов и геополитических рисков – 30 сентября 2025 г.

Глобальные финансовые рынки navigating сложный ландшафт, отмеченный эскалацией торговой напряженности и сохраняющимися геополитическими рисками, проявляя признаки осторожного оптимизма по мере развития 2025 года.

Рынки криптовалют лидируют благодаря инновациям
Биткойн сохраняет свое доминирование как крупнейшая криптовалюта по рыночной капитализации,в то время как Эфириум революционизировал ландшафт с введением смарт-контрактов. Экосистема DeFi также демонстрирует robust рост, при этом Qubit DeFi зафиксировал рост на 18,5%.

Восстановление на рынках акций
Фондовые рынки демонстрируют устойчивость.Американские индексы восстанавливаются: S&P 500, Nasdaq и Dow Jones все в положительной территории. Китайский рынок получает значительный импульс от пакета стимулов в 700 млрд долл., который подталкивает CSI 300 к росту на 3,8%. Индийские рынки, представленные Sensex и Nifty, также демонстрируют силу, несмотря на тарифную среду.

Стабильность на рынках сырьевых товаров и энергетики
Сырьевые товары остаются твердыми.Драгоценные металлы, такие как золото и серебро, показывают modest growth, в то время как цены на нефть (Brent Crude и WTI) также демонстрируют стабильность. Поставки природного газа остаются стабильными, и наблюдается напряженность в запасах меди.

Твердость на рынке облигаций и устойчивость коммерческой недвижимости
На рынке fixed income доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций США сохраняется на уровне 4,30%.Продолжается рост токенизированных облигаций, возглавляемых такими фондами, как BUIDL от BlackRock. Сектор коммерческой недвижимости в США демонстрирует notable устойчивость, с ростом цен на недвижимость и устойчивым спросом, particularly для сертифицированных зеленых зданий и помещений, поддерживаемых спросом на центры обработки данных ИИ. Токенизация недвижимости также набирает обороты как innovative класс активов.

Геополитический контекст и денежно-кредитная политика
Экономический контекст определяется действиями крупных центральных банков и торговой напряженностью.ФРС сохраняет процентные ставки, хотя рынки anticipate возможные сокращения. Торговая напряженность значительно обострилась, с введением США высоких пошлин на такие страны, как Индия, что создало неопределенность на рынках. Тем временем Китай осуществляет существенные фискальные стимулы для поддержки своего роста, а Индия продолжает демонстрировать solid экономические показатели.

Перспективы и последствия для инвесторов
Общий настрой рынка– осторожный оптимизм. Инвесторы внимательно следят за сигналами центральных банков, particularly ФРС, относительно будущей траектории процентных ставок. Хотя стимулы в крупных экономиках и устойчивость таких секторов, как коммерческая недвижимость и чистая энергетика, предлагают возможности, инфляционные риски, вызванные пошлинами, и сохраняющаяся геополитическая неопределенность требуют бдительного управления рисками. Инвесторам рекомендуется внимательно следить за потоками крипто-ETF, развитием токенизированных активов и геополитическими событиями.

Here is the Chinese translation of your Investment Digest article for September 30, 2025.

投资摘要：加密货币飙升、股市复苏、大宗商品稳定、债券坚挺，商业地产在关税担忧和地缘政治风险中保持韧性 – 2025年9月30日

执行摘要

全球金融市场在贸易紧张局势和地缘政治风险中显示出谨慎乐观情绪。加密货币市场飙升，股市复苏，大宗商品保持稳定，债券走势坚挺，商业地产在清洁能源投资和代币化资产的支持下保持韧性。

主要市场动向

· 加密货币：比特币报119,500美元（+2.1%），ETF流入3.4亿美元。以太坊报4,750美元（+0.8%），XRP报3.20美元（+0.6%），Solana报210.00美元（+0.5%）。Qubit DeFi上涨18.5%，总锁仓价值（TVL）达32亿美元；VINE代币上涨2.0%。加密衍生品规模达12.5万亿美元。
· 股市：美国市场复苏，标普500（+0.5%），纳斯达克（+0.6%），道琼斯（+0.3%）。中国沪深300指数因7000亿美元刺激计划上涨3.8%。印度Sensex指数报83,500点（+0.6%），Nifty指数报25,350点（+0.3%），尽管面临关税压力仍展现韧性。
· 大宗商品与能源：黄金报3,450美元/盎司（+0.2%），白银报39.00美元/盎司（+0.2%），钯金上涨0.8%。布伦特原油报72.50美元/桶（+0.2%），WTI原油报69.20美元/桶（+0.2%），天然气报3.20美元/百万英热单位（+0.2%）。铜库存紧张。
· 债券：美国10年期国债收益率报4.30%（+0.01%），代币化债券规模达40亿美元，以贝莱德的BUIDL为首。高收益债券流入2.6亿美元。
· 商业地产：美国房地产价格同比上涨5.5%，第二季度办公室入住率为6.9%。基于以太坊/Polymath的代币化房地产规模达43亿美元。

经济与地缘政治背景

· 中国：7000亿美元刺激计划支持4.3%的增长目标，房地产疲软持续。
· 印度：2025财年第四季度GDP为7.2%，2026财年预测为6.2%。卢比报₹88.00，尽管美国征收50%关税仍保持稳定。
· 美国：美联储将利率维持在4.25%–4.5%，9月降息概率为90%。特朗普对印度征收50%关税，对半导体征收100%关税，加剧了紧张局势。美印石油贸易争端加剧。
· 英国：7月消费者价格指数（CPI）同比上涨3.8%。
· 全球：欧盟840亿美元的报复性关税计划取得进展。美元指数报100.7，欧元报1.155美元（+0.09%）。地缘政治风险包括俄罗斯袭击基辅、伊朗制裁、泰国总理解职、德州投票地图重划。

