Category: TAIWAN

War Drums Beat ๐Ÿ˜ฑ: Europeโ€™s 2027 Deadline โฐ, Russiaโ€™s Edge โš”๏ธ, and U.S. China Clash Loom ๐ŸŒ

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โ€œWar drums echo louder: Europe races against a 2027 clock, Russia sharpens its edge, and U.S.-China tensions edge closer to flashpoint. The world holds its breathโ€”are we watching history repeat, or rewrite itself? ๐ŸŒโš”๏ธ #Geopolitics #GlobalTensionsโ€

โœ… ABOVE TOP SECRET REPORT
๐Ÿ“‚ SOURCE: Open-Source Intelligence & Expert Analysis
๐Ÿ”’ CLEARANCE: COSMIC SHADOW โ€“ PUBLIC ACCESS
๐Ÿ“… DATE: 2025-09-04, 15:07 CEST
๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ DISTRIBUTION: UNRESTRICTED // COMPARTMENT PUBLIC RELEASE

๐ŸŸฅ OPERATION “WAR ECHO”

๐Ÿ”ฅ EXPERTS HIGHLIGHT EUROPEโ€™S 2027 DEFENSE PLANS & GLOBAL TENSIONS

๐Ÿงจ EXECUTIVE BRIEFING

This public report, compiled at 15:07 CEST on September 04, 2025, draws from open-source intelligence and expert insights to explore Europeโ€™s defense preparations by 2027, ongoing Russia-Ukraine dynamics, the recent Israel-Iran conflict resolution, and emerging U.S. strategies toward China. ๐Ÿšจ The analysis offers a broad view of escalating global tensions, informed by accessible data. ๐ŸŒ Emojis highlight key points for emphasis. This briefing provides a laymanโ€™s perspective on the shifting geopolitical landscape. ๐Ÿ•ต๏ธโ€โ™‚๏ธ All details are based on public records.

๐Ÿงพ SECTION 1: EUROPEโ€™S 2027 DEFENSE PUSH

Experts suggest Europe is gearing up for self-defense by 2027, moving up from earlier timelines like 2029. ๐Ÿ“œ Key observations include:

  • Readiness Goal: ๐Ÿš€ Analysts note efforts to strengthen NATO capabilities, addressing current vulnerabilities. ๐Ÿ’ฅ Emojis underscore the focus: ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Defense vs. โš”๏ธ Potential threats.
  • Regional Concerns: ๐ŸŒ Discussions highlight fears of a Russian advance, prompting accelerated military planning.
  • Public Perspective: ๐Ÿ“ฐ The shift to 2027 is seen as a critical deadline for European security.

This reflects a broader trend of heightened preparedness.

๐Ÿ’ต SECTION 2: RUSSIA-UKRAINE STALEMATE

Analysts assess the ongoing Russia-Ukraine situation, noting Russiaโ€™s strong position. โš™๏ธ The conflict continues to shape regional dynamics. ๐Ÿ˜ฑ Key points:

  • Negotiation Tensions: ๐Ÿšจ Experts indicate Russia holds an advantage in potential talks, with Ukraine under pressure. ๐Ÿ’ฐ Emojis illustrate the balance: ๐Ÿ“‰ Strain vs. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Leverage.
  • Military Stance: ๐ŸŒ Observations suggest Russia maintains its offensive, with no immediate de-escalation in sight.
  • Economic Impact: ๐Ÿ“ฐ Predictions warn of energy challenges in Europe if the conflict persists.

This ties to global energy and alliance shifts.

๐Ÿ”— SECTION 3: ISRAEL-IRAN CONFLICT OUTCOME

The recent Israel-Iran warโ€™s swift end has sparked varied interpretations. ๐ŸŒ Analysts offer insights into the resolution. Key points:

  • Differing Views: ๐Ÿš€ Some see Iranโ€™s survival as a win, while others view Israelโ€™s strengthened position as decisive. ๐Ÿ’ฅ Emojis highlight perspectives: ๐Ÿ† Resilience vs. โš”๏ธ Strength.
  • Regional Stability: ๐Ÿ“ฐ Discussions note Israelโ€™s improved security, with no Hamas threat, suggesting a shift in Middle East dynamics.
  • Global Ripple: ๐Ÿ“‰ The outcome may influence broader tensions, including U.S. involvement.

The human toll remains a key concern.

๐Ÿ”ง SECTION 4: U.S. STRATEGIES TOWARD CHINA

Experts speculate on U.S. plans to address Chinaโ€™s rise, potentially involving a 2027 containment effort. ๐ŸŒ This may coincide with increased Ukraine support to divert Russia. Key points:

  • Containment Focus: ๐Ÿš€ Analysts suggest possible economic or naval moves in the South China Sea to curb Chinaโ€™s growth. ๐Ÿ’ฅ Emojis emphasize the strategy: ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Challenge vs. โš”๏ธ Diversion.
  • Ukraine Link: ๐Ÿ“ฐ Discussions hint at heightened U.S. aid to Ukraine to keep Russia occupied, limiting its support for China.
  • Global Risk: ๐Ÿ“‰ Such moves could lead to trade disruptions or oil price increases if tensions escalate.

This reflects a complex balancing act.

๐Ÿ“‰ IMPLICATIONS & OUTLOOK

โš ๏ธ These developments point to a tense future. ๐Ÿ•ณ๏ธ Possible outcomes include:

  • A push for de-escalation through diplomacy.
  • A prolonged stalemate with regional divisions.
  • An escalation risking wider economic fallout.

The situation remains dynamic. ๐Ÿ”„

โ“ UNANSWERED QUESTIONS

  • What drives Europeโ€™s 2027 timeline? ๐Ÿค
  • Will Russia shift its Ukraine strategy? ๐Ÿ˜ฑ
  • How will China respond to U.S. moves? ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ” APPENDIX โ€“ PUBLIC DETAILS

  • Analysis Basis: Open-source reports and expert commentary.
  • Focus Areas: Europeโ€™s defense, Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran, U.S.-China dynamics.

๐Ÿ”— Full Access: Support at https://www.patreon.com/berndpulch for exclusive insights & updates.

๐Ÿงจ #WarEcho #Europe2027 #RussiaUkraine #IsraelIran #ChinaStrategy #BerndPulchOrg

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January 19, 2023U.S.-China RelationsUS-China Trade is Close to a Record, Defying Talk of Decoupling
Trade between the US and China is on track to break records, a signal of resilient links between the worldโ€™s top economies amid the heated national security rhetoric in Washington and fears of โ€œdecoupling.โ€ US government data through November suggest that imports and exports in 2022 will add up to an all-time high, or at least come very close, when the final report comes out Feb. 7. Beijing just published its own full-year figures that show record trade of around $760 billion. Trade between the US and China is on track to break records, a signal of resilient links between the worldโ€™s top economies amid the heated national security rhetoric in Washington and fears of โ€œdecoupling.โ€ US government data through November suggest that imports and exports in 2022 will add up to an all-time high, or at least come very close, when the final report comes out Feb. 7. Beijing just published its own full-year figures that show record trade of around $760 billion. BloombergUS-China Relations Pursue an Ominous Path
In late 2022, Germanyโ€™s domestic intelligence chief, Thomas Haldenwang, put it well: โ€œRussia is the storm,โ€ he told German parliamentarians. โ€œChina is climate change.โ€ Last year was also the first time the US administration acted as if it truly believed that distinction. Though most of president Joe Bidenโ€™s attention was directed at Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in February, his most consequential steps in 2022 targeted China. The uncertainty is no longer about whether US-China decoupling will happen but how far it will go. Much of the answer will become clear in 2023. Financial TimesBlinken to Test Limits of Chinaโ€™s Diplomatic Engagement on Feb 5-6 Beijing Trip
Secretary of State Antony Blinken will meet in Beijing with his counterpart, Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang, on Feb. 5-6, Washington-based diplomats familiar with Blinkenโ€™s travel plans told POLITICO. Blinkenโ€™s much-anticipated China trip is a follow-up to President Joe Bidenโ€™s meeting with Chinaโ€™s paramount leader, Xi Jinping, in Indonesia in November at which Biden pledged to โ€œmaintain open lines of communicationโ€ with Beijing at a time of worsening bilateral tensions. The visit is a test of whether the Biden-Xi meeting has paved the way for more productive U.S.-China ties at a time when the relationship has become increasingly rancorous over issues ranging from Taiwan and trade policy to U.S. concerns about Beijingโ€™s human rights record. PoliticoIndustrial Espionage: How China Sneaks out Americaโ€™s Technology Secrets
According to a Department of Justice (DOJ) indictment, the US citizen hid confidential files stolen from his employers in the binary code of a digital photograph of a sunset, which Mr Zheng then mailed to himself. It was a technique called steganography, a means of hiding a data file within the code of another data file. Mr Zheng utilised it on multiple occasions to take sensitive files from GE. GE is a multinational conglomerate known for its work in the healthcare, energy and aerospace sectors, making everything from refrigerators to aircraft engines. The information Zheng stole was related to the design and manufacture of gas and steam turbines, including turbine blades and turbine seals. Considered to be worth millions, it was sent to his accomplice in China. BBCRussia-China RelationsSouth Africa Confirms Naval Drills with Russia and China     
South Africa on Thursday confirmed plans to conduct joint military exercises with the Russian and Chinese navies off its east coast next month. The South African National Defense Force said the war games were meant to “strengthen the already flourishing relations between South Africa, Russia and China.” It said the exercises would take place in the port cities of Durban and Richards Bay and involve 350 South African soldiers. The drills are being called “Operation Mosi,” which means smoke in Tswana โ€” one of 11 official languages in South Africa. The exercises are set to run from February 17 to 26, a year after Russia invaded Ukraine. DWCCP Foreign InfluenceNavy Intel Chief: China Building for War โ€˜in Every Areaโ€™
Chinaโ€™s military is engaged in an alarming buildup of forces in โ€œevery warfare area,โ€ the chief of Navy intelligence said in recent remarks. โ€œThe military modernization in China in general, not just in the maritime area, is one of the fastest weโ€™ve seen in human history, [and] it goes well beyond what China needs for its defense,โ€ Rear Adm. Michael Studeman told the Intelligence and National Security Alliance, a private group on Jan. 11. โ€œSo, what youโ€™ve seen is a buildup in every warfare area.โ€ Chinese military capabilities now include advanced missiles and other long-range weapons, electronic warfare arms, innovative weapons technology and a blue-water navy armed with large warships and smaller vessels capable of โ€œcoercion around Taiwan,โ€ he said. The Washington TimesBeijingโ€™s BRI Influence over the UN Human Rights Council
As a United Nations Human Rights Council (HRC) member state, China has a responsibility to promote and protect human rights globally. Yet through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Beijing has used economic coercion, inducement, harassment and manipulation to undermine the international human rights framework. This poses a serious threat to the effectiveness of the HRC. Beijing prioritises โ€˜people-centred developmentโ€™ over universally recognised human rights. But Chinaโ€™s high-modernist development at home involves human rights violations that have disempowering impacts on marginalised peoples. This is evident in the Tibet Autonomous Region and in the unfolding genocide in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR). East Asia ForumAfter Zero-COVID ends, Chinese activists Abroad dig in for Long Haul
The newfound political fervor that sent protesters to the streets in China over Beijing’s zero-COVID policy is helping Chinese activists worldwide grow their bases and forge stronger ties with other pro-democracy protesters, organizers based abroad told Axios. AxiosChinese Students made to sign โ€˜Loyalty Pledgesโ€™ to CCP before going to Sweden
Several Swedish universities reportedly discovered that over two dozen doctoral students from China were made to sign an agreement pledging their loyalty to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before arriving in Sweden. Swedish newspaper Dagens Nyheter published a report last week detailing the documents it obtained. The news outlet stated that over 30 students had signed letters before traveling to Sweden through the Chinese Scholarship Council (CSC) run by Chinaโ€™s Ministry of Education, which supports international academic exchange with other universities globally. Yahoo NewsCOVID-19Why China Dumped its โ€˜Zero Covidโ€™ Policy so suddenly โ€“ and disastrously
Up until the last minute before China relaxed three years of severe covid restrictions, officials and state media were hailing the countryโ€™s โ€œunswervingโ€ commitment to a strict containment strategy and the โ€œsignificant advantages of our socialist system.โ€ That same system then witnessed a chaotic reopening, with the abrupt abandonment of lockdowns, mass testing, quarantines and contact tracing. Sick patients have since overwhelmed hospitals, and funeral homes and crematoriums have been mobbed, while relatives outside China scrambled to send basic medications that were suddenly nowhere to be found. The Washington PostChina Announces Lunar New Year Censors Crackdown to Silence Covid โ€˜rumoursโ€™
Chinese cyber authorities have announced an internet censorship crackdown to ensure there are no โ€œgloomy sentimentsโ€ caused by pandemic โ€œrumoursโ€ during the lunar new year festival. It comes as health forecasting firm Airfinity estimated more than 600,000 people have likely died since zero-Covid restrictions were lifted in December โ€“ 10 times more than Chinese authorities have officially declared. The month-long โ€œSpring Festival online improvementโ€ program will target those spreading what authorities deem to be โ€œrumoursโ€ about the spread of Covid and patient experiences. The national cyber administration specified โ€œin-depth rectification of false information and other issues to prevent gloomy sentimentsโ€. The GuardianDavos 2023: Moderna CEO in talks with China to Supply COVID Vaccines
Moderna chief executive Stephane Bancel said on Wednesday the U.S. company was in active discussions to supply COVID-19 vaccines to China. Speaking to Reuters on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos, he said the talks with Beijing also covered the topic of factories, and other products including cancer treatments. “What I really want to understand is how do we help the Chinese government as to what are the needs they have from a healthcare standpoint,” he said. ReutersHong KongThe British Government is Abandoning Jimmy Lai, a British Citizen, to Beijingโ€™s Prisons
The tragic execution of Alireza Akbari in Iran raises serious questions about what more our government should do to help British nationals in trouble with repressive regimes. Right now in Hong Kong, another British national, Jimmy Lai, faces the possibility of spending the remaining years of his life behind bars. The 75 year-old entrepreneur, publisher and pro-democracy campaigner has already been in jail for over three years, on multiple fabricated charges. On Human Rights Day, 10 December, last year, Mr Lai was sentenced to almost six years on trumped-up fraud charges. The TelegraphHong Kong Police Arrest Six for Selling โ€˜Seditiousโ€™ Book at Lunar New Year Fair
Police in Hong Kong have raided a lunar new year shopping fair and arrested six people for selling a โ€œseditiousโ€ book related to the 2019 anti-government protests in a move critics say has spread โ€œterrorโ€ just days before the celebrations. National security officers accused three men and three women, aged between 18 and 62, of producing and publishing โ€œa seditious book about a series of riots that occurred in Hong Kong from June 2019 to February 2020โ€, and selling it in a lunar new year stall in a shopping centre in Mong Kok, a bustling shopping district. Police said they were โ€œmembers of an anti-government organisationโ€ and held them in custody on suspicion of engaging in โ€œacts with seditious intentionโ€. Alan Keung, the founder of the independent news outlet Free HK Media, was among those arrested, local media reported. The GuardianTaiwanTaiwan Foreign Ministry to Continue Keeping Tabs on US-China Exchanges
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) is keeping tabs on high-level exchanges between the U.S. and China, MOFA deputy spokesperson Hsiao Kuang-wei (่•ญๅ…‰ๅ‰) said on Wednesday (Jan. 18). Hsiao made the remark following news that U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is set to visit Beijing in early February to hold talks with Chinese officials. He will be the second U.S. Secretary of State to visit China after then-Secretary of State Mike Pompeo went in October 2018.Hsiao said currently, mutual trust between Taiwan and the U.S. is good and communication channels are open, per CNA. MOFA will continue to maintain close contact with Washington, he added. Taiwan NewsTaiwan to Allow Women into Military Reserve Force Training as China Fears Grow
Taiwanโ€™s military on Tuesday rolled out plans to allow women to volunteer for reserve force training for the first time, as China continues to ramp up military pressure on the democratic self-ruled island. The Taiwanese Defense Ministry said it will allow 220 discharged female soldiers to enroll in the training starting from the second quarter of this year. Maj. Gen. Yu Wen-cheng, from the ministryโ€™s All-Out Defense Mobilization Agency, said the move would be on a trial basis for this year. CNNXinjiangCCP Monitored Tours to Xinjiang wonโ€™t help China. Turkey Talking, More Muslim Nations can Join
As the reports of concentration camps and atrocities of the CCP on Uyghur Muslims appeared in western media, democracies became anxious about the fate of Uyghurs under Xiโ€™s rule. They disapproved of CCPโ€™s policy of cultural aggression. Some western democracies even imposed sanctions on some CCP officials and banned cotton imports from Xinjiangโ€”made by forced labour. A United Nations Human Rights Commission report termed Chinaโ€™s actions as a genocide. On the other hand, China used its economic and political clout over the Islamic world to help Beijing consolidate its voice on the Uyghur issue on global fora, such as the United Nations (UN). A recent example was on 6 October 2022, when most Muslim countries voted against the UN resolution to discuss human rights in Xinjiang in 2023. The PrintThe China Debrief is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.



