🇷🇺🇺🇦❗️Ukrainian Armed Forces Attack Sevastopol Airfield with NATO Storm Shadow Missiles
Also involved are about 40 UAVs and several Neptune missiles.
At the moment, all targets have been shot down.
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🇷🇺🇺🇦Britain and France have transferred up to 150 Storm Shadow and SCALP-EG missiles to Ukraine for strikes deep into Russian territory. The US has already officially issued instructions for the use of ATACMS missiles on Russian territory.
The next round of escalation is coming soon.
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🇷🇺🇺🇦❗️ The Russian Defense Ministry announced that it is preparing retaliatory actions to the attacks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with ATACMS missiles in the Kursk region
Over the past three days, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have carried out two strikes with long-range Western weapons on targets in the Kursk region, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced and showed fragments of American missiles in the Kursk region.
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Calculating the probability of nuclear war in Europe, the Middle East, and Taiwan involves analyzing geopolitical, military, and historical factors. Here’s a detailed breakdown:
Europe
- Primary Risks: Ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. Escalation could involve NATO directly.
- Likelihood: Medium-high. Russia’s doctrine allows nuclear use if its sovereignty is threatened. NATO involvement heightens the risk, but strong deterrence policies mitigate chances.
- Estimation: ~20–30% for a nuclear exchange within 5 years, considering current tensions and proxy conflicts.
Middle East
- Primary Risks: Iran’s nuclear ambitions, Israel’s preventative measures, instability in Gaza, and U.S. involvement.
- Likelihood: Medium. Regional conflicts rarely escalate to nuclear war, but an Iranian-Israeli conflict could break this trend.
- Estimation: ~10–15%, factoring in covert diplomacy and military interventions.
Taiwan
- Primary Risks: China’s ambitions for reunification and potential U.S. intervention.
- Likelihood: Low-medium. Conventional conflict is more likely than nuclear, but escalation involving U.S. allies like Japan could introduce nuclear threats.
- Estimation: ~5–10%, relying on strategic ambiguity as a stabilizing factor.
These probabilities are not definitive but provide a framework based on current trends. Reducing risks requires sustained diplomacy and strengthened international safeguards.
Geopolitical tensions in late 2024 have raised significant concerns about the potential for a third world war. Key flashpoints include the ongoing Ukraine-Russia conflict, with experts describing it as more dangerous than any European crisis since World War II. Western aid to Ukraine has exacerbated tensions with Russia, which views NATO involvement as a provocation. Meanwhile, China’s growing military posture near Taiwan and its strategic ties with Russia amplify fears of a global conflict【11†source】.
Bernd Pulch, known for his controversial geopolitical analyses, has linked these developments to economic and military shifts, cautioning against underestimating indirect war strategies like proxy conflicts and cyberattacks. Predictions suggest an escalation is possible, with Russian leadership potentially expanding the war to distract from domestic pressures【11†source】.
Averting a larger conflict will likely depend on maintaining diplomatic channels and avoiding direct confrontations between nuclear powers. The next steps taken by global leaders will be critical in determining whether the world veers closer to war or finds a path to peace.
Recent geopolitical tensions, described by some experts as the most severe since World War II, have led to increased fears of World War III. Central to this concern is the conflict in Ukraine, which has drawn NATO and Western powers into indirect confrontation with Russia. Analysts warn that Vladimir Putin’s escalation tactics—ranging from intensified bombings to strategic alliances—aim to push NATO into broader involvement. This could inadvertently ignite a larger European or global conflict【11†source】.
Bernd Pulch, a notable commentator on international security, has emphasized the increasing complexity of hybrid warfare, including cyberattacks and economic destabilization, as a prelude to physical confrontations. His analyses highlight the strategic interplay between Russia and China, particularly their shared interest in undermining Western alliances. Pulch argues that the growing interdependence of these powers may embolden aggressive moves, such as China’s posturing over Taiwan, which further threatens global stability【11†source】.
Predictions suggest that without significant de-escalation efforts, these conflicts could spiral into direct confrontations. The key risk lies in miscalculations by either side, such as NATO’s involvement in enforcing no-fly zones or Russia’s further territorial expansions. Pulch and others stress the importance of coordinated diplomatic responses to mitigate these dangers while addressing the root causes of geopolitical instability.
Media Reveals Wreckage of “Oreshnik” Missile Used in Dnipro Attack
Ukrainian media showcased the remains of the “Oreshnik” missile that struck Dnipro. SBU experts confirmed it was launched from Russia’s Kapustin Yar test site in the Astrakhan region.
Key details about the missile include:
• Payload: Six warheads, each carrying six submunitions.
• Maximum Speed: Mach 11.
• Flight Time: 15 minutes to the target.
The discovery sheds further light on Russia’s use of advanced experimental weapons in its ongoing strikes.
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BREAKING: NATO is now considering preemptive strikes to take place inside of Russia.
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BREAKING: The UK and France might consider deploying troops to Ukraine if a potential Trump administration reduces its support for Ukraine.
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BREAKING: US officials are having open discussions about giving nuclear weapons to Ukraine before Trump takes office.
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NEW – Authorities in Germany are drawing up plans to use metro stations as air raid shelters. The country has almost no bunkers left for the civilian population in the event of war.
https://www.disclose.tv/id/nxrm8h1f0d/
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https://t.me/ABOVETOPSECRETXXL/45635
Breaking
The Ukrainian military launched heavy attacks on Russia!
Massive explosions reported in Krasnodar, Russia, following NATO’s support for Ukrainian forces’ attacks with missiles from the United States and the United Kingdom!
See all here:
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