投资亮点
清洁能源投资强劲：JSW Energy的2400兆瓦太阳能-风能协议、SJVN的3000兆瓦水电项目、国油石油（Petronas）在印尼的47亿美元液化天然气投资、沃旭能源（Ørsted）在德国的35亿欧元海上风电项目。商业地产受益于AI数据中心需求和绿色认证建筑（需求增长10.6%）。代币化资产（债券40亿美元，房地产43亿美元）反映了区块链的增长。

展望
市场预期美联储释放降息信号；关税引发的通货膨胀和贸易紧张局势构成风险。中国的刺激计划和印度的韧性提供了稳定性，而商业地产和清洁能源则提供了机会。请密切关注加密ETF流量、代币化资产和地缘政治。

来源：由Bernd Pulch的Investment The Original提供技术支持。订阅请访问 patreon.com/berndpulch。探索播客Nacktes Geld。

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投资摘要全文

全球金融市场在贸易紧张局势升级和持续地缘政治风险的复杂格局中前行，但随着2025年的推进，显示出谨慎乐观的迹象。

加密货币市场引领创新
比特币作为市值最大的加密货币保持其主导地位，而以太坊则通过引入智能合约和去中心化应用程序彻底改变了格局。DeFi生态系统也展现出强劲增长。

股市复苏
全球股市在稳健的盈利背景支持下保持稳定，不过估值偏高意味着容错空间有限。美国市场出现复苏，中国股市在巨额刺激计划推动下大幅上涨。印度市场在关税环境下也表现出韧性。

大宗商品与能源稳定
大宗商品走势坚挺。黄金和白银等贵金属小幅上涨，原油价格也保持稳定。天然气供应稳定，铜库存呈现紧张态势。

债券市场坚挺与商业地产韧性
在固定收益领域，美国10年期国债收益率维持在4.30%。代币化债券持续增长。美国商业地产 sector 表现出显著的韧性，房地产价格上涨，需求保持稳定，尤其是绿色认证建筑和受AI数据中心需求驱动的空间。房地产代币化作为一种创新资产类别也日益受到关注。

地缘政治与政策背景
经济背景主要受主要央行行动和贸易紧张局势主导。美联储维持利率不变，但市场预期可能降息。贸易紧张局势显著加剧，美国对印度等国征收高额关税，给市场带来了不确定性。与此同时，中国实施 substantial 财政刺激以支撑增长，印度则继续展现出稳健的经济表现。

展望与投资者启示
市场整体情绪是谨慎乐观。投资者正密切关注各国央行、尤其是美联储关于未来利率路径的信号。虽然主要经济体的刺激措施以及商业地产和清洁能源等行业的韧性带来了机遇，但关税带来的通胀风险和持续的地缘政治不确定性需要保持警惕性的风险管理。建议投资者密切关注加密ETF资金流、代币化资产的进展以及地缘政治动态。

希望这个完整的翻译版本对您有帮助。如果您需要进一步调整或有其他问题，请随时告诉我。

निवेश सारांश: क्रिप्टो में तेजी, इक्विटी में सुधार, कमोडिटी स्थिर, बॉन्ड मजबूत और व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट टैरिफ चिंताओं और भू-राजनीतिक जोखिमों के बीच लचीला – 30 सितंबर, 2025

कार्यकारी सारांश
वैश्विक वित्तीय बाजार व्यापार तनाव और भू-राजनीतिक जोखिमोंके बीच सतर्क आशावाद दिखा रहे हैं। क्रिप्टो बाजारों में तेजी आई है, इक्विटी में सुधार हुआ है, कमोडिटी स्थिर बनी हुई हैं, बॉन्ड मजबूत हैं, और व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट स्वच्छ ऊर्जा निवेश और टोकनयुक्त परिसंपत्तियों के समर्थन से लचीला बना हुआ है।

मुख्य बाजार आंदोलन

· क्रिप्टोकरेंसी: बिटकॉइन $119,500 (+2.1%) पर, $340M ETF इनफ्लो के साथ। एथेरियम $4,750 (+0.8%) पर, एक्सआरपी $3.20 (+0.6%) पर, सोलाना $210.00 (+0.5%) पर। क्यूबिट डीफाई $3.2B TVL के साथ 18.5% ऊपर; VINE टोकन 2.0% ऊपर। क्रिप्टो डेरिवेटिव $12.5T पर।
· इक्विटी: यूएस मार्केट में सुधार, एसएंडपी 500 (+0.5%), नैस्डैक (+0.6%), डॉव (+0.3%)। चीन का सीएसआई 300 $700B प्रोत्साहन पर 3.8% बढ़ा। भारत का सेंसेक्स 83,500 (+0.6%) पर और निफ्टी 25,350 (+0.3%) पर टैरिफ के बावजूद लचीला।
· कमोडिटी और ऊर्जा: सोना $3,450/oz (+0.2%) पर, चांदी $39.00/oz (+0.2%) पर, पैलेडियम 0.8% ऊपर। ब्रेंट क्रूड $72.50/बैरल (+0.2%) पर, डब्ल्यूटीआई क्रूड $69.20/बैरल (+0.2%) पर, प्राकृतिक गैस $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%) पर। तांबे की सूची तंग।
· बॉन्ड: यूएस 10-वर्ष ट्रेजरी यील्ड 4.30% (+0.01%) पर, ब्लैकरॉक के BUIDL के नेतृत्व में टोकनयुक्त बॉन्ड $4.0B पर। हाई-यील्ड इनफ्लो $260M पर।
· व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट: यूएस संपत्ति की कीमतें साल-दर-साल 5.5% ऊपर, Q2 2025 में कार्यालय अधिभोग 6.9% पर। एथेरियम/पॉलीमैथ पर टोकनयुक्त रियल एस्टेट $4.3B पर।