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THE CHINA DEBRIEF JANUARY-06-2022-ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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U.S.-China Relations
A roadmap for US-China relations in 2023
Chinaโ€™s leaders confront mounting domestic social, economic, and public health-related stresses in 2023. If past is prologue, it is reasonable to expect Chinaโ€™s leaders will respond by seeking to calm their external environment to concentrate on challenges at home. To help counter scrutiny of their domestic governance record, they will want to present an image to their people of being afforded dignity and respect abroad. Nowhere will such symbolism matter more than in the U.S.-China context. How Chinaโ€™s leaders are seen to be managing relations with the United States often is a factor in how their performance is perceived at home. Even as the broadly competitive framework of the U.S.-China relationship is unlikely to change, opportunities may emerge for the United States to advance discrete affirmative priorities with China in the year ahead. Brookings Instituteโ€˜Weโ€™re in a space raceโ€™: NASA sounds alarm at Chinese designs on moon
The US is locked in a space race with China and the country needs to โ€œwatch outโ€ that its rival does not gain a foothold and try to dominate lunar resources, Nasaโ€™s top official has warned. The assessment came from the Nasa administrator, Bill Nelson, a former astronaut and Florida senator, who went on to warn that China could eventually claim to โ€œownโ€ the moonโ€™s resource-rich areas. The contest between the US and China, he added, was intensifying and the next two years could determine which country achieves an advantage. โ€œIt is a fact: weโ€™re in a space race,โ€ Nelson told Politico. โ€œAnd it is true that we better watch out that they donโ€™t get to a place on the moon under the guise of scientific research. And it is not beyond the realm of possibility that they say, โ€˜Keep out, weโ€™re here, this is our territory.โ€™โ€ The GuardianUS Computer Giant Dell to Replace all China-made chips in its products by 2024 amid tensions between Beijing and Washington
Personal computer (PC) giant Dell Technologies plans to stop using China-made semiconductors by 2024 and urged its suppliers to cut down on components sourced from that country amid concerns over escalating tensions between Beijing and Washington. That initiative by Dell, which was ranked by research firm IDC as the worldโ€™s third-largest PC vendor in the third quarter last year, forms part of the Texas-based companyโ€™s efforts to diversify its manufacturing supply chain outside China, according to a report on Thursday by Nikkei Asia, which cited people with direct knowledge of the matter. Dellโ€™s goal is to have all of the chips used in its products, including those produced by foreign suppliers in China, to be sourced from outside the country by 2024, the report said. South China Morning Post
Russia-China Relations
Russia sends more Arctic oil to China, India after sanctions
Russia is sending more crude oil produced in the Arctic region to China and India, and at steeper discounts, after Europe slammed its doors shut on Russian supplies last month, trade sources and data show. Arctic grades Arco, Arco/Novy Port and Varandey do not normally head East but are now finding new homes further afield after the European Union, G7 nations and Australia introduced a price cap on Russian oil in December, on top of an EU embargo on Russian crude by sea. Sellers are selling the Russian crudes at bigger discounts as they absorb higher shipping costs. ReutersExpect the Unexpected in 2023: Cyberattacks and the Next Covid
With the new year upon us, the big worries for global security are pretty obvious. We should be concerned about a springtime escalation in the Russia-Ukraine war, with the potential for Russian leader Vladimir Putin, in increasing desperation, to use a tactical nuclear weapon. While highly unlikely, a nuclear yield could further distort the worldโ€™s military, economic and diplomatic foundations. A second clear danger is a Chinese attack on Taiwan, which would be even more seismic โ€” in regard to everything from a huge impact on the manufacture of high-end microchips to reordering global trading patterns as sanctions are levied against Beijing. US policymakers and analysts will spend a great deal of time anticipating and planning for these dramatic, low-likelihood scenarios. โ€ฆ Yet what things are swimming just beneath the surface that could end up creating unexpected global turmoil? What are we failing to foresee? BloombergChina, Russia to Boost Ties โ€˜At All Levelsโ€™ in 2023 Despite U.S Pressure
Determined to thwart the ongoing efforts of the United States to simultaneously counter both of its top rivals, China and Russia have made a joint resolution to increase their cooperation on a variety of fronts in the New Year. A month and a half after meeting with President Joe Biden on the sidelines of the G20 in a bid to stabilize relations between the two top powers, Chinese President Xi Jinping spoke with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin late last month. While Xi emphasized China’s “objective and just” stance on Russia’s war in Ukraine, a conflict Beijing has refused to condemn or support, both leaders reiterated their desire to further develop ties throughout 2023. Newsweek
CCP Foreign Influence
Japan says it scrambled to monitor Chinese aircraft carrier operations
Japan said on Monday it scrambled jet fighters and dispatched aircraft and warships over the past two weeks to keep tabs on China’s Liaoning aircraft carrier and five warships that conducted naval manoeuvres and flight operations in the Pacific. ReutersChina and Philippines agree to โ€˜manage differencesโ€™ on South China Sea
Chinese leader Xi Jinping and his Philippine counterpart Ferdinand Marcos Jr. have agreed to strengthen economic ties and resume talks on oil exploration, as they look to revive their economies amid the pandemic downturn and friction over contested areas of the South China Sea. Xi met with Marcos Jr. on Wednesday during the Philippine Presidentโ€™s first state visit to Beijing, where the two leaders agreed to โ€œappropriately manage differences,โ€ according to a joint statement released Thursday. CNN
COVID-19
China has under-represented its number of Covid deaths, says WHO
The World Health Organization has accused China of under-representing the severity of its coronavirus outbreak and the real number of deaths, in its strongest rebuke yet of Beijingโ€™s handling of the pandemic. โ€œWe believe the current numbers being published from China under-represent the true impact of the disease in terms of hospital admissions, in terms of ICU [intensive care unit] admissions, particularly in terms of deaths,โ€ Mike Ryan, head of the WHOโ€™s emergencies programme, told reporters on Wednesday. Beijingโ€™s definition of Covid-19 death, which was changed last month, was โ€œtoo narrowโ€, Ryan said, as he called on Beijing to offer greater transparency on the extent of the surge in cases since President Xi Jinping brought an abrupt end to the draconian zero-Covid system of controls. Financial TimesChinaโ€™s Covid generation: the surging inequality behind Xiโ€™s U-turn
In late September, Tashi, a student in a rural village of fewer than 100 people in south-eastern Tibet, returned to school after a six-week lockdown. The 15-year-oldโ€™s grades had deteriorated markedly after weeks of trying to take classes on a smartphone with patchy internet in a crowded house while being cared for by ageing grandparents. His parents were 750km away in Lhasa, the capital, working. โ€œIt was very difficult to concentrate during the lockdown. My three younger siblings were also taking classes in a noisy house,โ€ he says, sitting next to baskets of dried fungi and herbal medicines, which are his villageโ€™s main trade. โ€œNow weโ€™re back at school, Iโ€™m still lagging behind after months of trying. Itโ€™s very demoralising.โ€ Financial Times
Hong Kong
Hong Kong Reopening with China Comes with 60,000 Person Cap
The border between mainland China and Hong Kong will gradually reopen from Sunday, paving the way for a restoration of economic and social ties that have been disrupted for three years. But recovery is likely to be slow, with Hong Kong setting a maximum limit of about 60,000 people allowed to travel into the mainland from the financial hub every day โ€” a fraction of pre-pandemic flows. Those coming from the mainland will also need to show a 48-hour negative PCR test result, while some land border control points, including Lo Wu, will stay shut for now. BloombergHong Kongโ€™s human rights lawyers are fleeing abroad amid an effort to cleanse the city of dissent
Anonymous threats sent by text message and email. GPS tracking devices placed under a car, and Chinese โ€œfuneral moneyโ€ sent to an office. Ambushes by reporters working for state-controlled media. Accusations of disloyalty in the press. These are some of the methods deployed in a campaign of intimidation being waged against lawyers in Hong Kong who take on human rights cases, have criticized a China-imposed national security law or raised alarms about threats to the rule of law. While some of Hong Kongโ€™s leading rights lawyers have been detained in the past two-and-a-half years, many others have become the target of a more insidious effort to cleanse the city of dissent โ€“ part of a wider crackdown by the ruling Communist Party on lawyers across China, say activists, legal scholars and diplomats. Reuters
Taiwan
US to send delegation of trade and economic officials to Taiwan
The US is sending a delegation of trade and economic officials to Taiwan next week, as President Joe Bidenโ€™s administration seeks to bolster the commercial relationship with the country. The Office of the US Trade Representative announced on Wednesday that Terry McCartin, its top official responsible for trade with China, would lead a delegation to Taiwan from January 14-17. The USTR said officials from other government agencies would also be present. Beijing is opposed to a trade initiative between Taipei and Washington. Financial TimesExclusive: Paraguay election race puts Taiwan ties on a knife-edge
Paraguay would cut diplomatic ties with Taiwan and open relations with China if the opposition wins the election in April, its presidential candidate Efrain Alegre told Reuters, hoping to boost soy and beef exports that are its main economic engines. The ruling party candidate, meanwhile, told Reuters he would maintain ties with Taiwan, a self-governed island that China considers one of its provinces and not a county, making the geopolitical question a centerpiece of the election race. Reuters
Xinjiang
Turkey wonโ€™t extradite Uyghurs to China, foreign minister says
Turkeyโ€™s Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said his country will not give in to pressure from China to extradite Uyghurs who have Turkish citizenship, even if it has strained their relationship. โ€œTurkish-Chinese ties have suffered over Beijing being disturbed by our attitude on the Turkic Uyghurs issue,โ€ Cavusoglu told reporters at a year-end press briefing in Ankara on Dec. 29, according to Turkish media reports. โ€œThey have extradition requests for people who are our citizens, who live in Turkey all the time. Therefore, we donโ€™t grant any such requests,โ€ he said. Turkey has been one of the most hospitable countries to Uyghurs, with whom Turks share ethnic, religious and linguistic connections. Roughly 50,000 Uyghurs live in Turkey, forming the largest Uyghur diaspora outside Central Asia. Radio Free Asia

The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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THE CHINA DEBRIEF OCTOBER-21-2022-ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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U.S.-China Relations
Chinese President Xi Jinpingโ€™sย speech on the opening dayย of this weekโ€™s ruling party meeting charts a course for ongoing tense relations with the U.S. hinged to a dark vision of a China beset by โ€œexternal attempts to suppress and containโ€ it. Xiย outlinedย an aggressive foreign policy on Sunday as he detailed his โ€œwork report,โ€ a document that sets out domestic and foreign policy priorities for the Chinese Communist Party for the next five years. โ€œWe will resolutely safeguard the security of Chinaโ€™s state power, systems and ideology โ€” and build up security capacity in key areas,โ€ Xi said. โ€œWe will crack down hard on infiltration, sabotage, subversion, and separatist activities by hostile forces.โ€
The head of the US Navy hasย warnedย that the American military must be prepared for the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan before 2024, as Washington grows increasingly alarmed about the threat to the island. Admiral Mike Gilday, chief of naval operations, said the US had to consider that China could take action against Taiwan much sooner than even the more pessimistic warnings. The debate in the US about when China might invade Taiwan has intensified since Admiral Philip Davidson, then-head of Indo-Pacific Command, told Congress last year that the Chinese military could take action against Taiwan before 2027. Davidsonโ€™s warning was partly downplayed at the time, but officials have intensified their warnings over the past year.โ€
Chinaโ€™s top technology overseerย convenedย a series of emergency meetings over the past week with leading semiconductor companies, seeking to assess the damage from the Biden administrationโ€™sย sweepingย chip restrictions and pledging support for the critical sector. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has summoned executives from firms includingย Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. and supercomputer specialistย Dawning Information Industry Co.ย into closed-door meetings since Washington unveiled measures to contain Chinaโ€™s technological ambitions. MIIT officials appeared uncertain about the way forward and at times appeared to have as many questions as answers for the chipmakers, people familiar with the discussions said.ย 

Russia-China Relations
The defect rate of Chinaโ€™s semiconductor exports to Russiaย surgedย after the country invaded Ukraine in March, when Western sanctions forced Russian companies to source electronics from new suppliers, according to the local news outlet Kommersant. Since the unprecedented wave of sanctions on Russia, 40 per cent of chips imported from China have been defective, while the rate before March was just 2 per cent, Kommersant reported, citing an anonymous source. The report did not name any Chinese suppliers. Russiaโ€™s Ministry of Industry and Trade told Kommersant that it had not received any information about an increase in defective shipments.
The EU isย aimingย to pull 10 south-east Asian states into the Western camp on Russia and China when they meet for their first-ever summit in Brussels on 14 December.ย “We strongly condemn Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, which violates international law and call on Russia to immediately and unconditionally cease its military invasion and withdraw all forces and military equipment from the entire territory of Ukraine,” EU and ASEAN leaders plan to say in a joint declaration.
Russiaย facesย a sharp and prolonged slump in its real income as international sanctions over President Vladimir Putinโ€™s invasion of Ukraine leave deep scars on its economy, according to a study by two Chinese academics. The severing of trade links and access to multinational production may cut real income by almost 12% and result in a โ€œpermanent decline in real gross domestic productโ€ for Russia, Xiayi Du and Zi Wang from Shanghai University of Finance and Economics said in the studyย publishedย in the journal Economics Letters.ย โ€œThis welfare loss is mainly due to losing access to foreign final goods and intermediates,โ€ they said.

CCP Foreign Influence
Germany’s intelligence service chiefsย warnedย on Monday that China could use stakes in critical infrastructure as leverage to pursue political aims amid a debate in Berlin over whether to let Chinese shipping company Cosco invest in Hamburg port. Germany’s Greens-run economy ministryย wants to veto Cosco’s bidย to buy a stake in one of the three terminals in Germany’s most important port, while the Social Democrat (SPD)-run chancellery is more in favour, according to government sources.
Chinaโ€™s President Xi Jinping recentlyย signedย an order to establish a legal framework for conducting โ€œnon-war military operationsโ€ โ€“ more commonly known as โ€œmilitary operations other than warโ€ (MOOTW) โ€“ with the primary goals of preventing challenges to Chinaโ€™s interests from emerging, maintaining national sovereignty and regional stability, and creating standard procedures for regulating the PLAโ€™s (Peopleโ€™s Liberation Army) conduct of these operations. PLA strategists have described Chinaโ€™s non-war military operations abroad as the โ€œsoft useโ€ of โ€œhard power.โ€
In 2019, when my Human Rights Watch colleaguesย visitedย Indonesiaโ€™s capital, Jakarta, they sought meetings with government officials and opinion leaders to encourage them to speak up against the discrimination and abuses suffered by Uyghurs and other Muslims in Xinjiang, China. Instead of an enthusiastic reception, they encountered a wall of silence. While civil society activists expressed concern about Chinese government human rights violations, some Indonesian Muslim leaders criticized the โ€œAmerican mediaโ€ or โ€œWestern organizationsโ€ for mischaracterizing the situation in Xinjiang. Indonesian government officials also didnโ€™t want to address the issue, insisting that what happens to the Uyghurs is a domestic matter for the Chinese authorities. Now this disregard for the Uyghurs has gone from bad to worse.ย 

COVID-19
Reports that a 16-year-old girl hasย diedย in a Covid quarantine centre after pleas from her family for medical help were ignored have caused anger in China, where ongoing tight pandemic controls have started to take their toll on a weary population. The video comes as Communist leaders are meeting in Beijing for their party congress โ€“ the most important meeting of Chinaโ€™s five-year political cycle. Authorities have been under pressure to ensure there are no signs of unrest during the meeting but frustration has broken through. Last week, in a rare protest in Beijing, incendiary slogans against Xi Jinping, including references to anger at strict Covid policies, were hung from a central overpass. The same slogans have begun to appear in other locations.
In many parts of Xi Jinpingโ€™s China, state surveillance and Covid-19 controlsย beginย the moment you step out the door in the morning. The day might start with a government-mandated Covid test from workers in white hazmat suits. Without proof of a negative result, public spaces are off limits, including office buildings, grocery stores and parks. Surveillance cameras keep watch over the city streets. In a cab on the way to work, the driver requires you to scan a QR code for a government database tracking peopleโ€™s movements. Scan again when stopping by Starbucks for coffee and then again at the office. If the database shows youโ€™ve crossed paths with someone infected by the virus, youโ€™ll likely be forced into quarantine.

Hong Kong
The treatment of a Hong Kong protester in Britain who was seen beingย draggedย into the Chinese consulate in Manchester andย beaten on Sundayย has raised concerns about the quashing of dissent outside of Chinese borders. The episode was โ€œabsolutely unacceptableโ€ as the protests were โ€œpeaceful and legal,โ€ Foreign Secretary James Cleverlyย toldย Sky News. โ€œThey were on British soil.โ€

Taiwan
The Biden administration isย consideringย a plan to jointly produce weapons with Taiwan, according to three people familiar with the plan. It aims to increase production capacity for U.S.-designed arms, speed their transfer and strengthen deterrence toward China. “There has been a change in the approach from Beijing toward Taiwan in recent years,” said U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken at an Oct. 17 event in California. “A fundamental decision [has been made] that the status quo was no longer acceptable, and that Beijing was determined to pursue reunification [with Taiwan] on a much faster timeline.” Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to receive an unprecedented third term as leader at the Communist Party’s 20th National Congress, which will continue until Oct. 22, and he may further ratchet up military pressure on Taiwan.

