INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL DIGEST NOVEMBER 19/20 2025✌INVESTMENT DAS ORIGINAL 19./20. NOVEMBER 2025 FOUNDED IN 2000 ANNO DOMINI✌

ABOVE TOP SECRET, BERND PULCH, INTELLIGENCE, INVESTMENT, MEDIA, NEWS 5 Minutes

DIGEST — 20 NOVEMBER — INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL
(With Patreon Part + Expanded Details + German Version Below)

📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — DAILY DIGEST (20 NOVEMBER)

Global Macro • Markets • Real Assets • Risk Radar • Crypto • Insider Capital Flows • Special Patreon Section

1️⃣ MACRO & GEOPOLITICS

USA

  • CPI expectations for November shifting: desks now model 3.34% YoY vs earlier 3.41%, supporting a mild risk-on shift.
  • Treasury auctions:
    • 2Y: 4.77%
    • 10Y: 4.54%
    • 30Y: 4.67%
      Bid-to-cover ratios remain above 2.4 — still stable foreign demand.
  • Fed speakers hint that real rates are “restrictive enough”; markets now price 1–2 cuts in H1 2026.

EU / EUROZONE

  • Bund yields: 10Y at 2.61%, supported by softer German PPI (–11.1% YoY).
  • Italy’s spread vs Bund stable at +174 bps, despite recession signals.
  • Germany’s residential property index (HypoPort): –5.8% YoY decline.

ASIA

  • China signals another liquidity injection (PBOC MLF rate still ~2.5%).
  • Japanese yen: 152.3 per USD, BoJ silent → volatility expected soon.

2️⃣ EQUITIES

US

  • S&P 500 forward P/E: 18.9
  • Tech remains dominant:
    • NVDA: +2.1% on new supply chain signals
    • MSFT: +1.3% driven by AI enterprise contracts
  • Biotech index (XBI): +0.9% after positive FDA tone.

EU

  • DAX: +0.34%
  • FTSE 100: flat, dragged by commodities.
  • Banks:
    • Deutsche Bank –0.7%
    • UBS –1.1%

3️⃣ FIXED INCOME

  • US HY spread: +402 bps (tight but stable).
  • EU corporate BBB spreads: +178 bps.
  • Emerging Markets USD bonds: inflows $1.3B this week.

4️⃣ REAL ASSETS & PROPERTY

Commercial Real Estate

  • Global office vacancy record: 19%.
  • EU logistics yields: 5.2–5.7%.
  • Austria residential: prices –3.4% YoY, with Vienna stabilizing.

Commodities

  • Gold: $2,149
  • Silver: $26.24
  • WTI Oil: $76.40, demand estimates cut another 500k b/d.

5️⃣ CRYPTO & DIGITAL ASSETS

  • BTC: $95,780
  • ETH: $5,210
  • SOL: $189
    Institutional flows positive for 6th week: +$245M.
    ETF inflows (US): $122M yesterday.
    Mining difficulty +3.2%.

6️⃣ CAPITAL FLOWS (HARD NUMBERS)

  • Sovereign wealth buying US equities: $3.2B in past 5 days.
  • Swiss private banks net inflows: CHF 2.1B.
  • Hedge fund leverage ratio: 0.84 → 0.89 (mild risk-on).
  • Largest insider buys:
    • US medical tech CEO: $4.8M purchase
    • EU energy CFO: €1.2M purchase

7️⃣ RISK RADAR

High Risks

  • China real estate contagion
  • US consumer credit delinquencies at 3.1%, highest since 2011
  • Eurozone industrial decline deepening
  • Yen volatility risk

Medium Risks

  • Commodity rollover
  • AI regulation drafts US/EU
  • US government shutdown noise

8️⃣ BERND PULCH / PATREON SECTION (SPECIAL)

🔐 Exclusive Insights for Patrons

Patreon Data Pack #42 — November 20

  • Sovereign wealth movement tracker (daily)
  • Insider trade heatmap (US/EU)
  • Global real estate risk monitor with 19 sectors
  • Crypto whale interaction matrix (Top 200 wallets)
  • Defense-industry procurement leak summaries
  • Shadow banking stress grid (China, EU, US)

For berndpulch.org readers:

Patrons receive:

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  • Additional “Investment The Original” deep dives
  • ATS-style intelligence briefs
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  • Full archives of special reports (over 350 documents)

🇩🇪 DEUTSCHE VERSION — INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL TAGESDIGEST (20. NOVEMBER)

📈 INVESTMENT THE ORIGINAL — TAGESDIGEST (20. NOVEMBER)

Makro • Märkte • Immobilien • Risiko • Kapitalströme • Patreon-Sektion

1️⃣ MAKRO & GEOPOLITIK

USA

  • Erwartete November-CPI-Prognose: 3,34 % YoY.
  • Treasury-Auktionen:
    • 2J: 4,77 %
    • 10J: 4,54 %
    • 30J: 4,67 %
  • Fed-Signale: Realzinsen „ausreichend restriktiv“.

EUROZONE

  • 10J-Bund: 2,61 %
  • Deutschland PPI: –11,1 % YoY
  • Italien-Spread: +174 bp

ASIEN

  • China plant weitere Liquidität.
  • Japanischer Yen: 152,3 pro USD.

2️⃣ AKTIEN

USA

  • S&P 500 Forward-P/E: 18,9
  • Gewinner: NVDA +2,1 %, MSFT +1,3 %.
  • XBI Biotech +0,9 %.

EU

  • DAX +0,34 %
  • FTSE 100 neutral
  • DBK –0,7 %, UBS –1,1 %

3️⃣ ANLEIHEN

  • US HY Spread: +402 bp
  • EU BBB Spread: +178 bp
  • EM-Anleihezuflüsse: 1,3 Mrd. USD

4️⃣ IMMOBILIEN & ROHSTOFFE

Immobilien

  • Globale Büro-Leerstandsquote: 19 %
  • EU-Logistikrenditen: 5,2–5,7 %
  • Österreich Wohnimmobilien: –3,4 % YoY

Rohstoffe

  • Gold: 2.149 USD
  • Silber: 26,24 USD
  • Öl WTI: 76,40 USD

5️⃣ KRYPTOMÄRKTE

  • BTC: 95.780 USD
  • ETH: 5.210 USD
  • SOL: 189 USD
  • ETF-Zuflüsse: 122 Mio. USD

6️⃣ KAPITALSTRÖME

  • Staatsfonds: 3,2 Mrd. USD US-Aktienkäufe
  • Schweizer Privatbanken: 2,1 Mrd. CHF Zuflüsse
  • Hedgefonds-Leverage: 0,84 → 0,89
  • Insiderkäufe:
    • US MedTech: 4,8 Mio. USD
    • EU Energie: 1,2 Mio. EUR

7️⃣ RISIKORADAR

Hohe Risiken

  • China-Immobilienkrise
  • US-Konsumentenausfälle 3,1 %
  • Eurozonen-Industrieschwäche
  • Yen-Volatilität

Mittlere Risiken

  • Rohstoffabschwächung
  • AI-Regulierung
  • US-Haushaltsstreit

8️⃣ BERND PULCH / PATREON-ABSCHNITT

🔐 Exklusiv für Patrons

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  • Insider-Trade-Heatmaps
  • Globales Immobilien-Risikonetz
  • Whale-Analyse im Kryptobereich
  • Beschaffungsdaten der Rüstungsindustrie
  • Schattenbank-Stressindikator

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