आर्थिक और भू-राजनीतिक संदर्भ

· चीन: $700B प्रोत्साहन 4.3% विकास लक्ष्य का समर्थन करता है, संपत्ति की कमजोरी बनी रहती है।
· भारत: Q4 FY25 जीडीपी 7.2% पर, FY26 पूर्वानुमान 6.2% पर। रुपया ₹88.00 पर, यूएस 50% टैरिफ के बावजूद स्थिर।
· यूएस: फेड दरें 4.25%–4.5% पर बनाए रखती है, सितंबर कट की संभावना 90% पर। भारत पर ट्रम्प के 50% टैरिफ, सेमीकंडक्टर पर 100% टैरिफ ने तनाव बढ़ा दिया। यूएस-भारत तेल व्यापार विवाद तेज।
· यूके: जुलाई में सीपीआई 3.8% YoY पर।
· वैश्विक: EU के $84B प्रतिशोधात्मक टैरिफ आगे बढ़े। डॉलर इंडेक्स 100.7 पर, यूरो $1.155 (+0.09%) पर। रूस के कीव हमले, ईरान प्रतिबंध, थाई पीएम बर्खास्तगी, टेक्सस मतदान मानचित्र पुनर्निर्धारण से भू-राजनीतिक जोखिम।

निवेश हाइलाइट्स
स्वच्छ ऊर्जानिवेश मजबूत: JSW एनर्जी का 2,400 MW सौर-पवन सौदा, SJVN का 3,000 MW जलविद्युत परियोजना, पेट्रोनास का इंडोनेशियाई LNG में $4.7B निवेश, Ørsted का €3.5B जर्मन ऑफशोर विंड परियोजना। व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट एआई डेटा सेंटर मांग और हरित-प्रमाणित इमारतों (10.6% मांग वृद्धि) से लाभान्वित होता है। टोकनयुक्त परिसंपत्तियां (बॉन्ड $4.0B पर, रियल एस्टेट $4.3B पर) ब्लॉकचेन विकास को दर्शाती हैं।

आउटलुक
बाजार फेड दर मेंकटौती के संकेतों की प्रत्याशा कर रहे हैं; टैरिफ मुद्रास्फीति और व्यापार तनाव जोखिम पैदा करते हैं। चीन का प्रोत्साहन और भारत की लचीलापन स्थिरता प्रदान करते हैं, जबकि व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट और स्वच्छ ऊर्जा अवसर प्रदान करते हैं। क्रिप्टो ETF प्रवाह, टोकनयुक्त संपत्तियों और भू-राजनीति पर नजर रखें।

स्रोत: बर्न्ड पुल्च द्वारा इन्वेस्टमेंट द ओरिजिनल द्वारा संचालित। patreon.com/berndpulch पर सब्सक्राइब करें। नैक्टेस गेल्ड पॉडकास्ट का अन्वेषण करें।

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निवेश सारांश: क्रिप्टो में तेजी, इक्विटी में सुधार, कमोडिटी स्थिर, बॉन्ड मजबूत और व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट टैरिफ चिंताओं और भू-राजनीतिक जोखिमों के बीच लचीला – 30 सितंबर, 2025

वैश्विक वित्तीय बाजार बढ़ते व्यापार तनाव और लगातार भू-राजनीतिक जोखिमों से चिह्नित एक जटिल परिदृश्य को नेविगेट कर रहे हैं, जो 2025 के आगे बढ़ने के साथ सतर्क आशावाद के संकेत दिखा रहे हैं।

क्रिप्टोकरेंसी मार्केट नवाचार का नेतृत्व करते हैं
बिटकॉइन बाजार पूंजीकरण केहिसाब से सबसे बड़ी क्रिप्टोकरेंसी के रूप में अपना दबदबा बनाए हुए है, जबकि एथेरियम ने स्मार्ट कॉन्ट्रैक्ट्स की शुरुआत करके परिदृश्य में क्रांति ला दी है। डीफाई इकोसिस्टम भी मजबूत विकास दिखा रहा है, क्यूबिट डीफाई ने 18.5% की वृद्धि दर्ज की है।

इक्विटी मार्केट में सुधार
शेयर बाजार लचीलापन दिखारहे हैं। अमेरिकी सूचकांकों में सुधार हुआ है, एसएंडपी 500, नैस्डैक और डॉव जोन्स सभी सकारात्मक क्षेत्र में हैं। चीनी बाजार को $700B के प्रोत्साहन पैकेज से महत्वपूर्ण गति मिली है, जिसने सीएसआई 300 को 3.8% की बढ़त दिलाई है। भारतीय बाजार, जिनका प्रतिनिधित्व सेंसेक्स और निफ्टी करते हैं, टैरिफ वाले माहौल के बावजूद ताकत दिखाते हैं।

कमोडिटी और ऊर्जा में स्थिरता
कमोडिटीमजबूत बनी हुई हैं। सोना और चांदी जैसी कीमती धातुओं ने मामूली वृद्धि दर्ज की है, जबकि कच्चे तेल (ब्रेंट क्रूड और डब्ल्यूटीआई) की कीमतों ने भी स्थिरता दिखाई है। प्राकृतिक गैस की आपूर्ति स्थिर बनी हुई है, और तांबे की सूची में तनाव देखा जा रहा है।