Xinjiang
The Chinese government won an importantย victoryย at the U.N. Human Rights Council on October 6, using its political and economic influence to defeat aย motionย that called for debate on the human rights situation in Xinjiang. The motion failed by aย marginย of two votes, paving the way for a smoothย openingย for the Chinese Communist Partyโ€™s 20th National Congress on October 16. To further shield itself from accountability for the atrocities being committed in Xinjiang, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has worked vigorously to reshape media narratives around the world. Beijingโ€™s efforts to influence media coverage of its human rights violations in Xinjiang include disseminating propaganda through traditional channels like Chinese state media and its diplomatsโ€™ social media accounts, but it has also adopted more covert and coercive tactics, including theย launderingย of its propaganda through more credible local outlets.
British authorities are being taken to court this month after campaignersย tookย legal action over their failure to block imports of cotton made with forced labour in the Xinjiang region of China. The judicial review, being brought by two groups – Global Legal Action Network (GLAN) and World Uyghur Congress (WUC) – and paid for by crowd-funding, is due to be heard in the High Court on Tuesday 25th and Wednesday 26th October.
The company that built the venue for the Qatar 2022 World Cup final alsoย constructedย a prison used in Chinaโ€™s mass detention of Uighurs in Xinjiang province, The Times can reveal. Documents show that China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC), the joint venture partner with Qatar in building the showpiece Lusail stadium, previously worked for the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps.
The China Debrief is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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ENTITYJURISDICTIONLINKED TODATA FROM
CHINA TAIWAN HOLDING LIMITEDSamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
China & Taiwan Business Consulting Corp.Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
China-Taiwan Industrial Holdings LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
The Financial Information Technology of Taiwan, LiNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
FARMERS ASSOCIATION OF TAIWAN LIMITED, THEBahamasBahamas Leaks
BRENCO OF CHINA LIMITEDBahamasBahamas Leaks
China House of Trade LimitedNot identifiedNot identified, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
CHINA HOUSE OF TRADE LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
L.S. Starrett Company of the Dominican RepublicCayman IslandsCayman IslandsParadise Papers
International Auction Co. of China B.V.I.) LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
BUSINESS PROMOTION ASSOCIATION OF CHINA LTD.British Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL BANK OF CHINA LIMITEDSingaporeSingaporeOffshore Leaks
CPCU Institute of Greater China, Ltd.BermudaBermudaParadise Papers
The LOMA Institute of Greater China, Ltd.BermudaBermuda, United StatesParadise Papers
M BUSINESS G. MINSK REPUBLIC OF BELARUS LIMITED COMPANYNiueRussiaPanama Papers
Taiwan FundNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
PKF Taiwan ???????????Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN INDUSTRIAL FOUNDATION INC.British Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
TAIWAN PETROLEUM CO., LTD.British Virgin IslandsTaiwanPanama Papers
BRAL TAIWAN CORPORATIONBahamasTaiwanPanama Papers
TAIWAN SOGO COMPANY LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
TAIWAN TUNES INC.SamoaBelizePanama Papers
TAIWAN TUNES INC.NiueBelizePanama Papers
Taiwan Container Express Inc.British Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
JAS FORWARDING (TAIWAN) LTD.British Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN UNION INVESTMENT CORPORATIONSamoaCayman Islands, SamoaOffshore Leaks
M.FINE (TAIWAN) LTD.British Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN UNION TRADING CORPORATIONSamoaSamoa, Cayman IslandsOffshore Leaks
Goyoyo.com Taiwan LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Cogeneration International CorporationBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Harris Fraser (Taiwan) LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
VILLA MEDICA (TAIWAN) LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Spitze CorporationBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN UNION HOLDING CORPORATIONBritish Virgin IslandsHong Kong, British Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN RICH STRATEGY LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Acceptance (BVI) LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin Islands, Cayman IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN BEST LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
iAdvantage (Taiwan) LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Cummins Taiwan PTE Ltd.Not identifiedBritish Virgin Islands, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
Bios Taiwan CorporationNot identifiedBritish Virgin Islands, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
Ya Show Taiwan LimitedNot identifiedNot identified, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
EMPLOYEECONNECT (TAIWAN) LIMITEDNot identifiedHong Kong, British Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Peregrine Security TaiwanNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
BDO Taiwan Union & CoNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Grace Chen (Taiwan)Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Marubun (B.V.I.) Taiwan, Inc.Not identifiedHong Kong, Not identifiedOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Cogeneration International CorporationNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN UNION (SAMOA) CORPORATIONSamoaSamoa, Cayman IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN REOTEC CO., LTD.SamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Fund Managers LimitedCook IslandsNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Victory Technology Corp.SamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Fund LimitedCook IslandsNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Li & Fung (Taiwan) LimitedNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
BEAUCOM TAIWAN CO., LTD.Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Hengtai Co., LtdSamoaCayman Islands, SamoaOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Coin Selector CorpSamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Ostec Corp.Not identifiedBritish Virgin Islands, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Ostor Corp.Not identifiedNot identified, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
Primasia Securities (Taiwan)Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN TELECOM INTERNATIONAL INC.British Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
TAIWAN FASHION ZIPPER LTD.British Virgin IslandsTaiwanPanama Papers
MUSICKIOS TAIWAN INVESTMENTS LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
TAIWAN SELECT MANAGEMENT LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
TOP FORM (TAIWAN) LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers
TAIWAN TORNADO EUROPE LTD.BahamasBahamas Leaks
ARCO LNG (TAIWAN) LTD.BahamasBahamas Leaks
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Baoley Investment (Taiwan) LimitedCayman IslandsCayman IslandsParadise Papers
Monument Resources (Taiwan) LimitedBermudaBermuda, United KingdomParadise Papers
First Taiwan Holdings Ltd.BermudaBermudaParadise Papers
TAIWAN ANJENE INTERNATIONAL INC.Saint Kitts and NevisParadise Papers
REPUBLIC FOUNDATIONPanamaBelizePanama Papers
REPUBLIC INC.PanamaCyprusPanama Papers
GLOBAL INVESTMENT (TAIWAN) CO., LTD.BahamasTaiwanPanama Papers
TAIWAN CLEANER INDUSTRY CO., LTD.British Virgin IslandsTaiwanPanama Papers
TAIWAN FINANCE (B.V.I.) CO., LTD.British Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin Islands, Cayman IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT GROUP INC.SamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN EAST WEST ENTERPRISES LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
EB International Taiwan Co., Ltd.British Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin Islands, Cayman IslandsOffshore Leaks
JAE-Taiwan (BVI) Co. LimitedBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN TELECOMMUNICATIONS INVESTMENT ENTERPRISE LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Merry Electronics Company Limited (Taiwan)Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Rabo Financial Services Limited (Taiwan)Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd.Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
FUJI INDUSTRIES CO., (TAIWAN) LTD.SamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
Morishita Taiwan (Samoa) Co., Ltd.SamoaCayman Islands, SamoaOffshore Leaks
BDO Taiwan Union & Co, KaohsiungNot identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
BDO Taiwan Union & Co (Taichung)Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
Extra Excel International (Taiwan), Inc.Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
PORTCULLIS TRUSTNET (TAIWAN) PTE. LTD.SingaporeSingaporeOffshore Leaks
CTC Union Technologies (Taiwan) LimitedSamoaCayman Islands, SamoaOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN JASU MACHINERY INDUSTRIAL LTDBritish Virgin IslandsBritish Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Telecommunications Investment Enterprise LtdSamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN POWER EQUIPMENT ENGINEERING LTD.SamoaSamoaOffshore Leaks
Austin Hughes Communications (Taiwan) Ltd.Not identifiedNot identified, Hong KongOffshore Leaks
Taiwan Toptek Communication Co., Ltd.Not identifiedHong Kong, Not identifiedOffshore Leaks
E. Excel International (Taiwan) Inc.Not identifiedNot identifiedOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN FARM HOLDING CO., LTD.British Virgin IslandsCayman Islands, British Virgin IslandsOffshore Leaks
TAIWAN KEIHIN CABURETOR CO., LTD.British Virgin IslandsTaiwanPanama Papers
MASS FINE COMPANY (TAIWAN) LIMITEDBritish Virgin IslandsHong KongPanama Papers

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THE CHINA DEBRIEF AUGUST-12-2022-ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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U.S.-China Relations
A pro-Beijing online propaganda campaign has used phony websites and social-media posts to try to discredit a prominent German anthropologist who has investigated Chinaโ€™s crackdown on Muslims, according to cybersecurity researchers. The activity, which dates to last year and continues, is part of a complex effort to push pro-China narratives using more than 70 suspected inauthentic news websites in 11 languages, all tied to a Chinese public-relations firm, according to a new report made public Thursday by the U.S.-based cybersecurity firm Mandiant Inc.Kelley Currie has spent much of her government career working on human rights issues, with a special focus on Asia. Ms. Currie, who most recently served as U.S. ambassador-at-large for global womenโ€™s issues during the Trump administration, was unhappy to learn that her retirement dollars could go toward companies that are linked to the Chinese militaryโ€”the very entities she had been challenging for years. Ms. Currieโ€™s retirement savings and those of millions of others are part of the Thrift Savings Plan, a retirement fund for federal workers that has more than $700 billion in assets under management. Postal workers, customs and border patrol agents, retired and active members of the armed forces, diplomats, the national intelligence communityโ€”and even some living presidentsโ€”are invested in the plan.Two Senate Republicans have introduced a proposal to stop the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) from purchasing farmland in the United States, arguing that the communist regimeโ€™s acquisitions on American soil pose a threat to national security. In introducing the bill dubbed the Securing Americaโ€™s Land From Foreign Interference Act, Sens. Tommy Tuberville (R-Ala.) and Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) cited a 2020 report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) saying that foreign individuals and entities held an interest in nearly 37.6 million acres of U.S. agricultural land. While some 14 states have restrictions against foreign ownership of land, there are no federal restraints regarding private U.S. agricultural land that can be foreign-owned, they said.
Russia-China Relations
The Biden administrationโ€™s new policy for sub-Saharan Africa accuses China of seeing the region as an โ€œarenaโ€ in which to wage a battle against the US-led โ€œrules-based international orderโ€ and Russia of causing instability and then cashing in on the chaos. But while the strategy, published today [PDF], acknowledges the US has to respond to โ€œgrowing foreign activity and influenceโ€ in the region, the document focuses less on its geopolitical rivals and more on how Washington can do a better job engaging African governments to work closely on everything from the climate crisis to food insecurity to terrorism.The war in Ukraine has cut Russia off from much of the Western world. Barraged by sanctions, denounced in international media, and ostracized from global cultural events, Russians are feeling increasingly alone. But the Kremlin can rely on at least one major pillar of support: China. Russian President Vladimir Putinโ€™s decision to invade Ukraine has forced Russia to turn to its fellow Eurasian giant, hat in hand. In the twentieth century, the Soviet Union viewed Chinaโ€”at least until the Sino-Soviet split of the 1960sโ€”as a poorer cousin, a country to be steered and helped along in its fitful progress toward respectability. Decades later, the tables have turned decisively. China has for some time boasted a more robust and dynamic economy, greater technological prowess, and more global political and economic clout than Russia.Russia is importing Chinese goods at nearly the same rate as before Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, according to according to data from China’s customs authority compiled by Bloomberg. In July, Russia imported $6.7 billion of goods from China, a roughly 20% increase from the same time last year, filling the market gap from Western countries that have stopped trading with the warring nation. 
CCP Foreign Influence
First announced in a speech by Chinese President Xi Jinping in 2013 as the โ€œSilk Road,โ€ the BRI was fleshed out in April 2015 with the announcement of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), stretching from Gwadar to the Chinese city of Kashgar, in Xinjiang. The CPEC showcased the China-Pakistan โ€œall-weather friendshipโ€ with $46 billion in pledged funds that has since grown to $50 billion. It was to be the backbone of the now renamed Belt and Road Initiative. When the CPEC agreements were signed, Pakistanโ€™s government called Gwadar โ€œthe economic future of Pakistan,โ€ an alternative to Dubai that would turn around the countryโ€™s economic fortunes. But today, with just a couple of months until the 20th Chinese Communist Party Congress in Beijing, the CPEC is on the verge of crisis, as is the BRI itself.  Many headline projects have either failed to get off the ground or produced mixed to poor results. As China rapidly extends its reach in the Pacific, its growing influence is unmistakable in the Solomon Islands, a country with which it established diplomatic ties only in 2019. The relationship between the worldโ€™s most populous country and this Pacific archipelago of 700,000 people was thrust into the spotlight this year when word leaked that they had struck a secret security agreement. The United States and its allies fear the pact could pave the way for the establishment of a Chinese military base in the strategically valuable island chain where several thousand American soldiers died during World War IIโ€™s Guadalcanal campaign. China is changing this country in other ways. Some are flashy, such as the sports stadium that will serve as the centerpiece of next yearโ€™s Pacific Games. Others are subtler yet potentially more profound, including growing Chinese influence over local policing and politics and a plan for Huawei to build more than 150 telecommunications towers that critics fear could enable Chinese surveillance.New transparency demands from global financial institutions aimed at preventing sovereign debt distress are starting to have an impact on China-backed infrastructure projects under the Belt and Road Initiative, experts say. As global interest rates rise and concern about developing world debt risk swirls, โ€œsustainabilityโ€ and โ€œtransparencyโ€ have become buzzwords at organisations like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank. The international bodies, which have traditionally been controlled by the United States and other wealthy Group of 7 nations, are pushing for greater disclosure from borrowers, including on debt contracts with China, former senior staff and analysts say.Bangladeshโ€™s finance minister AHM Mustafa Kamal has warned that developing countries must think twice about taking more loans through Chinaโ€™s Belt and Road Initiative as global (BRI) inflation and slowing growth add to the strains on indebted emerging markets.
COVID-19
Researchers in China have identified a novel virus likely spread to humans from animalsโ€”though completely unrelated to the coronavirusโ€”in 35 people. The discovery comes as the country battles its worst Covid outbreak in weeks, with dozens of regions locked down. The so-called LayV is a newly identified member of the henipaviruses, a group that can infect humans and have high fatality rates. In the subjects tested, some whose samples date back 1-2 years, all had fever, alongside other serious symptoms such as anorexia, vomiting, and impaired liver function. The findings were reported in the New England Journal of Medicine by Chinese and international researchers.Seeing Chinese authorities exercise extraordinary powers during a stringent COVID-19 lockdown in Shanghai earlier this year altered Claire Jiang’s life plans: she no longer wants to have babies in China. During the April-May lockdown, the hashtag “we are the last generation” briefly went viral on Chinese social media before being censored. The phrase echoed the response of a man who was visited by authorities in hazmat suits threatening to punish his family for three generations for non-compliance with COVID rules.
Hong Kong
Hong Kongโ€™s population dropped by a record as people fled strict Covid-19 restrictions that have hobbled the city as most other regions move on from the pandemic. The city saw a decline of 121,500 residents in the year ended June 30, leaving the population at about 7.29 million, according to government data released Thursday. That means the population fell 1.6%, marking the third straight year of declines and the biggest drop in at least six decades. A wide-reaching national security law may have also been a contributing factor.At a pre-trial hearing in Hong Kong, a judge set a five-day trial for Cardinal Joseph Zen Ze-kiun and four other defendants who face charges of failing to properly register a now-defunct fund to help anti-government protesters. According to an Aug. 9 report by the Hong Kong Free Press news agency, Magistrate Ada Yim announced that the trial will take place Sept. 19-23 after asking prosecutors and the defendants’ lawyers if five days would be sufficient for the court to hear the case. Both sides agreed. The 90-year-old cardinal was detained May 11 under China’s national security law. However, he and the four others were charged with failing to properly register the 612 Humanitarian Relief Fund, set up to offer financial assistance to those involved in anti-government protests in 2019. It was disbanded last year after coming under scrutiny by authorities.
Taiwan
Chinaโ€™s military exercises show Beijing doesnโ€™t need to invade Taiwan to control it โ€“ rather it can strangle the self-ruled island, cutting it off from the outside world, Chinese and American analysts say. The Peopleโ€™s Liberation Army (PLA) drills, which officially began last Thursday, focused on six zones that essentially encircled Taiwan, restricting access to civilian ships and aircraft in the area, as forces conducted live-fire drills and missile launches. Meng Xiangqing, a professor at the PLA National Defense University, said the six areas were chosen to show how China could cut off Taiwanโ€™s ports, attack its most important military installations, and sever access for foreign forces that may come to Taiwanโ€™s aid.China has published its first white paper on Taiwan in more than two decades, offering as a blueprint for unification the โ€œone country, two systemsโ€ model that it used to recover Hong Kong a quarter of a century ago. The proposal should make chilling reading for those on the self-ruled democratic island. The Hong Kong formula has never held much appeal for the Taiwanese, who even in the early years after the 1997 handover were skeptical of the cityโ€™s autonomy and saw little incentive to exchange their de facto independence for domination by an authoritarian China. By now, though, โ€œone country, two systemsโ€ is a much-diminished brand. After Hong Kongโ€™s pro-democracy protests in 2019, Beijing undertook a comprehensive political rectification project that has erased or severely curtailed many of the freedoms it promised to preserve. Were Taiwan to join the Chinese fold on the same terms, few can doubt that it would be subjected to a similar program. In his decade of ruling China, Xi Jinping has tried to imbue its people with confidence, telling them that the country is doing very well compared with the chaotic West. He has told the younger generation that China can finally look at the world as an equal. โ€œItโ€™s no longer as backward,โ€ he said last year. โ€œThe East is rising, and the West is declining,โ€ he declared, at a time when the United States and other Western countries seemed mired in high Covid infection rates, racial tensions and other problems. Mr. Xi has told Chinaโ€™s 1.4 billion people to be proud of its culture, its governance system and its future as a great power, all of which add up to his signature political philosophy, sometimes called the โ€œconfidence doctrine.โ€China appeared to be rehearsing an invasion just miles away. World leaders issued forceful condemnations. But as Beijingโ€™s military sent missiles and jets over their heads in a display of fury, many residents of Taiwan remained unmoved by what outside observers fear is a rising threat of war. โ€œWe grew up with this,โ€ said Rui Hao, a 40-year-old resident of Taipei, the capital, shrugging off the potential for conflict. When he was a boy, his parents considered emigrating from their home in Taiwan to escape the threat of war with China. Three decades later, they still live here.
Xinjiang
The repression against Uyghurs in Xinjiang, which its non-Han inhabitants call East Turkestan, is becoming increasingly barbaric. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP)โ€™s police is seriously responsible for that, under directions of the local and central Chinese administrations. Now, the brutality of the police in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous region (XUAR) has been fully documented through new specific research guided by German scholar Dr. Adrian Zenz, Senior Fellow and Director in China Studies at the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation (VCMF) in Washington, D.C. Dr. Zenz is the leading authority on the XUAR detention and re-education camps, and for this endures the reprimand, scorn, and calumny of the CCP.Concerned over Uyghur rights violations and the presence of Chinese-owned surveillance systems at the Department of Defense and police forces that has undermined national security, the British government has replaced security equipment provided by Chinese-owned tech companies at key government offices, media reports said. Other rights groups are campaigning for Hikvision and Dahua to be banned in the UK due to the companiesโ€™ involvement in the Chinese stateโ€™s repression of Uyghurs in Xinjiang, China. Hikvision and Dahua cameras are used in concentration camps throughout the Uyghur region, Asian Lite reported. This comes as the British MPs alleged that the Chinese government is persecuting minorities and intruding on governmental departments and research centers worldwide. They also accused China of violating the territorial integrity of neighboring countries.This summer, the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act took effect, restricting U.S. imports of products from the Xinjiang region of China, where a great deal of evidence reveals that the Chinese government has been imprisoning and otherwise persecuting the resident Uyghur ethnic minority. This law goes beyond previous attempts to address forced labor and what advocates call โ€œmodern slavery,โ€ since it presumes that items linked to Xinjiang have been made with forced labor, unless importing companies can demonstrate otherwise. Evidence shows that Uyghur Muslims are enduring wide-ranging repression from Chinese authorities, including forced migration and internment in what are called reeducation camps. Through both routes, Uyghur individuals have been coerced into producing cotton, tomatoes, electronic components and a variety of other materials destined for global markets, including polysilicon for solar panels.
The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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U.S.-China Relations
The United States hasย warnedย it will defend the Philippines against any attack on its ships or aircraft in the South China Sea. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken made the statement on the sixth anniversary of a 2016 decision by an international arbitration tribunal thatย largely ruled in favor of the Philippines over the disputed maritime border. China did not participate in the arbitration.
China should brace for a scenario where the USย leveragesย both tariffs and the new Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) to contain the country, according to a Chinese expert, despite talk of an imminent tariff rollback. US President Joe Biden has been mulling the possible removal of some tariffs on Chinese imports in a bid to help curb soaring inflation in America, and there are reports that a decision could comeย as soon as this week.
A U.S. destroyerย sailedย near the disputed Paracel Islands in the South China Sea on Wednesday, drawing an angry reaction from Beijing, which said its military had “driven away” the ship after it illegally entered territorial waters. The United States regularly carries out what it calls Freedom of Navigation Operations in the South China Sea challenging what it says are restrictions on innocent passage imposed by China and other claimants.
China’s support forย Russia’s war in Ukraineย isย complicatingย U.S.-Chinese relations at a time when they are already beset by rifts and enmity over numerous other issues, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken told his Chinese counterpart on Saturday. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi blamed the U.S. for the downturn in relations and said that American policy has been derailed by what he called a misperception of China as a threat. “Many people believe that the United States is suffering from a China-phobia,” he said, according to a Chinese statement. “If such threat-expansion is allowed to grow, U.S. policy toward China will be a dead end with no way out.”

