📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST — 08 DECEMBER 2025 ✌️
Founded 2000 A.D. — Bernd Pulch — Investment: The Original
📍 patreon.com/berndpulch ✨
🕘 MARKET PULSE (approx. 08:30 AM ET / 12:30 UTC)
Major indices mixed as markets digest surprise weak private payrolls and await delayed PCE data and next week’s FOMC. Risk tone cautious — holiday volumes thin, headlines (geopolitics & tariffs) keep flows selective.
- 📊 EQUITIES — mixed; labour print shifts probabilities
- S&P 500 (USA): ~6,870 (-0.2% intraday) — modest profit-taking after the prior run; breadth thin.
- Nasdaq Composite: ~23,580 (+0.3%) — tech resilience continues to underpin market tone.
- DAX (Germany): ~23,840–24,100 area (regional PMIs and flows driving modest gains).
Comment: delayed September PCE (today) + Fed communication next week are the dominant catalysts — positioning is cautious and tactical.
- 💱 FX, YIELDS & COMMODITIES — dollar soft, yields steady, gold up
- EUR/USD: trading near 1.16 (softening dollar supportive).
- DXY: ~100.4 (mildly lower on Fed-cut repricing).
- US 10-yr yield: ~4.1% (holding in narrow range as markets price a high chance of easing).
- Gold (spot): ~$4,210–$4,216/oz — bid visible as rate-cut odds rise and dollar eases.
- ⚡ CRYPTO — measured rebound, ETF flows noticeable
- Bitcoin: trading ~$91k (selective institutional accumulation; flows into ETFs turned positive in recent sessions).
- Ethereum: mid-$3k area — staking demand and DeFi activity steady.
Comment: leverage/liquidations remain a risk; manage size and stops.
- 📰 KEY DRIVERS & ECONOMIC CONTEXT
- ADP payrolls: private payrolls surprised to the downside (-32k in November) — a meaningful soft signal that pushed Fed-cut odds higher.
- PCE (delayed September release) today — market will re-weigh Fed timing based on these prints; next Tuesday FOMC/Powell is the obvious event risk.
- Corporate headlines: Mixed Q4 preannouncements — consumer discretionary shows bifurcation (home big-ticket softness vs. pockets of resilience).
- Geopolitics: Iran-Israel frictions + Russia-Ukraine stalemate keep oil/gold volatility on the table.
- 📈 WHAT WE’RE WATCHING (TRADE MAP)
- Short term: defend gains — trim high-beta exposure; use tactical OW to quality cyclicals & select banks.
- Hedges: small gold miners + short-dated Treasuries as volatility insurance.
- Opportunities: selective dip buys in resilient AI/tech names if PCE confirms disinflation; small tactical crypto exposure with tight risk controls.
- 🔒 ABOUT — PATREON & BERND PULCH (SUBSCRIBER OFFER)
Investment: The Original (Bernd Pulch) provides verified, data-driven digests, real-time flow commentary and proprietary models. On Patreon (patreon.com/berndpulch) patrons get:
- Full intraday flow heatmaps (equities, bonds, gold, crypto)
- Fed-Cut Probability models and sensitivity tables
- Gold demand matrix & miner screening lists
- Crypto risk dashboard (OI, funding, whale flows)
- Early access to special intelligence briefs & monthly Q&A sessions
Support independent market intelligence — patron packs contain charts and copy-ready briefs for professional use. 🔐✨
🇩🇪 INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL — DIGEST — 08. DEZEMBER 2025 ✌️
Gegründet 2000 A.D. — Bernd Pulch — patreon.com/berndpulch 🎯
🕘 MARKTPULS (ca. 14:30 MESZ)
Gemischter Handel — US-Indizes leicht unter Druck; Fokus auf verspäteten September-PCE-Daten und der FOMC-Woche. Positionierung defensiv-taktisch.
- 📊 AKTIEN
- S&P 500: ~6.870 (-0,2%)
- Nasdaq: ~23.580 (+0,3%)
- DAX: im Bereich 23.800–24.100 (moderate Gewinne)
Kommentar: Gewinnmitnahmen im S&P, Tech-Resilienz stützt Nasdaq; PCE entscheidet nächste größere Bewegungsrichtung.
- 💱 DEVISEN / RENDITEN / ROHSTOFFE
- EUR/USD: ~1,16; DXY: ~100,4; US-10J: ~4,1% — Renditen in enger Range.
- Gold: ~4.210–4.216 USD/oz — Stärke sichtbar bei fallenden Realrenditen.
- ⚡ KRYPTO
- Bitcoin: rund 91.000 USD — ETF-Zuflüsse verstärken selektive Akkumulation; Hebel-Risiken bleiben.
- 📰 TREIBER
- ADP: -32.000 private Jobs im November (Warnsignal).
- PCE heute, FOMC nächste Woche — beides zentrale Treiber.
- 🧭 TAKTISCHE AUSSICHT
- Kurzfristig defensiv; OW Qualität & Gold; selektive Chancen in Tech bei Bestätigung der Disinflation.
- 🔐 PATREON-ABSCHNITT (AUSZUG)
Patrons erhalten Full-Pack: Flow-Heatmaps, Fed-Cut Modell, Gold-Matrix, Crypto-Dashboard und Trade-Setups. 👉 patreon.com/berndpulch ✨
Sources (key): ADP report; market wrap and index closes (Zacks/Nasdaq reporting); Reuters & market wires on gold; Barron’s/market wires on bitcoin flows and institutional buys.
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