बॉन्ड मार्केट में मजबूती और व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट में लचीलापन
फिक्स्ड इनकम में,अमेरिकी 10-वर्षीय ट्रेजरी यील्ड 4.30% पर बनी हुई है। ब्लैकरॉक के BUIDL जैसे फंडों के नेतृत्व में टोकनयुक्त बॉन्ड का विकास जारी है। अमेरिका में व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट सेक्टर उल्लेखनीय लचीलापन दिखा रहा है, संपत्ति की कीमतों में वृद्धि और स्थिर मांग के साथ, विशेष रूप से हरित-प्रमाणित इमारतों और एआई डेटा सेंटर मांग से संचालित स्थानों के लिए। रियल एस्टेट का टोकनीकरण एक नवीन परिसंपत्ति वर्ग के रूप में भी लोकप्रियता हासिल कर रहा है।

भू-राजनीतिक और मौद्रिक नीति संदर्भ
आर्थिक संदर्भ प्रमुख केंद्रीय बैंकोंकी कार्रवाइयों और व्यापार तनावों से प्रभावित है। फेड ब्याज दरें बनाए रखती है, हालांकि बाजार संभावित कटौती की उम्मीद कर रहे हैं। व्यापार तनाव काफी बढ़ गए हैं, अमेरिका द्वारा भारत जैसे देशों पर उच्च टैरिफ लगाए जाने से बाजारों में अनिश्चितता पैदा हुई है। इस बीच, चीन अपने विकास को मजबूत करने के लिए पर्याप्त राजकोषीय प्रोत्साहन लागू कर रहा है, और भारत मजबूत आर्थिक प्रदर्शन जारी रखे हुए है।

पूर्वानुमान और निवेशकों के लिए निहितार्थ
बाजार कीसमग्र भावना सतर्क आशावाद की है। निवेशक केंद्रीय बैंकों, विशेष रूप से फेड के संकेतों पर बारीकी से नजर गड़ाए हुए हैं, जो भविष्य की ब्याज दर की दिशा के बारे में हैं। जबकि बड़ी अर्थव्यवस्थाओं में प्रोत्साहन और व्यावसायिक रियल एस्टेट और स्वच्छ ऊर्जा जैसे क्षेत्रों की लचीलापन अवसर प्रदान करते हैं, टैरिफ से उत्पन्न मुद्रास्फीति जोखिम और लगातार भू-राजनीतिक अनिश्चितता सतर्क जोखिम प्रबंधन की मांग करती है। निवेशकों को क्रिप्टो ETF प्रवाह, टोकनयुक्त संपत्तियों के विकास और भू-राजनीतिक घटनाक्रमों की बारीकी से निगरानी करने की सलाह दी जाती है।

Executive Summary (English)

Global financial markets show cautious optimism amid trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Crypto markets surge, equities recover, commodities remain steady, bonds hold firm, and commercial real estate stays resilient, supported by clean energy investments and tokenized assets.

Key Market Movements

• Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin at $119,500 (+2.1%), with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi up 18.5% with $3.2B TVL; VINE token up 2.0%. Crypto derivatives at $12.5T.
• Equities: U.S. markets recover, with S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). China’s CSI 300 gains 3.8% on $700B stimulus. India’s Sensex at 83,500 (+0.6%) and Nifty at 25,350 (+0.3%) resilient despite tariffs.
• Commodities & Energy: Gold at $3,450/oz (+0.2%), silver at $39.00/oz (+0.2%), palladium up 0.8%. Brent crude at $72.50/barrel (+0.2%), WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2%), natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). Copper inventories tight.
• Bonds: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30% (+0.01%), tokenized bonds at $4.0B led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. High-yield inflows at $260M.
• Commercial Real Estate: U.S. property prices up 5.5% year-on-year, office occupancy at 6.9% in Q2 2025. Tokenized real estate at $4.3B on Ethereum/Polymath.

Economic and Geopolitical Context

• China: $700B stimulus supports 4.3% growth target, property weakness persists.
• India: Q4 FY25 GDP at 7.2%, FY26 forecast at 6.2%. Rupee at ₹88.00, steady despite U.S. 50% tariffs.
• U.S.: Fed holds rates at 4.25%–4.5%, September cut odds at 90%. Trump’s 50% tariffs on India, 100% on semiconductors escalate tensions. U.S.-India oil trade disputes intensify.
• UK: CPI at 3.8% YoY in July.
• Global: EU’s $84B retaliatory tariffs advance. Dollar Index at 100.7, euro at $1.155 (+0.09%). Geopolitical risks from Russia’s Kyiv attack, Iran sanctions, Thai PM dismissal, Texas voting map redraw.

Investment Highlights
Clean energy investments strong: JSW Energy’s 2,400 MW solar-wind deal, SJVN’s 3,000 MW hydro project, Petronas’ $4.7B Indonesian LNG, Ørsted’s €3.5B German offshore wind. Commercial real estate benefits from AI data center demand and green-certified buildings (10.6% demand growth). Tokenized assets (bonds at $4.0B, real estate at $4.3B) reflect blockchain growth.

Outlook
Markets anticipate Fed rate cut signals; tariff inflation and trade tensions pose risks. China’s stimulus and India’s resilience provide stability, while commercial real estate and clean energy offer opportunities. Monitor crypto ETF flows, tokenized assets, and geopolitics.

Source: Powered by Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch. Subscribe at patreon.com/berndpulch. Explore Nacktes Geld podcast.

Investment Digest: Crypto Surges, Equities Recover, Commodities Steady, Bonds Firm, and Commercial Real Estate Resilient Amid Tariff Concerns and Geopolitical Risks – September 30, 2025

Zusammenfassung für Führungskräfte (Deutsch)

Die globalen Finanzmärkte zeigen vorsichtigen Optimismus inmitten von Handelsspannungen und geopolitischen Risiken. Krypto-Märkte gewinnen an Schwung, Aktien erholen sich, Rohstoffe bleiben stabil, Anleihen halten stand, und Gewerbeimmobilien bleiben widerstandsfähig, unterstützt durch Investitionen in erneuerbare Energien und tokenisierte Vermögenswerte.