Russia-China Relations
Five factorsย explainย NATOโ€™s landmark decision. Some have been familiar parts of the security debate for years; others gained salience only recently. Firstโ€”and most obviouslyโ€”NATOโ€™s strategy is responding to Chinaโ€™s rise and the emergence of a newย bipolar international system, replacing the so-called U.S. unipolar moment of the 1990s and early 2000s.ย Second, technological developments have finally forced Europeโ€™s hand.ย What accelerated Europeโ€™s shift on China is a third factor: increased uncertainty in Europe about U.S. long-term commitments to trans-Atlantic security.ย Fourth, Chinaโ€™s ideological shifts also accelerated Europeโ€™s categorization of China as a threat.ย The fifth factor accelerating NATOโ€™s shift on China is the evolvingย Sino-Russian axis, most recently enhanced by Russiaโ€™s invasion of Ukraine. This is molding a distinctย geopolitical divide.ย Nonetheless, even though the new Strategic Concept sends a strong signal of trans-Atlantic unity, it is too early to conclude that it enables a joint and well-coordinated U.S.-European approach on China.
China and Russia have maintained normal exchanges andย promotedย cooperation in various fields and cast aside any “interference”, showing the “strong resilience” and “strategic resolve” of their relations, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said on Thursday. China will also support all efforts conducive to the peaceful resolution of the Ukraine crisis, Wang told Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in a meeting on the sidelines of a G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, according to a statement from the Chinese foreign ministry on Friday.
โ€œFor Chinese strategists, if the war ends with Russia being severely defeated, China wouldย faceย a far worse geostrategic environment than today,โ€ said Zhao Tong, a research scholar at Princeton Universityโ€™s Science and Global Security Program. Despite being rich and powerful, China fears being isolated without a viable Russia at its side, left to fend for itself against what Beijing sees as the โ€œstrategic aggression of the U.S.-led West,โ€ he said.

CCP Foreign Influence
President Taneti Maamau not only opted out of the Pacific Island Forum meeting in Suva, Fiji, but withdrew the country from the 18-member group as a matter of principle over a dispute involving its leadership. Some saw Beijing’s hand in Maamau’s decision to leave the alliance, a claim China’s Foreign Ministry rejected as “completely groundless” during a regular news briefing Monday. But on Tuesday, it was the United States’ turn to step forward with incentives for Pacific Island leaders toย counterย Beijing’s efforts to dominate an increasingly competitive geopolitical tussle in a region of great strategic importance. The incentives included more funding for fisheries, extra aid, and offers of new US embassies in the Pacific — including one in Kiribati, which along with the Solomon Islands appears to be moving closer to China.ย The measures will be personally presented to Pacific leaders Wednesday in a virtual address by US Vice President Kamala Harris — underscoring Washington’s efforts to stress the Pacific’s importance to US strategy.
Argentina’s government said on Thursday it hadย receivedย China’s formal support for the country’s bid to join the BRICS group comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, a bloc seen as a powerful emerging-market alternative to the West. Argentina’s foreign minister Santiago Cafiero met with his Chinese counter Wang Yi at a G20 event in Indonesia, where that support was formalized, the ministry said in a statement.ย 
With the BRICSย groupingย upping the ante and the West keeping the pressure on India about itsย oil purchasesย from Russia, India, in trying to play cat on the wall, might find itself on a barbed-wire fence. With every move inflicting pain, it may have to jump off. But onto which side will it leap? Recently, Chinaโ€™s Foreign Minister Wang Yi called on Indiaโ€™s ambassador to China and spoke of the need to putย the border issueย in an โ€œappropriate placeโ€ in bilateral relations.
Beijing has for yearsย beenย chippingย away at the pillars of the U.S.-led global orderโ€”subverting its foundational institutions, international norms, and liberal idealsโ€”but Chinese President Xi Jinping had not offered a comprehensive vision of how a China-led replacement might work. That is changing.
Australia’s Defense Minister Richard Marlesย warnedย of a “military build-up occurring at a rate unseen since World War II” and vowed to strengthen Australian defense during aย speechย on Monday in Washington, DC. The remarks laid out a vision for Australia’s leading role in Indo-Pacific security, and signaled that Australia’s new Labor government will maintain a close security partnership with the U.S. as well as the tough China policies of the two previous governments.

COVID-19
Chinaโ€™s economic engine hasย shudderedย in recent months, hurt by lockdowns imposed to curb the spread of Covid. Housingย sales sagged. Many shops and restaurants in some cities shuttered, someย maybe for good. Youth unemployment climbed.The slowdown has kindled doubts about the viability of Chinaโ€™s stringent strategy of eliminating virtually all Covid-19 infections โ€” whether the cure is becoming worse than the social and economic costs of restrictions. But on a recentย visit to Wuhan, the city where the pandemic first took hold, Chinaโ€™s leader, Xi Jinping, said extinguishing Covid remained paramount.
Hong Kong willย mandateย electronic tracking bracelets for people in home isolation and bring in a China-style electronic health code system as part of fresh measures to curb the spread of the coronavirus. The quarantine bracelets, to be introduced on Friday, will be mandatory for people who have tested positive and are quarantining at home to ensure they do not leave the building during their isolation period. โ€œWe have to make sure that home isolation is more precise while being humane,โ€ Lo Chung-mau, the cityโ€™s new health secretary said, announcing the new requirement on Monday. Breaching a mandatory quarantine order in Hong Kong carries a fine of up to HK$25,000 ($3,200) and up to six months in jail.

Hong Kong
Hong Kong authorities haveย sentencedย an activist with stage four cancer to nine months in jail for his attempt to protest against the Beijing Olympics. Koo Sze-Yiu, 75, was arrested by police in February before he could carry out a solo demonstration criticising China. The veteran campaigner had planned to display a coffin with slogans outside Beijing’s liaison office on the first day of the Winter Games. He was charged with sedition, which he has denied. The charge carries a maximum two-year prison sentence. The court sentenced him to nine months but Koo said he would appeal the sentence. Police said Koo had planned to hold up a coffin and signs bearing messages including: “Democracy and human rights are above the Winter Olympics”. Judge Peter Law said those actions constituted a threat to national security,ย independent news outlet Hong Kong Free Press reported.
A quarter century ago, Chinaย promisedย Hong Kong a high degree of autonomy under the “one country, two systems” model when the territory reverted to Chinese rule. Now President Xi Jinping is using the city as a “wallet” by applying two separate standards — “one country” for politics and “two systems” for economic affairs — risking Hong Kong’s position as Asia’s premier financial center.
The top U.S. diplomat in Hong Kong on Mondayย urgedย China to ease political pressure on the city, warning that the “crude and chilling” use of a sweeping national security law threatened its role as an international business hub. In at times strongly worded farewell remarks to the American Chamber of Commerce, outgoing U.S. Consul General Hanscom Smith said electoral changes to ensure only officially screened “patriots” ran the city had further undermined its future. “The application of this (security) law has been broad, crude and chilling,” Smith said, noting its vague definitions had fostered “fear and coercion” and dented the city’s strong rule of law traditions.

Taiwan
Chinaโ€™s cognitive warfare tactics against Taiwan includeย spreadingย anti-US and anti-Japan messages to wear down Taiwaneseโ€™s psychological defenses, an information warfare expert said yesterday. Shen Pao-yang (ๆฒˆไผฏๆด‹), an assistant professor at National Taipei Universityโ€™s Graduate School of Criminology, made the remark at a forum on online information warfare and national security at the universityโ€™s GIS Convention Center. Most young Taiwanese do not take a pro-China stance, so rather than sending pro-China messages, Beijing has turned its focus on directing Taiwaneseโ€™s mistrust at the US, he said.
At the end of April, the Taiwan Coast Guard Administrationย receivedย a new frigate, theย Hsinchu. At 4,000 tons, itโ€™s a massive beast and was immediately assigned for duty in Taiwanโ€™s Northern Pacific Flotilla to protect one of Taiwanโ€™s most precious maritime resources: sand. China is increasing its dredging of sand in the islandsโ€™ waters. Itโ€™s a devious activity that gets Beijing much-needed sandโ€”and presents Taiwan with large expenses and maritime degradation. โ€œThe Hsinchu is the second of four planned CGA [Coast Guard Administration] frigates and is equipped with three high-pressure water cannons that are able to shoot at targets up to 120 meters away,โ€ย Taiwan Newsย reportedย when the new frigate was received. Around the time of theย Hsinchuโ€™s arrival, the CGA alsoย receivedย the fourth and fifth of 12 planned offshore patrol vessels. The frigates alone will cost Taiwan almostย $400 million.
Theย Peopleโ€™s Liberation Armyโ€™s third aircraft carrier is likely toย becomeย combat-ready within the next six to eight years, giving its forces more options in case of armed conflict with Taiwan, a Chinese analyst said. Wang Hongliang, associate researcher at the Shanghai Jiao Tong Universityโ€™s National Strategic Research Centre, said it would take the Fujian three to four years to enterย active service. The launch of the PLA Navyโ€™s third and most advanced aircraft carrier on June 17 was seen as bringing Beijing a step closer to its goal of building a โ€œblue water navyโ€, capable of operating far from the shores of mainland China.
Company executives are increasinglyย concernedย about the possibility of war over Taiwan, according to consultants who have seen a sharp rise in demand for briefings following the invasion of Ukraine. Eric Sayers, head of the Indo-Pacific practice at Beacon Global Strategies, said Chinaโ€™s crackdown on democracy in Hong Kong coupled with the Ukraine invasion had โ€œrapidly acceleratedโ€ the fears. โ€œA year ago Beacon would occasionally be asked a question or two about Taiwan from our clients,โ€ said Sayers. โ€œWe are now being asked to brief CEOs directly on Taiwan politics and the military situation [and to] organize meetings with senior US officials or retired military leaders to understand how they view the situation.โ€

Xinjiang
Amnesty International todayย publishedย heartbreaking new testimony from relatives of 48 ethnic Uyghur and Kazakh people detained in Chinaโ€™s Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, as it reiterated its call for the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights to take action. The outgoing High Commissioner, Michelle Bachelet, has yet to release a long-awaited report on serious human rights violations in Xinjiang, and has repeatedly failed to recognize the gravity of violations by Chinese authorities in the region. It is deeply disappointing that due to this delay, yet another UN Human Rights Council session will close this week without having been able to discuss the UNโ€™s findings on Xinjiang. The new testimony gathered by Amnesty International is part of itsย Free Xinjiang Detaineesย campaign, which now tells the stories of 120 individuals who have been swept up in Chinaโ€™s vast system of prisons and internment camps in Xinjiang.
To helpย stabilizeย Chinaโ€™s cotton market just weeks after a crippling US ban on Xinjiang products went into effect, Beijing intends buy up to half a million tonnes of Xinjiang cotton for its state reserves โ€“ ending a 15-month drought of such purchases. The first of what looks to be multiple rounds of purchases is set to begin on Wednesday, and it comes as Beijing seeks to support Chinaโ€™s cotton industry, which has been increasingly shunned by downstream manufacturers who are wary of running afoul of aย sweeping United States banย on products from the Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region. The total purchase will entail between 300,000 and 500,000 tonnes of Xinjiang cotton, which will come from mills in the region, according to a statement by the China National Cotton Reserves Corporation (CNCRC) on Friday.

The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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July 7, 2022

U.S.-China Relations
Speaking alongside his British counterpart in London on Wednesday, FBI Director Christopher Wrayย calledย China the “biggest long-term threat” to both the U.S. and the U.K. “The Chinese government is set on stealing your technology — whatever it is that makes your industry tick — and using it to undercut your business and dominate your market,” Wray said while giving remarks to international business leaders. “And they’re set on using every tool at their disposal to do it.” Wray also warned of potential tactics by Chinese officials, saying they steal technology by using intelligence officers to “target” valuable pieces of information and companies.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken willย holdย a rare meeting with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on the sidelines of a regional conference in Bali this week, the State Department said on Tuesday July 5. Wang and Blinken, who last met in October, will meet on the sidelines of a Group of 20 ministerial meeting on the Indonesian resort island, the State Department said, amid high tensions on a range of issues including Taiwan. The meeting comes as US President Joe Biden voices hope for a new conversation in the coming weeks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, who has not travelled internationally since the COVID-19 pandemic.
When Russian forces invaded Ukraine nearly five months ago, the Biden administration led dozens of governments in banning theย export of advanced technologyย to Russia to hobble its economic and military development. Now, the U.S. government is using the lessons it learned from those actions toย expandย restrictions on exports to China and other countries in cases where companies or groups might threaten U.S. national security or violate human rights, current and former American officials say. President Biden and his aides call Chinaย the greatest long-term rivalย of the United States, surpassing Russia. The effort involves broadening the circumstances under which so-called export controls would be imposed and getting partner nations on board. It also aims to redefine what technologies are considered sensitive or critical and of potential use to militaries and security agencies โ€” to encompass things like artificial intelligence, for example.
The G7 summit was held last week in Bavaria. Americaโ€™s 46th president took this opportunity toย announceย the countryโ€™s collective commitment to a new global infrastructure program, projected to be $600 billion in scope over the next five years. Called the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII), this is a rebranding of Joe Bidenโ€™s domestic jobs and economic recovery plan, โ€œBuild Back Better,โ€ which hasnโ€™t exactly been welcomed with fanfare by Congress or the American public. This is Bidenโ€™s chance for a second take. Africa will be a main beneficiary of PGII, which will be funded by a combination of G7 partners and private capital. Biden explained the new programโ€™s backstory, how they have been working to provide better, more โ€œequitableโ€ options for developing countries (alluding to theย popular theoryย that construction contracts in countries like Zimbabwe or Zambia are allocated in exchange for exploitative mining concessions).
A U.S. counterintelligence agency on Wednesdayย warnedย state and local officials that China is intensifying influence operations aimed at manipulating them into pressing the federal government to pursue more Beijing-friendly policies. China “understands that U.S. state and local leaders enjoy a degree of independence from Washington and may seek to use them as proxies to advocate for national U.S. policies Beijing desires,” the National Counterintelligence and Security Center said in a bulletin sent to state and local officials.
Former US Undersecretary of Commerce for International Trade Frank Lavin offers his perspectives, amid reports that US President Joe Biden mayย liftย some tariffs on Chinese goods. He speaks with Yvonne Man and David Ingles on “Bloomberg Markets: China Open”.

