📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST — 08 DECEMBER 2025 ✌️
Founded 2000 A.D. — Bernd Pulch — Investment: The Original
📍 patreon.com/berndpulch ✨

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🕘 MARKET PULSE (approx. 08:30 AM ET / 12:30 UTC)
Major indices mixed as markets digest surprise weak private payrolls and await delayed PCE data and next week’s FOMC. Risk tone cautious — holiday volumes thin, headlines (geopolitics & tariffs) keep flows selective.

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1. 📊 EQUITIES — mixed; labour print shifts probabilities

• S&P 500 (USA): ~6,870 (-0.2% intraday) — modest profit-taking after the prior run; breadth thin.
• Nasdaq Composite: ~23,580 (+0.3%) — tech resilience continues to underpin market tone.
• DAX (Germany): ~23,840–24,100 area (regional PMIs and flows driving modest gains).
  Comment: delayed September PCE (today) + Fed communication next week are the dominant catalysts — positioning is cautious and tactical.

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2. 💱 FX, YIELDS & COMMODITIES — dollar soft, yields steady, gold up

• EUR/USD: trading near 1.16 (softening dollar supportive).
• DXY: ~100.4 (mildly lower on Fed-cut repricing).
• US 10-yr yield: ~4.1% (holding in narrow range as markets price a high chance of easing).
• Gold (spot): ~$4,210–$4,216/oz — bid visible as rate-cut odds rise and dollar eases.

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3. ⚡ CRYPTO — measured rebound, ETF flows noticeable

• Bitcoin: trading ~$91k (selective institutional accumulation; flows into ETFs turned positive in recent sessions).
• Ethereum: mid-$3k area — staking demand and DeFi activity steady.
  Comment: leverage/liquidations remain a risk; manage size and stops.

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4. 📰 KEY DRIVERS & ECONOMIC CONTEXT

• ADP payrolls: private payrolls surprised to the downside (-32k in November) — a meaningful soft signal that pushed Fed-cut odds higher.
• PCE (delayed September release) today — market will re-weigh Fed timing based on these prints; next Tuesday FOMC/Powell is the obvious event risk.
• Corporate headlines: Mixed Q4 preannouncements — consumer discretionary shows bifurcation (home big-ticket softness vs. pockets of resilience).
• Geopolitics: Iran-Israel frictions + Russia-Ukraine stalemate keep oil/gold volatility on the table.

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5. 📈 WHAT WE’RE WATCHING (TRADE MAP)

• Short term: defend gains — trim high-beta exposure; use tactical OW to quality cyclicals & select banks.
• Hedges: small gold miners + short-dated Treasuries as volatility insurance.
• Opportunities: selective dip buys in resilient AI/tech names if PCE confirms disinflation; small tactical crypto exposure with tight risk controls.

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6. 🔒 ABOUT — PATREON & BERND PULCH (SUBSCRIBER OFFER)
   Investment: The Original (Bernd Pulch) provides verified, data-driven digests, real-time flow commentary and proprietary models. On Patreon (patreon.com/berndpulch) patrons get:

• Full intraday flow heatmaps (equities, bonds, gold, crypto)
• Fed-Cut Probability models and sensitivity tables
• Gold demand matrix & miner screening lists
• Crypto risk dashboard (OI, funding, whale flows)
• Early access to special intelligence briefs & monthly Q&A sessions

Support independent market intelligence — patron packs contain charts and copy-ready briefs for professional use. 🔐✨

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🇩🇪 INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL — DIGEST — 08. DEZEMBER 2025 ✌️
Gegründet 2000 A.D. — Bernd Pulch — patreon.com/berndpulch 🎯

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🕘 MARKTPULS (ca. 14:30 MESZ)
Gemischter Handel — US-Indizes leicht unter Druck; Fokus auf verspäteten September-PCE-Daten und der FOMC-Woche. Positionierung defensiv-taktisch.

1. 📊 AKTIEN

• S&P 500: ~6.870 (-0,2%)
• Nasdaq: ~23.580 (+0,3%)
• DAX: im Bereich 23.800–24.100 (moderate Gewinne)
  Kommentar: Gewinnmitnahmen im S&P, Tech-Resilienz stützt Nasdaq; PCE entscheidet nächste größere Bewegungsrichtung.

2. 💱 DEVISEN / RENDITEN / ROHSTOFFE

• EUR/USD: ~1,16; DXY: ~100,4; US-10J: ~4,1% — Renditen in enger Range.
• Gold: ~4.210–4.216 USD/oz — Stärke sichtbar bei fallenden Realrenditen.

3. ⚡ KRYPTO

• Bitcoin: rund 91.000 USD — ETF-Zuflüsse verstärken selektive Akkumulation; Hebel-Risiken bleiben.

4. 📰 TREIBER

• ADP: -32.000 private Jobs im November (Warnsignal).
• PCE heute, FOMC nächste Woche — beides zentrale Treiber.

5. 🧭 TAKTISCHE AUSSICHT

• Kurzfristig defensiv; OW Qualität & Gold; selektive Chancen in Tech bei Bestätigung der Disinflation.

6. 🔐 PATREON-ABSCHNITT (AUSZUG)
   Patrons erhalten Full-Pack: Flow-Heatmaps, Fed-Cut Modell, Gold-Matrix, Crypto-Dashboard und Trade-Setups. 👉 patreon.com/berndpulch ✨

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Sources (key): ADP report; market wrap and index closes (Zacks/Nasdaq reporting); Reuters & market wires on gold; Barron’s/market wires on bitcoin flows and institutional buys.

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