Wichtige Marktentwicklungen

• Kryptowährungen: Bitcoin bei $119,500 (+2.1%), mit $340M ETF-Zuflüssen. Ethereum bei $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP bei $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana bei $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi +18.5% mit $3.2B TVL; VINE Token +2.0%. Krypto-Derivate bei $12.5T.
• Aktien: U.S.-Märkte erholen sich, S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). Chinas CSI 300 +3.8% auf $700B-Stimulus. Indiens Sensex bei 83,500 (+0.6%) und Nifty bei 25,350 (+0.3%) trotz Zöllen widerstandsfähig.
• Rohstoffe & Energie: Gold bei $3,450/oz (+0.2%), Silber bei $39.00/oz (+0.2%), Palladium +0.8%. Brent crude bei $72.50/barrel (+0.2%), WTI crude bei $69.20/barrel (+0.2%), Erdgas bei $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). Kupferbestände knapp.
• Anleihen: U.S. 10-Jahres-Treasury-Renditen bei 4.30% (+0.01%), tokenisierte Anleihen bei $4.0B von BlackRock’s BUIDL. High-Yield-Zuflüsse bei $260M.
• Gewerbeimmobilien: U.S. Immobilienpreise +5.5% jährlich, Bürobelegung bei 6.9% im Q2 2025. Tokenisierte Immobilien bei $4.3B auf Ethereum/Polymath.

Wirtschaftlicher und geopolitischer Kontext

• China: $700B-Stimulus unterstützt 4.3% Wachstumsziel, Immobilien-Schwäche anhaltend.
• Indien: Q4 FY25 BIP bei 7.2%, FY26-Prognose bei 6.2%. Rupie bei ₹88.00, stabil trotz U.S. 50% Zöllen.
• U.S.: Fed hält Zinssätze bei 4.25%–4.5%, September-Senkungswahrscheinlichkeit bei 90%. Trumps 50% Zölle auf Indien, 100% auf Halbleiter eskalieren Spannungen. U.S.-Indien-Ölhandel-Streitigkeiten nehmen zu.
• UK: CPI bei 3.8% YoY im Juli.
• Global: EU’s $84B Vergeltungszölle voranschreitend. Dollar-Index bei 100.7, Euro bei $1.155 (+0.09%). Geopolitische Risiken durch Russlands Kiew-Angriff, Iran-Sanktionen, Thai PM-Entlassung, Texas-Wahlkarte.

Investitions-Highlights
Erneuerbare Energien stark: JSW Energys 2,400 MW Solar-Wind-Deal, SJVNs 3,000 MW Hydro-Projekt, Petronas’ $4.7B Indonesien-LNG, Ørsteds €3.5B deutsches Offshore-Wind. Gewerbeimmobilien profitieren von KI-Datenzentren und grünen Gebäuden (10.6% Nachfragewachstum). Tokenisierte Vermögenswerte (Anleihen bei $4.0B, Immobilien bei $4.3B) zeigen Blockchain-Wachstum.

Ausblick
Märkte erwarten Signale für Zinssenkungen; Zoll-Inflation und Handelsspannungen bergen Risiken. Chinas Stimulus und Indiens Widerstandsfähigkeit bieten Stabilität, während Gewerbeimmobilien und erneuerbare Energien Chancen bieten. Überwachen Sie Krypto-ETF-Zuflüsse, tokenisierte Vermögenswerte und Geopolitik.

Quelle: Powered by Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch. Abonnieren Sie bei patreon.com/berndpulch. Erkunden Sie den Podcast Nacktes Geld.

Investment Digest: Crypto Surges, Equities Recover, Commodities Steady, Bonds Firm, and Commercial Real Estate Resilient Amid Tariff Concerns and Geopolitical Risks – September 30, 2025

Key Points

• Crypto Markets Surge: Bitcoin at $119,500 (+2.1% from $117,000) with $340M ETF inflows, per Cointelegraph. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8% from $4,712), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6% from $3.18) post-Mastercard deal, Solana at $210.00 (+0.5% from $208.95). Qubit DeFi up 18.5% in TVL, VINE token up 2.0%. Posts on X show strong bullish sentiment for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
• Derivatives Volume Grows: Crypto derivatives at $12.5T, Solana futures up 8.0%, XRP futures at $5.0B open interest. US Bancorp’s Bitcoin custody with NYDIG expands.
• Equities Recover: S&P 500 at 6,450 (+0.5% from 6,418), Nasdaq at 21,150 (+0.6% from 21,023) driven by Broadcom’s OpenAI deal, Dow at 44,600 (+0.3% from 44,467), per Reuters. CSI 300 up 3.8% on China’s stimulus. Sensex at 83,500 (+0.6% from 83,000), Nifty at 25,350 (+0.3% from 25,280). Weak U.S. jobs report lingers.
• Commodities Steady: Gold at $3,450/oz (+0.2% from $3,443) on Fed rate cut bets, silver at $39.00/oz (+0.2% from $38.92), palladium up 0.8%. Brent crude at $72.50/barrel (+0.2% from $72.36), WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2% from $69.06), natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2% from $3.17) with OPEC+ talks stable, per WSJ Markets.
• Bonds Firm: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30% (+0.01% from 4.29%) post-jobs data. Tokenized bonds at $4.0B, led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. Municipal bond yields at 4.15%, high-yield inflows at $260M.
• Commercial Real Estate Resilient: U.S. property prices up 5.5% year-on-year, office occupancy at 6.9% in Q2 2025. Tokenized real estate at $4.3B, driven by Ethereum/Polymath platforms.
• China’s Stimulus Continues: PBOC’s $700B injection sustains CSI 300 (+3.8%). China’s $150B telecom/biotech plan expands.
• Indian Markets Resilient: Sensex at 83,500 (+0.6%), Nifty at 25,350 (+0.3%) despite U.S. 50% tariffs. Indian rupee at ₹88.00.
• Trade Tensions Persist: Trump’s 50% tariffs on India, 100% on semiconductors, 30% on EU/Mexico/Brazil fuel volatility. EU’s $84B retaliatory plan advances. U.S.-India oil trade tensions intensify, per X posts.
• UK Inflation Stable: UK CPI at 3.8% YoY in July, per X posts.
• Geopolitical Risks Heighten: Russia’s Kyiv drone attack escalates, Iran sanctions talks falter, Thai PM dismissal unresolved, Texas voting map redraw sparks debate, per X posts.