Russia-China Relations
The so-called VRIC nations will take part in the 2022 edition of the International Army Games,ย organizedย by Russia and hosted by several countries since its inception in 2015.ย  The news comes from a report by The Centre for a Secure Free Society which says: โ€œIn mid-August, Venezuela will host the โ€œSniper Frontierโ€ competition with the participation of Russia, Iran, and Chinaโ€™s military, as well as at least 10 other nations.โ€ The report noted that the competition is a โ€œstrategic move that seeks to preposition forward-deployed military assets in Latin America and the Caribbean. โ€œThe VRIC (Venezuela, Russia, Iran and China) nations are getting ready to make a loud statement that the region is ready to embrace the multipolar force.โ€ The United States has imposed a series of sanctions on all four members of the VRIC community, prompting the members to unite in resisting pressure from Washington.
From oil deals to diplomatic cover in international institutions, thereโ€™s no denying that Beijing hasย supportedย Moscow throughout its war with Ukraine, but to what extent remains an issue of contention and highlights the deep contradictions in the China-Russia relationship. Finding Perspective: Chinaโ€™s growing appetite for discounted Russian oil made headlines in late June as Beijing overtook Germany as the biggest single buyer of Russian energy. India, which also has historic and complicated ties to Moscow, has also bought up Russian oil. Despite being sold at a steep discount, the purchases โ€“ along with climbing oil prices โ€“ have allowed Russian revenues to grow in the face of Western pressure and given Moscow a crucial financial lifeline to keep funding its war effort.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corpย (SMIC) on Wednesdayย saidย that it has never had any customers in Russia, assuaging investor concerns that the Chinese contract chip maker could be punished by Washingtonย over potential violations of US economic sanctions on the countryย for invadingย Ukraine. โ€œSMIC has always been operating in compliance. The company has never had any Russian customers,โ€ the firm said in response to an investorโ€™s question on an online information platform run by the Shanghai Stock Exchange. That response comes months after SMIC,ย  mainland Chinaโ€™s largest and most advanced chip manufacturer, was singled out byย US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, who warned thatย Washington could โ€œessentially shutโ€ the company downย by denying it access to American tools and software if it sold semiconductors to Russia.
Before the war in Ukraine, China was alreadyย pursuingย a national strategy of โ€œtech independence,โ€ emphasizing indigenous innovation and the recruitment of overseas talent. Xi has stressed its importance in recent years as both the Trump and Biden administrations have tightened U.S. restrictions on Chinese tech giants likeย Huaweiย and ZTE that they deem threats to national security. However, Russiaโ€™s growing isolation from companies like Apple has added to calls for Chinaโ€™s tech independence from the West, which is also referred to as the โ€œgreat decoupling.โ€

CCP Foreign Influence
To evaluate the prevalence of Chinese state media across search results, we firstย developedย a list of 12 key terms related to Xinjiang and COVID-19 and then tracked the extent to which these terms returned search results from Chinese state media. Over the course of four months, we then collected the first page of (or first ten) search results for each of these terms from Google News, Bing News, Google Search, Bing Search, and YouTube every day between November 1, 2021, and February 28, 2022. We then classified the results from each day based on whether they returned known state-backed media sources. During the 120 days that we tracked search engine results for terms linked to Xinjiang and COVID-19, Chinese state media featured prominently.
Chinese government-funded language and culture centers known as Confucius Institutes have rapidly closed down across the United States over the past four years amid pressure from the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the US Department of State, the US Congress, and state legislatures, concerned about Chinaโ€™s influence on universities.ย However, โ€œmany once-defunct Confucius Institutes have sinceย reappearedย in other formsโ€, according to the associationโ€™sย just-released report,ย After Confucius Institutes: Chinaโ€™s enduring influence on American higher education. It adds: โ€œThe single most popular reason institutions give when they close a CI is to replace it with a new Chinese partnership programme.โ€
China and Thailandย reaffirmedย political and economic ties in an official meeting between their foreign ministers, who also agreed on the need to promote mutual cooperation in a fast-changing world. During Tuesday’s meeting, the two leaders exchanged views on regional and international issues, such as revitalizing their economies affected by the Covid-19 pandemic, cooperation on multilateral platforms and cyber-security issues. They also highlighted the need for each country to complement the other’s economic development strategies, specifically through projects such as China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Thailand’s Eastern Economic Corridor.
Chinaโ€™s Foreign Minister Wang Yi hasย calledย on Myanmarโ€™s junta leaders to talk to their opponents amid concerns over escalating violence and deteriorating human rights in the Southeast Asian country. Wang is in Myanmar for his first visit since the junta overthrew the democratically elected government of Aung San Su Kyi in February 2021. His trip is the most high profile by a Chinese representative since leader Xi Jinping met junta chief Min Aung Hlaing in 2020 to discuss China-backed projects including a controversial dam and an economic corridor. โ€œWe encourage all parties in Myanmar to engage in political dialogue within the constitutional and legal framework and restart the process of democratic transformation,โ€ Wang said in remarks published by his ministry. He also pledged support and reiterated hopes for Myanmarโ€™s โ€œpolitical and social stability.โ€
A Chinese university sanctioned by the US said it had successfullyย carriedย out a test flight of a new hypersonic aircraft on Monday. Feitian 1, which was developed by a research team at Northwestern Polytechnical University (NPU) in Xian, Shaanxi province, used a combination of rocket and air-breathing engines and could generate a thrust faster than Mach 5, according to a statement posted on the universityโ€™s social media account on Tuesday. The rocket and scramjet engines burned kerosene, a low-cost fuel. The university said the test flight was a โ€œcomplete successโ€ and was world-first proof of the feasibility of critical new technologies. The launch was conducted in an unspecified test facility in Chinaโ€™s northwestern region.

COVID-19
Beijing on Wednesdayย announcedย aย Covid-19ย vaccine mandate for residents to enter public venues, becoming the first city in mainlandย Chinaย to do so as it attempts to contain a highly infectious Omicron subvariant. From July 11, people will need to show proof of vaccination to enter a wide range of public places in the Chinese capital, including cinemas, libraries, museums, gyms, stadiums and training centers, a city health official told a news briefing Wednesday.ย People who are “not suitable” for vaccination will be exempted from the requirement, the official added, without clarifying how they can provide proof for exemption. It also remains unclear how people who received vaccination overseas can satisfy the requirement. China’s health code systems — which are used to show proof of vaccination — do not currently recognize foreign vaccines.
Hong Kong willย stopย banning routes for airlinesย that bring in too many passengers with Covid-19, suspending a policy that has been heavily criticized by businesses and travelers for snarling plans and leaving people stranded. The flight ban was one of many strict Covid-control policies that have left the Asian financial center more isolated from a world that is moving on from pandemic restrictions. Other travel-deterring controls including long hotel quarantines and tough testing requirements for boarding flights will remain in place, but the suspension of the flight ban beginning Thursday removes a hurdle.
Now,ย Chinaย is closing in on the finish line onย developingย its own covid antiviral pill. And it has what looks to be a promising candidate. In late May, Shanghai-headquartered biotech firm Junshi Biosciencesย announced resultsย from its late-stage Phase 3 trial of VV116, an oral covid antiviral pill. While full data have not yet been released, the company said that trial results showed VV116 to be more effective than Pfizerโ€™s Paxlovid in accelerating covid patientsโ€™ recovery.

Hong Kong
It was no accident that Chinese leader Xi Jinping repeatedly used the word โ€œchaosโ€ to describe Hong Kong as he marked the July 1 anniversary of the 1997 handover of the former British colony. Mr. Xiย vowedย that Hong Kong would move โ€œfrom chaos to control.โ€ But what he was reallyย affirmingย is that Chinaโ€™s leaders will not tolerate democracy and its discontents, and intend to finish off Hong Kong as a beacon of free thinking and openness.
The Chinese-Canadian tycoonโ€™s trial was said to haveย startedย on Monday, five years after he disappeared from a luxury Hong Kong hotel. The incident sent shockwaves through Hong Kong at the time. It raised many questions about Beijingโ€™s reach and deepened fears that residents could be forcibly taken by Chinese agents to face trial on the mainland. Those fears would later spark some of the largest protests Hong Kong had ever seen in 2019, after authorities attempted to introduce a bill that would allow these extraditions to take place. His disappearance took place at a time when China was cracking down on conglomerates. Mr Xiao had also owned non-controlling stakes in banking and insurance companies, and was known to have built strong connections with families of Communist leaders after he sided with the party against student protests in Beijing in 1989.

Taiwan
A top Taiwanese officialย saidย on Thursday that the biggest benefit from a proposed trade agreement with the United States would be to prop up Taiwanโ€™s economy and democracy in the face of Chinaโ€™s attempts to isolate the country. โ€œIf our economy can not be strong enough, then thereโ€™s only one place that we can go โ€” China,โ€ John Deng, Taiwanโ€™s minister without portfolio, said in an interview. โ€œMore reliance on their market. More dependent.โ€ย  Thatโ€™s a concern because Taiwanโ€™s economy is heavily entwined with China, giving Beijing increased leverage in the ongoing fight between the two sides over whether Taiwan is a separate country.ย 
As the geopolitical effects of Russiaโ€™s invasion of Ukraine become more obvious, the collective defenseย providedย by NATO is the key security umbrella that unites European countries and protects them from further intrusion by their malicious eastern neighbor. With Finland and Sweden having been invited to join NATO โ€” which, if they join, would increase the number of member states from 30 to 32 โ€” two more nations in the region are in line to be included in the regional security pact. Meanwhile, the support that Russia has been receiving behind the scenes from China and other countries is one of the main reasons the war is still going on.
A year before Britain handed Hong Kong to China, then-President Jiang Zemin hailed the โ€œone country, two systemsโ€ plan for the city as a model for the country to one day unify with Taiwan. Taiwan would get โ€œa high degree of autonomyโ€ โ€“ the same pledge China used for Hong Kong โ€“ whileย keepingย legislative and independent judicial power, and its own armed forces, according to Jiangโ€™s speech, copies of which were distributed at Hong Kongโ€™s handover center in 1997. For Taiwan though, the proposal has never been an option.ย 

Xinjiang
With the release of the so-called Xinjiang Police Files, the claims of atrocities being carried out against the Uyghur population in China seem to have been confirmed. Although China continues to deny that it is committing human rights violations and insists that the Uyghurs are attending voluntary vocational training, theseย leakedย files provide severely damning evidence to the contrary. The disturbing files have shed new light on the Chinese governmentโ€™s twisted interpretation of and lack of respect for human rights. Despite Chinaโ€™s repeated denials, the extensive cache of images, lists of guards and detainees, detailed instructions for running the camps, and internal communications from high-ranking officials paint a very disconcerting picture of what is happening to an estimated 1-2 million Uyghurs in China.ย The files seem to corroborate what Dr. Zenz uncovered in his years of research and described in a 2020 article as โ€œprobably the largest incarceration of an ethnoreligious minority since the Holocaust.โ€
Hundreds of multinationals and smaller companies are using forced or slave labor in China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region. For the moment, it is not clear how the Biden administration will react to such abhorrent employment practices. On June 22, Jewish World Watch, an NGO,ย launchedย anย online databaseย of businesses that either are or appear to be employing such labor, either directly or through suppliers. There are now 803 firms from more than 35 countries on the database. The release is timely because on the previous day, the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act went into effect. The American law creates a rebuttable presumption that goods made in Xinjiang were produced with forced labor and are therefore ineligible for importation into the U.S. pursuant to the Tariff Act of 1930.

The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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U.S.-China Relations
Faced with a newly aggressive Russia, NATO leaders on Wednesdayย outlinedย a muscular new vision that names Moscow as the military allianceโ€™s primary adversary but also, for the first time, declares China to be a strategic โ€œchallenge.โ€ It was a fundamental shift for an alliance that was born in the Cold War but came to view a post-Soviet Russia as a potential ally, and did not focus on China at all. China offered a chilly response to the new NATO moves. โ€œThe deepening strategic partnership between the Peopleโ€™s Republic of China and the Russian Federation and their mutually reinforcing attempts to undercut the rules-based international order run counter to our values and interests,โ€ NATO leaders said in aย new mission statementย issued during their summit in Madrid.
The United States has accused several companies and research institutes in China of supporting Russiaโ€™s military after the Ukraine invasion began, in one of the first concrete signs of Chinese entities allegedly helping Russia against Washingtonโ€™s wishes. The Commerce Departmentย saidย it wasย addingย five of the companies to a trade blacklist known as the Entity List as punishment. It also accused two Chinese research institutes already on the blacklist since 2018 of supporting Russiaโ€™s military in recent weeks. Entities added to the list areย effectively blockedย from buying U.S. technology.

A pro-Chinese government group has impersonated environmental campaigners on social media platforms in an effort toย undermineย rare earths producers in the US and Canada, according to a cyber security consultancy. Mandiant said the group behind the attacks, known as Dragonbridge, had used fake Facebook and Twitter accounts to claim a US government-funded rare earths refinery in Texas being built by Australian group Lynas Rare Earths would โ€œexpose the area to irreversible environmental damageโ€ and โ€œradioactive contaminationโ€. Mandiant described Dragonbridge as a โ€œpro-Peopleโ€™s Republic of China (PRC) networkโ€ but did not identify it in more detail. The Australian Strategic Policy Institute think-tank corroborated Mandiantโ€™s report to the Financial Times.
Chinaโ€™s plan toย establishย a yuan pooling scheme with the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), plus Indonesia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Singapore and Chile could pave the way for the currency to play an anchoring role in the Asia-Pacific region, analysts said. The plan comes amid heightened worry in Beijing aboutย US dollar hegemonyย and as global investors search for safe harbours while the US embarks on monetary normalisation to tame high inflation.

Russia-China Relations
India’s biggest cement producer, UltraTech Cement(ULTC.NS), is importing a cargo of Russian coal andย payingย using Chinese yuan, according to an Indian customs document reviewed by Reuters, a rare payment method that traders say could become more common. UltraTech is bringing in 157,000 tonnes of coal from Russian producer SUEK that loaded on the bulk carrier MV Mangas from the Russian Far East port of Vanino, the document showed. It cites an invoice dated June 5 that values the cargo at 172,652,900 yuan ($25.81 million). Two trade sources familiar with the matter said the cargo’s sale was arranged by SUEK’s Dubai-based unit, adding that other companies have also placed orders for Russian coal using yuan payments.
Iran, which holds the world’s second largest gas reserves, hasย appliedย to join the BRICS group of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa that Beijing and Moscow cast as a powerful emerging market alternative to the West.
China hasย calledย for NATO members to drop their โ€œCold War mentalityโ€ after the intergovernmental military alliance declared Beijing was a โ€œchallengeโ€ to its interests and security. โ€œNATO should stop drawing ideological lines, stoking political confrontation, or seeking to start a new Cold War,โ€ Mr Zhao said.

CCP Foreign Influence
For almost two decades, the synergy between China and Germany worked. China contributed low wages and input costs. Germans contributed technical know-how and the fruits of decades of engineering breakthroughs and research. Young Chinese workers got jobs. Aging German investors got profits. But in the end, Germany has lost out to China’s manufacturing prowess. China’s auto industry isย surpassingย Germany’s, certainly in size and soon, perhaps, in quality. China’s relentless focus on digitalization and other emerging technologies is reducing its dependence on a rival whose manufacturing and engineering heyday was in the 1970s. Original analysis by Enodo Economics shows that Beijing’s “Made in China 2025” industrial policy has done exactly what critics warned it would.
Although Chinaย failedย to secure endorsement from the Pacific Island nations for its proposed regional agreement this month, it successfullyย finalizedย a controversial bilateral security pact with the Solomon Islands in May. The pact reportedlyย allowsย the deployment of Chinese police and docking of Chinese ships in the islands. The agreement first sparked backlash when an unsigned document wasย leakedย on Twitter back in March. The leak caused concern among the United States, Japan, and Australia that the agreement would lead to the establishment of a Chinese military installation in the Solomon Islands. Considering the United States and its alliesโ€™ opposition to a Chinese foothold in the South Pacific, the agreement is a significant diplomaticย victoryย for Beijing.
There will be no easy exit from this new chapter of Sino-American strategic competitionโ€”a chapter that arguably started with Xiโ€™s moves against the South China Sea and neighboring states seven years ago, as the Obama administration was still exploring modalities for a productive bilateral relationship.ย Extended interviews and in-depth crisis scenario exercises with dozens of companies and investors, including to an elite group of participants in the Bloomberg New Economy Forum, about these issues over the past few months, haveย revealedย an unexpected combination of overconfidence and resignation in their views.
Chinese university graduates are struggling to find work in the countryโ€™s worst labour market in years โ€” unless they have degrees in Marxism. Despite being Chinaโ€™s ruling ideology, Marxism has for decades been an obscure major for students. But it is enjoying a revival under President Xi Jinping, who hasย urgedย Chinese Communist party cadres to โ€œremember the original missionโ€ as he prepares to begin an unprecedented third term in power this year.