Courtesy of Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch, exposing elite tax havens and banking corruption. Subscribe for exclusive leaks at patreon.com/berndpulch.

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Global Markets: Crypto, Derivatives, Equities, Commodities, Bonds, and Real Estate

Bitcoin surges to $119,500 (+2.1%) with $340M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP at $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana at $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi up 18.5%. Crypto derivatives at $12.5T. Equities recover, with S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). Commodities firm, with gold ($3,450/oz, +0.2%) and Brent crude ($72.50/barrel, +0.2%) up. Energy prices stable, with WTI crude at $69.20/barrel (+0.2%) and natural gas at $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.30%, tokenized bonds at $4.0B. Commercial real estate resilient, with office demand at 6.9% and tokenized assets at $4.3B. China’s $700B stimulus lifts CSI 300 (+3.8%). Indian markets resilient despite tariffs. Explore more in the podcast Nacktes Geld.

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Investment Highlights

Bitcoin at $114,000 (+1.7%) with $325M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,600 (+0.4%), XRP at $3.14 (+0.3%), Solana at $206.50 (+0.1%). Qubit DeFi up 17.3% with $3.1B TVL. JSW Energy secures 2,600 MW solar-wind deal. SJVN advances 3,200 MW hydro project. Petronas invests $4.9B in Indonesian LNG. Ørsted expands €3.6B German offshore wind project. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.28%. Commercial real estate resilient, with tokenized assets at $4.2B. OYO’s $7-8B IPO set for November. Ondo Finance’s tokenized U.S. stocks/ETFs gain traction on Ethereum. US Bancorp’s Bitcoin custody with NYDIG progresses. Broadcom’s $10B OpenAI deal boosts Nasdaq.

Property Market Updates

Mumbai’s housing sales at 2,08,500 units in H1 2025. Germany’s rents up 11.9% in Q2 2025, Berlin at 14.1%. U.S. home prices up 5.0% year-on-year, mortgage rates at 6.03%. Dubai’s luxury market grows 51% pre-Expo 2025, with Bitcoin options trading expanding. Canberra’s rents rise 15.4%. Singapore’s green buildings attract $6.0B. U.S. commercial property prices up 5.4%, office demand at 6.8% in Q2 2025. Tokenized real estate at $4.2B via Ethereum/Polymath. HDB Financial IPO advances. Nomura holds reduce rating on Godrej Properties at ₹2,075.

Commercial Real Estate Trends

U.S. commercial real estate resilient, with office occupancy at 6.8% in Q2 2025, driven by AI data center demand. Industrial properties up 8.3% in value, e-commerce fueling growth. Retail vacancy rates at 4.3%. Tokenized real estate at $4.2B, with platforms like Polymath and Ethereum enabling crypto deals. Christie’s crypto-backed property transactions grow. High interest rates (6.03% for commercial mortgages) pressure valuations, but green-certified buildings see 10.7% demand growth. New York and San Francisco premium office rents up 6.4%. A $465M Florida office bond holds steady. Demand for industrial space softens.

Stock Market Trends

Indian markets resilient, with Sensex at 83,050 (+0.06%) and Nifty at 25,290 (+0.04%). U.S. markets mixed, with S&P 500 at 6,390 (+0.16%), Nasdaq at 20,970 (+0.10%), Dow at 44,460 (+0.02%) post-PPI. CSI 300 gains 3.5%. Gold at $3,410/oz (+0.15%), silver at $38.60/oz (+0.13%), Brent crude at $71.90/barrel (+0.14%). Indian rupee at ₹88.10. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.28%, high-yield inflows at $250M.

Crypto and Derivatives Trends

Bitcoin at $114,000 (+1.7%) with $325M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,600 (+0.4%) with $495M inflows. XRP at $3.14 (+0.3%) holds $4.5B futures open interest post-Mastercard. Solana at $206.50 (+0.1%), futures volume up 7.3%. Qubit DeFi up 17.3% with $3.1B TVL. VINE token up 1.6%. Crypto derivatives at $12.1T. Dubai Bitcoin options expand. Posts on X bullish for XRP/Solana.

Commodities and Energy Trends

Gold at $3,410/oz (+0.15%), silver at $38.60/oz (+0.13%), palladium up 0.7%. Brent crude at $71.90/barrel (+0.14%), WTI crude at $68.70/barrel (+0.15%), natural gas at $3.14/MMBtu (+0.32%) with stable Middle East supply. Copper inventories tight. Tether USDT/Monero integration in $1B agribusiness deal.

Bonds Market Trends

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.28% (-0.01%) post-jobs revisions (911K fewer jobs through March). High-yield inflows at $250M. Tokenized bonds at $3.8B on Ethereum/Polygon, led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. Municipal yields 4.13%, infrastructure steady. Posts on X highlight tariff inflation risks.