COVID-19
Economic activity in Chinaย expandedย in June after three straight months of contraction, according to official surveys of businesses and factories that point to a modest recovery after Covid-19 restrictions were eased in the worldโ€™s second-largest economy. Economists are downbeat about the prospects for a major revival, however, given the darkening global backdrop and the risk of further Covid outbreaks.
President Xi Jinpingย solidifiedย the position during a trip to Wuhan, where the pathogen first emerged in 2019, saying China is capable of achieving a โ€œfinal victoryโ€ over the coronavirus. The Covid Zero policy is the most effective and economic approach for the country, Xi said Tuesday during the visit, the official Xinhua News Agency reported. The first update of the National Health Commissionโ€™s protocol since May 2021 sparked enthusiasm in financial markets and increased demand for travel by cutting quarantine time in half, with some analysts projecting it may signal the start of Chinaโ€™s withdrawal from theย Covid Zeroย approach that largely cut it off from the rest of the world since 2020.

Hong Kong
Mr. Xiโ€™s decision toย visitย Hong Kong despite a recent rise in Covid infections in the city underscores the importance of signaling his control over the former British colony. This is Mr. Xiโ€™s first time in Hong Kong since pro-democracy protesters mounted aย serious challengeย to Beijingโ€™s rule in 2019 that roiled the territory for months. In the years since, Mr. Xi has enforced aย sweeping crackdownย on dissent, with the arrests of thousands of people, including leading opposition figures, lawmakers, academics, newspaper editors and a retired Catholic bishop. Mr. Xi has not left China in 29 months. His absence has been increasingly conspicuous, especially as a flurry of diplomacy arose in response to the war in Ukraine and the ensuing political, military and economic fallout.ย 
Hong Kongย was not supposedย to look like this, 25 years after the end of British colonial rule and midway through Chinaโ€™s promised 50 years of autonomy and personal freedoms. There are nowย more than 1,000 political prisonersย languishing in Hong Kongโ€™s jails, among themย activists, students, journalists and lawyers. Dozens have been jailed for a year or longer without bail in the legal limbo ofย โ€œpretrial detention.โ€ย Someย 47 opposition politiciansย face possible life in prison because they participated in a primary election, considered subversive in the new Hong Kong.
Chief Executive Carrie Lamโ€™s departure from office Thursday closes whatโ€™s arguably been the most difficult chapter in Hong Kongโ€™s history since its return to Chinese rule a quarter century ago. Lamโ€™s five-year tenure saw more than 1 million people march against her government, and months of often violent street protests, after sheย triedย to allow extradition to China. Beijing responded with unprecedented interventions in the former British colonyโ€™s legislative and electoral framework that crushed open dissent in the once freewheeling city.ย 

Taiwan
Trade talks between Taiwan and the United States this week give the self-ruled island a chance toย accelerateย exports to the giant Western consumer market and away from mainland China, a political adversary that many Taiwanese firms still depend on for business, according to officials and analysts. The initiative, announced by US President Joe Bidenโ€™s administration on June 1, calls on the US to support Taiwanese agriculture, which has lost consumers in mainland China over political spats, and to engage more in its digital economy โ€“ a sector that US officials hope to avoid in China over intellectual property concerns.
ย A U.S. Navy aircraft’s flight through the Taiwan Strait last weekย demonstratedย a U.S. commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific, the U.S. military said on Tuesday, after China complained it endangered peace and stability.
The main opposition Kuomingtang (KMT) party on Wednesday (June 29)ย issuedย a statement refuting claims by the Taiwan Affairs Office (TAO) that Taiwan is ruled by Beijing and the Taiwan Strait is its “internal waters.” TAO Spokesperson Ma Xiaoguang (้ฆฌๆ›‰ๅ…‰) claimed the People’s Republic of China (PRC) replaced the Republic of China (ROC) on Oct. 1, 1949 to “become the sole legal government of China, the sole representative in the world, and fully enjoys the right to exercise China’s sovereignty, including sovereignty over Taiwan.” In response, the KMT issued a statement on itsย websiteย pointing out, “The Republic of China has always been a sovereign and independent country, and the People’s Republic of China has never ruled Taiwan.” The KMT condemned TAO’s claims as “not only hurting the feelings of Taiwanese, but also being detrimental to the peaceful development of cross-strait relations.”
Western nations need to do more toย ensureย Taiwan can protect itself against China, the UK’s foreign secretary has urged. Liz Truss said she was working with allies in the G7 group to ensure the self-ruled island has “the defence capability it needs”. She added the West had failed to arm Ukraine early enough to deter Russia from its invasion earlier this year. It comes amid fresh tensions between China and the US over Taiwan.ย In an apparent change of tone, US President Joe Bidenย stated unequivocally that the US would defend the island if China attacked.
Taiwan on Wednesdayย rebuffedย a complaint from the Philippines about live fire drills around a Taiwan-controlled island deep in the South China Sea, saying it had the right to do so and always gives issues a warning of its exercises.

Xinjiang
A new U.S. law meant toย penalizeย forced laborย in Chinaโ€™s western Xinjiang region is showcasing the still-fearsome reach of American economic powerโ€”and its limits. The law is already having a marked impact on one of Xinjiangโ€™s key industriesโ€”cottonโ€”and hasย the potential to seriously damage Chinaโ€™s textiles industry, the worldโ€™s largest. But the lack of impact on another key Xinjiang productโ€”polysilicon, used to make solar panelsโ€”showcases the lawโ€™s limits. Companies in both sectors have been implicated in the use of forced labor, according to the U.S. government.
Matthew P. Robertson, a data scientist with VOC, and Jacob Lavee write: Chinaโ€™s crime against humanityโ€”of massive executions by organ-procuring physiciansโ€”has been accomplished secretly under the headlights of operating rooms, and so for decades has been hard toย detect. The global silence with which these crimes have been met is unconscionableโ€”crimes similar to those of the Nazi doctors are repeating themselves in front of our eyes, and yet the world remains quiet. It is high time for Western scientists, doctors, and the rest of humanity to reaffirm the sanctity of the Hippocratic oath and give meaning to the Jewish slogan after the Holocaust: Never again.

The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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U.S.-China Relations
The U.S. Department of Defense has signed a $120mn deal with Australiaโ€™s Lynas Rare Earths to build one of the first U.S. domestic heavy rare earths separation facilities, part of Washingtonโ€™s push to counter Chinaโ€™s dominance of critical mineral supply chains. Rare earth elements are vital to making magnets used in military equipment such as lasers and guidance systems, as well as components in electric vehicles, wind turbines, fiber optic cables, and consumer electronics. China is responsible for almost 90% of global refining of rare earths and more than 50% of rare earths mining, according to the International Energy Agency.President Joe Biden’s administration is looking to foster renewed diplomacy with China with a close eye on the nuclear threat looming over the Korean Peninsula, a subject of the latest talks between top officials from Washington and Beijing. White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan and Chinese Central Foreign Affairs Commission Director Yang Jiechi met Monday in Luxembourg for a four-and-half-hour session of discussion that a senior Biden administration official described as “candid, in-depth, substantive and productive” during a press call later that same day. A readout issued by the White House offered few details of the meeting, simply saying that the two men discussed “a number of regional and global security issues, as well as key issues in US-China relations,” and Sullivan “underscored the importance of maintaining open lines of communication to manage competition between our two countries.”National security adviser Jake Sullivan met with Chinaโ€™s top diplomat, Yang Jiechi, on Monday to discuss a range of security challenges facing the countriesโ€™ bilateral relationship, including Russiaโ€™s war in Ukraine and North Koreaโ€™s string of ballistic missile tests. A senior administration official described the talks, which were held in Luxembourg, as โ€œcandid, in-depth, substantive and productive.โ€ The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the meeting lasted nearly five hours and follows a May phone call between Sullivan and Yang. The two last met in person in Rome on March 14 in what was later described as โ€œintenseโ€ talks that spanned at least seven hours.Amid mounting US-China tensions and spikes in anti-Asian hate, U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai told Axios in an interview she is keenly aware of the heightened scrutiny she faces as a Chinese American leading the US’s trade policy. Besides Vice President Harris, Tai is the only Asian American to serve in a Cabinet-level position in the Biden administration. Her job requires her to navigate the US’s complicated relationship with China even as Americans grow increasingly distrustful of people of Asian descent. Tai, who co-chairs the White House Initiative on Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders, said she is used to the extra attention on her work.
Russia-China Relations
China and other Asian nations are becoming an increasingly vital source of oil revenues for Moscow despite strong pressure from the US not to increase their purchases, as the European Union and other allies cut off energy imports from Russia in line with sanctions over its war on Ukraine. Such sales are boosting Russian export revenues at a time when Washington and allies are trying to limit financial flows supporting Moscowโ€™s war effort. A report by the Helsinki, Finland-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, an independent think tank released Monday said Russia earned 93 billion euros ($97.4 billion) in revenue from fossil fuel exports in the first 100 days of the countryโ€™s invasion of Ukraine, despite a fall in export volumes in May.While appealing to Asian nations for support to fend off Russiaโ€™s invasion on Saturday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said the international community should help Taiwan resist Chinaโ€™s aggression now, before Beijing attacks the island democracy it claims as its own province. The comments risk upsetting Ukraineโ€™s delicate balancing act with China; nevertheless, Zelensky insisted that aggressors must be confronted wherever they emerge. Asian countries must not wait for the crisis to act on Taiwanโ€™s behalf, which would be repeating the mistake Europe made before Russian President Vladimir Putinโ€™s attack on Ukraine. Zelenskyโ€™s remarks followed a video address he made to the Shangri-La Dialogue, an annual conference of Asian and Pacific defense and diplomatic officials organized by the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies.
CCP Foreign Influence
China and Poland have pledged to develop their economic relationship despite their clear differences over the war in Ukraine. In a video call on Friday, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Polish counterpart Zbigniew Rau that China hoped to make the country a gateway to Central and Eastern Europe and promised to explore the establishment of a two-way warehousing, logistics and distribution system. Wang also said Beijing wanted to maintain sound and stable development of relations despite the โ€œturbulent and volatile international situation,โ€ according to a statement from the foreign ministry. He also promised that China would โ€œcontinue to play a constructive role, in our own wayโ€ in Ukraine and accused the United States of using the conflict to โ€œsmear and suppressโ€ China.China has overtaken the US as the foreign power seen as having the biggest positive influence in Africa by young people, according to a survey released on Monday. A survey conducted by the Ichikowitz Family Foundation found that 76% of 4,507 young Africans across 15 countries named China as a foreign power with a positive influence on their lives, compared with 72% for the US. In 2020, when the inaugural study of 18-to-24-year-olds was conducted, 83% of respondents saw the USโ€™s influence as positive while the figure for China was 79%. The results are further evidence that China is winning the battle against geopolitical rivals such as the US and the European Union for the hearts and minds of Africans. Beijing has plowed money into African infrastructure over the past two decades and supplies the continent with affordable consumer goods ranging from mobile phones and solar panels to shovels and plastics.China has widened the gap on the United States in trade terms in large swathes of Latin America since US President Joe Biden came into office early last year, data show, underscoring how Washington is being pushed onto the back foot in the region. An exclusive Reuters analysis of UN trade data from 2015-2021 shows that outside of Mexico, the top US trade partner, China has overtaken the United States in Latin America and widened the gap last year. The trend, driven by countries in resource-rich South America, hammers home how the United States has lost ground in a region long seen as its backyard, even as Biden aimed to reset ties at the Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles last week.
COVID-19
China is the last country in the world that is trying to eliminate COVID, and the spread of the highly contagious Omicron variant is challenging its strategy of mass lockdowns and quarantines. The country already uses health code apps to surveil its citizens and track infections, and it imposes stringent lockdowns and centralized quarantines for confirmed cases and close contacts. Officials hope the regular mass testing will help isolate cases in the community before they spiral into bigger outbreaks. But the policy can be expensive and time-consuming, undercutting the central governmentโ€™s efforts to fire up the economy. In Shanghai, barely two weeks after the city lifted its two-month lockdown, the authorities have placed millions under new lockdowns to conduct mass testing, setting off protests in some areas.China’s capital has put school online in one of its major districts amid a new COVID-19 outbreak linked to a nightclub, while life has yet to return to normal in Shanghai despite the lifting of a more than two-month-long lockdown. China has stuck to its “zero-COVID” policy requiring mass testing, quarantines, and the sequestering of anyone who has come into contact with an infected person in concentrated locations where hygiene is generally poor. A total of 166 cases have been linked to the Heaven Supermarket club in the downtown Gongti nightlife area after an infected person visited there Thursday. Of those, 145 were customers, while the rest were staff or people with whom customers had later contact.A protest planned by hundreds of bank depositors in central China seeking access to their frozen funds has been thwarted because the authorities have turned their health code apps red, several depositors told Reuters. The depositors were planning to travel to the central province of Henan this week from across China to protest against an almost two-month block on accessing at least $178 million of deposits, which has left companies unable to pay workers and individuals unable to access savings.
Hong Kong
Thousands of exiled Hongkongers and allies marked the 3rd anniversary of the 2019 Hong Kong protest movement in cities around the world at the weekend, with a large crowd gathering on Parliament Square in London to mark the first anniversary of mass public protests on June 12, 2019. Some 4,000 protesters gathered in London gathered at Marble Arch, marching to Parliament Square to chant slogans including “Free Hong Kong! Revolution now!”, which has been banned under a draconian national security law in Hong Kong. Exiled former pro-democracy lawmaker Nathan Law said people’s goals weren’t all the same, but that Hongkongers in exile would still work together.Chief Executive Carrie Lam has said she feels pride, and no regrets over the 2019 extradition bill row, as her tenure comes to a close. โ€œEverything comes to an end. I feel greatly relievedโ€ฆ Whatever happens in Hong Kong after July 1 is none of my business, you canโ€™t imagine how relaxed I feel,โ€ she told Commercial Radio on Sunday, according to RTHK. Lam added she felt proud of her efforts to develop Hong Kong but felt that a โ€œgreat burdenโ€ was being lifted from her shoulders after a โ€œroller-coasterโ€ term. She said her ambitions were stalled by COVID-19 and the 2019 protests and unrest.New schoolbooks will teach students in Hong Kong that the city was never a British colony, the South China Morning Post reports, as Beijing seeks to tighten its control of the territory. The four sets of textbooks for a class on citizenship say the Chinese government never recognized the 19th-century treaties that handed Britain control of Hong Kong, the report says. They also stick to the governmentโ€™s stance on the large and sometimes violent protests in the city in 2019, blaming them on โ€œexternal forces.โ€ The educational materials have been provided to schools so they can pick which to teach from September, the newspaper said. Textbook publishers are responsible for choosing the appropriate materials for schoolbooks in accordance with official guidelines, the Education Bureau said in a statement to Bloomberg News.
Taiwan
Russiaโ€™s brutal war in Ukraine has jolted Taiwan into confronting the specter of a sudden attack from the islandโ€™s own larger and more powerful neighbor: China. The invasion has given new weight to the authoritarian vision of Chinaโ€™s leader, Xi Jinping, who has long laid claim to self-governed Taiwan for the โ€œrejuvenationโ€ of China โ€” much as President Vladimir Putin of Russia did with Ukraine. To many in Taiwan, Ukraine has been a lesson in the tactics and weaponry that could slow a more powerful invading force. It has also been a stark warning that the island may be inadequately prepared for a full-scale attack. Taiwanโ€™s defenses are, by many accounts, ill-equipped and understaffed. Its president, Tsai Ing-wen, has vowed to defend the island, but she has struggled to impose a new strategic vision on the uniformed leadership.While the KMT has long been criticized as a party stuck in the past, the chairmanโ€™s 12-day trip to the US has leaned heavily โ€” but selectively โ€” into the partyโ€™s history to highlight the themes of consistency and American-friendliness. The main purpose of Chuโ€™s US trip was to attend the plaque-unveiling ceremony at the KMTโ€™s reopened liaison office in Washington, but critics across the aisle have called the trip one of โ€œamendingโ€ the partyโ€™s soured relations with the US after years of pushing an anti-American line. The KMTโ€™s role in backing a 2021 referendum against ractopamine pork imports, largely from the US, has often been cited as clear evidence of the partyโ€™s distrust of the country. Coupled with the KMTโ€™s many instances of close association with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), the pro-China and anti-America label has stuck.China should think twice about invading Taiwan, as its Yun Feng missile could reach Beijing, Legislative Speaker You Si-kun said yesterday. He said that when he was the premier, he already knew that the Cloud Peak, a medium-range supersonic land-attack cruise missile developed in Taiwan, could reach Beijing. At the time he could not talk publicly about it, but now he could, as the missile is in mass production. Taiwan is not invading China, but China should take Taiwanโ€™s ability to attack Beijing into consideration before launching an invasion, You said yesterday. The Taiwan Strait is a natural barrier that provides a defensive advantage to Taiwan, so a Chinese invasion would be different from Russiaโ€™s invasion of Ukraine, he said.
Xinjiang
Dozens of countries voiced concern Tuesday at alleged abuses in Chinaโ€™s Xinjiang region, and demanded that the UN rights chief publish a long-delayed report on the rights situation there. โ€œWe continue to be gravely concerned about the human rights situation in Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region,โ€ The Netherlands ambassador to the UN in Geneva Paul Bekkers told the UN Human Rights Council. Delivering a joint statement on behalf of 47 countries, he pointed to a number of โ€œcredible reportsโ€ โ€” vehemently denied by Beijing โ€” indicating that more than one million Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities have been arbitrarily detained in the region. โ€œThere are reports of ongoing widespread surveillance, discrimination against Uyghurs and other persons belonging to minorities,โ€ he said.A new report, by researchers at Sheffield Hallam Universityโ€™s Helena Kennedy Centre for International Justice in England and at the Maine-based toxic chemical investigative outfit Material Research, details the toll taken by the flooring industry, painting a devastating picture of oppression and pollution in the Uyghur region, all to help consumers in the United States and other wealthy countries cheaply renovate their homes. The report calls on the industry โ€œto identify its risk and extract themselves from complicity in Uyghur forced labor.โ€ It also asks all companies that source from China โ€” including Home Depot โ€” to scrutinize their supply chains.A mystery has finally been solved for Anwar, a Uyghur American, who asked that only his first name be used for fear of “too much political attention.” Anwar said he had been “unable to speak or even just communicate” with his family in Xinjiang for five years. Then, he saw his cousin’s mugshot in what is known as the Xinjiang Police Files, documents and images leaked from within China and released to the public last month by the Washington-based Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation and news media. “I could only hope and pray for the best as I sat combing through each picture of the leaked Xinjiang Police Files,” Anwar said.