Economic Outlook

China targets 4.3% growth with $700B stimulus, property weakness persists. India’s Q4 FY25 GDP at 7.2%, FY26 forecast at 6.2%. U.S. Fed holds rates at 4.25%–4.5%, September cut odds at 90% post-Powell speech and weak jobs (22K added, revisions -911K). Trump’s 50% tariffs on India, 100% on semiconductors, 30% on EU/Mexico/Brazil escalate tensions. EU’s $84B retaliatory plan advances. U.S.-India oil tensions over Russia intensify. UK CPI at 3.8% YoY in July. U.S. Dollar Index at 100.3, euro at $1.159 (+0.09%). Geopolitical risks from Russia’s Kyiv attack, stalled Iran sanctions, Thai PM dismissal, Texas voting map redraw add volatility.

Comprehensive Analysis

This Investment Digest for September 11, 2025, powered by Investment The Original by Bernd Pulch, compiles global investment news as of 7:45 PM CEST. Bitcoin surges to $114,000 (+1.7%) with $325M ETF inflows. Ethereum at $4,600 (+0.4%), XRP at $3.14 (+0.3%), Solana at $206.50 (+0.1%). Qubit DeFi up 17.3%. Crypto derivatives at $12.1T. Equities mixed, with S&P 500 (+0.16%), Nasdaq (+0.10%), Dow (+0.02%) post-PPI. Commodities firm, with gold ($3,410/oz, +0.15%) and Brent crude ($71.90/barrel, +0.14%) up. Energy prices stable, with WTI crude at $68.70/barrel (+0.15%) and natural gas at $3.14/MMBtu (+0.32%). U.S. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.28%, tokenized bonds at $3.8B. Commercial real estate resilient, with office demand at 6.8% and tokenized assets at $4.2B. Indian markets steady despite U.S. 50% tariffs. China’s $700B stimulus lifts CSI 300 by 3.5%. UK CPI at 3.8% YoY in July. Clean energy investments, like Ørsted’s €3.6B project, signal resilience. Geopolitical risks from Russia, Iran, Thailand, and Texas add volatility. Subscribe to patreon.com/berndpulch for leaks. Explore Nacktes Geld podcast.

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Resumen de Inversiones: Criptomonedas Se Disparan, Acciones Se Recuperan, Materias Primas Estables, Bonos Firmes e Inmuebles Comerciales Resilientes ante Preocupaciones por Aranceles y Riesgos Geopolíticos – 30 de Septiembre de 2025

Resumen Ejecutivo

Los mercados financieros globales muestran un optimismo cauteloso en medio de tensiones comerciales y riesgos geopolíticos. Los mercados de criptomonedas se disparan, las acciones se recuperan, las materias primas se mantienen estables, los bonos se mantienen firmes y los inmuebles comerciales muestran resiliencia, apoyados por inversiones en energías limpias y activos tokenizados.

Movimientos Clave del Mercado

· Criptomonedas: Bitcoin en $119,500 (+2.1%), con entradas a ETF de $340M. Ethereum en $4,750 (+0.8%), XRP en $3.20 (+0.6%), Solana en $210.00 (+0.5%). Qubit DeFi sube 18.5% con TVL de $3.2B; token VINE sube 2.0%. Derivados de cripto en $12.5T.
· Acciones: Los mercados de EEUU se recuperan, con S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq (+0.6%), Dow (+0.3%). El CSI 300 de China gana 3.8% gracias a un estímulo de $700B. El Sensex de India en 83,500 (+0.6%) y el Nifty en 25,350 (+0.3%) se muestran resilientes a pesar de los aranceles.
· Materias Primas & Energía: Oro en $3,450/oz (+0.2%), plata en $39.00/oz (+0.2%), paladio sube 0.8%. Brent Crude en $72.50/barril (+0.2%), WTI Crude en $69.20/barril (+0.2%), gas natural en $3.20/MMBtu (+0.2%). Inventarios de cobre ajustados.
· Bonos: Rendimientos del Bono del Tesoro de EEUU a 10 años en 4.30% (+0.01%), bonos tokenizados en $4.0B liderados por BUIDL de BlackRock. Entradas de alto rendimiento en $260M.
· Inmuebles Comerciales: Precios de propiedades en EEUU suben 5.5% interanual, ocupación de oficinas en 6.9% en Q2 2025. Inmuebles tokenizados en $4.3B en Ethereum/Polymath.

Contexto Económico y Geopolítico

· China: Un estímulo de $700B apoya el objetivo de crecimiento del 4.3%, la debilidad del sector inmobiliario persiste.
· India: PIB del Q4 FY25 en 7.2%, previsión para FY26 en 6.2%. Rupia en ₹88.00, estable a pesar de los aranceles del 50% de EEUU.
· EE.UU.: La Fed mantiene las tasas en 4.25%–4.5%, la probabilidad de un recorte en septiembre es del 90%. Los aranceles del 50% de Trump a India, y del 100% a semiconductores, escalan las tensiones. Las disputas comerciales de petróleo entre EEUU e India se intensifican.
· UK: IPC en 3.8% interanual en julio.
· Global: Avanzan los aranceles retaliatorios de $84B de la UE. Índice Dólar en 100.7, euro en $1.155 (+0.09%). Riesgos geopolíticos por el ataque de Rusia a Kyiv, sanciones a Irán, destitución del Primer Ministro tailandés, rediseño del mapa electoral de Texas.

Destacados de Inversión
Inversiones en energías limpias son fuertes:el acuerdo solar-eólico de 2,400 MW de JSW Energy, el proyecto hidroeléctrico de 3,000 MW de SJVN, la inversión de $4.7B de Petronas en LNG en Indonesia, el proyecto eólico marino alemán de €3.5B de Ørsted. Los inmuebles comerciales se benefician de la demanda de centros de datos de IA y edificios con certificación verde (crecimiento de la demanda del 10.6%). Los activos tokenizados (bonos en $4.0B, inmuebles en $4.3B) reflejan el crecimiento de la blockchain.