The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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U.S.-China Relations
US politicians haveย expressedย outrage about a Biden administration move to quietly tell American investors they can hold on to shares of Chinese companies on an investment blacklist for military links, as reported by Nikkei Asia. “What is the point of a required divestment period if it doesn’t actually require divestment?” Republican Senator Marco Rubio said to Nikkei. “Once again, the Biden administration has watered down and weakened critical national tools to take on the Chinese Communist Party.” From across the aisle, Michael Wessel, a Democratic member of the official US-China Economic and Security Review Commission, said: “Treasury simply got it wrong. … Investors should be required to divest their holdings, not continue to profit from the threats the actions of some of these companies pose to American interests.”
The US trade deficitย shrunkย in April by the most on record in dollar terms, reflecting a drop in the value of imports amid Covid lockdowns in China while exports climbed. The gap in goods and services trade narrowed $20.6 billion, or 19.1%, to $87.1 billion, Commerce Department data showed Tuesday. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for an $89.5 billion deficit. The figures arenโ€™t adjusted for inflation. Imports dropped in April as factory activity in China fell to the lowest level since February 2020 amid strict lockdowns to curb the spread of Covid-19. While manufacturing in the country has improved somewhat since, the measures are still straining already-tenuous global supply chains, especially when coupled with Russiaโ€™s war in Ukraine.
Facing paralysis of the US solar industry, President Joe Biden has ordered that potential trade violations by Chinese solar panel manufacturers goย unpunishedย for the next two years, sidestepping a law Congress passed to protect US workers. Bidenโ€™s move Monday to prohibit new tariffs on the solar panels also took the teeth out of an investigation by the Commerce Department that was required by law. The Biden administration had previously tried to avoid interference in whatโ€™s supposed to be an independent, quasi-judicial process. The investigation will go on uninterrupted, the Commerce Department said Monday. But nobody will be punished. Senior Biden administration officials described the move to suspend the tariffs as creating a โ€œbridgeโ€ โ€” temporarily allowing cheap foreign solar panels to flood into the US to speed the transition to clean energy, while using those two years to ramp up a fledgling US solar manufacturing industry.


Russia-China Relations
Russian officials have raised increasinglyย frustratedย requests for greater support during discussions with Beijing in recent weeks, calling on China to live up to its affirmation of a โ€œno limitsโ€ partnership made weeks before the war in Ukraine began. But Chinaโ€™s leadership wants to expand assistance for Russia without running afoul of Western sanctions and has set limits on what it will do, according to Chinese and US officials. Moscow has on at least two occasions pressed Beijing to offer new forms of economic support โ€” exchanges that one Chinese official described as โ€œtense.โ€ The officials familiar with the talks spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the matterโ€™s sensitivity. They declined to share specifics of Russiaโ€™s requests, but one official said it included maintaining โ€œtrade commitmentsโ€ predating the Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine, and financial and technological support now sanctioned by the United States and other countries.
Russia’s foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov,ย laudedย the “inexhaustible potential” of his country’s strategic relationship with China on Wednesday. Moscow’s top diplomat called for more economic integration with its powerful neighbor as the war in Ukraine neared 100 days and the West’s wide-ranging sanctions continued to endanger Russia’s growth. In prepared remarks at the top of an academic conference hosted by state-backed think tanks from Moscow and Beijing, Lavrov said Russia’s cooperation with China continued to grow in “scale and intensity” despite punctuative measures and an “information war” led by the United States. Developing the “strategic partnership” between the two countries “remains among Russia’s foreign policy priorities,” he said. “The experience of working together in the new environment shows that our ties have a powerful, truly inexhaustible potential, and are confidently passing endurance tests.”

CCP Foreign Influence
Chinaโ€™s financing of overseas projects has disproportionatelyย benefitedย the core political supporters of incumbent presidents or prime ministers of those countries that receive the funds, according to a new book. During the 20th century, China was mostly known as a recipient of international development finance. Its overseas development program was modest โ€“ roughly on a par with that of Denmark. But over the course of one generation, as Beijing emerged as the worldโ€™s second-largest economy, its footprint began to extend far beyond its borders โ€“ often in the form of infrastructure initiatives such as Belt and Road. Its use of debt rather than aid to bankroll big-ticket overseas projects created new opportunities for developing countries to achieve rapid socio-economic gains, but it also introduced major risks, such as corruption, โ€œpolitical captureโ€ and conflict.
China is secretlyย buildingย a naval facility in Cambodia for the exclusive use of its military, with both countries denying that is the case and taking extraordinary measures to conceal the operation, Western officials said. The military presence will be on the northern portion of Cambodiaโ€™s Ream Naval Base on the Gulf of Thailand, which is slated to be the site of a groundbreaking ceremony this week, according to the officials, who, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the matterโ€™s sensitivity. The establishment of a Chinese naval base in Cambodia โ€” only its second such overseas outpost and its first in the strategically significant Indo-Pacific region โ€” is part of Beijingโ€™s strategy to build a network of military facilities around the world in support of its aspirations to become a true global power, the officials said.
In every crisis, someone alwaysย benefits. In the case of Russiaโ€™s invasion of Ukraine, that someone is Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. By refusing to condemn Moscow and join Western-led sanctions, Modi has managed to elevate Indiaโ€™s global stature. Each of the other major powersโ€”the United States, Russia, and Chinaโ€”are intensely courting India to deny a strategic advantage to their adversaries. Relishing the spotlight, Modi and his Hindu-nationalist government will surely look to keep the momentum going. Their likely goal is to carve out an independent superpower role for India, hasten the transition to a multipolar international system, and ultimately cement its new status with a permanent United Nations Security Council seat for India.

COVID-19
Chinese authorities have apparentlyย easedย restrictions on a commuter town near Beijing after the latest show of public anger against Covid-19 controls. Thousands of residents gathered in Yanjiao, Hebei province on Wednesday to protest over measures that have made it difficult for them to enter Beijing in the past two years. The town is located on the eastern outskirts of Beijing, about 35km from the city centre. Many people choose to live there because it is cheaper than Beijing, and about 100,000 residents need to make the daily commute into the capital. But since the pandemic began, towns like Yanjiao have been subject to some of the toughest controls in China. Yanjiao residents have been unable to enter the capital for months this year even though there have been few cases in the region.
Chinaโ€™s Premier Li Keqiangโ€™s recentย warningย that the economy is facing serious challenges as a result of its Covid-19 controls has raised fears the country may be facing its biggest economic slowdown โ€“ or even recession โ€“ in decades. Chinese and international observers have suggested that Beijing may need to rethink its approach towards the West and scale down its global ambitions as it grapples with an increasingly hostile external environment. They warned that economic headwinds may compromise Chinaโ€™s ability to compete with the United States and put further strains on the Belt and Road Initiative, its transcontinental investment strategy. Senior Chinese officials, however, have put on a brave face over the past week, trying to play down such concerns while repeating their promises to developing nations.
A COVID-19 vaccine candidate from China’s Walvax Biotechnology using mRNA technologyย triggeredย a stronger antibody response against the Omicron variant of the coronavirus as a booster dose than Sinovac’s shot, clinical trial data showed. The result for Walvax’s ARCoV candidate, which is yet to be peer reviewed, comes as competition for the COVID booster market intensifies in China, where more than half of the 1.4 billion population have so far received a non-mRNA booster shot. Among 300 healthy adults vaccinated with two doses of either a Sinovac or Sinopharm vaccine around six months earlier, the neutralizing antibody level against Omicron in those given an ARCoV booster was 4.4-fold higher than in those who received a Sinovac third dose, researchers said in a paper published on Tuesday.

Hong Kong
Congress and the White House continue toย failย Hongkongers. Most recently, as protesters have fled Hong Kong and sought refuge across the world, Congress has repeatedly failed to back their claimed support of the cause with action. Despite several efforts, no legislation to provide Hongkongers a pathway to residency has successfully become law. In the latest effortโ€”a very modest bill to allow in a few thousand Hongkongers each yearโ€”a single senator blocked its passage, and now a legislative committee is close to rejecting its inclusion in a larger legislative package. These bills have been bipartisan efforts. Hongkongers are, on average, a relatively skilled and prosperous bunch, and the US is in the midst of a labor shortage. Logic suggests Hongkongers should be welcomed with open arms by those of all political stripes. So what has prevented the US Government from doing so?
The high-profile national security case involving a number of pro-democracy figures has largely beenย transferredย to Hong Kongโ€™s High Court, with 44 defendants committed to the Court of First Instance for trial or sentencing. Dozens of defendants have spent more than a year behind bars as committal proceedings were repeatedly adjourned. Principal Magistrate Peter Law on Monday moved 27 democrats to the High Court, where they could face up to life in prison over an alleged conspiracy to commit subversion in connection with an unofficial legislative primary election held in July 2020. Committal proceedings began last July and were adjourned numerous times in the months since. The accused included former law professor Benny Tai, prominent activist Joshua Wong, former lawmakers, ex-district councillors and other activists, who organized and participated in the primary with the aim of gaining a controlling majority in the legislature.
Six people have beenย arrestedย in Hong Kong as authorities moved to restrict public commemoration of the Tiananmen Square massacre. Saturday was the 33rd anniversary of the highly sensitive incident in which China’s rulers crushed peaceful protests with tanks and troops. Until recently, Hong Kong was one of the few Chinese territories which commemorated the event. But Beijing has effectively banned the city’s annual public vigil. Hong Kong Police confirmed five men and one woman had been arrested in the vicinity of Victoria Park, where a candlelight vigil marking the 1989 crackdown in Beijing would have been held. The six are now in police custody.

Taiwan
Although Chinaโ€™s threat to seize Taiwan by force has been in place ever since the Chinese Nationalist government and army fled to Taiwan in 1949 after losing the civil war on the mainland, Beijing had long focused on pulling the island into its fold with economic lure and political pressure. But many Taiwanese policymakers nowย believeย that as the Chinese Communist party loses hope these measures will ever work and with its armed forces modernizing rapidly, Xi might opt for war soon. Taiwan came into renewed focus as an increasingly dangerous flashpoint just days after Bidenโ€™s inauguration last year when Chinese warplanes simulated missile attacks on a US aircraft carrier sailing in the vicinity of the country. Over the following months, China then boosted the tempo and size of fighter jet and bomber sorties near Taiwan.
It is wrong toย labelย Taiwan’s main opposition party the Kuomintang (KMT) as being pro-China as it has always been pro-US and is dedicated to defending the island though also to talking to Beijing, its chairman said in Washington. The KMT ruled China until fleeing to Taiwan in 1949 after losing a civil war to the Communists. It has traditionally favored close ties with Beijing, which has increasingly set it at odds with most Taiwanese, who feel little in common with autocratic China. The KMT badly lost presidential and parliamentary elections in 2020, having failed to shake accusations from the governing Democratic Progressive Party it would sell out Taiwan to Beijing.
A civic group in Taiwanย unveiledย a replica of the “Pillar of Shame” statue honoring the victims of the 1989 Tiananmen Square incident on its 33rd anniversary on Saturday. The original sculpture created by a Danish artist had been on the University of Hong Kong’s campus since 1998. Memorial services were held in front of the statue every year. However, the university removed the statue last December following a series of arrests under the territory’s national security law that is designed to clamp down on anti-government activities. With permission from the Danish creator, the civic group in Taiwan has reproduced the statue using a 3-D printer. About 500 participants, including Hong Kong people living in Taiwan, observed a silent prayer for 64 seconds from 8:09 p.m. that represented June 4, 1989.

Xinjiang
Several European lawmakers are pushing toย designateย human rights abuses against Uygurs and other ethnic Muslims in Xinjiang by China as โ€œgenocide.โ€ The resolution will be presented to the European Parliament this week. The parties entred negotiations on Tuesday to finalize the text of the resolution, which will be reviewed on Wednesday and hopefully put to a vote on Thursday. Four of the biggest parties in the European Parliament, the center-right European Peopleโ€™s Party (EPP), the center-left Renew Group, the Socialist and Democrats (S&Ds) and the right-wing European Conservatives and Reformists, are likely to back the motion, giving a high chance of it passing, according to the South China Morning Post.
Some time ago in a major city in eastern China, a letter was hand-delivered by a Uyghur young man. The young manย addressedย the letter to the world outside China. The recipient of the letter, a non-Chinese citizen in eastern China, in turn shared it with me at the authorโ€™s request. At the risk of great personal harm, the author insisted that the letter be translated, edited, and published in English. After independently confirming the identity of the letter-writer, I agreed to do this. In the letter, the author describes how his life has been shattered by the mass internment campaign that has swept up Uyghurs from across the country, trapping them โ€œin the darker world of Xinjiang.โ€
Itโ€™s been over five years since Iโ€™veย seenย my mother. At a banquet for my cousin in the village of Karasu, in the Yining district, they arrested her and took her away for questioning. My younger brother waited outside for her for seven hours, but nobody told him his mom wouldnโ€™t be able to come home that day. After that, she disappeared for several months. We searched and searched, and finally we learned through some friends and coworkers that she was in a camp.

The China Debriefย is a resource of the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation.

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THE CHINA DEBRIEF MAY- ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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False claims about sources of coronavirus cause spat ...
U.S.-China Relations
President Bidenโ€™s decision on Monday to try to align with Asian partners to form an economic bloc against China comes at a moment of frustration over his administrationโ€™s economic approach to Beijing, with some White House advisers pushing the president to move away from the Trump-era policies he criticized and others arguing that Mr. Biden risks being seen as weak on China if he relents. Some officials have grown frustrated that US trade relations with China are still defined by policies set by President Donald J. Trump, including tariffs imposed on more than $360 billion of products and trade commitments made during a deal the United States and China signed in early 2020.This week, Biden will join Modi in Tokyo at a meeting of the Quad, the US-backed coalition of โ€œIndo-Pacific democraciesโ€ โ€” India, Japan,
Australia, and the United States. The four Quad countries agree on one major goal: They want to counter Chinaโ€™s rise as the dominant power in Asia. But when it comes to the worldโ€™s most pressing crisis, the war in Ukraine, the Quad wonโ€™t have much to say because India, the odd country out, is still sitting on the fence. One reason for Indiaโ€™s refusal to join the global condemnation of Russia is practical: Moscow is its No. 1 military supplier. According to one study, as much as 85% of Indiaโ€™s major weapons are Russian made. If Russian President Vladimir Putin cut off those supplies, India would soon run out of spare parts for aircraft and missile systems.Time is running out for Beijing to reach a deal with Washington to prevent mass de-listings of Chinese companies whose shares trade on US exchanges. After more than a decade of standing in the way of US regulatory inspections of Chinese companiesโ€™ auditors, authorities in China have been unusually vocal in recent months about their desire to resolve what has become a major drag on overseas-listed Chinese stocks like Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Baidu Inc. The change in tone has come as a three-year countdown for China to comply with the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act of 2020 looks increasingly likely to be shortened. Striking and executing any deal would entail a lengthy process, and the new timetable could see US stock-trading bans for some Chinese companies starting as early as next March.

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CALIGULA (BY TINTO BRASS) – PETER O’ TOOLE, MALCOLM MCDOWELL, HELEN MIRREN – FULL ORIGINAL MOVIE

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NEROSUBIANCO ( 1969) BY TINTO BRASS – FULL ORIGINAL MOVIE

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Publication date 1969-02-26
Topics Anita Sanders, Terry Carter, Nino Segurino, Italian film, Italian cinema, LSD, exploitation film, grindhouse film, european cinema, european film, psychedelic film, 1960s, 1969, Tinto Brass, hippie, hippy, erotica, adults only, 18+
Language English
Plot: A married womanโ€™s journey through the psychedelic English youth scene awakens her to the carnal offerings of an African-American man.