Perspectiva
Los mercados anticipan señales de recortes de tasas de la Fed;la inflación por aranceles y las tensiones comerciales suponen riesgos. El estímulo de China y la resiliencia de India proporcionan estabilidad, mientras que los inmuebles comerciales y las energías limpias ofrecen oportunidades. Monitorice los flujos de ETFs de cripto, los activos tokenizados y la geopolítica.

Fuente: Con la tecnología de Investment The Original por Bernd Pulch. Suscríbase en patreon.com/berndpulch. Explore el podcast Nacktes Geld.

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Resumen de Inversiones: Criptomonedas Se Disparan, Acciones Se Recuperan, Materias Primas Estables, Bonos Firmes e Inmuebles Comerciales Resilientes ante Preocupaciones por Aranceles y Riesgos Geopolíticos – 30 de Septiembre de 2025

Los mercados financieros globales están navegando por un panorama complejo marcado por tensiones comerciales en escalada y riesgos geopolíticos persistentes, mostrando signos de optimismo cauteloso a medida que avanza 2025.

Los Mercados de Criptomonedas Lideran con Innovación
Bitcoin mantiene su dominio como la criptomoneda más grande por capitalización de mercado,mientras que Ethereum ha revolucionado el panorama con la introducción de contratos inteligentes. El ecosistema DeFi también muestra un crecimiento robusto, con Qubit DeFi registrando una ganancia del 18.5%.

Recuperación en los Mercados de Equities
Los mercados de valores muestran resiliencia.Los índices estadounidenses se recuperan, con el S&P 500, el Nasdaq y el Dow Jones todos en territorio positivo. El mercado chino recibe un impulso significativo de un paquete de estímulo de $700B, que impulsa al CSI 300 a una ganancia del 3.8%. Los mercados indios, representados por el Sensex y el Nifty, también demuestran fortaleza a pesar del entorno arancelario.

Estabilidad en Materias Primas y Energía
Los commodities se mantienen firmes.Los metales preciosos como el oro y la plata registran ganancias modestas, mientras que los precios del petróleo (Brent Crude y WTI) también muestran estabilidad. La oferta de gas natural se mantiene estable, y se observa una tensión en los inventarios de cobre.

Firmeza en el Mercado de Bonos y Resiliencia en Inmuebles Comerciales
En renta fija,los rendimientos del Tesoro estadounidense a 10 años se mantienen en 4.30%. Continúa el crecimiento de los bonos tokenizados, liderados por fondos como el BUIDL de BlackRock. El sector de inmuebles comerciales en EE. UU. muestra una notable resiliencia, con un aumento en los precios de las propiedades y una demanda sostenida, particularmente para edificios con certificación verde y espacios impulsados por la demanda de centros de datos de IA. La tokenización de bienes raíces también gana tracción como una clase de activo innovadora.

Contexto Geopolítico y de Política Monetaria
El contexto económico está dominado por las acciones de los principales bancos centrales y las tensiones comerciales.La Fed mantiene las tasas de interés, aunque los mercados anticipan posibles recortes. Las tensiones comerciales se han intensificado significativamente, con la imposición de altos aranceles por parte de EE. UU. a países como India, lo que ha generera incertidumbre en los mercados. Mientras tanto, China implementa un estímulo fiscal sustancial para apuntalar su crecimiento, e India continúa mostrando un sólido desempeño económico.

Perspectiva e Implicaciones para los Inversores
El sentimiento general del mercado es de optimismo cauteloso.Los inversores están atentos a las señales de los bancos centrales, particularmente la Fed, respecto a la futura trayectoria de las tasas de interés. Si bien los estímulos en grandes economías y la resiliencia de sectores como los inmuebles comerciales y las energías limpias ofrecen oportunidades, los riesgos inflacionarios derivados de los aranceles y la persistente incertidumbre geopolítica requieren una gestión de riesgo vigilante. Se recomienda a los inversores monitorear de cerca los flujos de ETFs de cripto, la evolución de los activos tokenizados y los desarrollos geopolíticos.

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קישורים רשמיים ותרומות

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אתרי מראה: wxwxxxpp.manus.space | googlefirst.org
וידאו Rumble: צפה כאן
Patreon: patreon.com/berndpulch

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🎥 וידאו מומלץ https://rumble.com/embed/v5ey0z9/?pub=4

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🇮🇹 Italiano

🚨 Sito bloccato? Usa specchi disponibili:
👉 https://wxwxxxpp.manus.space | https://googlefirst.org

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Link ufficiali & Donazioni

Sito principale: http://www.berndpulch.org
Specchi: wxwxxxpp.manus.space | googlefirst.org
Video Rumble: Guarda qui
Patreon: patreon.com/berndpulch

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🎥 Video https://rumble.com/embed/v5ey0z9/?pub=4

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🇵🇹 Português

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👉 https://wxwxxxpp.manus.space | https://googlefirst.org

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Links oficiais & Doações

Site principal: http://www.berndpulch.org
Espelhos: wxwxxxpp.manus.space | googlefirst.org
Vídeo Rumble: Assista aqui
Patreon: patreon.com/berndpulch

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🎥 Vídeo https://rumble.com/embed/v5ey0z9/?pub=4

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🇷🇺 Русский

🚨 Сайт заблокирован? Зеркала доступны здесь:
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Официальные ссылки и пожертвования

Основной сайт: http://www.berndpulch.org
Зеркальные сайты: wxwxxxpp.manus.space | googlefirst.org
Видео на Rumble: Смотреть здесь
Patreon: patreon.com/berndpulch

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🎥 Видео https://rumble.com/embed/v5ey0z9/?pub=4

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