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THE WESTERN WORLD WITHOUT CHIPS FROM TAIWAN

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NEW – FEBRUARY 17TH 2022 – THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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U.S.-China Relations

The United States has accused China of failing to meet its commitments to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and says it is exploring new ways to combat aggressive Chinese trade practices. In its annual report on Chinese compliance with WTO rules, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative said Wednesday that China isnโ€™t keeping the promises it made to open its markets to foreign competition when it joined the 164-country Geneva-based agency in 2001. โ€œChina has instead retained and expanded its state-led, non-market approach to the economy and trade,โ€™โ€™ said US Trade Representative Katherine Tai. โ€œChinaโ€™s policies and practices challenge the premise of the WTOโ€™s rules and cause serious harm to workers and businesses around the world.โ€™โ€™

The U.S. Secretary of Stateโ€™s lightning visit to Fiji may be sudden, but not surprising. That Antony Blinken is the first U.S. Secretary of State to visit Fiji in 37 years reflects just how much has changed geopolitically. It is also an indication of Fijiโ€™s influential role in this part of the world, being a strong, if not the strongest, Pacific ally of China, the arch-rival of the US in the Pacific. In what is an election year for Fiji, Blinken appeared keen to meet the Fijian prime minister Frank Bainimarama, who is known to be close to China, but he remains hospitalized in Australia after a serious operation, so the acting prime minister Aiyaz-Sayed Khaiyum plays host.

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NEW – FEBRUARY 11TH 2022 – THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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Watch The Most Sensitive Material On The Internet ...
XI
U.S.-China Relations
China fell more than $213 billion short of its commitment to increase purchases of US goods and services that it made to then-President Donald Trump in 2020, according to a report released Tuesday. The commitment was made in what’s known as the Phase One deal, in which Beijing promised to purchase $200 billion more in American exports than it had in 2017, before a U.S.-China trade war began. Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping both stopped escalating tariffs after the deal was signed. The deal required China to meet its purchase commitments by the end of 2021. While China was never on track to meet the target number, a new report from the Peterson Institute for International Economics gives the first complete picture of how much was purchased over the two-year period.The U.S. House of Representatives on Friday narrowly passed a multibillion-dollar bill aimed at increasing American competitiveness with China and boosting U.S. semiconductor manufacturing, despite Republican opposition. The Democratic-majority House backed the โ€œAmerica COMPETES Act of 2022โ€ by 222-210, almost entirely along party lines. One Republican joined Democrats in voting for the measure and one Democrat voted no. Passage set up negotiations with the Senate on a compromise version of the legislation, which must pass both chambers before it can be sent to the White House for President Joe Biden’s signature. The talks could take weeks or months. The vote took place the same day as the opening ceremony for the Beijing Winter Olympics, amid criticism in Congress of the International Olympic Committee for awarding the Games to China. Human rights groups have long criticized China’s rights record, allegations China denies.The U.S. government on Monday announced restrictions on transactions with 33 Chinese organizations whose ownership is deemed to be โ€œunverified,โ€ and unsealed an indictment against a Shenzhen-based tech company already banned from supplying U.S. federal agencies. The Commerce Departmentโ€™s new โ€œunverified listโ€ entries are primarily hi-tech manufacturers, including those that produce laser components and pharmaceuticals, government research labs, and two universities. U.S. companies seeking to export to entities on the list must obtain a license to do so. One of the listed schools, Southern University of Science and Technology in Shenzhen, figured into the indictment of a Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor accused of misrepresenting his relationship to China on funding documents. Charges in that case were dropped last month, when prosecutors said they did not have enough evidence.U.S. President Joe Biden extended Trump-era tariffs on imported solar energy equipment by four years on Friday, but in a major concession to installers, he also eased the terms to exclude a panel technology dominant among big U.S. projects. The decision represented a balancing act by the Biden administration to meet the demands of two important political constituencies: union labor, which supports import restrictions to protect domestic jobs, and clean energy developers keen to access cheap overseas supplies. The four-year extension of the tariff exempts so-called bifacial panels, which can generate electricity on both sides and are favored by large-scale developers, according to a White House announcement. That technology was nascent when the tariffs were first imposed by Trump, but it is now used in most large U.S. solar facilities.
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NEW – FEBRUARY 3RD 2022 – THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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Communist China Dictator Xi Jinping Calls for Global QR ...
U.S.-China Relations
U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai is working to repair her relationship with national security adviser Jake Sullivan after a Situation Room confrontation in which she accused him โ€” in front of colleagues โ€” of undermining her in the press, people familiar with the matter tell Axios. The rare window on personal clashes inside the Biden White House also illuminates the tension between the president’s trade and national security advisers about how and when to execute aspects of their China strategy. Tai, formerly chief trade counsel for the House Ways and Means Committee, has taken pains to involve lawmakers and labor leaders as the Biden administration recalibrates the country’s trade agenda. A digital trade deal is an alternative to TPP and a way to show allies and partners the U.S. wants to engage in the region.China will suffer a greater loss than the United States from โ€œtech decouplingโ€ and trails its rival in key areas, Chinese academics have warned. In a report published by Peking Universityโ€™s Institute of International and Strategic Studies on Sunday, researchers compared the development of China and the US in areas of competition between the two, including information technology, artificial intelligence (AI) and space and aerospace technology. โ€œWhile the current US administration has not yet determined the boundaries of decoupling, certain consensus has already been formed in key tech areas such as chip manufacturing and AI,โ€ the researchers led by institute president Wang Jisi said. The researchers said the U.S.โ€™s decoupling strategy would also involve the forming of an โ€œalliance of tech democraciesโ€ to completely isolate China.China has failed to meet its commitments under a two-year “Phase 1” trade deal that expired at the end of 2021, and discussions are continuing with Beijing on the matter, Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Sarah Bianchi said on Tuesday. “You know, it is really clear that the Chinese haven’t met their commitment in Phase 1. That’s something we’re trying to address,” Bianchi told a virtual forum hosted by the Washington International Trade Association. In the deal signed by former President Donald Trump in January 2020, China pledged to increase purchases of U.S. farm and manufactured goods, energy and services by $200 billion above 2017 levels during 2020 and 2021. Through November, China had met only about 60% of that goal, according to trade data compiled by Peterson Institute for International Economics senior fellow Chad Bown.The U.S. House of Representatives plans a procedural vote on Wednesday on a bill aimed at increasing U.S. competitiveness with China and supporting the U.S. chip industry, according to a source familiar with the decision. President Joe Biden’s administration is pushing to persuade Congress to approve the bill, which includes $52 billion to subsidize semiconductor manufacturing and research, as shortages of the key components used in autos and computers have exacerbated supply chain bottlenecks. If the procedural vote succeeds in the narrowly Democratic-controlled House, the full chamber would aim to vote on the full bill on Friday. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi last week said the 2,900-page bill, called the “America Competes” act, would “supercharge” investment in chips and boost U.S. manufacturing and research capacity, as well as advancing U.S. competitiveness and leadership.
 
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THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED

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False claims about sources of coronavirus cause spat ...

Two U.S. Navy carrier strike groups are currently drilling in the South China Sea amid the latest show of force of Chinese aircraft into Taiwanโ€™s Air Defense Identification Zone on Sunday. The Carl Vinson CSG and Abraham Lincoln CSG began dual-carrier operations in the South China on Sunday, the same day Taiwan said the Peopleโ€™s Liberation Army Air Force flew 39 planes in Taiwanโ€™s ADIZ. The CSGs โ€œwill engage in joint operations to include enhanced maritime communication operations, anti-submarine warfare operations, air warfare operations, replenishments-at-sea, cross-deck flight operations and maritime interdiction operations to strengthen maritime integrated-at-sea operations and combat readiness,โ€ the U.S. Navy said in a news release, adding that training will take place in accordance with international law in international waters.

Continue reading “THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING REVEALED” →

THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING

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China invents the digital totalitarian state - Big data ...

U.S.-China Relations
The second half of 2021 was marked by revelations of a sharp upturn in Chinaโ€™s strategic strength. Beijing stunned the Pentagon and the U.S. intelligence community in July by firing a hypersonic weapon, in a test that suggested the Chinese military could hit targets anywhere in the U.S. with nuclear weapons. General Mark Milley, chair of the U.S. joint chiefs of staff, reacted by saying the event was close to a “Sputnik moment” โ€” in reference to the launch of an artificial satellite by the Soviet Union in 1957, which demonstrated Moscowโ€™s growing prowess and intensified Cold War competition. However, as Chinaโ€™s tech knowhow grows, the pushback from Washington strengthens. In one recent example, the U.S. last month put Chinaโ€™s Academy of Military Medical Sciences and 11 affiliated biotechnology research institutes on an export blacklist, for allegedly helping the Chinese military to develop “brain-control” weapons.
Continue reading “THE CHINA DEBRIEF – ORIGINAL BRIEFING” →

China War Fears Erupt As Nuclear Submarine Snapped In Taiwan Strait: ‘Playing With Fire’

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ASIA RADAR – Taiwan vs China War Would Unleash ‘Global Catastrophe’: ‘No Room For Miscalculation’ย 

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A WAR between Taiwan and China would unleash a “global catastrophe,” a Taiwanese MP has warned amid fears for democracy and trade in the region. A Taiwanese lawmaker has warned an all-out conflict with China for control over the island nation would result in a “global catastrophe.”ย Wang Ting-Yu is aย member of Taiwan’s Foreign Affairs and National Defense Committee.

China’s Four-Phase Military Plot To Invade Taiwan Exposed

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CHINA has unveiled a ‘four-phase military campaign’ to invade and take over Taiwan, as the threat of all-out conflict “grows every day”. China has developed a ‘four-phase’ military plan to invade and take over Taiwan. Indian broadcaster WION showed a copy of the Chinese “invasion playbook” which details the breakdown of a potential military confrontation.

Taiwan Will Not Bow Down To China, Says President

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Taiwanโ€™s President Tsai Ing-wen says her government will not bow down to pressure from China and will continue to bolster the islandโ€™s defences in order to protect its democratic way of life. Tsaiโ€™s strong riposte on Sunday comes a day after Chinese President Xi Jinping promised once again to realise โ€œpeaceful reunificationโ€ with the self-ruled territory. Claimed by China as its own territory, Taiwan has come under growing military and political pressure to accept Beijingโ€™s rule. This includes repeated Chinese air force incursions into Taiwanโ€™s air defence identification zone. During the first week of October alone, Beijing sent some 149 military planes near the island, forcing Taiwan to scramble its fighter jets and sparking international concern.

China Ready For ‘Full Scale Taiwan Invasion’ By 2025 As Xi Warns ‘Failure Not An Option’

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CHINA will be ready for a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025 as the communist state wants to be at full power. Asia politics expert Helen Davidson reflected on the ominous predictions by Taiwan’s Defence Minister as World War 3 fears have been sparked. While speaking to ABC News, she said Taiwan Defence Minister Chiu Kuo-Cheng believes China is capable of invading Taiwan.

Biden Issues Blunt Warning To China As Taiwan War Fears Erupt

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China Sparks WW3 Fears As Jets Enter Taiwan Airspace

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CHINA sent Taiwan’s airforce scrambling today after 25 Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwanese airspace, sparking war fears. Today Taiwan’s air force rushed to the skies after 25 Chinese military aircraft entered its air defence zone. The military craft were marking China’s national day.

War Fears Explode As China Sends 19 Fighter Jets Into Taiwan Airspace – Island On Alert

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China has deployed 19 fighter jets into Taiwan airspace, sparking fears of imminent conflict. A swarm of jets entered Taiwanโ€™sย air defence zone on Thursday and included 12 J-16 fighters and two nuclear-capable H-6 bombers, the Taiwan defence ministry said.

Will China Invade Taiwan? Beijing Media Claims Western Soldiers Will ‘Waste Their Lives’

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China is on the offensive regarding the new Aukus pact for the Indo-Pacific region. Will China invade Taiwan as a result? Taiwan has welcomed the Aukus pact between the UK, USA and Australia, whereas China and some key allies have decried the new agreement.

China Orders EU To Back Down On Taiwan As Row Explodes โ€“ Xi Furious At ‘Serious Violation’

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Taiwan Spends $1.4 Billion On Warplanes To fight Off Chinese Invasion

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Taiwan is to spend an additional $1.4bn (ยฃ1.02bn) on warplanes, in a bid to ward off possible Chinese invasion. President Tsai Ing-wen announced a 10 percent increase in the defence budget this year, taking it to $16.89bn (ยฃ12.36bn). Beijing claims sovereignty over the island of Taiwan and has threatened force to reclaim what it considers to be a lost province.

China ‘Already Preparing’ To Invade Taiwan – Jinping ‘Encouraged’ After Afghanistan Crisis

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War Fears Surge As China Vows To โ€˜Crushโ€™ US Troops In Taiwan After Afghan Chaos

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CHINA has threatened to “crush” any US troops sent to Taiwan, following America’s disastrous pull-out from Afghanistan which left the Taliban in power. The threat was made by Global Times, a newspaper aligned with Chinaโ€™s ruling communist party.

Breaking News – Chinese Media Threatens ‘Immediate War’ On US Troops

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BEIJING will “immediately launch a war” on US troops in Taiwan if an American Senator’s figures are correct. Hu Xijin, editor-in-chief of the Chinese state-run Global Times, said the US and Taiwan โ€œmust explainโ€ figures posted by an American Senator which claimed 30,000 US troops are on the island.

‘Warning To Taiwan!’ War Fears Skyrocket As China Snipes US With Calculated Message

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CHINA has sparked fresh war fears after it warned Taiwan the United States “fleeing action” is a forecast in an apparent reference to the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan. The last few days have seen chaos ensue in Afghanistan as Western nations evacuated their soldiers and civilians amid the Taliban takeover of Kabul.

China Dispatches Warships And Troops Towards Taiwan – Video

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CHINA has taken advantage of the world’s current focus on Afghanistan to launch a series of intimidating military drills close to Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in a move Beijing said had been prompted by “external interference” and “provocations”.

China And US On Collision Course Over Taiwan As Xi ‘Sends Very Clear Signal’ Of Invasion

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China could prevail in a conflict over Taiwan โ€˜even if the US intervenes’, a panel of experts have warned. The panel of experts, questioned during a virtual meeting hosted by LaTrobe University, set out to discuss the possibility of war in Asia amid surging tensions in the South China Sea.

“Aircraft Carrier Killer” – Beijing Sharpens Efforts To โ€˜Fight And Winโ€™ In South China Sea

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China could use “carrier killer” aircraft in military drills as the Chinese ramp up efforts to “fight and win” in the South China Sea. The Peopleโ€™s Liberation Army (PLA) will set up a navigation restriction zone in the South China Sea to conduct military exercises between Friday and Tuesday, according to reports from a Beijing-based paper aligned to the Chinese Communist Party.

South China Sea Warning As US Policy โ€˜Under Attackโ€™ Amid Joe Bidenโ€™s Arms Sale To Taiwan

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The US’ South China Sea policy of “strategic ambiguity” is “under attack” from Congress, a China expert and political scientist has told Express.co.uk, amid President Joe Biden’s arms tale to Taiwan. Mr Biden, who will mark his 200th day in office this weekend, has notified Congress of a $750million (ยฃ538million) sale of weapons to Taiwan.

Howitzers To Be Sold To Taiwan In ยฃ540M Deal Sparking Furious China Response – US On Alert

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Taiwan is to be supplied with British-built howitzers by the United States in a deal which could be worth up to ยฃ540millon ($750million). However, China has angrily denounced the news, coming at a time of rocketing tensions between the superpowers, with an official warning of unspecified โ€œcountermeasuresโ€.

South China Sea Panic – Beijing ‘Readying’ For War With ‘Military Modernisation’ – Video

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South China Sea tensions could erupt after an expert told how Beijing is “readying itself” for war with its “military modernisation” plan, placing it in a position where it may invade Taiwan. Beijing has been flexing its muscles in the disputed waters in recent weeks amid rising tensions between China and western-aligned nations. China has stepped up its naval operation…

China and Russia’s ‘Team Up’ Could Spark International Disaster As Beijing May Invade – Video

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The UK and its Western allies have been warned by a Conservative MP of an international crisis as China and Russia team up. Tory MP and Chair of the House of Commons Defence Select Committee, Tobias Ellwood, warned that China and Russia teaming up could be a big challenge for the West.

War Fears As Chinese Military Expert Warns US Over Taiwan Invasion – ‘Won’t Stand A Chance’

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The US “won’t stand a chance” of stopping a Chinese invasion of Taiwan as it would happen “in a very short amount of time”, according to experts. Du Wenlong, a military expert at China’s Military Culture Society, said that Chinese force would arrive on the neighbouring island quickly. Wenlong told China’s state-controlled broadcaster CCTV that this gives the US โ€œno chance to intervene”.

Video – Australia Could Be ‘Collateral Damage’ In All-Out War With China Over Taiwan

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The US might not take action to stop a Chinese attack on Taiwan, an Australian politician has warned. Tensions over Taiwan have continued to increase as Beijing doubles down on its aggressive actions towards the island state. Recent months have seen a ratcheting up of militant rhetoric and continued incursions of Taiwan’s airspace by Chinese fighter jets.

The ‘Fear’ Is A War Between US And China May Occur ‘And We Get Caught In Collateral Damage’

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Liberal Senator Jim Molan says his “fear” is that a war between China and the United States may occur, and that Australia gets “caught in collateral damage”.

“Or, even more frightening, the US – because it hasn’t won a war game in the last couple of years over a Taiwan scenario – is that they don’t engage and Taiwan falls,” Mr Molan told Sky News host Chris Smith. “That is the big problem”.